BERLIN (Reuters) – Young male refugees in Germany got the blame on Wednesday for most of a two-year increase in violent crime, adding fuel to the country’s political debate over migrants.
Violent crime rose by about 10 percent in 2015 and 2016, a study showed. It attributed more than 90 percent of that to young male refugees.
It noted, however, that migrants settling from war-torn countries such as Syria were much less likely to commit violent crimes that those from other places who were unlikely to be given asylum. …
The government-sponsored study showed a jump in violent crime committed by male migrants aged 14 to 30.
… Around 17 percent of violent crimes in Lower Saxony that were attributed to refugees, for example, were suspected of being committed by North African asylum seekers who made up less than 1 percent of the state’s registered refugee population. …
The study said reuniting refugees with their families by allowing them to come to Germany too could help to reduce violence.
Funny how that works. Whatever happens, the solution is More Immigration.
Then they could procreate and that would really reduce the violence.
Life expectancy in the United States dropped again in 2016, the first time in over a half century that life expectancy declined two straight years. Death rates were up in people under 65, while down among oldsters.
“Unintentional injuries” were up almost ten percent in 2016 over 2015. That includes car accidents, which have been getting worse. That category doesn’t include homicides, which were up sharply again in 2016, largely due to the promotion of BLM by respectable opinion.
While in recent years, most of the increases in mortality have been found among whites (and American Indians), due to increasing “deaths of despair,” in 2016 death rates among black men were up. Suddenly, drug overdose deaths among blacks are shooting upward. Fentanyl, which killed Prince, is becoming a bad urban black problem. It’s not clear if there is a relation between the rising black-on-black homicides and fentanyl.
The whole time the Ferguson Michael Brown hoax was going on, I was asking myself, why are they doing this? Are they TRYING to start a riot?
If the media gets everybody convinced that this was a case of an innocent black kid murdered by a racist white cop… well then people are going to expect an arrest, trial, and conviction of the cop.
When that doesn’t happen, people will be angry and think the system is racist. And nobody will know that the real reason the cop can’t possibly be charged with anything is because the black kid was actually the perpetrator and not the victim, as the witness testimony and physical evidence makes clear.
Criminal charges against the media for inciting riots? They certainly would deserve it, whether that’s really possible legally I don’t know. But it would have been a start if anyone had even called them out on it verbally! President Obama and Attorney General Eric Holder totally went along with the hoax, but I don’t even remember any Republicans making any forceful denunciations of the whole thing.
The Michael Brown hoax was actually a major factor in me ultimately voting for Trump. If Trump had been president at the time, it could never have happened like that. He would have destroyed it with one tweet about the lying press, fake news, etc. – maybe with a link to the Justice Department report (which if you haven’t read it, really lays out how unambiguous that case truly was; the evidence overwhelmingly backs Officer Darren Wilson’s version of events).
That story went on for months and made me feel like the little kid in the story of the Emperor’s New Clothes, even around my own family and peers. When everybody gets their news from mainstream sources, everybody believes these narratives, and they think I’m the one that’s crazy.
It’s not like I had to dig that deep either, the truth about that case was reported in mainstream sources like the L.A. Times and Washington Post, which I found from Drudge Report direct links.
That’s part of how media bias works I realize, they actually do report the facts, they just create a misleading impression if you don’t read carefully and already have a degree of skepticism. I know Steve has talked about that a lot.
I have to wonder though, is there any hope for ever having an honest media? What’s it going to take, and what’s the strategy? I appreciate that there are commentators like Steve who point out the lies, but nothing ever seems to change.
There should have been all sorts of self-criticism in the media about how they screwed up the Michael Brown story so badly. There should have been presentations and panel discussions about it at conferences that journalists go to or whatever. There should have been public acknowledgements of it and vows to regain the public trust and restore integrity in the business. As far as I know, nothing of the sort has happened.
All that has happened is the number of homicides went up 20% from 2014 to 2016.
Seriously, in the midst of a giant moral panic like this, it’s worth remembering that some innocent men and many no-more-guilty-than-average men are likely to be unfairly persecuted.
On the other hand, I’m struck by what a high percentage of the names in the news so far are extremely … expected. Harvey Weinstein? Kevin Spacey? Brett Ratner? Louis C.K.? And now …
Seth Blatter Grabbed Hope Solo’s Ass
These are mostly guys who were already notorious as terrible jerks.
OK, I admit I was a little surprised by the George H.W. Bush Shocking Revelations, but I presume that’s the senility talking, that Bush the Elder behaved in a more gentlemanly, self-controlled fashion in, say, 1990 on the runway with Margaret Thatcher while discussing Saddam. The Democrats were always trying back in the day to claim that Bush the Elder had a mistress, but the woman they pointed to wasn’t talking and, anyway, if she was sleeping with Bush, she seemed like she would have been a pretty wise choice for the job of Discreet Vice Presidential Mistress and thus reflected rather well on the Republican candidate’s competence at organizing a staff. (Or maybe she was an MI-6 agent? Who knows?)
So part of what’s going on is that journalists are making up lists of low-hanging fruit to go after because they expect a high Return On Investment. As I pointed out when discussing the Los Angeles Times’ investigation into James Toback, even I, mere magazine-reading me, had been aware since the 1970s that Toback shouldn’t be left alone with females under 40. He’s like an ugly Warren Beatty.
Presumably, somebody is currently investigating Warren Beatty. Although judging from the lack of headlines about Beatty so far, the newshounds are having trouble finding aged starlets who told Beatty “No.”
Now, it could turn out that eventually the current sex scandal will produce a genuinely shocking discovery — e.g., that, say, Saving Private Ryan
was concocted by Steven Spielberg and Tom Hanks as an elaborate excuse to spend Monday-Friday in Normandy so they could conveniently spend their weekends partaking of nearby Belgium’s notorious pedophile prostitution culture. (Please note: I totally made that up. I’m not aware of any rumors to that effect.)
That would be depressing.
But we haven’t gotten close to anything like that yet.
Now, after years of unsubstantiated rumors about Louis C.K. masturbating in front of associates, women are coming forward to describe what they experienced. Even amid the current burst of sexual misconduct accusations against powerful men, the stories about Louis C.K. stand out because he has so few equals in comedy. In the years since the incidents the women describe, he has sold out Madison Square Garden eight times, created an Emmy-winning TV series, and accumulated the clout of a tastemaker and auteur, with the help of a manager who represents some of the biggest names in comedy. And Louis C.K. built a reputation as the unlikely conscience of the comedy scene, by making audiences laugh about hypocrisy — especially male hypocrisy.
Touring stand-up comedians are not necessarily the world’s most mentally well-balanced individuals, so I’d be inclined to cut talented ones a little slack. But Louis C.K., who is smart and funny enough to know better, liked to position himself as the Conscience of Comedy, and that got pretty old.
One of the weirder phenomenon of recent years were bimbo magazines like Cosmopolitan jumping on the Woke Train with photo spreads on Alicia Machado and endorsements of Get Out as revealing the true nature of white women. Teen Vogue was another.
When Women’s Wear Daily reported Thursday morning that Condé Nast would shutter Teen Vogue in print, the overwhelming response was: Why now, when the brand seemed more in the spotlight than ever? …
The youngest-ever editor in chief at Condé Nast — she is 30 — Ms. Welterorth quickly became an Instagram celebrity and received heaping praise for the magazine’s newly “woke” tone. Teen Vogue 2.0, as she reimagined it, wasn’t just about clothes and makeup; it was about news, politics and social justice, too.
In her first year, Ms. Astley had emphasized how crucial it was for her to create a product that was “racially, ethnically diverse, fashion-wise diverse. We don’t say someone is or isn’t Teen Vogue.” The magazine entered the field at a time when millennials were just beginning to document their lives online, with LiveJournal and MySpace, and the platforms that continue to replace print publications showcase diversity even more effectively.
It wasn’t until 2015, after a decade of mostly white, mostly famous cover stars, that Teen Vogue changed course, with a cover featuring three little-known black models. The issue became the year’s best seller, underscoring the appetite for fashion magazines that reflect some version of real life.
“I’ve always been a queer, gender-nonconforming kid and person,” said Kate Lesniak, the publisher of Bitch Media. “I never really cared about those magazines because I never saw myself in them at all, in any way.”
But recently, Ms. Lesniak noticed a shift in the tone and presentation of Teen Vogue.
“In the last year and a half or two years,” she said, it had become “a mainstream media outlet in print that reflected people like me back to ourselves. Teen Vogue did an incredible job of amplifying communities of color and queer people as well.”
That representation has come in the form of articles that criticize racial insensitivity, trumpet black feminism and explain how to be a transgender ally, as well as a guide to anal sex that received mixed reviews, mostly from adults. Ms. Welteroth also courted activist-actresses like Rowan Blanchard, Hari Nef and Yara Shahidi, who now serve as unofficial brand ambassadors to their combined millions of followers.
Readers and admirers lamented the end of Teen Vogue’s print run after the announcement.
One reason fans aren’t bothering to show up on time for games is that the NFL’s offensive execution has appeared to be more inept this year: offensive production is down. The median team scored around 22.4 points per game for all of last year, while the median through the first 7 weeks this year is down to 21.2.
That doesn’t seem like much, but my vague impression is that usually first half of the season has stronger offensive performance than the second half of the season, perhaps due to warmer weather and fewer injuries.
This season seems particularly lacking in exceptional quarterback play. The median score for ESPN’s proprietary QBR rating of quarterbacks last full season was around 57 (on a 0 to 100 scale) and this year is down around 51.
QBR is a black box owned by ESPN, so perhaps they fiddled with the methodology this year. But, subjectively, it sure doesn’t seem like the passing game is getting better the way it seemed to improve almost annually in recent years since the pro-quarterback rule changes of previous decade.
Theoretically, the mediocre offense of 2017 could be due to a surge in great defense. Perhaps.
On the other hand, a nightmare scenario for the NFL is that Black Lives Matter racial discord is undermining team cohesion.
The number of murders rose 8.6 percent nationwide in 2016, according to the FBI’s newest round of crime statistics, released Monday. There were an estimated 17,250 murders1 last year, up from 15,883 in 2015. The murder rate also rose for a second straight year, but it’s still roughly where it was in 2008, far below the levels of the 1980s and early 1990s.
So, nationally, the homicide rate is up over 20% since 2014, the year of Ferguson and BLM. That’s over 4,400 more dead bodies in the last two years of the Obama Administration than if the homicide totals had simply stayed at the 2014 level for 2015 and 2016.
That is a lot of extra dead people.
The biggest increases in homicides have typically been seen where BLM has had its biggest successes, such as Baltimore and Chicago.
But, that doesn’t matter to the press because the homicide rate is still lower than in 1980 at the peak of the Miami Vice powder cocaine wars and in 1991 at the peak of the NWA crack cocaine wars!
What if the Trump Administration in 2018 launched a huge campaign to roll back car safety and traffic regulations and sent the Justice Department to crack down on local police departments targeting speeders?
And say the number of traffic deaths increased over 20% by 2020, with locations of increased accidents being largely in cities targeted by the Trump Department of Justice and Trump’s affiliated #FastDrivesLegal pressure group.
Would we all be saying, “Well, sure, deaths are up 20% in two years … but they are still down since 1980, so it’s irresponsible to blame Trump”?
Violent crime, including homicides, rose for the second consecutive year in 2016, driven by increases in a few urban centers including Baltimore, Chicago and Las Vegas, according to F.B.I. data released Monday.
Violent crimes increased nationally last year by 4.1 percent and homicides rose by 8.6 percent, one year after violence increased by 3.9 percent and homicides jumped by 10.8 percent. A total of 17,250 people were murdered in 2016, the F.B.I. said.
While crime over all and violent crime remain well below their levels of the 1980s and 1990s, last year was the first time violent crime increased in consecutive years since 2005 and 2006, according to the F.B.I. data, which is collected from local police departments around the nation and released annually.
Police officials and criminologists continue to express puzzlement about the upsurge.
It seems pretty obvious that the murder bulge has been concentrated among blacks killing blacks, especially in cities where Black Lives Matter was active and successful at discouraging cops. In both Baltimore and Chicago, for example, the increase in murders started the same week as BLM protests.
There were 14,164 homicides in 2014 (down slightly from 14,319 in 2013).
2014 was the year of Ferguson and the emergence of BLM, launching the contemporary era of homicide. In 2015 there were 15,583 killings. In 2016, 17,250.
That’s about 4,450 incremental homicides over the 2014 base rate during the last two years of the Obama Administration. That’s 1,000 more dead bodies than all the blacks lynched in U.S. history (according to the NAACP).
WASHINGTON — Six Baltimore police officers will face no federal charges in the death of Freddie Gray, the 25-year-old black man who died of a severe spinal cord injury while in custody, the Justice Department announced on Tuesday. …
Six officers were charged by the Baltimore state’s attorney with crimes related to Mr. Gray’s death, including manslaughter and murder. All were cleared in those cases as well.
How many incremental people have been murdered in Baltimore due to the Obama Administration / BLM / Soros etc. promotion of this case in March 2015?
Compared to the mean in 2007-2014, it looks like Baltimore is now up around 300 incremental dead bodies since the Freddie Gray Fiasco began about 30 months ago.
A long-term priority of the Obama Administration was injecting diversity into the upper ranks of the military to seed the command structure with enough members of the Coalition of the Fringes to take care of future eventualities.
By The Associated Press
September 9, 2017 11:00 am
BALTIMORE (AP) — Baltimore could surpass New York City in homicides this year.
The Baltimore Sun reports that for the first time Baltimore, with a population of less than 620,000, could record more murders in a single year than New York, which has a population of 8.5 million.
As of Sept. 3, Baltimore has recorded 238 homicides, while New York City has seen 182 murders.
The key moments in why Baltimore was swept under by the Obama Administration’s pet Black Lives Matter movement but New York City wasn’t came in late 2014 and early 2015.
For awhile after that fat black guy selling contraband cigarettes died of a heart attack in Staten Island, it looked like New York City was going to go the way of St. Louis after Ferguson (August 2014). But then a BLM enthusiast murdered two NYPD officers in December 2014. The NYPD more or less mutinied against Mayor de Blasio turning their backs to him at the funeral, and the crime rate shot up. But then Hizzoner gave in, and Bill Bratton went back to running the NYPD the way he wanted.
After all, too many important people live in NYC to let leftists have their way with the place. New York let liberals take over criminal justice a half century ago, and nobody wants to make that mistake again.
In contrast, Baltimore’s murder rate kicked into overdrive with the Freddie Gray BLM riot of the spring of 2015 and, with a black political leadership in the city, hasn’t come down yet.
… Baltimore Police have shot three people this year, far fewer than at this time in recent years. Nine people had been shot at this time in 2016; seven at this point in 2015; eight at this time in 2014; and 13 at this time in 2013.
In a tweet, Fenton extends his list of Baltimore police shootings through August backward:
So, Baltimore 2017 counts as a triumph of Black Lives Matter.
On the other hand, Baltimore has had 237 homicides so far in 2017 (which projects out to over 350 for the year), versus 318 in all of 2016, 344 in all of 2015 (the year of Freddie Gray), 211 in all of 2014, and 235 in all of 2013.
Here’s a question inspired by Baltimore: Nationally, have more blacks been murdered by other blacks due to the Ferguson Effect in the three years since Black Lives Matter emerged than were lynched in the entire history of the United States?
If on the day before the Black Lives Matter movement emerged in August 2014 with backing from the Obama Administration, the prestige press, and respectable NGO’s like Soros, you had projected the number of blacks who would be murdered by other blacks over the next three years, based on the long term decline in homicides due to better medical care and more electronic surveillance making it harder to get away with murder … have the incremental above-trendline number of blacks murdered by other blacks since Ferguson three years ago exceeded the number lynched in history?
The NAACP says that 3,446 blacks were lynched in American history.
According to the FBI, murders and nonnegligent manslaughters increased from 13,594 in 2014 to 15,192 in 2015. (Statistics for 2016 are expected in late September 2017.)
The professional association of the big city police chiefs reports that homicides in the 30 biggest member cities were 29% higher in 2016 than in 2014, with increases of about 13% in both 2015 over 2014 and 2016 over 2015, with the first half of 2017 being up a few percent over the same period in 2016.
A lot of evidence suggests that the murder spike over the last three years has been largely confined to heavily black cities. If all of the increase in homicides post-Ferguson has been blacks killing blacks, then the incremental number of black deaths since Ferguson must by now be over 5,000, or at least 1.5 times the total number of blacks lynched ever.
Many thousands of additional murdered blacks sounds pretty bad. But that’s just my reprllent opinion. For a more respectable perspective on all the dead black bodies with holes in them that have been piling up since the advent of #BlackLivesMatter, here’s the New York Times:
The idea that the police have retreated under siege will not go away. But even if it’s true, is it necessarily bad?
… Is It a Bad Thing?
What if the police are pulling back not because they feel under siege, but because the protests have made them more sensitive to community concerns? What if they are just doing what the critics want?
It is possible to draw that conclusion from a new, yet-to-be-published study of 118 police departments in Missouri by Professor Pyrooz and his co-authors.
The number of traffic stops, car searches and arrests declined from 2014, the year Mr. Brown was killed, to 2015, especially in communities with a larger share of African-Americans. When the police did conduct a search, they were more likely to find contraband, suggesting that they were using better judgment. The changes were unrelated to fluctuations in crime.
Scholars like to call such pullbacks “de-policing,” which sounds like something no community would want. But Professor Pyrooz argues, “Some places are overpoliced, and de-policing is actually a good thing.”
The aggregate number of homicides in the first half of 2017 was 3,081, up almost 3% from 2,994 in the first half of 2016 for the same set of 62 departments.
The growth in the homicide rate during the second quarter of 2017 was down to below 1% year to date. (However, that declining growth rate in Q2 may be overly optimistic since the Q2-2016 denominator included 49 homicides in an Islamist terrorism attack upon a gay nightclub in Orlando.)
In contrast, the homicide total in the first half of 2016 was up 15% over the first half of 2015. Likewise, the Majors Chiefs had reported that homicides for the full year 2015 were up 16% versus the full year of 2014.
Evidence points to the emergence of the Black Lives Matter movement, backed vociferously by the Obama Administration and the media, during the much-publicized Ferguson uproar of August 2014 as the point at which America’s homicide rate, which had been in long term decline, suddenly started rising again.
It would appear that the thousands of incremental homicides that have happened since Ferguson three years ago have been overwhelmingly black-on-black.
The new report covers many but not all big cities. For example, New York City is not included (the most recent NYC figures I could find from May showed homicides down 15% from 2016).
Baltimore is now second out of all 62 departments reported in the U.S. with 170 dead bodies, up from 137 in the first half of 2016. Baltimore’s homicide rate has been extremely high ever since the Freddie Gray BLM riot in March 2015.
Chicago remains in first place in absolute numbers, with homicides increasing from 324 to 328.
Charlotte, the scene of BLM rioting in the latter half of 2016, saw its number of homicides increase from 22 in the first half of 2016 to 47 in the first half of 2017. Milwaukee, site of a couple of BLM riots in 2016 has stayed stable at 55 in each year.
New Orleans is a mess, with homicides growing from 68 to 96. Philadelphia is up from 122 to 156.
Black Lives Matter, indeed …
Fortunately, toppling evil rays-emitting statues will no doubt fix the Late Obama Age Collapse.
Big U.S. cities saw another increase in murders in the first half of 2017, likely putting them on track for a third straight year of rising totals after murder rates reached historic lows in 2014. So far, however, this year’s increase is considerably smaller than it was in each of the past two years; the big-city numbers are consistent with only a modest rise in murders nationwide.
… The most recent full year for which official data is available is 2015, when murders rose at their fastest pace in a quarter century. Official 2016 data won’t be available until the fall, but murder almost certainly rose last year too; in January, I found that big cities experienced a roughly 11 percent increase in murders in 2016, which past patterns suggest is consistent with about an 8 percent rise in murder overall.
In order to gauge changes in the prevalence of murder in big cities in 2017, I collected year-to-date murder counts for 2017 and 2016 in 68 of the country’s big cities, using a mixture of data from the cities themselves and from media reports. …
These big cities have had roughly 4 percent more murders so far in 2017 than they did at the same point in 2016.
… St. Louis, Baltimore, New Orleans and Detroit have ranked among the top four cities in murder rate per 100,000 residents every year since 2014, and so far, 2017 does not appear to be any different.
During the campaign — and into his presidency — Donald Trump repeatedly exaggerated and distorted crime statistics. “Decades of progress made in bringing down crime are now being reversed,” he asserted in his dark speech at the Republican National Convention in July 2016. But the data here is unambiguous: FBI statistics show crime has been going down for decades.
Uh, the liberal Brennan Center estimated back in April 2017 that the homicide rate (the most reliable crime rate) was nationally 19% higher in 2016 than in 2014 and up 29% in the 30 biggest cities.
The homicide surge has been concentrated in cities where Black Lives Matter and its allies, such as the Democratic Administration, have been most influential, such as St. Louis, Baltimore, and Chicago. It appears to have begun with Ferguson in August 2014. So you can’t exactly debunk Trump’s statement of “Decades of progress made in bringing down crime are now being reversed” by pointing out that crime was going down for decades before the Democrats’ promoted Ferguson, MO into the Most Important City in World.
CHOLOMA, Honduras — His bags were packed, and the smuggler was ready. If all went well, Eswin Josué Fuentes figured he and his 10-year-old daughter would slip into the United States within days.
Then, the night before he planned to leave, he had a phone conversation with a Honduran friend living illegally in New York. Under President Trump, the friend warned, the United States was no longer a place for undocumented migrants.
Shaken, Mr. Fuentes abruptly ditched his plans in May and decided to stay here in Honduras, despite its unrelenting violence and poverty. He even passed up the $12,000 in smuggler fees that his sister in the United States had lined up for the journey.
“I got scared of what’s happening there,” Mr. Fuentes said.
While some of Mr. Trump’s most ambitious plans to tighten the border are still a long way off, particularly his campaign pledge to build a massive wall, his hard-line approach to immigration already seems to have led to sharp declines in the flow of migrants from Central America bound for the United States.
From February through May, the number of undocumented immigrants stopped or caught along the southwest border of the United States fell 60 percent from the same period last year, according to United States Customs and Border Protection — evidence that far fewer migrants are heading north, officials on both sides of the border say. …
Migrant smugglers in Honduras say their business has dried up since Mr. Trump took office.
Remember when the New York Times went on and on for eight years about Barack Obama was the Deporter-in-Chief? Yet illiterate Hondurans could figure out better whose side Obama was on — Americans or foreigners? Funny how that worked …
… The decision pauses the gradual transformation of the military fostered by President Barack Obama and Ashton B. Carter, the former defense secretary. Before lifting the Pentagon’s ban on transgender people serving openly, Mr. Carter opened all combat roles to women and appointed the first openly gay Army secretary.
Now anyone can have that college dorm experience for just $120 a night.
The University of Missouri will rent out empty rooms this fall for home football weekends and other events at the Columbia campus. …
The offer comes in the context of falling enrollment and budget cuts. Freshman enrollment dropped 23 percent in 2016 and, as of early May, it was down another 16 percent. Earlier this month, UM System President Mun Choi announced $101 million in budget cuts at Mizzou’s four campuses, resulting in the loss of 474 jobs.
“We have taken seven residence halls off-line temporarily due to the drop in enrollment,” Christian Basi, director of the university News Bureau, said Thursday. …
The university will use 12 residence halls for student housing this fall. Of the seven off-line halls, Excellence and Discovery Halls will be offered for weekend rental. … Basi said he is not aware of any other schools offering dorm rentals.
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