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2020: Year of the Democrats? Maybe Not
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If Democrats are optimistic as 2019 begins, it is understandable.

Their victory on Nov. 6, adding 40 seats and taking control of the House of Representatives, was impressive. And with the party’s total vote far exceeding the GOP total, in places it became a rout.

In the six New England states, Republicans no longer hold a single House seat. Susan Collins of Maine is the last GOP senator.

In California, Democrats took the governorship, every state office, 45 of 53 House seats and both houses of the legislature by more than 2-to-1. In the Goldwater-Nixon-Reagan Golden State bastion of Orange County, no GOP congressman survived.

Does this rejection of the GOP in 2018 portend the defeat of Donald Trump in 2020, assuming he is still in office then?

Not necessarily.

For consider. Nancy Pelosi may want to close out her career as speaker with solid achievements, but she could face a rebellion in her party, which is looking to confront and not compromise with Trump.

The national debt may be surging, but Capitol Hill progressives will be demanding “Medicare-for-all” and free college tuition. Trump-haters will be issuing reams of subpoenas and clamoring for impeachment.

Other Democrats, seeing the indulgent attention their colleagues are getting from the media, will join in. Chairman Jerrold Nadler’s House Judiciary Committee may have to accommodate the sans-culottes.

Is this what America voted for?

By the Ides of March, a dozen Democrats may have declared for president. But looking over the field, no prospective candidate seems terribly formidable, and the strongest, unlike Barack Obama in 2008, are too old to set the base afire.

According to a USA Today poll, 59 percent of Democrats say they would be “excited” about “someone entirely new” leading the party in 2020. Only 11 percent say they would prefer a familiar face.

Yet, who did these same Democrats view most favorably? Joe Biden, a 76-year-old white male first elected to the Senate when Richard Nixon was president.

Biden polls better than any of his rivals, with 53 percent of all Democrats saying they would be “excited” about his candidacy, and only 24 percent saying he ought not run a third time for president.

The candidate who comes closest to Biden in exciting the base is 77-year-old Vermont socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders. Bernie’s problem?

Almost as many Democrats believe he should not run again as would be excited about having him as nominee.

As for Elizabeth Warren, the USA Poll must be depressing news. Twenty-nine percent of Democrats would be excited about her candidacy, but 33 percent believe the 69-year-old Massachusetts Senator should not run.

Beto O’Rourke, the three-term Congressman from Texas who put a scare into Sen. Ted Cruz in November is less well-known than Bernie or Biden. But those excited about an O’Rourke run outnumber those who think he should not run.

Senators Kamala Harris and Cory Booker, both African-American, are less well-known but have more Democrats excited about their running than are opposed to it.


However, as Harris is from California and Booker from New Jersey, both blue states that Democrats are almost certain to carry in 2020, and both are from a minority that already votes 90 percent Democratic, even their appeal as vice presidential nominees would not seem to equal that of O’Rourke or Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio, who won re-election while his state was going Republican.

Yet, Brown, too, at 66, is eligible for Medicare.

A Biden-Brown ticket would present problems for the GOP. But could a Democratic Party that ceaselessly celebrates its racial and ethnic diversity and appeal to women and millennials get away with nominating a ticket of two white males on Social Security?

Other problems are becoming acute within the Democrats’ coalition of blacks, gays, Asians, Hispanics, women and LGBT, fraying the seams of the party.

After Nation of Islam leader Louis Farrakhan praised the Women’s March co-president Tamika Mallory, and declared Jews to be the enemy in a speech last February, the Women’s March movement has splintered.

Asian-Americans who vote Democratic nationally are growing bitter over diversity policies in the Ivy League and elite schools that admit black and Hispanic students over Asian students with far higher test scores.

The BDS movement (boycott, divest, sanctions), targeted against Israel, is angering Jewish Democrats while gaining support on campuses.

Elizabeth Warren opposes BDS, but also opposes efforts to punish those who champion BDS. “I think the boycott of Israel is wrong,” said Warren at a town hall meeting, but added that “outlawing protected free speech activity violates our basic constitutional rights.”

In identity politics, loyalty to race, ethnic group and gender often trump the claims of party. The diversity Democrats celebrate is one day going to pull their party apart, as the social, cultural and racial revolutions of the 1960s pulled apart the party of FDR and LBJ.

Patrick J. Buchanan is the author of “Nixon’s White House Wars: The Battles That Made and Broke a President and Divided America Forever.”

Copyright 2018

• Category: Ideology • Tags: 2020 Election, Democratic Party 
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  1. swamped says:

    Meanwhile, the president is relentlessly hammering away on immigration; perhaps more than any other, the one issue set which divide’s Dem’s and unites Repub’s: shrewd!

    • Replies: @follyofwar
  2. Anonymous[141] • Disclaimer says:

    Here is an article that looks at which Americans are really controlling Washington:

    Donald Trump is no more in control of Washington than Barack Obama or George W Bush

  3. Problem is most Americans no longer know what they are for, but they sure know what they’re against. Do American votors even have any vision or goals anymore?

    • Replies: @Rosamond Vincy
  4. Pat, you’re forgetting Trump Derangement Syndrome. I don’t care if they dig up the undead corpse of LBJ and run him in 2020–Democrats will vote for him in record numbers, because they’re pissed at losing to Trump. Every registered Democrat will tell herself “If Trump wins this time, it won’t be because I didn’t vote”, and she’ll drag all her friends to the polls as well. All the backroom operatives tasked with getting out the cemetery and illegal votes will work double shifts.

    Sure, the coalition is going to fall apart sooner than later; blacks and Hispanics are already at each other’s throats everywhere except the voting booth. But it won’t happen while they have Trump to unite against.

    • Replies: @follyofwar
    , @RobinG
    , @Gyre07
  5. KenH says:

    Asian-Americans who vote Democratic nationally are growing bitter over diversity policies in the Ivy League and elite schools that admit black and Hispanic students over Asian students with far higher test scores.

    Those effing Asian supremacists and hatemongers. If whites can’t work on behalf of their own racial interests then neither can Asian orientals. As it is, whites are underrepresented at Ivy League schools while Asians are overrepresented. And since this nation and the Ivy League were founded and built by whites I’d say we have the much stronger case.

    Maybe Pat will grow a pair and say as much instead of giving us milquetoast, quasi establishmentarian commentary.

    Elizabeth Warren opposes BDS

    Because she knows it would kill her chances of becoming president.

  6. @swamped

    Mr. Trump may be “relentlessly hammering away on immigration,” but his shrinking base is restless. Ann Coulter has been hammering away at potus for some time now on his failure to just build the dang Wall. Per Ann, it is within his power to bypass Congress and start building, as it falls within his powers to protect National Security. I’d say an endless invasion on our Southern border qualifies as a Clear and Present danger. All Trump need do is divert a few billion from our bloated, wasteful military budget. It’s put up or shut up time for the President.

    • Replies: @follyofwar
  7. @Rex Little

    It’s possible, if all the ducks line up, that Trump could again win the Electoral College while losing the popular vote by 10 million instead of 3. This is a development to be wished for. The D’s would go ballistic and there would be rioting in the streets by Antifa throughout the country. Mr. Trump might have to declare Martial Law. Pat’s prediction in “Suicide of a Super Power: Will American Survive to 2025?” would be at hand. There’s no sense postponing the inevitable crack-up.

  8. RobinG says:
    @Rex Little

    Too true, unfortunately. Those Putin-hating Pussy Warriors will be out in force. (Already are!)

  9. @follyofwar


    Before the November elections, which Trump’s GOP lost big time in the House, potus said he would sign an Executive Order banning Birthright Citizenship. As Coulter said, it would only take 30 seconds to sign it. We’re still waiting, Mr. Trump.

  10. Art says:

    It’s all about the raw voter numbers. Jews have their eye on the prize. People that that think of themselves as an identity – will vote that identity over everything else. Ethnic hyphenated-Americans, racial minorities, feminists, LBGT, and jail birds will vote their identity over their interests as traditional Americans. The Jew MSM will never let the Christian white culture rule again. Identity America will prevail.

    Identity is thicker then freedom. The Jews have been wildly successful at creating an identity based electoral majority. California, Organ, and Washington St. are one-party states. The North East is a one-party region. When the Mexican voters takes over Texas, Florida, and Nevada – America will become a one-party country where identity politics will rule. National traditional American middle-class values will be overruled by Jewish power and their liberal identity dictates.

    Trump is the last gasp of the Mohegans.

    • Agree: follyofwar
    • Replies: @Art
    , @RobinG
    , @Gyre07
  11. Art says:

    Here is your choice America for 2020 – you can have one of four Jew billionaires!

    Battle of the billionaires brewing? Trump could meet his match in 2020

    Donald Trump is the richest president in U.S. history – but as he gears up for a re-election campaign, the real estate magnate could end up facing off against someone even wealthier.
    The budding 2020 field of potential challengers includes no fewer than four fellow billionaires.

    America will have choice between a rich Jew vs. a lefty Gentile – vs. Trump.

    It will be interesting to see how the Jew-MSM will go about favoring the Jew.

  12. The nexus of elite intelligence networks and deep state bureaucrats that operate throughout the CIA, FBI, and DOJ will be successful in running off the orange intruder. I don’t see how Trump survives this onslaught. He’ll probably resign before 2020 to save what’s left of his business empire. It’ll be interesting to see what becomes of the Republican Party.

  13. Sadly, Bernie Sanders is probably the best chance Democrats have, though hes an Independent. Obama pretty much ruined it for black presidents for at least a few cycles. Tulsi Gabbard might could pull it off though she is scared to stand up to the Israelis from what I’ve seen. Dennis Kucinich would probably fair pretty well. Farrakhan has my vote if he will run for the Dems.

    Which is why the Dems will probably run some loser like Biden or Clinton again. Same as the Repubs running Mitt in 2012 knowing he would lose. The corporate uniparty always wins!

    Lets not forget Patrick Little said he’s running in 2020. First candidate to tell the Israelis, MIC and Wall st banksters to eat a dick has my vote.

    • Replies: @follyofwar
  14. Asian Americans significantly increased their allegiance to the Democratic Party in the 2018 midterms, last I heard

    but… we’re going to get pissed off at Ivy League affirmative action policies in significant numbers?

    Ivy league schools admit, what, 0.01% of the entire Asian american voter base in a given year?

    This is just retarded, Pat. Completely retarded.

    Your party got wrecked. Democrats got a +8.5 national vote lead over the Republicans. If the 2018 midterms were a Presidential election, the electoral college would’ve given 320 votes to the Democrat.

    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
  15. @redmudhooch

    How would an anti-war, anti-interventionist fusion ticket do? The country could do a lot worse than a Rand Paul – Tulsi Gabbard ticket. Richard Spencer, an anti-war intellectual from the Nationalist Right, is also toying with a run.

    Both Sanders and Biden, white Zionist pre-baby boomers, are far too old to get the nomination.

  16. @follyofwar

    I don’t know this Gabbard chick, or I would have written AGREED. Here’s the general point, and it’s something that old-timers like Pat Buchanan (though I really like the guy) don’t get. This Red-Team/Blue-Team political warfare is nothing but infotainment if neither squad will actually do anything to help avert the ruin of America.

    See, we had a GOP President, even a maverick of sorts, with a GOP House and Senate for 2 years. What good happened out of that? Now, we are all excited that the D-squad is eating itself up, since it’s nothing but the coalition of the fringes (h/t Steve Sailer). Big deal. What good does it do to get the Red Squad back in. It’s only the political operatives and the candidates themselves who will come out ahead. The American people will remain truly f___d no matter who wins elections.

    Additionally, as the Red Squad does nothing substantial to reduce the inflow of Blue-Squad voters, their squad will go tits-up within a decade, and we won’t even have one squad EVEN JUST TALKING about saving traditional America.

  17. @AsianAmerican

    You’re probably right about the effect of Oriental disenchantment with AA (since it’s screwing them now) not being that much of a factor. Your point is not exactly correct though, as many more than 0.01% (I understand that was no exact number) Oriental parents are TRYING (or hopelessly hoping) to get their kids into the best colleges for those valuable connections.

    People tend to get pissed off about getting screwed in general, even if it doesn’t end up becoming personal. White people have been getting screwed by Affirmative Action for 40 years running, though. You still have such bright conservative people like Steve Sailer and Ann Coulter writing that it’s OK. No, it’s NOT OK!

    Your party got wrecked. Democrats got a +8.5 national vote lead over the Republicans. If the 2018 midterms were a Presidential election, the electoral college would’ve given 320 votes to the Democrat.

    First, it ain’t MY party, as I’m a conservative and libertarian. Secondly, that calculation is bogus, as it was NOT a national election. People vote in their won districts for their congresscreatures. Even Senate elections after Amendment XVII screwed over the States are not quite the same as national ones as far as which squad people vote for. Many vote for seniority to keep the military base money and other taxpayer funds coming their way.

    • Replies: @UrbaneFrancoOntarian
  18. anon[421] • Disclaimer says:

    Devin Nunes asked, begged and implored Trump to declassify tranches
    of documents ages ago. Didn’t happen. He and many other influential
    supporters urged him to do it before the Midterm elections. He came
    within inches, then backed down and his Party lost the House.
    He promised to “drain the swamp”, the Deep State players were revealed
    but no un-redactions, no draining. The calculus of this whole business is
    both simple and unresolved: Either Mueller goes down or Trump goes down.
    They cannot both remained standing. One has to wonder why the inaction
    from the President?

    • Replies: @Art
  19. Art says:

    Either Mueller goes down or Trump goes down.
    They cannot both remained standing. One has to wonder why the inaction
    from the President?

    They both must have something on the other. But what they have is not a killer. They are at a standoff. The one that makes the first move loses.

  20. RobinG says:

    Good post, Art.

    Serious question: would you rather have a Black woman or a Jew in 2020? And I guess there are [at least] 2 questions there: 1) which would you rather have as President, and 2) which would you rather have run against Trump and not win?

    (The long tail of questions would include, what if Trump doesn’t run.)

    • Replies: @Art
  21. The DNC defeated itself in the last Presidential election by rigging the primaries for Hillary. Will the DNC candidate be also the Democratic voter’s candidate? And there will be almost two more years of the war on white people before the next election. Over time the left just gets stupider. I wouldn’t bet on them.

    Not that elections matter that much. Nullification and secession are the way forward for people who still want to be Americans. The cities are powerful. They are also an archipelago in a sea of red.

  22. Gyre07 says:
    @Rex Little

    Meanwhile, ranks of independent voters (decline to state party preference) swell mostly parasitizing the Democrats numbers as actual progressives leave the party in droves. What constituted 43% of the electorate in January 2015 is probably now around 50% of the entire electorate if not more. Loyal Democrats are definitely NOT going to dictate the results of 2020.

  23. Gyre07 says:

    I agree with your assumptions re: the power of identity politics, but disagree with your conclusions as they might pertain to the general election. The independent vote (which identifies most closely with traditional American values) is the largest voting block in America by a wide margin. That doesn’t bode well for an unreformed Democratic Party known for disenfranchising actual progressives and being ‘in the bag’ for Wall Street. Populism is being wildly underestimated by both parties (which is strange considering events in Europe), but my guess is ignoring or underestimating it’s effect will injure Democrats more than Trump in 2020.

    • Replies: @Art
  24. Art says:

    Serious question: would you rather have a Black woman or a Jew in 2020?

    Hi RobinG,

    All is not doom and glum – maybe Tulsi Gabbard will run.

    Am hoping she will bring the subject of war and peace out in the open. There are many millennials and general voters who want a different message. She could be in the top 3 or 4 in the primaries.

    The subject of Israel will have to be aired. This is good!

    Think Peace — Art

    • Replies: @follyofwar
  25. Art says:

    That doesn’t bode well for an unreformed Democratic Party known for disenfranchising actual progressives and being ‘in the bag’ for Wall Street.

    Like your optimism – but the West coast is a lock and the NE is one party – if Florida, Texas, and Nevada go Democrat because of the Mexican vote – it is curtains for traditional America. The lowest form of politics – identity – is still rising.

    • Replies: @RobinG
  26. RobinG says:

    Yes, and Gyre07 seems not to appreciate how WOMEN are mobilized.

  27. @follyofwar

    Biden / Harris ticks the boxes for Dems to pump out turnout among the africans and angry-single/divorced-women. Big mindless black bloc vote needed to win swing states like North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, unfortunately even Georgia.

    The Mexican O’Rourke 😉 from Texas probably has a better shot in 2024, letting the pool of Mexican voters in the US grow further in the next five years. Every year that goes by, faggot white or just generally the more intelligent, Western-civilized “men” and dysfunctional “feminist” white women in the USA don’t have many kids, while Mexicans do. (Even if the Mexican fertility rate declines substantially in the USA in the second generation, it’s still consistently higher than the nonHispanic white or Asian TFRs.)

    We need to consider the fact that California has moved its 2020 presidential primary three full months earlier, from June to March. This could boost a Cali candidate, such as Harris, with a relatively early infusion of lots of delegates. If Harris also gets more Affican-antiAmerican votes than NJ’s Cory Booker in the heavily African Dem primaries in the South and Southeast, watch for her to win the long slog to the nomination. Maybe not as long as many are understandably guessing….

    • Replies: @RadicalCenter
  28. @RadicalCenter

    P.S. If Harris can buy off NJ’s Corey Booker not to run, watch out for Harris. If Booker and other folks, like former Mass Governor Deval Patrick, endorse Harris early and hit the campaign stump with her in their home States and in the south, Harris could become tough to beat in the Proudly-AntiAmerican Primary.

    (For what it’s worth, Harris will be 56 on Election Day 2020, compared to 64 for Deval Patrick.)

    HUGE group of delegates from California for Harris, especially if the lovely and talented LA Mayor Eric Garcetti doesn’t run. Followed by African bloc voting for Harris if she is the only prominent African running in the southern states.

    Harris should promise Booker the US Attorney General spot, US Supreme Court, or whatever he wants, to get him on board and out of the way early.

    • Replies: @follyofwar
    , @Mr. XYZ
  29. @Art

    I propose the Fusion ticket in 2020. Rand Paul and Tulsi Gabbard. Both are opposed to our imperialist wars. Both articulate and young. Both telegenic – esp. Tulsi. Trump should step aside and throw his support to that ticket.

    • Replies: @Art
  30. @RadicalCenter

    LOL. Deval Patrick, at 64, would be a youngster. Biden will be 78, Sanders 79, and good old Hillary 73. And let’s not forget Congressional leaders Pelosi, who will be 80 in 2020, and Chuckie Schumer 70. The leadership of the democrat party is starting to resemble the dying USSR, after Brezhnev and before Gorbachev, when they appointed sick old communists (Andropov & Chernenko) who died shortly after becoming the latest dictator.

    • Agree: RadicalCenter
    • Replies: @Mr. XYZ
  31. Art says:

    I propose the Fusion ticket in 2020. Rand Paul and Tulsi Gabbard. Both are opposed to our imperialist wars. Both articulate and young. Both telegenic – esp. Tulsi.

    I second the nomination – they would win – they are what America wants and needs!

  32. Mr. XYZ says:

    You forgot to mention Elizabeth Warren (a.k.a. That Honest Injun), who will be 71 in 2020.

  33. Mr. XYZ says:

    Harris is going to need to earn the Black vote. Please remember that when Obama ran in 2007-2008, some Blacks initially asked if Obama was Black enough and large numbers of Blacks supported Hillary. It was only after Obama’s win in Iowa and Bill Clinton’s patronizing attitude towards Obama that Blacks began to rally around Obama en masse.

  34. @Achmed E. Newman

    Your party got wrecked. Democrats got a +8.5 national vote lead over the Republicans. If the 2018 midterms were a Presidential election, the electoral college would’ve given 320 votes to the Democrat.

    This is precisely the minority pack mentality that we’re talking about. The truth is that non-white simply do not have (are not capable?) of taking nuanced positions, or viewing things from a non-tribal standpoint. “My party” vs “your party”. It’s exactly what the elites want, and why the USA is going to turn into a one-party state shortly.

    • Replies: @Anonymous
    , @Anonymous
  35. Anonymous[615] • Disclaimer says:

    You sure it’s not just iq? You sound like one of them saying that lol.

    Extreme focus isn’t a bad thing,

  36. Anonymous[615] • Disclaimer says:

    I still think this is the most likely outcome.

    80% black South Africa is always going to be different due to the blacks involved.

    You should still have a mentality of destroying other groups, Religiously even.

    I just don’t see the present order lasting too long because it essentially requires non white men to be victim Soyboys.

    Voter turnout among them is lower, but the 3rd Gen may not be so.

    Ds are making a push for one party state but there’s a difference between fighting for power and governing.

    Although, because Jews are involved white genocide likely is the goal.

    🤷 Idc, war will come, we’ll fight it, we’ll win.

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