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Vote Fraud

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Surprising as it is (but not really), but some of the more zealous/lower IQ Putinists and "Western Russophiles" are actually taking Lukashenko's official 80.1% result at face value. I wonder if they stop to reflect what that implies about Putin, who "only" got 76.7% in the 2018 elections, at a time when: His approval rating... Read More
Here's a map of how Russian citizens abroad voted. (Blue = yes; red = no; via @14ws) As with most expats, Russians abroad skew younger and more liberal, hence the orange/red throughout the West as well as China (e.g. expat heavy/more lib Shanghai expats vote NO, while more diplomat-dominated & vatnik Beijing and Harbin voted... Read More
As I wrote in my post on the Moscow Duma elections, which took place on September 8, the electoral strategy of the Anti-Corruption Foundation (FBK) - the main pro-Western opposition front to Putin headed by Navalny and his campaign manager Leonid Volkov - was the so-called "Smart Vote." Claiming that many of their candidates had... Read More
Electoral fraud in Russia exists, and is quite prevalent, tilting Putin's and United Russia's results upwards of where "they should up" by up to 10% points since the mid-2000s. That said, Russian electoral fraud has generally not been banana republic tier for a couple of reasons: Electoral fraud usually happens in the counting stages, instead... Read More
You must all be sick of me talking about the Russian elections so this is going to be my last post on it in this series. There is talk amongst my friends of a shift towards Putin amongst the socio-economic elites, which have long been voting against Putin. This is true, but only to the... Read More
Russia blogger Seva Bashirov made a map of the incidence of "suspicious votes" as per Sergey Shpilkin's method (not necessarily all fraudulent, but there's certainly a correlation) during these elections. Here is a similar map for the 2011 Duma elections (methodology is different, so scale isn't comparable). And in finer resolution: One of the previous... Read More
Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.