I’ll be busy the next few days, there won’t be many poasts, so I suppose now is as good as any for a big linkfest covering the past month.
My more interesting posts from last few days
- Adventures in Afrotriumphalism
- Russia Becoming *More* Russian
- Russians and Westerners (Mostly) Agree on the Most Influential Russian Writers
I also published the notes and slides for my SPB lecture on HBD and the Alt Right (in Russian, obviously).
As well as a Facebook “debate” with pozzed Russian liberals about it. (In response to Greasy William’s question: “isn’t everybody already HBD aware in Russia anyway? Don’t think there will be much a market for alt right views in a culture where everybody is alt right by default.” Well, here’s your answer. Nothing Russian liberals do at this point can really surprise seeing as they are a living sketch of a Marquis de Custine vignette. Even so it was still pretty surreal to hear the phrase “maga chuds” in Russian, and to have a “follow your leader” meme thrown at me by a fairly prominent figure in the anti-Putin liberal opposition, who then proceeded to block me.
Syrian civil war update
* At this point Afrin canton is probably living on borrowed time, if persistent rumors in the past few weeks are to be believed.
As soon as the SDF finish taking Raqqa, or maybe even sooner, the TFSA (Turkey-backed Free Syrian Army) will move into Afrin, apparently with Russia’s and Iran’s acquiescence.
Russia has no obligations to Rojava, whose primary sponsor is the US. Though Russia does have good relations with it, and with the administration in Afrin especially.
But chaining yourself to Erdogan like this is risky. He is treacherous in the extreme, and linking up the TFSA zone in North Syria with the main jihadist stronghold around Idlib could really blow up in Russia’s face if Erdogan decides to shove another knife into Putin’s spine (a Runet meme by now). Especially considering that…
* Seymour Hersh: Trump‘s Red Line
Confirms Syria sarin attacks were false flags. But who cares now? Nikki Haley now basically egging the jihadists on to make another.
* The Saker seems to have finally stopped peddling the fiction that Russia is capable of doing anything to stop its modest Syrian forces from being swept off the board in the event of a full-scale confrontation with the US in that region.
I am pretty sure that Iran isn’t going to throw itself on a sword for Russia, so I have long been of the opinion that Putin’s main options would be to either (1) retaliate in theaters where Russia has military predominance, such as Ukraine or even the Baltics; or (2) retreat in ignominy and focus on beefing up the police and propaganda apparatus to avoid Milosevic’s fate.
IQ/HBD, Interesting Odds and Ends
* London psychometrics conference. Lots of excellent presentations by all accounts, here is a video of Emil Kirkegaard on “Differential immigrant group performance: A matter of intelligence?”
- Emil also has a hilarious takedown of the CFAR rationality cult.
- New paper with John Fuerst on admixture in Argentina.
- Stats on affirmative wrt medical school
* Map of psychometrics (Unz.com is a central node)
Intelligence is associated with important economic and health-related life outcomes. Despite intelligence having substantial heritability (0.54) and a confirmed polygenic nature, initial genetic studies were mostly underpowered. Here we report a meta-analysis for intelligence of 78,308 individuals. We identify 336 associated SNPs (METAL P < 5 × 10-8) in 18 genomic loci, of which 15 are new. Around half of the SNPs are located inside a gene, implicating 22 genes, of which 11 are new findings. Gene-based analyses identified an additional 30 genes (MAGMA P < 2.73 × 10-6), of which all but one had not been implicated previously. We show that the identified genes are predominantly expressed in brain tissue, and pathway analysis indicates the involvement of genes regulating cell development (MAGMA competitive P = 3.5 × 10-6). Despite the well-known difference in twin-based heritability for intelligence in childhood (0.45) and adulthood (0.80), we show substantial genetic correlation (rg = 0.89, LD score regression P = 5.4 × 10-29). These findings provide new insight into the genetic architecture of intelligence.
I wonder about this because of a sentiment I hear a lot, from people who know more about physics than I do, that we just don’t get people like John von Neumann or Leo Szilard anymore.
There’s a banally simple explanation for this: The problems get harder.
Scott Alexander has a summary.
Despite faster than expected progress since the last expert survey in 2012 by Bostrom and Muller, projected dates have actually become more pessimistic. Scott’s explanation seems persuasive:
But as we saw before, expecting AI experts to make sense might be giving them too much credit. A more likely possibility: Bostrom’s sample included people from wackier subbranches of AI research, like a conference on Philosophy of AI and one on Artificial General Intelligence; Grace’s sample was more mainstream. The most mainstream part of Bostrom’s sample, a list of top 100 AI researchers, had an estimate a bit closer to Grace’s (2050).
* This is useful: A Compendium of Clean Graphs in R
Capital markets are more efficient than previously recognized.
* Mike Johnson: Why we seek out pleasure: the Symmetry Theory of Homeostatic Regulation
Russia, Eastern Europe
* Massive report on the Russian economy by Jon Hellevig’s AWARA group.
* Oliver Stone’s Putin interviews. I need to watch them. But this summary by Alexander Mercouris looks good.
* Stephen Cohen vs. Julia Ioffe:
* Prosvirnin, a leading Russian right-wing intellectual, gets no platformed from a Saint-Petersburg “Geek Picnic” tech conference by SJWs.
Amerikwa pretty much needs to be nuked from orbit at this point.
Some of those freaks even grumbled about the presence of Alexandra Elbakyan, who – they claim – has “pro-Kremlin/imperialist” views. Even though as the founder of Sci-Hub, she has probably contributed more to technological progress than everyone else at the Geek Picnic combined.
* Started reading Alexander Solzhenitsyn’s more political writings, thanks largely to Egor Kholmogorov. Gaining an even greater appreciation for him.
There’s a reason the Western media and academic establishment props crazies such as Dugin as “Russian nationalists” while shunting off people such as Solzhenitsyn (once he made it clear he wasn’t going to be an anti-Russian patsy) to the sidelines.
* I am enjoying Matt Forney’s new Medium blog on European and Hungarian politics. E.g.
- How Does the E.U. Solve a Problem Like Hungary?
- The Overton Turf War: Fidesz vs. Jobbik in Outer Budapest
* Zhuravlev: The Russian recession is receding into the distance:
Face-scanning drones, restricted floors… powerful Deus Ex vibe.
* Where Automation Poses the Biggest Threat to American Jobs. This is basically a map of Belmonts (blue) and Fishtowns (red).
Russia needs Tropical Hyperborea.
Though moral intuitions and choices seem fundamental to our core being, there is surprising new evidence that people resolve moral dilemmas differently when they consider them in a foreign language (Cipolletti et al., 2016; Costa et al., 2014a; Geipel et al., 2015): People are more willing to sacrifice 1 person to save 5 when they use a foreign language compared with when they use their native tongue.
* Long simmering tensions between Richard Spencer/Daniel Friberg (AltRight.com) and Greg Johnson (Counter-Currents) have finally flared into the open.
- AR: Greg Johnson’s Attacks And How To Deal With Them
- AR: The Attacks on Arktos
- CC: Reply to Daniel Friberg
- CC: Greg Johnson Told the Truth
- CC: Friberg Falls Back
- CC: The Truth about Daniel Friberg
- Matt Forney: Statement on Greg Johnson, Counter-Currents, and My Disassociation with the Alt-Right
- AR: In Defense of A Masculine Movement
I don’t have a dog in this fight. Bring on the popcorn.
* Added to favorite quotes list: “In multiracial societies, you don’t vote in accordance with your economic interests and social interests, you vote in accordance with race and religion.” – Lee Kuan Yew
Jani explained that the program consists of a “purification of energy channels” and body before a pregnancy, and mantra-chanting and “proper food,” such as meals rich in calcium and vitamin A, after the baby is born.
… and then you realize eugenics is also g loaded.
* O’Handley – 2017 – What do two men kissing and a bucket of maggots have in common? Heterosexual men’s indistinguishable salivary α-amylase responses to photos of two men kissing and disgusting images
The results of the current study suggest that all individuals, not just highly sexually prejudiced individuals, may experience a physiological response indicative of stress when witnessing a male same-sex couple kissing.
* Hard to imagine the depth of SJW madness in American academia.
* Deus Ex world:
We are becoming Deus Ex, I swear to god pic.twitter.com/cSkyOihn9E
— Futurist Social Distancing Dog (@FuturistDog) May 22, 2017