This post is meant to serve as a prod to certain of my smart liberal friends to start having children. It will come as no big surprise to my long time readers.
The 2012 General Social Survey (GSS) results have been released. I decided to take a quick look to see if certain trends were continuing. One of those pronounced trends that was fleshed out on my blog is that in America, the fertility rate among Whites is dictated by political orientation, increasing as you go from liberal to conservative. The most conservative White Americans are having the most children, by far. As political orientation is primarily inherited, this means that liberals are slowly but surely breeding themselves out.
We have seen this illustrated on my blog many times before. But, I wanted to see what’s going on with it today. Now, these data cannot pick up fine year-to-year trends in birth rates, but it certainly can tell us where we stand right now. Here are what the results look like from the 2010-2012 GSS data:
These are U.S. non-Hispanic Whites, age 25-34. These are the cohorts who are currently in the main phase of their reproductive careers. I left off the error bars because sample sizes are generally small (but typically are 50-100 respondents in each category). As we can see, the pattern evident in previous years continues quite strong.
What about those coming right out of the gate? This is 18-24 year olds:
The pattern doesn’t appear detectable in the youngest individuals. This confirms that in the States, as with the rest of the West, people generally hold off having children until their mid to late 20s, with moderates getting the early lead, which is not too surprising since it’s been established that political moderates are the least intelligent group overall.
This compliments the trend seen with those who have mostly completed their reproductive careers, the 35-45 year olds:
It’s amazing how clear and unidirectional the effect is. In short, the more conservative, the more children. The more liberal, the fewer. There is a pronounced selection for conservatism in today’s world and all that goes with it. Conservatives are the only group that reproduce at or beyond the replacement level.
This means that the White population will become increasingly conservative (at least genotypically) over time. Liberals, do not count on prevailing trends to offset this change to the gene pool (that is, evolution). There can only be so much social trends can do before the force of heredity comes to bear. In short, if you do not want a future dominated by conservative nuttiness and all that entails, you must start having children, soon, and often.
Don’t think you have plenty of time. You don’t. Check this out:
As I’ve previously noted, many liberals desire children and expect to eventually have them – indeed many. But for the intelligent ones, especially those who pursue higher education, (which often consumes most of their prime childbearing years) they find themselves falling far short of the number of children they wished to have. It’s a simple fact that the longer you wait to start having children, the fewer of them you will end up having, typically. This cascades down the line: this means the fewer grandchildren you’re likely to have, and so on (this also means the fewer grandchildren your parents will end up having – think about that).
For those of you worried about “overpopulation”, don’t. Almost certainly, if you’re worried about overpopulation, you’re not the one contributing to it:
The people who are contributing to overpopulation, who generally aren’t even in the developed world, will continue right on reproducing. It is their descendants who will populate the world of the future, descendants who will carry the sensibilities of their antecedents, that is, not your sensibilities. In America, and likely most of the Western world, those are mostly religious, close-minded conservatives. Besides, worrying about your own personal contribution to overpopulation is inherently silly. What difference does it make to you what happens to the planet if your children aren’t on it? What stake do you have in what happens in the future?
Also, do not think that someone else is going to “pick up your slack” and have kids if you don’t. The only people picking up your slack are religious conservatives.
Of course, this is aimed at intelligent liberals. Intelligent people are the stewards of the Earth, and make this modern civilization – which supports all these people with all this fantastic technology – possible. These intelligent people are the doctors, the scientists, the architects, the engineers, the mathematicians, etc… that make the world go around. With the way reproductive patterns are currently going, we’ll end up with what’s perfectly symbolized here:
Granted, this process is slow, and takes time to work. But it’s not that slow, and we’re not going to get there if we don’t start now. Even moving away from the fate of the world as a whole to the fate of your own chromosomes, would you not want your line – a line which, if you’re a person in the target audience of this post, is one that gave rise to someone who can make positive contributions to the world – to continue?
Like I said, this post is nothing regular readers don’t already know. I probably won’t make another “reminder” post for a while, but there’s my statement. I can only hope it impresses on some of its intended readers, but one can only hope for so much.