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The latest polls, jointly conducted by KIIS (Ukraine) and Levada (Russia), show that the collapse in Ukrainian sentiment towards Russia may be turning a corner. Legend: Ukrainian attitudes towards Russia [blue]; Russian attitudes towards Ukraine [orange] For the first time since April 2014, more Ukrainians have a positive impressive of Russia than the converse. Attitudes... Read More
One persistent criticism of Russia's decision to annex the Crimea/support its people's right to national self-determination [cross out as per your ideological preferences] is that it has had dubious benefits not just for Russia, but for Putin himself. This is a common take. For instance, as the 5th anniversary of Crimea's incorporation into Russia approached,... Read More
From "anti-extremism" researcher Anton Shekhovtsov who has no anti-Russian obsession whatsoever: That 74 page manifesto had one mention of Russia*. There were FOUR mentions of China, three of which were positive, and which he described as "the nation with the closest political and social values to my own." Now just to be clear China is... Read More
A couple of weeks ago I was invited to the Civic Chamber of Russia in my capacity as a blogger person to give my Very Important Opinions on a draft law being considered by some United Russia deputies to create "cyber militia" tasked with identifying and reporting illegal/extremist content on the Internet. I obviously consider... Read More
There are a number of transport network companies [TNC] operating in Russia - apart from Uber, there is also the more popular Yandex.Taxi, as well as the taxi hailing Gett and a few others. These companies are a vast improvement from the days of the old gypsy cabs, many of them illegally run by Caucasian... Read More
China is well known for denying visas to overly critical and/or hostile journalists. Write too many bad and unfair things about it and you quietly get the boot, while China maintains plausible deniability. "Oops, your visa application seems to have gotten lost yet again, sorry." Meanwhile, your employer loses its "on the ground presence" and... Read More
(Foreign-owned) Moscow Times: Russia Will Be One-Third Muslim in 15 Years, Chief Mufti Predicts I hope my readers are well acquainted enough with my reporting on Russian demographics to identify this for the BS this is. But if not, here is a refresher: Russia Becoming *More* Russian From Russia to Russabia? Not Anytime Soon
In recent weeks, there has been cynical coverage of the dismissal of Russian state statistics director Alexander Surinov, and his replacement by Pavel Malkov; especially as it was soon followed by an upwards revision of GDP growth since 2016 (including 2.3% growth in 2018 vs. expectations of 1.5%-2.0%). Is the Soviet era of politicized statistics... Read More
Then follow the stereotypes. They will never lead you astray: Alexander Kireev: Popularity of "incest" searches in Russia. Regions most interested in chasing sister's skirt: Chechnya, Dagestan, Ingushetia. So much for Caucasian sexual "morality" (but we knew that anyway). Least interested: Karelia, Moscow, Saint Petersburg. Worldwide, twice as many Central Asians - especially Tajiks and... Read More
Gallup: Majority of Americans Now Consider Russia a Critical Threat It has also, for the second time since February 2015, become America's "greatest enemy." But if the percentage of Americans saying that was 18% back then, now it is at 32%. Relative to average Russia disapproval of 73%, this reaches 80% amongst Democrats, 84% amongst... Read More
Russian TV - being, for the most part, sovok bilge - says that it is... because you get a "decommunization" award for sniping off the head of the Great Bald One. But basically the entire ideological spectrum outside sovokland dismisses this. The anti-svodomist Insomniac Resurrected: The arch-svidomist Polygraph.info: Ironically, Lenin himself derided what he called... Read More
Not a very eventful week. But I think the upcoming one will be more productive, and speaking of blogging in particular, with a couple of longreads. TIL I learned am a US-based Orthodox zealot. Moderation note: I am tired of Gerard2's scatalogy-laced attacks on AP clogging up every second thread. AP, please stop replying to... Read More
I find the comments on extractive elites to be very plausible and they would form an interesting complement to viewing them in terms of Mancur Olson's roving vs. stationary bandits theory, which is the main prism through which I view the differential development of institutions in the post-Soviet space. Ages ago, I read Jeff Sach's... Read More
There have been some recent debates on this blog's comments threads about human capital in Poland, Russia, and the West Russian lands while they were under Polish rule. While there is a consensus that Poland was more intellectually advanced than Russia, at least during the 17th century, the relative position of the Ukraine and Belorussia... Read More
So far as Western media tropes on Russia go, this one is in the almost entirely false category. See my most recent comprehensive debunking here: The Nth Wave of Russian Emigration. The "increase" in question almost exclusively accrued to greater numbers of Central Asians leaving Russia after the 2014 devaluation made working in Russia as... Read More
I have already mentioned that there is virtually zero popular support for handing over the Kurils to Japan, so current hopes (and histrionics) on this topic are almost certainly nothing but hot air. I wouldn't even be making this post if not for a new development in this saga - the appearance of concrete numbers... Read More
Recently, the Russian government published its 25.7 trillion ruble ($390 billion) plan for the years 2019-2024 [pdf] - Putin's fourth Presidential term - for socio-economic development. This is a quick summary on the request of a reader. PS. Numbers are given using one USD = 60 rubles conversion. All end dates, unless otherwise indicates, refer... Read More
I am amused to see that the I continue to remain an incidental object of Irish SJW discourse following Michael Connolly's publication of an HBD-realist view on development economics. Matthew Murphy: Liam McCubbin-Cramton: I am already somewhat familiar with this name, as Karlin is a notorious anti-Semite and confidant of American white supremacist Richard Spencer.... Read More
At least according to "journalist" Lizzy Saxe: However, at least she is not a "former Soviet-American" (was he that triggered by Drumpf?) politics professor in Canada: / Implying that champagne was a luxury good even in the late USSR (to say nothing of Russia today). Though it seems that some people lapped it up. Profile:... Read More
Russia detains U.S. founder of Baring Vostok private equity group: *** EDIT: Consensus of more informed people seems to be that this is narrowly related to a commercial dispute. He is also apparently far more prominent in finance and US-Russia business relations than I gave him credit for. I am not involved in either of... Read More
Last year’s summary: Russian Demographics in 2018 [2016; 2014]. Preliminary data for 2018 is in. Births, deaths, and natural increase in Russia, 1946-2018. There were about 1,599,316 (10.9/1,000) births in 2018, a decline of 5.4% relative to the 1,689,884 (11.5/1,000) births in 2017. There were about 1,817,710 (12.4/1,000) deaths in 2018, a decline of 0.4%... Read More
The Kremlin "ideologue" Vladislav Surkov has recently written an article for Nezavisimaya Gazeta called "Putin's Long State." It posits that the Putinist system's power stems from its unique ability to "listen and understand" Russia's "deep people" - in contradistinction to the "deep states" that control the West beneath their democratic facades. This means that the... Read More
Who is the only very prominent person in the Russian elites whom Navalny hasn’t gone to great lengths to criticize? Which major state-owned corporation hasn’t had an investigative dossier written about it by the Anti-Corruption Fund (even though an ordinary analyst at Sberbank's investment arm managed to find no shortage of very suspicious things about... Read More
Cool, useful resource here: Границы России 1462-2018 гг Associated video below: Couple of infographics to go along with that: Russian territory over time. Territories gained/lost by each ruler. Biggest gainz: Mikhail Romanov & Alexey Mikhailovich (Siberia). Biggest losers: Gorbachev, Lenin
The title is a bit of an exaggeration. Even back in 2010, there was plenty to criticize Putin for, and since then, the details haven't even changed that much so far as I'm concerned (e.g. corruption, bureaucracy, white elephants). And it's not that I have been unremittingly anti-Putin in the past few years, regardless of... Read More
From a Twitter summary by @PyotrNemets of Xi Jinping's The Governance of China [download]. Now while I realize such official tracts are most often just mainstream political pablum in any country, I think highlighting 19th century Russian literature - and this selection isn't exactly very congruent with official Chinese ideology - is quite telling. His... Read More
Commenter Swedish Family on BHL and Houellebecq on Russia: Seeing Bernard-Henri Lévy's name here made me dig out an old book of his, Public Enemies, a book of Lévy's mail correspondence with novelist Michel Houellebecq in the spring of 2008 (so after Putin's Munich speech but half a year before Lehman Brothers and the war... Read More
The dawn of Russia's era of mass restaurant outings - which began in the early 2000s, in line with an unprecedented expansion in Russian personal prosperity - was dominated by sushi. But when I returned in 2016, it was already clear that era was in decline. Sure, there were - and are - still plenty... Read More
I wrote why giving away the Kurils (even just two of the islands) to Japan in exchange for fuzzy and unenforceable investment commitments is a really bad idea back in 2010 and I see no cause to change any of that. One big problem, then as now, is that ordinary Russians are against it. The... Read More
This is a Russia-specific offshoot to my previous post Where Do Babies Come from? For reference purposes, here is how Russia's actual TFR has developed since the end of WW2. Since I last posted substantially on the topic of Russia fertility preferences in 2009-2010, a lot more data has come in. Here is a survey... Read More
Financial Times: This looks like a minor growing trend. The Soviet Union sunk untold billions in development aid to the Third World, for questionable gain, and was rewarded with a knife in its back every so often. Bu
A few months ago Ron Unz, suggested I write an article about Bill Browder and the Magnitsky Act. I said I would think about it, but that I was not the most qualified person for the job. I have never investigated this affair deeply myself, so unless I was to spend a few days if... Read More
I am by no means a Serbia expert, and have to rely on other, more informed people - e.g., a couple of Serbian nationalist acquaintances - to tell me what is really going on there. Anyhow, here's the critical part which they are all agreed upon. Despite his "reputation" in the West, Vucic is not... Read More
Epstein's book about race differences in sport published in the West vs. a Russian translation of Dutton & Lynn's book about race differences in sport published in Russia. :LOL:
Further to my last post on the matter, I spent this evening collating all the most interesting maps I have on Russia, which I just published on my website: (Why not here? Because I want it to be a page that I can keep editing indefinitely - adding to, and occasionally, deleting. For instance, since... Read More
Brockhaus and Efron Encyclopedic Dictionary (1890-1907) on illegitimate births: Illegitimate births / 100 births in Russia in 1892: St. Petersburg 15.92 Smolenskaya 1.93 Moscow 13.65 Kazan 1.90 Lifland 6.36 Mogilev 1.89 Estland 4.46 Vladimirskaya 1.86 Arkhangelsk 4.33 Kharkiv 1.84 Kovno 4.12 Tverskaya 1.82 Perm 4.07 Olonets 1.79 Yaroslavskaya 4.03 Kaluzhskaya 1.75 Pskovskaya 3.98 Bessarabian 1.74... Read More
The main popular article on this topic that I am familiar with is Patrick Chovanec's The Nine Nations of China (written in the spirit of Garreau's and Woodard's work on North America). Commenter AquariusAnon provides an update with a focus on China's major cities and their ideological outlooks. His series of comments are reprinted below.... Read More
In recent days, Russia has arrested the American spy Paul Whelan. This is widely viewed as retribution for the prosecution of Maria Butina. Perhaps the kremlins were finally cajoled into action by China's example. (Main theory making the rounds in Russiagate circles is that it is a ploy to arrange an exchange with Butina back... Read More
Here is how emigre journalist Bershidsky (who likes mass immigration to Europe but not to Saudi Arabia) sees the end of history (Russia edition): So Russia's fate is to be a mineral resource depot, dumping ground for Third Worlders, and cannon fodder for the retirement home and taxpayer funded mansion for Somalis better known as... Read More
There are often questions in the comments about Egor Kholmogorov's stance on various things, e.g. about how he reconciles his Orthodox beliefs with Russian ethnonationalism. So I prepared something different from our usual fare of serious longreads - a series of translations of his social media posts, where he briefly but succinctly addresses some of... Read More
Russia harvested 133 million tons of grain in 2017, beating the all-time RSFSR record set in 1978. It has also been consistently harvesting more grain than in the Soviet years since the mid-2010s. Here it is in a wider historical perspective. Grain production in Russia from 1900-2012: Graph via @burckina-faso, a pro-Soviet blogger, so can... Read More
The data is based on Goertzel, Ted & al. (2012), Homicide Booms and Busts A Small-N Comparative Historical Study. The lead author kindly emailed me the data used to build their graphs (their version is on the right), which I used to construct the above graph of Russian historical homicide rates from 1875 to 2018.... Read More
This is what the journalist Oleg Kashin said a few days ago in a discussion at Echo of Moscow, one of Russia's premier liberal media outlets. Echo of Moscow journalist Evgenia Albats was not too happy with this: Kashin is of course entirely, objectively right about all this, as conclusively demonstrated by Neo-Nazi white supremacists... Read More
The Commieblock: Hopefully AquariusAnon appreciates this. I am very happy to see that Guillaume Durocher has joined The Unz Review. Only the best people! Here is a short intro to what he'll be writing about: You can browse his archives at Occidental Observer, Counter-Currents, and Radix. I a
Robert Stark recorded this podcast a couple of weeks ago, in which the German nationalist Constantin von Hoffmeister also participated. You can listen to it here: Topics discussed:
Latest via Alexander Gabuev, who is one of the best Russian China watchers. Highlights include: Sanctions busting trade & investment innovations; manufacturing, inc. civil aircraft (CR929) and heavy lift helicopters; Glonass/Beidou integration; experience exchange in AI, surveillance, social credit; replacing US as China's soybeans supplier, with investment in agriculture in the Russian Far East. Russia... Read More
From a recent report by the arch-neocon Henry Jackson Society: Those Russian informants would presumably be the 52% of Russians in Britain who voted for Puter in 2018. Congratulations to the Dark Lord of the Kremlin, Who Sees and Hears All, on raising this percentage from 28% in 2012. This was sarcasm, BTW. You would... Read More
What do the current legal travails of a Russian "oligarch" (he has zero power) in Monaco actually have to do with him having gotten involved in a real estate transaction ("money laundering") with Bad Orange Man a decade ago? Let's have a look at housing prices in Florida: As one can see, they did indeed... Read More
There's a few theories that I push over and over again when discussions on European social trends come up: Communism was a "deep freezer" that conserved antediluvian ("based" in our lingvo) social attitudes in Eastern Europe, at least relative to countries under the American sphere of influence. These attitudes express themselves particularly strongly on LGBT,... Read More
Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.