The Unz Review: An Alternative Media Selection
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The Virgin HCQ shill vs. the Chad Sputnik V respecter. Anyhow, this might have helped Trump by generating sympathy. But, given his not entirely undeserved reputation as a floomer, probably won't. Rallies are Trump's lifeblood, chances of him winning have surely plummeted just now. He's fat and 18 years older than BoJo, who was hospitalized.... Read More
I am not going to stick my neck out with concrete predictions, except to the extent that I agree with the betting markets that it's close to 50/50 with the edge going to Biden. Trump has incumbent advantage, but Biden is not Hillary, so the two cancel out. Like it or not, blame for Corona... Read More
From the start I refrained from speculating too much about what precisely happened to Navalny. Thing is, several weeks on, we are collectively none the wiser. Though Novichok seems to have done him good in the looksmaxxing department: But reality is rarely as important as the narratives around it, and so far as narratives are... Read More
Jeffrey Goldberg has an article on The Atlantic where he makes various claims about how Trump disrespected the troops and about what a vapid, disrespectful, materialist person he is in general. Let's make the bold assumption that he hasn't conjured this up out of thin air. Honor or denigrate them as you will, but there's... Read More
People want me to comment on Navalny. I have avoided doing so because I just don't know. There are plenty of other people who don't know either but are writing about it anyway so why would I waste my time and your time on this. I don't know what the poison was. It probably was... Read More
Here's a map of how Russian citizens abroad voted. (Blue = yes; red = no; via @14ws) As with most expats, Russians abroad skew younger and more liberal, hence the orange/red throughout the West as well as China (e.g. expat heavy/more lib Shanghai expats vote NO, while more diplomat-dominated & vatnik Beijing and Harbin voted... Read More
So the Russians have become the "state-forming people" of the Russian Federation following the completely unsurprising victory of YES. Putin also gets the option of running for two more 6 year terms come 2024. It also happens to be the case that this is very likely the most falsified election/referendum in modern Russian history, though... Read More
Took a few days. It was revving up yesterday. Now it's in full gear and will now soon be making its way into mainstream discourse. As I keep saying, Russiagaters are perhaps the most hardcore Americanophobes on this planet. They believe that a few Russian shitpoasters on Twitter intimately control the political behavior of 330... Read More
Virgin Western "Russia expert" ranting about Putler suppressing the democratic opposition vs. the Chad loremaster of the most obscure and esoteric metapolitical sects. There is unironically more value in this one meme by /u/roastedfroggo than in dozens of Western political science/"transitionology" books and articles, which are in net terms negative value added. (That is, you... Read More
So with both Bernie Sanders, Barack Obama, and - finally - Elizabeth Warren - having endorsed Joe Biden now is perhaps not the worst time to give my take on US politics in the Current Year. *** As I observed when I left the US in 2016, the bipolar party system had come under strain... Read More
To date and across most of the globe, Corona seems to have benefited the Establishment, whatever it may be at any particular time (with the exception of Brazil's Bolsonaro, who took himself out of the game at the start and is now unable to even fire his Health Minister). Although the MAGA people have made... Read More
Though there have been some other, decidedly minor, world events that have pushed these developments off the front pages, we may confidently label March, 2020 as the final death of Russiagate v1.0 - the blockbuster hit that has spawned two official sequels to date, as well as an untold number of fan-made derivative works. First,... Read More
Russia's Constitutional reforms, which I have been actively covering on this blog, took yet another turn for the unexpected yesterday. Now my initial take had been that Putin, probably tired of 20 years at the helm*, was moving to "institutionalize" Putinism by doing things like forbidding future Presidents and senior officials from having foreign citizenships,... Read More
As of this February, there is a 90% chance that the US President come 2021 will be Trump, Bernie, or Bloomberg. One of whom has been branded a Russian "asset" for the past 5 years. One of whom spent his honeymoon in the USSR. One of whom publicly sympathized with Russia's incorporation of Crimea back... Read More
Egor Kholmogorov has noted that Constitution of Bashkortostan, where Bashkirs only make up 36% of the population, proudly announces that Bashkortan is for Bashkirs: On looking it up, I found that the preamble of the Constitution of Tatarstan, where Tatars constitute a bare minority at 53%, has similar phrasing: So we have Bashkortostan for the... Read More
The call to revise the Russian Constitution has given Russian nationalists in Moscow an opportunity to clarify what they stand for. At a meeting the other day, a list of preliminary suggestions were drawn up, discussed, and broadly agreed upon. Translation: Preamble: "We, citizens of Russia, united by a common historical destiny, confirming the rights... Read More
Bryan MacDonald has covered PM Mikhail Mishustin's new Cabinet in detail at his RT blog, so I'll avoid repeating the listings there and widely available elsewhere. *** Despite the heavy import of Putin's proposed Constitutional changes, the actual change in the Cabinet has been negligible. Sergey Shoigu, Sergey Lavrov (contra initial rumors), and Vladimir Kolokoltsev... Read More
In my previous post, I wrote about the broad outlines of the constitutional changes proposed by Putin, but without speculating too much on their import. I will do that now in more detail. *** Putin is looking for a retirement plan that guarantees the security of the system he has built, but in a way... Read More
Major announcements in this State of the Nation speech on Jan 15, 2020. Here is a very brief summary to get the conversation started. Immediate politics: The Medvedev government has resigned The little-known Mikhail Mishustin, former head of the tax service, has been appointed as PM. He is an AI-loving technocrat who reduced uncollected VAT... Read More
All this brouhaha over Russiagate and to think that in the end it was Ukraine that did it... :) Anyhow: I am pretty sure this is a trap (for the Dems), who are initiating impeachment without even knowing what's on the damn transcript. It will be nice to see some questions on how exactly Hunter... Read More
One curious point of agreement between anti-imperialist "Western Russophiles" and the most deranged Russophobes (e.g. Arkady Babchenko, who had called him Russia's "future liberal Fuhrer") is the idea that Navalny is a nationalist. This is despite almost no actual, self-identified Russian nationalists considering him as such, and Navalny himself energetically signalling against Russian identity and... Read More
I did infer that he is redpilled on all of this stuff in my review of his book, though his interpretation - like Pinker's - is strongly liberal/paternalistic. (Which is perfectly fine and internally consistent). He has definitively confirmed that. This has created quite the ruckus, with Angela D. Saini - author of ominous sounding... Read More
... has seemingly occured in the blink of an eye, and has given way to an emerging four party system. There was one brief period during the early 2010s when it looked like the Lib Dems might finally break out as the third "party of power." However, that uptick ended up as a damp squib... Read More
The most notable developments in the 2019 European elections have been: 1. The continued collapse of the center-left (Social Democrats) and center-right (Christian Democrats), the traditional lynchpins of postwar European politics. The Left is also in stagnation, with Corbyn's Labour, Greece's Syriza, Spain's Podemos, and France's Melenchon all having done poorly. 2. The continued rise... Read More
This was a very nice livestream in which JF Gariépy gave my the chance to concisely set out my views on the intersection of Russia, the Alt Right, Russian foreign policy, and the Western media (amongst other things).
Meanwhile Jaakko Raipala comments about political developments in Finland: *** You figured it out. The Finns party has been recovering from the party collapsing and splitting into two. They betrayed all their promises on immigration during the Merkel migrant crisis, the party rebelled against its sellout leaders and Halla-aho was chosen as the new party... Read More
Leonid Volkov is Navalny's long-standing campaign manager. Translation: "A day of good news: Al-Bashir and Assange have overstayed their welcome, both are in need of a court, and neither deserve a drop of pity." One problem of Russian liberals from Novodvorskaya down to Navalny is that they are not so much liberals as American stooges*.... Read More
One persistent criticism of Russia's decision to annex the Crimea/support its people's right to national self-determination [cross out as per your ideological preferences] is that it has had dubious benefits not just for Russia, but for Putin himself. This is a common take. For instance, as the 5th anniversary of Crimea's incorporation into Russia approached,... Read More
Well this was unexpected. But Kazakhstan's President Nazarbayev, who has effectively led the country since 1989, is stepping down and handing over power to the head of the ruling party until a replacement could be found. I wrote about him here: In short, [the secret of his success] is pragmatism over ideology. The narrow-minded nationalist... Read More
Here is who I predicted would institute basic income back in 2017: So, those first two are basically Trump!2019 and Commissar Kamala, respectively. Yang is not quite a plutocrat, so I'm not 100% sure he'll win. And his tech background he's more East Coast than Silicon Valley. But otherwise, that's his bio to a tee.... Read More
The Kremlin "ideologue" Vladislav Surkov has recently written an article for Nezavisimaya Gazeta called "Putin's Long State." It posits that the Putinist system's power stems from its unique ability to "listen and understand" Russia's "deep people" - in contradistinction to the "deep states" that control the West beneath their democratic facades. This means that the... Read More
Who is the only very prominent person in the Russian elites whom Navalny hasn’t gone to great lengths to criticize? Which major state-owned corporation hasn’t had an investigative dossier written about it by the Anti-Corruption Fund (even though an ordinary analyst at Sberbank's investment arm managed to find no shortage of very suspicious things about... Read More
The title is a bit of an exaggeration. Even back in 2010, there was plenty to criticize Putin for, and since then, the details haven't even changed that much so far as I'm concerned (e.g. corruption, bureaucracy, white elephants). And it's not that I have been unremittingly anti-Putin in the past few years, regardless of... Read More
The guy who temporarily replaces him is a powerlifting PC gamer. POWERFUL nomination! Instead of this gay drug war we can now get down to the really important issues, such as criminalizing in-game microtransactions.
Now that the midterms have panned out as the predictions market expected, here's what we can now expect: *** Good Things: 1. It was mostly GOPe cucks getting slaughtered, not Trumpist nationalists (e.g. Steve King stayed, though on a razor thin margin). At least this means that nationalism has real staying power. 2. Cabinet picks... Read More
Though they remain a solid majority, fewer and fewer Russians are getting their news from TV. . 2009 2013 2018 TV 94% 88% 73% Internet (journals, websites, etc) 9% 21% 37% Friends 26% 24% 18% Social networks 6% 14% 28% Radio 41% 16% 15% Newspapers 37% 20% 13% Journals 8% 4% 3% Other 0% 1%... Read More
1. There were no more than 2,000-3,000 people protesting in Moscow about the raising of the retirement age (at most). This is the definition of "storm in a teacup." 2. Navalny bandwagoning on this issue is particularly implausible, since he is an economic neoliberal. Which, to be sure, is one of the exceeding few good... Read More
Sacred Digital: It is based on this old video by up and coming Russian vlogger Kirill Nesterov.
Under the measures announced on June 15, in the immediate glowing wake of Russia's 5:0 football victory over Saudi Arabia, the pensions age is to rise from 60 for men/55 for women to 65 for men/63 for women. It will be a gradual increase, with the full increase for men only being attained in 2028,... Read More
I recently had a look at the polling for the Ukrainian Presidential elections in March 2019. They don't look good for him, to put it mildly. While austerity, stymied reforms and continuing corruption, and the lack of a resolution to the War in Donbass have been dragging at Poroshenko's ratings for several years now, since... Read More
Certainly seems so to me. AltRight.com's Vincent Law was pretty optimistic at the start of 2017: "Overall assessment of the situation: Feels great, man." Only problem is - it appears that he either left them or was fired, which means that AltRight.com is no longer even worth following (Greg Hood is good but posts too... Read More
Meddling in the Russian elections. I voted for Zhirinovsky on March 18, 2018. Have said all there is to say on that in these articles: An Analysis of Zhirinovsky's Program Russia Elections 2018: Elections as Regime Referendums Putin 2018: The Scorecard With that out of the way, let's move on to the bigger picture. PS.... Read More
Quick recap of developments since the last update. First half consisted of boring economic and political stuff (e.g. increasing GDP by 50% over the next 6 years, implying 7% growth - as realistic as his promise to create 25 million hi-tech jobs last year). Nobody really cares about this. In the second half, wearing his... Read More
How is the Russian media covering the elections? I don't watch TV, so I can't give any personal impressions, but fortunately there are other people to do that in succinct graphical format. Color scheme is constant: Grudinin, Putin, Zhirinovsky, Yavlinsky, Titov, Baburin, Sobchak. Total number of media mentions in segments about the elections. Average number... Read More
First polls are in with all eight of the official candidates. There are no surprises. Results of VCIOM and FOM polls, both from Feb 11 (adjusting for don't knows, won't votes, etc.): VCIOM FOM Putin 82.3% 84.2% Zhirinovsky 6.3% 6.8% Grudinin 8.4% 6.8% Sobchak 1.2% 1.1% Yavlinsky 0.9% 0.6% Titov 0.2% 0.1% Suraykin 0.1% 0.1%... Read More
So the final official bulletin was confirmed a few days ago. Here are the candidates: Has an interesting history: Was elected a people's deputy in the Supreme Soviet of Russia in 1990, and by early 1991 had become the leading contender to become its Chairman, beating out Ruslan Khasbulatov in the first round; then came... Read More
I am not aware of any active Russian political predictions markets, apart from "Will Vladimir Putin be president of Russia at the end of 2018?" at PredictIt (currently at 93% FWIW). I suppose there are three main reasons for this: 1. Interesting American fads only reach Russia with a lag time of several times, if... Read More
Navalny claimed that the state-owned pollsters VCIOM were artificially inflating Putin's figures, so his Anti-Corruption Fund will start releasing their own weekly polls, the first of which has just been released in Navalny's latest video address. Reminder that Putin got 66% in the last FOM poll, and 73% in the last VCIOM poll. FBK poll:... Read More
Turnout might be much lower than even the record low (60%) than I posited. Leonid Bershidsky in a recent article: Campaigning from Putin has been lackluster to say the least. Main development is that the campaign website has finally been launched ( ). At the time Bershidsky wrote his post, it didn't even have a... Read More
After the surprise Communist candidacy of Pavel Grudinin, the main question was always going to be whether he would merely inherit Zyuganov's ratings - or climb well above them by invigorating Russians with the prospect of a new face in politics. We had to wait a couple of weeks longer than usual due to the... Read More
Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.