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I have been a long-term China bull since I began blogging. Proof (2008). A lot of what the Western media was writing about China were based on Sinophobic fantasies that had no correlation with reality. Just to be clear, I am still a China bull, at least in the sense that I'm sure its GDP... Read More
Chinese protectionism/censorship (they only allow 34 Hollywood movies a year) has helped incubate a domestic film industry. As Richard Hanania points out, citing a study by James McMahon, that as of now, 9 out of 10 of the highest grossing films in Chinese history are domestic, all released in the last few years. Something like... Read More
Biden and Putin will meet in Geneva on June 16. Speculation has been rife that Biden will try to draw Russia away from its deepening relationship with China. This makes patent sense - even American strategists have long realized that China isn't just a much bigger Mexico, and in fact constitutes the one threat to... Read More
Results of the 2020 Census have been released. Some links: Reuters summary Chinese state statistics service communique (in Chinese) Here's a table of the regional change: 2020 2010 % Beijing 21893095 19612368 0.12 Tianjin 13866009 12938224 0.07 Hebei 74610235 71854202 0.04 Shanxi 34915616 35712111 -0.02 Inner Mongolia 24049155 24706321 -0.03 Liaoning 42591407 43746323 -0.03 Jilin... Read More
From the indispensable BioHackInfo: China’s new Criminal Code, which came into effect four weeks ago on March 1st, has a new section dedicated to ‘illegal medical practices’, which makes it a punishable crime to create gene-edited babies, human clones and animal-human chimeras. The new section is an amendment to Article 336 of China’s Criminal Law,... Read More
In 2015, I attempted to quantify the military power of the world's states with an index of Comprehensive Military Power. You can read the post, including the detailed methodology, here. Since then, its conclusions - broadly speaking, that China and Russia had about a third of US military power in the mid-2010s, while the next-tier... Read More
Lu, J. G., Nisbett, R. E., & Morris, M. W. (2020). Why East Asians but not South Asians are underrepresented in leadership positions in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117(9), 4590–4600. (h/t Razib Khan) Article makes the case that EAs are underrepresented ("bamboo ceiling")... Read More
The GOD DANG CHEETO ORANGE MUSSOLINI will soon be out of the White House. As such, it's now the Chinese taking over from the Russians paying Afghans to kill American soldiers in Afghanistan. It's not something freedom loving Afghans would even think of doing if they weren't getting rubles, yuan, or preferably both for it.
In this "summary" post on Corona 2020, I will cover some of the following. Recap what we know about Corona, what we have learned in the past year, and what policies should have been undertaken; The big picture of global excess mortality that is emerging for 2020; Discuss the vaccines, "vaccine geopolitics", and Corona's impact... Read More
«Ромир»/GlobalNR poll with n=7,100 respondents across nine countries has some interesting if broadly unsurprising results. (Extra coverage). Percentage that agree with: "Traditional gender roles for girls and boys are better suited for society." China - 82% Russia - 71% India - 69% Thailand - 48% USA - 47% Italy - 43% UK - 37% Brazil... Read More
Where will Chinese GDP end up: At ~US level, or 2-3x the US level? Very important question - after all, it will determine whether the world will remain unipolar (if China ~= US, the latter will remain dominant thanks to its alliance system and soft power) or "bifurcated" between a US-Western sphere and a Sino-centric... Read More
Some Berlin-based organization called the Global Public Policy Institute (GPPi) has compiled a global "Academic Freedom Index." It reminds one of that ranking showing the US best prepared for a pandemic, and indeed, to confirm my point, the GPPi proceeded to Block me when I made that point to them on Twitter. Evolutionary psychologist Lee... Read More
How much bigger will the Chinese economy be relative to the US in the year of 2050? We'll both presumably be near retirement, but OK, it's on. What are we betting on? Bottle of Laphroaig 30-year-old? The amount of ethereum needed to buy the computing costs of simulating a single human em? Suggestions welcome. If... Read More
So a Chechen refugee who was brutally persecuted by evil Russian occupiers and forced to flee to France recently beheaded a French teacher for triggering him with Mohammed cartoons. Difficult to care much. The French cultural elites, more so even than usual in the West, have long portrayed Chechens as noble freedom fighters against Russian... Read More
Alesina, Alberto F., Marlon Seror, David Y. Yang, Yang You, and Weihong Zeng. 2020. “Persistence through Revolutions.” Working Paper Series. National Bureau of Economic Research. The descendants of former Chinese landlords and rich peasants earn 16% more than average - despite them being barred from inheriting land or other asse
This is perhaps the most impressive product in this genre that I have seen to date.
I collected some official polls about Russian opinion towards China last year here. But what do Russian nationalists in particular think? Well, back around May 24-25, when it became clear that the Cold War was going to get a reboot with a major change in cast, a couple of us - myself, and Kirill Kaminets... Read More
Interesting map of European approval of China, though being mostly from 2018/19 (see Sources) this was from before the coronavirus. But I don't expect the general patterns to have changed, the countries already disposed to think well of China wouldn't have had their expectations shattered - possibly, even the converse - while the more Sinophobic... Read More
According to my CMP index, China should currently outclass India by a factor of more than three (figures for after 2015 are based on projections but this index don't change cardinally over the course of a few years). That's almost comparable to the fivefold differential between Pakistan and India. Both countries are effectively islands relative... Read More
The disgustingly obese Boomer Bannon, who has been sent packing by European nationalists, has gotten himself some Chinese emigre billionaire sugar daddy and is now making weird videos astroturfing the "New Federal State of China." What I take to be the new state's proposed anthem: This is reaching levels of cringe and Guaido that were... Read More
There is one, up until now relatively Sinophile, major European nation that will likely receive a massive influx of Chinese immigrants over the next decade - possibly as many a million - and radically transform as a consequence. I am talking, of course, about Britain. While there are currently 300,000 active BN(O)'s in Hong Kong,... Read More
In my review of Kroeber's book on The Chinese Economy, I identified why the CPC was treating the Hong Kongers with kid gloves (relatively speaking): Now it appears that China has taken the decision to reintegrate Hong Kong ahead of schedule; in the process, it will lose its position as a privileged entrepot within the... Read More
Just released PEW poll: America: 95,000 deaths, epidemic still raging - just as "reopening" gathers steam. China: 4,500 deaths, epidemic contained, economy humming along to the extent it can in the midst of a global depression. Like, even if those crematorium calculations were legitimate and China's deaths were an order of magnitude higher, this still... Read More
@Enopoletus has found some rather interesting anecdotes from an old book, Thirty Years in Moukden, 1883-1913 by Dugald Christie. There is nothing magical about East Asians and containing epidemics. It's just a story of their rise, coupled with Greater European decline. As he sardonically notes, the same country that taught China how to prevent epidemics... Read More
This, at least, is the insistent suggestion of Hu Xijin, chief editor of The Global Times: Here's a Twitter thread on this: The Global Times represents the more nationalistic faction of the CPC to the world's Anglophone audience, and it would be strange if it hasn't been gaining ascendancy within the past few months. This... Read More
So as you might have heard Facebook has banned The Unz Review from its entire site. You can't link to it on your Wall, in closed groups, or even mention it in private communications. It has become The Website That Must Not Be Named, like South Front just a few days ago - another website... Read More
Propaganda: The FTFY version (h/t Bryan MacDonald): *** Would indeed be pretty strange for the Ukraine to do it for free, since it has received a grand total of $1.2 million in Corona-related aid, which is basically an insult even relative to Ukraine's economy. I suppose even Ukrainian West-worship has its limits. Incidentally, on that... Read More
According to an analysis by Luca Dellanna in Italy, a huge number of Italian deaths have been going unregistered. Comparing death rates in Corona-afflicted towns in North Italy this March with the statistics from March during previous years, he estimates that the differential could be as high as a factor of 5. If this can... Read More
Broke: Globalism Broke: MAGA Woke: 14 Principles of Xi Jinping Thought *** Xi Jinping has just hurt the feelings of 6 billion world citizens: China is
On March 25, TASS reported that Russia send 15 military aircraft to deliver specialist and equipment to help Italy in the fight against its coronavirus epidemic. This included 600 ventilators. Although Russia's ventilator situation is pretty good by international standards, it still represents an investment of over 10% of Moscow's ventilator stock of 5,000 units... Read More
At least according to something called the "2019 Global Health Security Index", which claims that: The US, which had, until recently, tested 100x fewer people per capita than Italy. The UK, whose game plan - at least until a couple of days ago - was to let most of its population get infected to make... Read More
People have been asking me what's going on in Russia with respect to the Corona situation. I am a Russia blogger, and I am quite obsessed with Corona, so I certainly need to write about this intersection. As of March 8, there were 17 confirmed cases in Russia (two Chinese - both several weeks ago,... Read More
So even after Corona is done genociding the boomers, we might still have a lingering problem. Here's one English language paper about this: Fan, Caibin, Kai Li, Yanhong Ding, Wei Lu Lu, and Jianqing Wang. 2020. “ACE2 Expression in Kidney and Testis May Cause Kidney and Testis Damage After 2019-nCoV Infection.” Urology. medRxiv. In December... Read More
Hyperbolic much? At this point, the burden of proof surely now has to be on the optimists, who've been alternately barraging us with "iTs JuSt LiKe ThE fLu", and/or "it's not going to kill non-East Asians anyway" (not that CNN's Sanjay Gupta will admit it). But with epidemics, it's usually a case of go big... Read More
On the surface, quarantining the population of Spain looks impressive and decisive. But it conceals that there were many decisions that are unlikely to happen in advanced country democracies: (1) The lax regulations or biosafety standards that resulted in this zoonosis event in the first place. (2) The Wuhan local government keeping the whole thing... Read More
Martin Rees is a British astronomer and existential risks philosopher with a decidedly gloomy outlook, predicting that humanity only has a 50/50 chance of surviving the 21st century. Steven Pinker hardly needs an introduction, but in short, he is an evangelist of the idea that the world is getting better - richer, nicer, safer -... Read More
This Wuhan coronavirus (Corona) is very contagious: The WHO gives an estimate of r0 = 1.4 to 2.5 (this means that control measures must prevent 29%-60% of transmissions to stop the epidemic from growing further). There are 41 deaths / 1,287 confirmed cases as of right now (i.e. 3% mortality like 2 days ago). Hopefully,... Read More
The Chinese describe the concerted campaigns to identify and shame various malefactors as a "human flesh search engine." In China itself, it has been used to identify corruptioneers, sadists, or merely people who have been too outspoken about their dislike for China. In the West, it seems that this role is largely played by the... Read More
I will be in Polska on Dec 17-30 (itinerary: three days Krakow; pass through Oswiecim, Katowice, Wroclaw; the rest in Warsaw). Will be happy to meet up with Poland based readers. szopen? Polish Perspective? I will need to get myself this powerful Jew talisman. It is ironic how I planned to do the Habsburg Reunion,... Read More
OK'ing the Russian Occupation Government from the 52nd floor of Federation Tower. *** More notable posts since the last Open Thread in case you missed any of them. Book Review: Arthur K. Kroeber - China's Economy Navalny's "Smart Vote" Won the Moscow Opposition Just 3 Seats (Out of 45) *** A Second Interstellar Object Has... Read More
Arthur K. Kroeber - CHINA'S ECONOMY (2016) Rating: 4/5 TLDR: Comprehensive and very readable overview of Chinese economy from a China expert, with especially useful discussions on Chinese SOE's, financial system, and the validity of Chinese economic statistics (spoiler: They're fine). Learned some interesting new things from it, despite having already read a considerable amount... Read More
The mean wage in Hong Kong not much more than $2,000 per month (a Croatian acquaintance who works there cited the same numbers half a year ago). Its surprising come to think of it, but that means that Muscovites - where salaries are $1,500 per month but multiplied by almost twice - are substantially more... Read More
It has been a while since I last had an Open Thread with proper links, so... this one is going to be big. And the next one is going to be pretty big as well. Barring last minute changes, I will be touring the KrioRus cryonics facilities tomorrow. KrioRus is the Russian equivalent of Alcor,... Read More
Some comments are so good that shouldn't be allowed to sink in remote discussions threads. Commenter Vendetta writes on China vs. Japan in the late 19th century: *** The British did not provide any of this assistance for free. Japan had to pay for every weapon and every warship supplied by British yards. Its ability... Read More
The joint air patrol between Russia and China - the first of its kind - was a further major development in the strategic partnership between the two countries. These have been getting closer for years, despite Western fantasies about an eventual break. However, the most interesting thing about this is Russia's violation of Korean/Japanese airspace... Read More
So apparently the Hong Kong authorities have had the Galaxy Brain idea of unleashing their equivalent of titushki against the Hong Kong demonstrators. It is extremely bad optics. An article about the assaults is the top headline on /r/worldnews, probably the world's single biggest international politics forum. A pregnant woman had a miscarriage as a... Read More
This is not meant so much to be an "editorial" post as a set of notes for future reference purposes, although it is hoped that my readers may find them useful as well. Summary of a couple of FOM polls of Russians on China: Russian Interest Towards China (2015) China (2018) (1) As of 2015,... Read More
My "fans" at RationalWiki have recently issued an Updated & Expanded edition on me. Since Google privileges the rantings of a basement troll and Zionist antifa over my Unz column and even my own (eponymous) website, I decided it's time to compile a formal rebuttal for reference purposes. *** More notable posts since the last... Read More
reiner tor comments: Anyway, regardless of Nobel laureates, it’s pretty likely that East Asians are somewhat deficient in the nonconformism department, and so while they’re likely to excel (and overtake whites) in the “add together existing technologies and make them stronger” type of activities, not that many truly original inventions are likely to come from... Read More
Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.