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US Elections 2020

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Overall, solid performances from both Trump and Biden, they know their respective audiences. The people describing this as "shitshow" etc. seem to be under the mistaken impression this was supposed to be a debate. Both repeated their respective party line on the coronavirus. Trump lasered in from the "China Virus" angle, and mocked Biden for... Read More
If Russiagate fantasies were real and they had the vote in US elections - at least as suggested by this FOM poll. This is not to say that Russians like Trump - their short post-elections honeymoon was soon after undermined by Russiagate sanctions and foreign policy erraticism, such as the strikes on Russian mercenaries in... Read More
I am not going to stick my neck out with concrete predictions, except to the extent that I agree with the betting markets that it's close to 50/50 with the edge going to Biden. Trump has incumbent advantage, but Biden is not Hillary, so the two cancel out. Like it or not, blame for Corona... Read More
Is "brutal policewoman" Kamala really a bad pick in the midst of a Black crime epidemic? Can be relied upon to be loyal to the neoliberal order, while ticking all the diversity and woke boxes. I think the whining is Chapo and Trumpist cope. White lib boomers are going to lap this up. Anyhow, belated... Read More
The betting odds between Trump/Biden (~45-50% vs. 40%-45%) have stayed remarkable steady since Bernie got put out of his misery. However, there's been one remarkable shift. Whereas in 2016, support for Trump increased monotonically with age, more and more polls now appear to confirm that older people, especially Silents and Greatest are turning away from... Read More
So with both Bernie Sanders, Barack Obama, and - finally - Elizabeth Warren - having endorsed Joe Biden now is perhaps not the worst time to give my take on US politics in the Current Year. *** As I observed when I left the US in 2016, the bipolar party system had come under strain... Read More
Reddit has just quarantined The_Donald, the single biggest Trump support forum on the Internet. The_Donald played a critical role in the 2016 elections, helping generate a lot of the memetic momentum that propelled Trump to the Presidency. Considering his narrow margin of victory, it's entirely possible that Trump would have been stumped without The_Donald. True,... Read More
Here is the podcast: Robert Stark talks to Anatoly Karlin about Andrew Yang and The War on Normal People Robert Stark is a Yang supporter. You can check out his article "Andrew Yang and the Post-Nationalist Future" at Taki's Mag. Brandon Adamson (website) also participated, but unfortunately he was cut off due to technical problems... Read More
I looked at all the people with more than a 2% chance of becoming US President in 2020 according to PredictIt. There are some patterns here. Biden: Hasn't Tweeted since April 19. Not a credible contender, but honorary mention goes to:
It's been a month since I predicted that Andrew Yang would be more than just a meme. I wanted to check to see if this still holds true and that does seem to be the case. 1. He is on a steady 10% chance to take the Dem nomination at PredictIt. 2. He is getting... Read More
Here is who I predicted would institute basic income back in 2017: So, those first two are basically Trump!2019 and Commissar Kamala, respectively. Yang is not quite a plutocrat, so I'm not 100% sure he'll win. And his tech background he's more East Coast than Silicon Valley. But otherwise, that's his bio to a tee.... Read More
He is best known for championing Universal Basic Income, and loves to talk about AI and automation. This means that while he is a marginal candidate, he has the support of many transhumanists (even though he has not expressed any opinion on more radical transhumanist ideas such as radical life extension). His policies seem to... Read More
Without going into any precise numbers, my feeling is that Kamala Harris will win the Dem nomination, Trump will be impeached (but not convicted), and Harris will win the 2020 elections. Too many scandals (fair and fake) will be weighing Trump down, he'll lose Florida thanks to felons getting the vote, and the advantages of... Read More
Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.