There's been reports of a Ukrainian military buildup in the Donbass for several weeks now. The Saker, amongst others, has also reported on them, quoting a Telegram blogger who is claimed to have good sources in Kiev: My main reason for skepticism that the Ukrainians have serious aggressive intentions is that the Ukraine is still... Read More
Pretty cool that the US has constructed a Blue Zone in its own capital. Although the 25,000 National Guardsmen are apparently unarmed, which suggests that the Dems don't actually take MAGA terrorists seriously. But it's good theater. Or, I suppose it could be that THE PLAN is coming to fruition. Any hour now.
The EC vote threw up no surprises, without even a single faithless elector. I did tell you all not to expect miracles or get too invested in this idiotic drama, not least for the sake of your own mental health (or your financial health - if you took the 10% post-elections odds seriously). The screeching... Read More
True elites: Rarely flaunt status or obsess over conventions - sometimes actively troll them, by dressing scruffily to formal events. Can be vulgar where appropriate, make no apologies about it. Don't make much of displaying their credentials ("we know the lion by his claw"). Proles misplaced into elites: Insist on proper norms and protocols. Are... Read More
Joe Biden's victory marks a return to Enlightenment principles of science and rationality, from which it was only temporarily diverted by the dark forces of populist reaction and retrogression represented by Donald Trump. It is good that the US is not an obscurantist theocracy such as Iran that exalts its political leaders into the ranks... Read More
In May 2018, Navalny wrote: Here are the latest "developments": The poor guy even had his perfume stolen. *** It is generally America's vassal states that have been tripping over themselves to recognize Biden as President-Elect before the courts or the electors have made their positions known. As did their puppets: But considering Navalny's record,... Read More
Well we might already have an answer to that (h/t A New Radical Centrism): In fairness, this isn't a 100% done deal, as he continues: Even so, prospects aren't looking good. Large numbers of the "intellectual" Dissident Right (with the notable exception of James Lindsay) ended up backing either Biden or at least neutrality, in... Read More
The world map of Biden "recognitions" is quite instructive. No surprise that the core BlueGov-aligned vassals are tripping over themselves to congratulate and celebrate, happy at the prospect of the gushing service they are preparing to mete out as opposed to their sullen compliance during the Trump years. More notable, though less remarkable if you... Read More
This post probably isn't going to make me many friends. Then again, if catering to various echo chambers was my main concern in life, I wouldn't be running this blog. So, did Biden win thanks to electoral fraud? My general impression is that many, if not all, electoral fraud arguments have been rather simplistic and... Read More
The last election I watched with a Russian friend at the London School of Economics student room in 2016. The cope and seethe amongst those rootless cosmopolitans was out of this world, as the only Trump supporters in the room it was like being the physical embodiment of trollface.jpg. I don't expect to see a... Read More
Now one common objection, often made by Trump supporters, is that the overwhelmingly pro-Democrat class of hacks and data analysts is biased and ignorant of sentiment in the "Real America" and this colors their judgment, as it purportedly did in 2016*. Conversely, their liberal counterparts rejoinder that popular prediction markets, which are strongly out of... Read More
Reposting for relevance: Good for Hunter, the guy clearly knows how to have fun. Do the MAGA people really think any of the "Never Trump" voters will be swayed to vote against Biden because his wayward son got blown by some Chinese hooker? Really? Pretty lame if this is the best the Trump campaign was... Read More
The Virgin HCQ shill vs. the Chad Sputnik V respecter. Anyhow, this might have helped Trump by generating sympathy. But, given his not entirely undeserved reputation as a floomer, probably won't. Rallies are Trump's lifeblood, chances of him winning have surely plummeted just now. He's fat and 18 years older than BoJo, who was hospitalized.... Read More
Overall, solid performances from both Trump and Biden, they know their respective audiences. The people describing this as "shitshow" etc. seem to be under the mistaken impression this was supposed to be a debate. Both repeated their respective party line on the coronavirus. Trump lasered in from the "China Virus" angle, and mocked Biden for... Read More
I am not going to stick my neck out with concrete predictions, except to the extent that I agree with the betting markets that it's close to 50/50 with the edge going to Biden. Trump has incumbent advantage, but Biden is not Hillary, so the two cancel out. Like it or not, blame for Corona... Read More
The betting odds between Trump/Biden (~45-50% vs. 40%-45%) have stayed remarkable steady since Bernie got put out of his misery. However, there's been one remarkable shift. Whereas in 2016, support for Trump increased monotonically with age, more and more polls now appear to confirm that older people, especially Silents and Greatest are turning away from... Read More
This post tries to debunk some popular, but misguided, views on demographic trends in today's Russia. These consist of the perception that Russia is in a demographic "death spiral" that dooms it to national decline (Biden, Eberstadt, NIC, CIA, Stratfor, etc). Some extreme pessimists even predict that ethnic Russians - ravaged by AIDS, infertility and... Read More
I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.
One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.
Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.