I just saw The Dark Knight Rises, and interestingly, I just happen to stumble again on this post by M.G. on her blog, Those Who Can See. M.G.’s post, in an odd confluence, echoes some of the concepts from the film.
One image from the movie that stuck in my mind was a scene that showed tattered American flags flying after the country endured a great crisis. To me, this—particularly after having read M.G.’s post again—seemed symbolic of a weakened America, a country wracked by internal strife and left unable to defend itself from an external threat. It is, as I see, a sad statement on the state of affairs in this country.
And that, unfortunately, is not necessarily good. The HBD-sphere abounds with these problems, and the primary culprit is the problem of (primarily) low-IQ immigration, of which, primarily Mexican immigration. As M.G.’s post details, this—in addition to undermining America’s ethnic solidarity—threatens to dilute the high-IQ majority, and hence reduce the relative size of America’s smart fraction, which is key to the country’s economic and technological vitality.
Featured on M.G.’s post was this map:
…depicting her “demographic submersion model”; that is, White Americans fleeing the increasingly Mexican dominated western parts of the country, apparently retreating northward and eastward away from Old Mexico.
There is one large and serious complication with this scenario (at least for any piecemeal migratory retreat): much of the middle of the country is on its way to becoming uninhabitable, thanks to global warming. As it stands, the climate of the interior is becoming more like the Sahel than the Great Plains. If this keeps up—as I’m sure it will—I suspect that people will begin to reverse migrate north and east (which is a pain for me here in Maine, because I don’t exactly want tons of newcomers from the rest country here; a few is fine, but not any sort of mass exodus).
These and other things leave me with the gnawing suspicion that dark times are ahead.
The country is being overrun with foreigners, primarily Mexicans. The large numbers of East and South Asian immigrants aren’t necessarily horrendously helpful, either.
The economic malaise that the country is currently experiencing is (as HBD’ers are mostly aware) here to stay. The problem is due to both a top-heavy distribution of wealth and an overly abundant economically under-productive low-IQ underclass, both of which are symptoms of the same problem: too many immigrants. Dennis Mangan (whose blog is now down) had an excellent post which featured a graph which associated the degree of wealth inequality with the immigrant share of the population. As Steve Sailer noted, the presence of immigrants and the easy and cheap labor they provide suppresses wages for everybody, which is bad for the economy, because it is middle class spending that drives the economy.
As well, the increasing political polarization, thanks to deep ideological differences between the various American ethnicities—and the increasing political division along racial lines, can’t be good.
Turchin, who studies population dynamics at the University of Connecticut, has discovered the violent upheavals seems occur along a roughly 50 year cycle. If he is correct, and if this pattern holds, with the violence of the 1960s and ‘70s considered, it seems that we are on course for rough times around the year 2020. The current signs are not at all promising.
Government is growing increasingly dysfunctional as the political parties drift apart. As well, there is growing racial tension in the political process, with racial interests overtly or covertly (as Whiskey describes so well) underlying American politics. This will almost certainly increase, particularly as the immigration problem becomes more acute.
The problem of demographics distress, ongoing economic strife, and an increasingly fractured political process may eventually boil over. As it stands now, it is not evident that any of these stressors will abate. Immigration is slated to continue. Whites will continue to become a smaller and smaller fraction of the population—and this fraction will come to be dominated more by its more fundamentalist elements thanks to liberal under-fertility. The climate will continue to grow hotter, with more, stronger storms and weather-related catastrophes, likely pushing people away from the country’s interior.
Income inequality is likely to remain high or even increase. The value of an education is diminishing. Securing an economic future is becoming increasingly more difficult as the value of labor continues to decrease. This leads to a growing disaffected segment of the population, which both the Tea Party and Occupy Wall Street protests each symbolize.
I very much hope that Turchin is wrong. Any of these problems could theoretically ameliorate: immigration reform could be enacted; the economy could improve; climate change may not be as bad as predicted. But the evidence so far isn’t pointing in this direction, and while Turchin’s hypothesis remains untested (for only time can test it), it seems to serve as a harbinger of things to come.