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Washington’s War Against Russia
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The new sanctions against Russia announced by Washington and Europe do not make sense as merely economic measures. I would be surprised if Russian oil and military industries were dependent on European capital markets in a meaningful way. Such a dependence would indicate a failure in Russian strategic thinking. The Russian companies should be able to secure adequate financing from Russian Banks or from the Russian government. If foreign loans are needed, Russia can borrow from China.

If critical Russian industries are dependent on European capital markets, the sanctions will help Russia by forcing an end to this debilitating dependence. Russia should not be dependent on the West in any way.

The real question is the purpose of the sanctions. My conclusion is that the purpose of the sanctions is to break up and undermine Europe’s economic and political relations with Russia. When international relations are intentionally undermined, war can be the result. Washington will continue to push sanctions against Russia until Russia shows Europe that there is a heavy cost of serving as Washington’s tool.

Russia needs to break up this process of ever more sanctions in order to derail the drive toward war. In my opinion this is easy for Russia to do. Russia can tell Europe that since you do not like our oil companies, you must not like our gas company, so we are turning off the gas. Or Russia can tell Europe, we don’t sell natural gas to NATO members, or Russia can say we will continue to sell you gas, but you must pay in rubles, not in dollars. This would have the additional benefit of increasing the demand for rubles in exchange markets, thus making it harder for speculators and the US government to drive down the ruble.

The real danger to Russia is a continuation of its low-key, moderate response to the sanctions. This is a response that encourages more sanctions. To stop the sanctions, Russia needs to show Europe that the sanctions have serious costs for Europe.

A Russian response to Washington would be to stop selling to the US the Russian rocket engines on which the US satellite program is dependent. This could leave the US without rockets for its satellites for six years between the period 2016 and 2022.

Possibly the Russian government is worried about losing the earnings from gas and rocket engine sales. However, Europe cannot do without the gas and would quickly abandon its participation in the sanctions, so no gas revenues would be lost. The Americans are going to develop their own rocket engine anyhow, so the Russian sales of rocket engines to the US have at most about 6 more years. But the US with an impaired satellite program for six years would mean a great relief to the entire world from the American spy program. It would also make difficult US military aggression against Russia during the period.

Russian President Putin and his government have been very low-key and unprovocative in responding to the sanctions and to the trouble that Washington continues to cause for Russia in Ukraine. The low-key Russian behavior can be understood as a strategy for undermining Washington’s use of Europe against Russia by presenting a non-threatening face to Europe. However, another explanation is the presence inside Russia of a fifth column that represents Washington’s interest and constrains the power of the Russian government.

Strelkov describes the American fifth column here: http://slavyangrad.org/2014/09/12/we-will-not-allow-for-russia-to-be-ripped-asunder-and-ruined/

Saker describes the two power groups inside Russia as the Eurasian Sovereignists who stand behind Putin and an independent Russia and the Atlantic Integrationists, the fifth column that works to incorporate Russia in Europe under US hegemony or, failing that, to help Washington break up the Russian Federation into several weaker countries that are too weak to constrain Washington’s use of power. http://vineyardsaker.blogspot.com.br/2014/09/strelkov-from-swimming-with-piranhas-to.html

Russia’s Atlantic Integrationists share the Brzezinski and Wolfowitz doctrines with Washington. These doctrines are the basis for US foreign policy. The doctrines define the goal of US foreign policy in terms of preventing the rise of other countries, such as Russia and China, that could limit Washington’s hegemony.

Washington is in a position to exploit the tensions between these two Russian power groups. Washington’s fifth column is not best positioned to prevail. However, Washington can at least count on the struggle causing dissent within the Eurasian Sovereignists over Putin’s low-key response to Western provocations. Some of this dissent can be seen in Strelkov’s defense of Russia and more can be seen here:
http://slavyangrad.org/2014/09/13/the-new-round-of-sanctions-the-pre-war-period/#more-3665

Russia, thinking the Cold War ended with the collapse of the Soviet Union, opened herself to the West. Russian governments trusted the West, and as a result of Russia’s gullibility, the West was able to purchase numerous allies among the Russian elites. Depending on the alignment of the media, these compromised elites are capable of assassinating Putin and attempting a coup.

One would think that by now Putin’s government would recognize the danger and arrest the main elements of the fifth column, followed by trial and execution for treason, in order that Russia can stand united against the Western Threat. If Putin does not take this step, it means either than Putin does not recognize the extent of the threat or that his government lacks the power to protect Russia from the internal threat.

It is clear that Putin has not achieved any respite for his government from the West’s propaganda and economic assault by refusing to defend the Donbass area from Ukrainian attack and by pressuring the Donetsk Republic into a ceasefire when its military forces were on the verge of a major defeat of the disintegrating Ukrainian army. All Putin has achieved is to open himself to criticism among his supporters for betraying the Russians in eastern and southern Ukraine.

ORDER IT NOW

The European politicians and elites are so deeply in Washington’s pocket that Putin has little chance of courting Europe with a Russian show of good will. I have never believed that this strategy could work, although I would be pleased if it did. Only a direct threat todeprive Europe of energy has a chance of producing within Europe a foreign policy independent of Washington. I do not think Europe can survive a cutoff of the Russian natural gas. Europe would abandon sanctions in order to guarantee the flow of gas. If Washington’s hold on Europe is so powerful that Europe is willing to endure a major disruption of its energy supply as the price of its vassalage, Russia will know to cease its futile attempts at diplomacy and to prepare for war.

If China sits on the sidelines, China will be the next isolated target and will receive the same treatment.

Washington intends to defeat both countries, either through internal dissent or through war.

Nothing said by Obama or any member of his government or any influential voice in Congress has signaled any pullback in Washington’s drive for hegemony over the world.

The US economy is now dependent on looting and plunder, and Washington’s hegemony is essential to this corrupted form of capitalism.

(Republished from PaulCraigRoberts.org by permission of author or representative)
 
• Category: Foreign Policy • Tags: Russia, Ukraine 
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  1. argos says:

    America started theconflict in syria and the ukraine

  2. KA says:

    The current situation has a lot in common with 1914 pre war diplomatic context but has also a lot in common with the diehard pro war WW2 advocates. This is worse than the both . An internally weakened Russia from infighting or from the activities of the 5 th column will be no less capable of retaliating . Just like the preceding wars ,the next one will be marked by slow moves towards participation in one or another camps or desertion from one or the other camp.
    The real victims of the future war are already visible . The superpowers are waiting to get burnt in the grand finale . The best of the fireworks would be the last show of burst of hubris and death whishes .

  3. Unfortunately for all you America haters, the Russian people are already getting a little fiesty about their children coming home in body bags from a war Putin tells them they’re not in.

    Much better tone from PCR, though; readable, at least.

    • Replies: @Bill
  4. Bill says:
    @Ozymandias

    Putin’s approval rating continues to be around 85%. Putin allies just won significant regional election victories all over Russia on Sunday. So, I guess they are getting “fiesty” in a pro-Putin kind of way.

    • Replies: @Ozymandias
  5. Bill says:

    One would think that by now Putin’s government would recognize the danger and arrest the main elements of the fifth column, followed by trial and execution for treason, in order that Russia can stand united against the Western Threat. If Putin does not take this step, it means either than Putin does not recognize the extent of the threat or that his government lacks the power to protect Russia from the internal threat.

    Why does PCR say stuff like this? Obviously, a major purge with show trials and executions would play directly into the US’s hands. In extremis, Putin might have to do something like this, but such a move would indicate that he finds himself cornered.

  6. @Bill

    “I guess they are getting “fiesty” in a pro-Putin kind of way.”

    More of a “everyone who opposed Putin is dead, this is as far as we dare push” sort of way. But even the average citizen is aware that their hospitals have mysteriously filled up.

  7. Anonymous • Disclaimer says:

    From Col. Patrick Lang (ret., U.S. Army, SF; DIA; USMA):

    “… He knows Putin has more things to worry about than just the independence of Novorossiya or even the welfare of Russian expatriates. As Strelkov sees it, the oligarchs and their allies in Russia, Ukraine and the rest of the West are dead set on destroying a Russia in ascendence and securing their own hegemony. Strelkov assessed his primary duty now to be in resisting the fifth column in Russia while still supporting the aspirations of Novorossiya.

    Accompanying the statements of Mozgovoi and Strelkov, we have an excellent analysis by the Saker, “Strelkov: from swimming with Piranhas to swimming with Great White sharks,” from which I brazenly borrowed the title for this post. In his essay, he opines that Strelkov is going from fighting the junta in Kiev to taking on the Atlantic Integrationist Fifth Column whose “main political goal is to fully integrate Russia into the AngloZionist international system on a financial, political, economic and cultural levels.” Saker concludes that “the struggle for Russia is really a struggle for the future of the planet.” This is an interesting thesis. Whether we call them the oligarchs, the Atlantic Integrationists or the one percenters, is Putin leading the global fight against the new bourgeoisie? Putin’s success in chipping away at the petrodollar is surely an alarming development to the West. The ever tightening sanctions meant to beat Russia back into submission are being used by Putin in a judo move to hasten the creation of an alternate international economic coalition. And he had the audacity to reclaim Crimea as an integral part of Russia. He is certainly a far more formidable adversary than the entire Occupy Wall Street Movement.

    The civil war in Ukraine is a microcosm of this global struggle. Or is it the front line of this struggle? The unchecked oligarchs have hollowed out Ukraine without mercy. Now they are allied with what were once fringe groups of hate filled neo-nazis nurtured by the US and the EU to become the junta in Kiev. This unholy amalgamation is bent on the destruction of people of east Ukraine who dare to defy the oligarchs and create the honest, fair and decent society imagined by Mozgovoi. The chocolate tycoon, Poroshenko, is doing his damnedest to widen this civil war into a world war… “

    Read the rest of the blog entry here.

  8. Kiza says:

    @Anonymous

    Very insightful blog that one.

    I have commented along similar lines and posed the big question:
    will the Russian 0.01%-ers join the Western 0.01%-er Club or will they join Mother Russia?
    The follow-on question is: will the Chinese 0.01%-ers also join or not?
    Do Western old money 0.01%-ers want to offer to the Russian and Chinese nouveau riche some power sharing? If the Western ones do not want to share the power at the top, then just want to rule the World by themselves, then there will be war! At the moment, things look more like no power-sharing and thus war.

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