The Unz Review - Mobile
A Collection of Interesting, Important, and Controversial Perspectives Largely Excluded from the American Mainstream Media
 BlogviewPat Buchanan Archive
Don't Trash the Nuclear Deal!
🔊 Listen RSS
Email This Page to Someone

 Remember My Information


Bookmark Toggle AllToCAdd to LibraryRemove from Library • BShow CommentNext New CommentNext New ReplyRead More
ReplyAgree/Disagree/Etc. More... This Commenter This Thread Hide Thread Display All Comments
These buttons register your public Agreement, Disagreement, Troll, or LOL with the selected comment. They are ONLY available to recent, frequent commenters who have saved their Name+Email using the 'Remember My Information' checkbox, and may also ONLY be used once per hour.
Ignore Commenter Follow Commenter
Search Text Case Sensitive  Exact Words  Include Comments
List of Bookmarks

This next week may determine whether President Trump extricates us from that cauldron of conflict that is the Middle East, as he promised, or plunges us even deeper into these forever wars.

Friday will see the sixth in a row of weekly protests at the Gaza border fence in clashes that have left 40 Palestinians dead and 1,500 wounded by live fire from Israeli troops.

Monday, the U.S. moves its embassy to Jerusalem. Tuesday will see the triumphal celebration of the 70th birthday of the state of Israel.

Palestinians will commemorate May 15 as Nakba, “The catastrophe,” where hundred of thousands of their people fled their homes in terror to live in stateless exile for seven decades.

Violence could begin Friday and stretch into next week.

Yet more fateful for our future is the decision Trump will make by Saturday. May 12 is his deadline to decide whether America trashes the Iran nuclear deal and reimposes sanctions.

While our NATO allies are imploring Trump not to destroy the deal and start down a road that is likely to end in war with Iran, Bibi Netanyahu on Sunday called this a Munich moment:

“Nations that did not act in time against murderous aggression against them paid a much higher price later on.”

From a U.S. standpoint, the Munich analogy seems absurd.

Iran is making no demands on the United States. Its patrol boats have ceased harassing our warships in the Persian Gulf. Its forces in Iraq and Syria do not interfere with our operations against ISIS. And, according to U.N. inspectors, Iran is abiding by the terms of the nuclear deal.

Iran has never tested a nuclear device and never enriched uranium to weapons grade. Under the deal, Iran has surrendered 95 percent of its uranium, shut down most of its centrifuges and allowed cameras and inspectors into all of its nuclear facilities.

Why Iran is abiding by the deal is obvious. For Iran it is a great deal.

Having decided in 2003 not to build a bomb, Iran terminated its program. Then Tehran decided to negotiate with the U.S. for return of $100 billion in frozen assets from the Shah’s era — by proving they were not doing what every U.S. intelligence agency said they were not doing.

Should Iran rashly decide to go for a nuclear weapon, it would have to fire up centrifuges to enrich uranium to a level that they have never done, and then test a nuclear device, and then weaponize it.

A crash bomb program would be detected almost instantly and bring a U.S. ultimatum which, if defied, could bring airstrikes. Why would Trump risk losing the means to monitor Iran’s compliance with the deal?

Israel, too, has an arsenal of nuclear weapons that can be delivered by Jericho missile, submarine-based cruise missile, and the Israeli air force.

Why then is the world anxiously awaiting a decision by President Trump that could lead to an unnecessary war with Iran?

The president painted himself into this corner. He has called the Iran nuclear deal “insane” and repeatedly pledged to tear it up.


The Israelis, Saudis and Beltway War Party want the deal trashed, because they want a U.S. clash with Iran. They are not afraid of war. Instead, they fear Trump will extricate us from the Middle East before we do our historic duty and effect regime change in Iran.

What is Israel’s motive? Israel fears that the Iranians, having contributed to Bashar Assad’s victory in Syria’s civil war, will stay on and establish bases and a weapons pipeline to Hezbollah in Lebanon. Israel has launched scores of airstrikes into Syria to prevent this.

The problem for Bibi: While Trump sees no vital U.S. interest in Syria and has expressed his wish to get out when ISIS is demolished and scattered, Bibi has cast us in the lead role in taking down Iran in Syria.

Trump may want to stay out of the next phase of the Syrian civil war. Bibi is counting on the Americans to fight it.

But while Bibi may have a vital interest in driving Iran out of Syria, Iran is no threat to any vital interest of the United States.

Iran’s economy is in dreadful shape. Its youth have voted repeatedly against presidential candidates favored by the Ayatollah. There are regular constant demonstrations against the regime.

Time is not on the side of the Islamic Republic.

Fifty million Persians, leading a Shiite nation of Persians, Azeris, Baloch, Arabs and Kurds, are not going to control a vast Middle East of hundreds of millions of Arabs and Turks in an Islamic world where Shiites are outnumbered five times over by Sunnis.

For the United States, the strategic challenge of this century is not Iran, North Korea or Russia. If it is any nation, it is China.

Trump the dealmaker should find a way to keep the nuclear deal with Iran. We are far better off with it than without it.

Patrick J. Buchanan is the author of a new book, “Nixon’s White House Wars: The Battles That Made and Broke a President and Divided America Forever.”

Copyright 2018

Hide 23 CommentsLeave a Comment
Commenters to FollowEndorsed Only
Trim Comments?
  1. Anon[425] • Disclaimer says: • Website

    Monday, the U.S. moves its embassy to Jerusalem. Tuesday will see the triumphal celebration of the 70th birthday of the state of Israel.

    Palestinians will commemorate May 15 as Nakba, “The catastrophe,” where hundred of thousands of their people fled their homes in terror to live in stateless exile for seven decades.

    That ought to be fun. Jews missed a chance for RECONCILIATION when they denied Palestinians their own state in West Bank. Things would have been so different and so much better if, after seizing West Bank in 1967, Jews had pushed the remaining Arabs in Israel into it. The result would have been a 100% Jewish state and a 100% Arab state. That could have been basis for peace.

    But Jews settled West Bank. And many in Israel want to annex it. It’d be a like python swallowing a porcupine.

  2. KenH says:

    To the neocons and whomever is ruling Israel, it’s always 1933 all over again or a Munich moment to freak out and stampede the goys into war.

    I tend to think Trump will tear up the Iran deal since he’s Bibi’s bitch and the Israelis are laying it on thick and he’s surrounded by Likudniks like Kushner, Nimrata the nutjob, Bolton and Pompeo. It’s hard to believe Trump will buck all of these philo-semitic and war mongering carnival barkers and do the right thing.

    Even if we stay in the deal Bibi is hellbent on starting a war with Iran and drawing the U.S. into it knowing that he has too many auxiliaries and allies in the U.S. to allow Trump to stay neutral assuming he desired to. If Bibi wants a war then let him fight it with Jewish soldiers. Oi Vey!

    • Agree: Mike P, donut, Talha
    • Replies: @bluedog
  3. Yee says:

    “For the United States, the strategic challenge of this century is not Iran, North Korea or Russia. If it is any nation, it is China.”

    True. But problem is, any war the US wage against China – trade, financial or military, will result in weaken both nations. Guess who will benefit by that? Europe? Russia?

    So, until both Russia and EU being reduced to mere US puppet like Japan and South Korea, with military forces under US command, economic dependent of US and politicians under US control, the US will not start on China.

    Be patient, Mr. Pat Buchanan, running a country is patient work. It’s not like you’re alone, EU and Russia are even more anxious than you for the US to starts the war on China.

  4. @Anon

    “The Partition of Palestine is illegal. It will never be recognized …. Jerusalem was and will for ever be our capital. Eretz Israel will be restored to the people of Israel. All of it. And for Ever.” – Menachem Begin

  5. Looks like Trump is creating leverage out of hot air, something he does regularly. Strange how few seem to catch on.

    • Replies: @Escher
    , @Anonymous
  6. MarkinLA says:

    and then test a nuclear device, and then weaponize it.

    Not necessarily. Even the US in it’s primative state 70 years ago did not test the uranium bomb. The plutonium bomb is the one that is harder to hide. However, given the advances in technology it is conceivable that an implosion device could be constructed with enough confidence that you may not need to test it’s functionality with plutonium. However you do need a reactor to make the plutonium which the Iranians will do deep inside a mountain where nobody can touch it.

  7. Brabantian says: • Website

    Possibly, a move to rubbish the Iran deal by a neocon-trapped Trump, is a clever clandestine Trump plan to undermine the neocon and Jewish factions by giving them the absurd things they request

    Which results in the world, especially Europeans, increasingly seeing Israel as a pariah, and EU governments abandoning their poodle-like following of the US

    The EU is already tilting back toward Russia, led by Germany, seeing that the Russian sanctions have significantly sabotaged the EU economy

    EU business has been salivating over Iranian contracts … Trump scuppering the Iran deal, will accelerate the process by which the EU pulls back on the whole sanctions game, not only with Iran, but with Russia as well … as Trump would secretly prefer

    Trump has been surrounded by the Jewish establishment his entire life, and understands well their tendency to over-reach

    Trump does not have the power and backing to confront them directly … but he can fulfil their requests so grossly – the Jerusalem embassy, and now ending the Iran deal – that the consequences are ultimately the Zionist lobby’s undoing

    It is tragic that what is unfolding includes so much death and suffering, such as the Israelis shooting, killing and wounding of so many unarmed Palestian demonstrators

    But given his position and the limits of what is possible, Trump is possibly doing what he can whilst still staying alive and in office

    • Replies: @anon
  8. @Anon

    But Jews settled West Bank. And many in Israel want to annex it. It’d be a like python swallowing a porcupine.

    Brilliant analogy I’ve always thought that Israel’s 1967 victory and consequent colonization of the West Bank was strategic and more importantly a moral disaster. Occupation always soulfucks the occupiers.

  9. Renoman says:

    What have or will the Jews ever do for America? NOTHING! You’re just a bunch a suckers, stupid clowns, I hope you get your asses handed to to you.

    • Replies: @Authenticjazzman
  10. What more is needed to prove Israel’s control US foreign policy?

  11. Escher says:

    Leverage to get what exactly from Iran?

  12. Anonymous[196] • Disclaimer says:

    Looks like Trump is creating leverage out of hot air, something he does regularly. Strange how few seem to catch on.

    The Douma false flag and the absolute unwillingness of the the U.S./West to listen to reason was an eye-opener to Russia and really got them contemplating the eventuality of nuclear war. I think Trump intends to launch a full-scale military action against Iran during the 2020 election season. He knows people rally behind the President in times of war and attacking Iran will silence the (((puppet masters))), thus ensuring a second term. Trump’s ego couldn’t stand being a one-term President. The Iran Deal will be scrapped because the pretext of WMD is needed once again so another country can be destroyed for that shitty little pseudo country in the Middle East.

    • Replies: @AnotherDad
  13. @Anonymous

    I think Trump intends to launch a full-scale military action against Iran during the 2020 election season.

    How much do you think that? Want each of us to put say $1000 in an escrow account and see who is right?

    Trump has been a disappointment–principally in standing tall on illegals, DACA, the Wall. He’s done token b.s. to placate the neocons. But he campaigned pretty clearly on the idea that these big wars in the middle east aren’t serving US interests. Iran would be the biggest one yet, by far.

    Trump may fulminate and do symbolic “my dick is bigger” stuff. But he’s not so stupid as to do “full scale military action against Iran”.

    • Replies: @anon
    , @bluedog
  14. Well it’s an undone deal as of now. This is the worst move Dumb Donald has made to date.

  15. @Renoman

    ” What have or will the Jews ever do for America”

    Well to start off with they, the Jews starting with I Berlin, and G Gershwin, did in fact pen the great majority of the wonderful standards of the “Great American song book”, without which America would be much poorer from a cultural standpoint.

    And then there were the marvelous Hebrew architects such as A Kahn, whose magical art-deco sky-scrapers and mansions have blessed the american landscape such as seen nowhere else.

    And nobody is naive enough to assume there are, or were no Hebrew scoundrels, who did in fact, and do infact constitute a pox upon american society.

    Ja and it was quite the “good deal” the nuke treaty which required the inspectors to announce their upcoming inspection three weeks in advance.


  16. anon[228] • Disclaimer says:

    cancelling the deal doesn’t add much to the Iran’s situational from Iran’s perspective. It essentially legalizes what USA has been doing despite and after the signing of the deal anyway.

  17. anon[358] • Disclaimer says:

    What about the $20 Billion Boeing order? Best case — Europe splits with US over this. Plus, any doubt that the US is wet to bomb Iran is erased. John Mccain’s death present.

  18. anon[358] • Disclaimer says:

    That’s why he hired Bolton — avoiding war.

  19. bluedog says:

    Of course he will and has withdrawn from the agreement for Trump the deal maker is the joker in the deck,the lets make a deal guy who has filed bankrutpcy more time than you can shake a stick at, Trump the deal maker who put many small business’s out of business because he simply refused to pay them,Trump the deal maker who had many lawsuits by the people who worked for him trying to get their pay.Trumps a piece of shit who is little different than Clinton as we head into another war in the Mid-East, and his followers are indeed deplorable, but it was catchy while it lasted.!!!

  20. bluedog says:

    Don’t bet your life on it Trumps dumped the deal, why its flawed he said but never pointed out to where or why its flawed, while the others who signed on to it claim its a good deal,well except for the Jews that is.!!!

  21. MEexpert says:

    Have the people gone mad? All this talk about Trump getting Nobel Peace Prize. They have got to be joking. Have they forgotten Syria, Yemen, Afghanistan, Somalia, etc.? And now the trashing of the Iran Nuclear Deal, a sure path to another war in the Middle East. If anyone deserves the Nobel Peace Prize, it is President Moon Jae-in of South Korea, definitely not Trump. Or maybe they should change it to “Nobel War prize.”

  22. bjondo says:

    Trash everything done by Clinton, Bush, Obama.

  23. CARLOS says:

    The youth in Iran is yearning for freedom and economical success.But with the sanctions and possible military actions it will be the opposite.They will feel like fooled from the US.

    Nobody can trust the USA.Because treaties are only accepted as long as it is good for the US.
    Otherwise the US is canceling or want to have a new deal. The US is not trustworthy.

    Countries who are not accepting the “actual view of the US” will be sanctioned, American Courts use national law in international relations.Every country who is doing business with Iran will become trouble.So what would happen if other countries would be for sanctions against the US because of dealing with the Saudis who are doing a bloody war in Yemen?

    US – Saudi Arabia – Israel – what a nightmare -”dream team”!

    Iran has fulfilled the treaty but it is sanctioned by the US. What is this?

    Saudis sponsoring Terrorists, most of 9/11 were Saudis – and Iran is convicted for 9/11!
    “Alternative facts”?
    Trump should know it better .He has the possibility to read the full 9/11 report. There was so much censored….

    Instead Trump is dancing with the Saudis the sword-dance….

    Double standard – like always.

    Who is ruling the US? Looks like AIPAC.

    Sometimes it looks like in the White House is sombody converted and a believer in the same Religion like Ivanka.

    Acts the President for the US ?
    Or prefers he to send his soldiers to fight a war for a small country?

    I am excited what will come this time in History after Kuwait incubators lie, Iraq WMD lie, Gulf from Tonking lie…etc.Will a new Gleiwitz come to town?

Current Commenter

Leave a Reply - Comments on articles more than two weeks old will be judged much more strictly on quality and tone

 Remember My InformationWhy?
 Email Replies to my Comment
Submitted comments become the property of The Unz Review and may be republished elsewhere at the sole discretion of the latter
Subscribe to This Comment Thread via RSS Subscribe to All Pat Buchanan Comments via RSS
Are elite university admissions based on meritocracy and diversity as claimed?
The sources of America’s immigration problems—and a possible solution
The evidence is clear — but often ignored
What Was John McCain's True Wartime Record in Vietnam?
Hundreds of POWs may have been left to die in Vietnam, abandoned by their government—and our media.