It’s become glaringly evident that Western societies (unfortunately, Russia “qualifies”) do not have the state capacity or social discipline to contain Corona. Not high IQ enough to solve it through technological silver bullets like ubiquitous testing. Not imaginative enough to do large-scale variolation, as Robin Hanson proposed. Nor do they have the fortitude to “power through” the requisite deaths into herd immunity – which is perhaps just as well, since the news on the long-term effects SARS2 is unremittingly bad, even in asymptomatic cases. So we are stuck in an idiot’s limbo of uncertainty and cycling lockdowns.
So rolling out a vaccine ASAP is a very good idea, unless you want to be subject to lockdowns well into 2021 as well. But most of the same people who rant against lockdowns and masks apparently do want that, because they also tend to be the people ranting about Bill Gates’ plans to microchip everyone and spread the coronavirus through Chinese 5G. (I might have gotten some of the details wrong, no desire to “study” this Q cult’s religion).
Anyhow, today Putin announced that Russia has developed a vaccine against coronavirus.
Gam-COVID-Vac Lyo was supposedly tested on his daughter. Secret rumors have been going around that Russian elites got access to the experimental vaccine as early as April, which aren’t really very secret seeing as they were reported in Bloomberg.
It’s also less impressive than it first sounds. It has one of many dozens of promising vaccine candidates, not is it even the most advanced in developed; Phase III (mass) testing has yet to begin, unlike University of Oxford’s ChAdOx1. Nonetheless, the Gamaleya Institute and Russia in general have a good track record with developing vaccines – the eradication of polio owes a lot to Soviet research – so there’s no reason to think its “vaporware”. Twenty countries have already made a billion orders.
The vaccine has been confirmed to work, months in people are not keeling over dead from it or suffering notable long-term effects (unlike with the coronavirus), so rolling it out in tandem with Phase III testing is a no brainer. (Every month of delay exacts a large human and economic toll on the non-East Asian countries that haven’t contained the coronavirus, which needs to be balanced against bureaucratic regulations on ensuring perfect safety). But Putin Derangement Syndrome is such that it is now Western libs who are turning anti-vaxxer as well, stating that under no circumstance would they take the Putler vaccine.