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The "Sailer Strategy" from 2000

Screenshot 2016-11-08 21.08.02

Here’s part of a VDARE column I wrote in November 2000, during the Florida Recount, with the germ of what Peter Brimelow took to calling the Sailer Strategy:

GOP Future Depends on Winning Larger Share of the White Vote.
by Steve Sailer
November 28, 2000, 9:00 am

Here at VDARE, we’ve discussed repeatedly how dire will be the long-term impact of immigration on the Republican Party. It’s crucial to understand, however, that the long-term has not quite arrived. The GOP is not yet held hostage. It still has a window of opportunity – definitely stretching through the next recession but maybe not to the recession after that – to save itself by changing the immigration laws. This can be seen by examining the 2000 election results closely.

The reason George W. Bush struggled so much to eke out a 271-267 win in the Electoral College (assuming that he can hold on to it) is not that he got crushed in the minority vote 77% to 21%. No, it`s that he commanded only a measly 54% of the white vote.

 
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  1. Reposting: I’ve been on Twitter for the last couple of days, but I just wanted to come home here to say congrats and thanks to Steve. iSteve has been my red pill. I thank you. Your country thanks you.

    Read More
    • Agree: 415 reasons
    • Replies: @CFVertigo
    Sailor Strategy? Talk about claiming credit for something that has already been done. FDR, Nixon and Reagan for example. This strategy is nothing new.
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  2. I imagine this is one of the proudest moments of your life, Steve. Your inspired Coulter, who inspired Trump to use this strategy, and with it he won the biggest political prize on earth.

    Read More
  3. Brokaw, et. al on NBC currently talking about how the white vote was always there in the Rust Belt but seemed like it wasn’t because Romney couldn’t get them to the voting booth.

    If Steve quits blogging, who will the MSM be years behind?

    Read More
    • Replies: @Jim Lahey
    If Steve stopped blogging, the intellectual satisfaction part of my quality of life would be deeply affected. Steve, your thoughts and this community mean a lot to me!
    , @Corvinus
    "Brokaw, et. al on NBC currently talking about how the white vote was always there in the Rust Belt but seemed like it wasn’t because Romney couldn’t get them to the voting booth."

    Most of those working class whites that lean (D) that went Trump voted for Obama in 2008 and 2012 and voted for Sanders in 2012 in the Democratic primaries.

    It's the message, not necessarily race. The Democrats will need to recalibrate that message in the same way Obama did when he won. This strategy has been around long before Sailer reported it. This influence is compliments of Nixon and Reagan.

  4. You are a national hero. Keep on keeping. I’ve been reading you for about 6 years now. I’ve lost several groups of friends for revealing that I read you. It’s crazy how much the pundits are astonished by the win and you were right even with the diminishing white %, that it could be a winning strategy 16 years later. If they could of stopped their pearl clutching and righteous indignation for a second, they could of taken this information and won.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Anonym
    I’ve lost several groups of friends for revealing that I read you.

    If you lost friends for that, they weren't friends to begin with.
  5. Steve,

    I don’t know if you’ve ever noticed, but in most of the photos that you’ve posted of yourself on this blog you look quite glum. After today, I hope you post a photo of yourself with a gigantic ear-to-ear grin and maybe holding a newspaper with the relevant headline.

    Read More
  6. Steve, your personality probably tends strongly against self promotion, bragging, I-told-you-so-ism, and etc. Which is great. But, in this case, please understand, you cannot post too many times and/or too many places that you called this back in 2000.

    Edit-

    Ok. Maybe you can just let your many fans point it out for you. But still!

    Read More
  7. I remember reading this and thinking it was obviously right.

    But only the ‘clown’ Trump has been able to understand it. He’s looking pretty smart now.

    Read More
  8. I predict Steve will be interviewed by multiple high profile media organizations over the next few days. The chin-strokers will want to know more about those crazy alt-right guys, and Steve’s about the most respectable of them. They’re probably rifling through their rolodexes right now.

    Which will be awesome for his traffic, but batten down the hatches for trolls. Maybe Ron Unz can hire a flunky to moderate posts for Steve.

    As long as it’s not an illegal alien.

    We should have a contest for guessing what the NYT article lede will be. “The Fascist Roots of Golf Course Architecture,” maybe.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Lot

    I predict Steve will be interviewed by multiple high profile media organizations over the next few days.
     
    Nahhh, there are so many Stormtrooper cosplayers that the media prefers to interview.

    Seriously though, if Steve is interested in some MSM love, he just needs to make a PDF called something like "Trump Supporting Journalist Available for Comment and Appearance" tooting his own horn in a few bullet points and e-mail it out to cable news bookers and political journalists.
    , @ATX Hipster

    I predict Steve will be interviewed by multiple high profile media organizations over the next few days
     
    If they have the brains to do what's necessary to cling to whatever credibility they have left, they will invite Steve on. More likely - they won't be able to get over their bitterness at being revealed to have no clothes. As I write this, Trump is up 244-215 and during commercial breaks NBC is playing a montage of moments they think make Trump look bad, as if anybody voting for him cares.

    Steve, I know writing a blog that gets you branded a racist and unfit for polite society is a lucrative gig, but you may want to consider leveraging the Trumpening into a campaign consultancy gig. Maybe you could take the clients that abandon Rick Wilson?


    NBC talking about how the "Latino vote showed up" but still stunned it hasn't been enough. Steve has written here before about people not having a useful set of general statistics mentally at-hand to filter the BS they hear. 63% non-hispanic white share of U.S. population is looking like a pretty useful statistic to know right now.

    They also just figured out that "flyover country" is in fact derogatory, and maybe people resent it.
  9. I really hope this results in enormous financial rewards for Steve. Who deserves it more than him, seriously?

    Read More
  10. Maybe DOW is down, but Sailer Brand has never been readier for its IPO-and,boy, it was a long time overdue.

    Read More
  11. Take a bow, Mr. Sailer.

    I can’t remember any other blogger who has come close to exerting so much influence, in the fullness of time, through sheer cogency of ideas. That was true before the election results came in, but it has just become far more apparent to those who did not already know. Sailer Gap indeed.

    Read More
  12. Huh? Most of the urban precincts aren’t in yet. Clinton will likely be the next president.

    No one cares about alt right racist garbage. It will be forgotten in a few days

    Read More
  13. from Ann Coulter’s twitter:

    Ann Coulter ‏@AnnCoulter 2h2 hours ago

    1 Thessalonians 4:16: For the Lord himself shall descend from heaven with a shout, with the voice of the archangel, & with the Trump of God

    Read More
  14. When I was looking at the county data, some rural white counties turned in absolutely gigantic margins for Trump. 82% here, 86% there.

    The swing toward Trump of Midwestern whites in particular is amazing. With most of the vote counted, he is ahead in Iowa by 10 points.

    Read More
  15. Trump may or may not know it, but he owes this election to one man: Steve Sailer. Well done sir. I did not think this was possible. Immigration reform in our time.

    Read More
  16. If the God-Emperor ascends there will come a time when everyone will say they read Sailer, donated to Sailer, erected a shrine to Sailer before anyone else knew who Sailer was. Steve is about to discover a boatload of new old friends. I’m just putting it out now to all you townies I go back to the first NR articles and the old iSteve website.

    Read More
  17. Republicans did not have full control of White House and Congress since 1928!

    Ryanites and other Unipartiers will not have any excuse to deny the will of American Historical Nation.

    Oh, I forgot 2/3 majority rule bull crap….

    Read More
  18. @Boomstick
    I predict Steve will be interviewed by multiple high profile media organizations over the next few days. The chin-strokers will want to know more about those crazy alt-right guys, and Steve's about the most respectable of them. They're probably rifling through their rolodexes right now.

    Which will be awesome for his traffic, but batten down the hatches for trolls. Maybe Ron Unz can hire a flunky to moderate posts for Steve.

    As long as it's not an illegal alien.

    We should have a contest for guessing what the NYT article lede will be. "The Fascist Roots of Golf Course Architecture," maybe.

    I predict Steve will be interviewed by multiple high profile media organizations over the next few days.

    Nahhh, there are so many Stormtrooper cosplayers that the media prefers to interview.

    Seriously though, if Steve is interested in some MSM love, he just needs to make a PDF called something like “Trump Supporting Journalist Available for Comment and Appearance” tooting his own horn in a few bullet points and e-mail it out to cable news bookers and political journalists.

    Read More
  19. How are you going to square this circle with the fact that Trump will end up taking a higher percentage of NAM than his immediate predecessor candidates?

    By the Sailer Strategy, he should have a whiter electorate than Romney/McCain, but I’m going to assume that he does better with non-white demographics, which I’m certain will be the case, so he will have a less white demographic than Romney/McCain.

    How that comes about from having a pro-white strategy?

    Read More
    • Replies: @rw95
    Nobody respects pandering. Trump did honest outreach, not pandering.
    , @Lot

    How are you going to square this circle with the fact that Trump will end up taking a higher percentage of NAM than his immediate predecessor candidates?
     
    I highly doubt this will be the case. Sample size for minorities in exit polls is small and also involves selection bias.

    I will believe it when those various ghetto precincts that went 99-1 for Obama show 95-5 for Hillary.

    In Florida at least, Cubans voted more Democratic than any election in the past 50 years.
    , @Jack D
    Maybe rather than a pro-white strategy he really had a pro-American strategy?

    NAM citizens benefit from pro-American trade and immigration policies just as much as non-elite whites.
  20. Dear St. Sailer The Baptist, would you be so kind to allow, on this historical night, a full expansion of my latest meme- in-attempt:

    https://s16.postimg.org/8i2gf4wqt/The_Morning_After_Red_Pill.jpg

    Sincerely, your bored identity

    Read More
  21. @anonguy
    How are you going to square this circle with the fact that Trump will end up taking a higher percentage of NAM than his immediate predecessor candidates?

    By the Sailer Strategy, he should have a whiter electorate than Romney/McCain, but I'm going to assume that he does better with non-white demographics, which I'm certain will be the case, so he will have a less white demographic than Romney/McCain.

    How that comes about from having a pro-white strategy?

    Nobody respects pandering. Trump did honest outreach, not pandering.

    Read More
    • Replies: @anonguy

    Nobody respects pandering. Trump did honest outreach, not pandering.
     
    I don't argue that, but even with honest outreach, a pro-white strategy isn't going to garner much crossover.

    If anyone got pandered by Trump, it was the nativist, pro-white people. But he is going to do a better thing and demonstrate that one of Steve's higher ideals, citizenism, is what he represents.

    He's just pulling you guys along.

    So maybe it was sort of a modified public/private position Sailer Strategy. Privately, Trump understands that a pro-citizenist policy like, yes, Brazil, is about the only thing that can work on the U.S. today.

    Kinda Trojan-horsed that into a somewhat public Sailer Strategy to set the hook.

    I'd see him as paying double tribute to Steve, tactical usage of Sailer Strategy in places, but at core a citizenist.

    Anyhow, he's going to be dragging the Overton Window in the other direction for you guys like he did for the libs during the election in forging more of a post-racial America.

    You guys aren't going to like all of it, but you'll go along. After all, where else do you have to go? But already, look at you guys. Who is complaining about Jews, Blacks, gays, etc, on this blog anymore? A lot of your fears are dissipating already.

    Was I right about all this Trump stuff so far (hint: look at my comment thread going back months)? And now I'm finally starting to read all sorts of things now about this historic upset, reshaping the political landscape, yada yada.

    Trump has been coolio for gold too...yeehaw, MAGA
  22. Thank you Steve. At some level, at some degrees of separation, all this has been thanks to you, and you alone. You did this. You deserve billions.

    Read More
  23. @anonguy
    How are you going to square this circle with the fact that Trump will end up taking a higher percentage of NAM than his immediate predecessor candidates?

    By the Sailer Strategy, he should have a whiter electorate than Romney/McCain, but I'm going to assume that he does better with non-white demographics, which I'm certain will be the case, so he will have a less white demographic than Romney/McCain.

    How that comes about from having a pro-white strategy?

    How are you going to square this circle with the fact that Trump will end up taking a higher percentage of NAM than his immediate predecessor candidates?

    I highly doubt this will be the case. Sample size for minorities in exit polls is small and also involves selection bias.

    I will believe it when those various ghetto precincts that went 99-1 for Obama show 95-5 for Hillary.

    In Florida at least, Cubans voted more Democratic than any election in the past 50 years.

    Read More
  24. Steve, I heard that there was a huge
    Trump victory celebration at his star in front of Hollywood and
    Highland

    But I drove over and it isn’t here

    Where in Los
    Angeles metro area is the celebration?

    Read More
  25. @JH73
    You are a national hero. Keep on keeping. I've been reading you for about 6 years now. I've lost several groups of friends for revealing that I read you. It's crazy how much the pundits are astonished by the win and you were right even with the diminishing white %, that it could be a winning strategy 16 years later. If they could of stopped their pearl clutching and righteous indignation for a second, they could of taken this information and won.

    I’ve lost several groups of friends for revealing that I read you.

    If you lost friends for that, they weren’t friends to begin with.

    Read More
  26. So proud to have been a Steve fan for years now. This is your moment man. I hope you are enjoying it. I predict great new opportunities for you in the near future.

    Thanks so much for all you’ve done. And don’t forget to keep up the good work because we’re going to need it!

    Read More
  27. @Boomstick
    I predict Steve will be interviewed by multiple high profile media organizations over the next few days. The chin-strokers will want to know more about those crazy alt-right guys, and Steve's about the most respectable of them. They're probably rifling through their rolodexes right now.

    Which will be awesome for his traffic, but batten down the hatches for trolls. Maybe Ron Unz can hire a flunky to moderate posts for Steve.

    As long as it's not an illegal alien.

    We should have a contest for guessing what the NYT article lede will be. "The Fascist Roots of Golf Course Architecture," maybe.

    I predict Steve will be interviewed by multiple high profile media organizations over the next few days

    If they have the brains to do what’s necessary to cling to whatever credibility they have left, they will invite Steve on. More likely – they won’t be able to get over their bitterness at being revealed to have no clothes. As I write this, Trump is up 244-215 and during commercial breaks NBC is playing a montage of moments they think make Trump look bad, as if anybody voting for him cares.

    Steve, I know writing a blog that gets you branded a racist and unfit for polite society is a lucrative gig, but you may want to consider leveraging the Trumpening into a campaign consultancy gig. Maybe you could take the clients that abandon Rick Wilson?

    NBC talking about how the “Latino vote showed up” but still stunned it hasn’t been enough. Steve has written here before about people not having a useful set of general statistics mentally at-hand to filter the BS they hear. 63% non-hispanic white share of U.S. population is looking like a pretty useful statistic to know right now.

    They also just figured out that “flyover country” is in fact derogatory, and maybe people resent it.

    Read More
  28. Well done Steve! Having followed you for over a decade now, this is gratifying af. I hope there are some financial rewards for you. In any case, I don’t intent to quit reading your blog. This is just a beginning as far as I am concerned.

    I donated, would be a good time for a panhandling drive.

    BTW Egg McMuffin is nearly on 300k. Next election he should try out for vice dog catcher of Alaska and work his way up.

    Read More
  29. Both Mr. Trump and the Half Blood Prince have surely heard of you and know your work. I can see some face time with the most powerful man on earth in the near horizon for you.

    The Alt Right has selected a President. I never thought I would see the day. My God!

    And you’re one of the Alt Right’s top ten sages on Planet Earth, Mr. Sailer. There surely must be a future active role for you.

    Read More
  30. @rw95
    Nobody respects pandering. Trump did honest outreach, not pandering.

    Nobody respects pandering. Trump did honest outreach, not pandering.

    I don’t argue that, but even with honest outreach, a pro-white strategy isn’t going to garner much crossover.

    If anyone got pandered by Trump, it was the nativist, pro-white people. But he is going to do a better thing and demonstrate that one of Steve’s higher ideals, citizenism, is what he represents.

    He’s just pulling you guys along.

    So maybe it was sort of a modified public/private position Sailer Strategy. Privately, Trump understands that a pro-citizenist policy like, yes, Brazil, is about the only thing that can work on the U.S. today.

    Kinda Trojan-horsed that into a somewhat public Sailer Strategy to set the hook.

    I’d see him as paying double tribute to Steve, tactical usage of Sailer Strategy in places, but at core a citizenist.

    Anyhow, he’s going to be dragging the Overton Window in the other direction for you guys like he did for the libs during the election in forging more of a post-racial America.

    You guys aren’t going to like all of it, but you’ll go along. After all, where else do you have to go? But already, look at you guys. Who is complaining about Jews, Blacks, gays, etc, on this blog anymore? A lot of your fears are dissipating already.

    Was I right about all this Trump stuff so far (hint: look at my comment thread going back months)? And now I’m finally starting to read all sorts of things now about this historic upset, reshaping the political landscape, yada yada.

    Trump has been coolio for gold too…yeehaw, MAGA

    Read More
  31. Anon says:     Show CommentNext New Comment

    Who would have thought Michael Moore would be the last-hour prophet of Trump?

    Super major realignment in politics.

    And Wiener’s penis is one helluva an energizer bunny or boner in politics.

    The person Hillary hates most right now isn’t Trump.

    It is Obama. If anyone stole her chance to be president, it was the dude who cut in front of line with the full help of media.

    Media tried to compensate this time for the bias it showed to Obama in 2008.

    It was Obama and Media that really stole Hillary’s chance to be president.

    Don’t blame Trump.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Philip Owen
    Vote for me because I'm a woman wasn't a great strategy either.
  32. @bored identity
    The Island of Doctor Moreau that feeds on tax payers blood and money:

    http://www.cnn.com/election/results/states/district-of-columbia#president

    Thanks, I’ll post.

    Read More
  33. Anon says:     Show CommentNext New Comment

    Trump fused right and left.

    Nationalism and Labor-ism

    Read More
    • Replies: @Jack D
    So National Socialism, then? Maybe Trump really is Hitler (minus the genocidal warlike tendencies) - he will put the people to work building new Autobahns and VW factories.

    Until Hitler started occupying other countries and exterminating a lot of people, the general view of him (among non Jews) in America was that, putting aside his unpleasant anti-Semitic tendencies (which were maybe somewhat justified), he had really done a lot to bring Germany out of the Depression and cleaned up the decadent Weimar culture. The problem with National Socialism is that Hitler went on to do these other things so they came to be seen as an integral part of the ideology and the brand was permanently spoiled.
  34. @ATX Hipster
    Brokaw, et. al on NBC currently talking about how the white vote was always there in the Rust Belt but seemed like it wasn't because Romney couldn't get them to the voting booth.

    If Steve quits blogging, who will the MSM be years behind?

    If Steve stopped blogging, the intellectual satisfaction part of my quality of life would be deeply affected. Steve, your thoughts and this community mean a lot to me!

    Read More
  35. Thank you, Steve. I donated only a few dozen bucks over the years, I hope you’ll get more from me this Christmas.

    Read More
  36. Megan Kelly very concerned about the “fear” now gripping women, Muslims, and illegal immigrants. Megan Kelly now shilling for the frontlash. Fox News. Doing the (smear) jobs that a self respecting network won’t do.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Harry Baldwin
    I heard this line on NPR too: "Will Muslims and Hispanics feel they have a place in Trump's America?"

    I don't know. They could go back home. What I was worried about was what place white men like me would have in Hillary's America.
  37. Serious props to Sailer for calling this right a loong time ago.

    What blows my mind is that Trump won without a serious ground operation.

    The skypes just went all in against Trump; will they recover their prior position and get him to wage more neocon wars despite his current foreign policy positions a la GWB?

    PS Hope the zerba still realize any changes this makes to population 2050 projections going forward will probably get countered later ;)

    PPS Y’all realize the Donald is gonna prolly pardon the Hildabeast right?

    Read More
  38. This story shall the good man teach his son;
    And Crispin Crispian shall ne’er go by,
    From this day to the ending of the world,
    But we in it shall be remembered-
    We few, we happy few, we band of brothers;
    For he to-day that sheds his blood with me
    Shall be my brother; be he ne’er so vile,
    This day shall gentle his condition;
    And gentlemen in England now a-bed
    Shall think themselves accurs’d they were not here,
    And hold their manhoods cheap whiles any speaks
    That fought with us upon Saint Crispin’s day.

    Read More
  39. At 12:33 CST, the Fox folks just said that the anti-Sailer strategy (characterized as reaching out to Latinos etc.) had been repudiated.

    Read More
  40. NPR’s expert is dumbfounded that Trump won the white female vote in Wisconsin, Iowa, Michigan…

    Read More
  41. I thought this election was going to end you, Steve. The final nails in the coffin. But you’re ideas and the way you express them are too important. Congrats.

    Read More
  42. Anonymous says:     Show CommentNext New Comment
    1641521

    This one is for the scrapbook: twitter.com/Yair_Rosenberg/status/796221512005144577

    twitter.com/sallykohn/status/796202114007597056

    Read More
  43. What are odds Hilary refuses to concede tonight and demands several recounts?

    Read More
    • Replies: @International Jew
    Very high. The Dems are stunned right now, but tomorrow morning they'll file suit in every close state and start discovering uncounted votes. Just like Franken vs Coleman in MN.
    , @Judah Benjamin Hur
    She has now refused to concede. Ugh. I would hope that the even the people stunned by this election, the passionate liberals, would realize they would be WAY worse off if they steal the election.


    BTW, can anyone believe that FOX refuses to call PA, but even the New York Times has admitted that Trump won PA?
  44. At 12:33 CST, the Fox folks just said that the anti-Sailer strategy had been repudiated.

    Sorry, that was CBS.

    Read More
  45. Trump wins pennsylvenia. This is it.
    NPR was right, the the counties around Philly were the fulcrum of the entire election.
    Bucks Montgomery, and “dell-co.”

    Read More
  46. @anonguy

    Nobody respects pandering. Trump did honest outreach, not pandering.
     
    I don't argue that, but even with honest outreach, a pro-white strategy isn't going to garner much crossover.

    If anyone got pandered by Trump, it was the nativist, pro-white people. But he is going to do a better thing and demonstrate that one of Steve's higher ideals, citizenism, is what he represents.

    He's just pulling you guys along.

    So maybe it was sort of a modified public/private position Sailer Strategy. Privately, Trump understands that a pro-citizenist policy like, yes, Brazil, is about the only thing that can work on the U.S. today.

    Kinda Trojan-horsed that into a somewhat public Sailer Strategy to set the hook.

    I'd see him as paying double tribute to Steve, tactical usage of Sailer Strategy in places, but at core a citizenist.

    Anyhow, he's going to be dragging the Overton Window in the other direction for you guys like he did for the libs during the election in forging more of a post-racial America.

    You guys aren't going to like all of it, but you'll go along. After all, where else do you have to go? But already, look at you guys. Who is complaining about Jews, Blacks, gays, etc, on this blog anymore? A lot of your fears are dissipating already.

    Was I right about all this Trump stuff so far (hint: look at my comment thread going back months)? And now I'm finally starting to read all sorts of things now about this historic upset, reshaping the political landscape, yada yada.

    Trump has been coolio for gold too...yeehaw, MAGA

    You guys…

    If we are “You guys” then who are you?

    Read More
    • Replies: @anonguy

    If we are “You guys” then who are you?
     
    I'm not part of a pro white movement. However, I support the constitutional right to freedom of association and so forth, so good on ya for that.

    FWIW, I think a pro-white movement is as much of a phantasm as a pan-Arab or pan-East Asian movement is. It just isn't a fully uniting category, isn't enough commonality to form a truly cohesive tribe.

    So apart from any considerations of the morality of it, it is certainly folly and I don't get involved in those kinds of things.

    Who one is is at least partially defined by who one isn't.

    Anyhow, Trump will lead you out of your valley of despair about moonshots almost half a century ago, and all the angst of faded glory of a mighty race you guys, oops, there I go again, seem to harbor.

    Gotta stop looking in the mirror with all that white stuff and looking ahead to the future of us as an American people. By the same token, the aggressive rub their faces in it section 8 stuff is likely to reduce, which further will reduce you guys' angst about racial/ethnic/cultural issues.

    Trump is going to help us be cool with being more like Brazil. Nobody cares that tons of German looking people live in the south, heck, they make it into a tourist attraction. Maybe we can have quaint SWPL villages as tourist attractions ourselves eventually. Like Boulder or Austin?

    It is all going to be a lot of fun. Trump is definitely not an eat your broccoli type like Hillary.

  47. @Michaeloh
    Megan Kelly very concerned about the "fear" now gripping women, Muslims, and illegal immigrants. Megan Kelly now shilling for the frontlash. Fox News. Doing the (smear) jobs that a self respecting network won't do.

    I heard this line on NPR too: “Will Muslims and Hispanics feel they have a place in Trump’s America?”

    I don’t know. They could go back home. What I was worried about was what place white men like me would have in Hillary’s America.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Michaeloh
    Imm sure Harry that if the shoe were in n the other foot Megan & Co would be equally concerned about the fears of white bigots, err white voters may have of living under Hilary's regime.
  48. The Sailer strategy worked , despite the GOP establishment working against it and millions of Never-Trumpsters not supporting the republican candidate and most GOP politicians actively sabotaging him. The Libertarian candidate this year got over 3 million votes , triple what he got 4 years ago.

    Sailer has shown us that one man can change the world. Kudos to Steve.

    Read More
  49. @Michaeloh
    What are odds Hilary refuses to concede tonight and demands several recounts?

    Very high. The Dems are stunned right now, but tomorrow morning they’ll file suit in every close state and start discovering uncounted votes. Just like Franken vs Coleman in MN.

    Read More
    • Replies: @415 reasons
    They're going to have to overcome >50K each in PA and MI. I mean if anybody could pull it off it would be fucking Hillary Clinton who has committed several well documented felonies and faced no consequences. But jeez if this were any other election you could stick a fork in her.
    , @Michaeloh
    Pedestal has already set the tone: every vote must be counted. Even the votes we counterfeit. Whoa! CNN reporting Hitlery conceded.. Maybe do a Gore tomorrow and take it back, who knows.
  50. @Honorary Thief
    I imagine this is one of the proudest moments of your life, Steve. Your inspired Coulter, who inspired Trump to use this strategy, and with it he won the biggest political prize on earth.

    Hear, hear.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Abe

    Hear, hear.
     

    Hear, hear, hear. Steve, I have only been with you since ~2008, the HALF-BLOOD PRINCE years, but I can say you have been hammering the Sailer Strategy (in typically modest iSteve fashion something someone else had to name after you, not something you chose to name after yourself) incessantly, forcefully, eloquently. And though I was about to call it a night when the Evil One took an early lead in Florida, I am equal parts flabbergasted and overjoyed your strategy of a Republican President actually giving a damn about the white working class worked to such perfection! Trump did not just eke out a narrow victory with one rustbelt state, he gained a crushing victory by flipping all 3! It was more clockwork than D-Day (Donald Day!)

    Bless, you Steve, and I hope you gain some desperately-deserved recognition for inspiring the most amazing political revolution in a generation. As hard as it must have been to watch clowns getting genius awards while you labored in obscurity, know you belong to history now- which beats getting your own comic book any day :-)

  51. Tonight Trump proved that you can talk very bluntly about the issues facing our country and still get away with it. Democratic candidates are used to tossing out red meat to their members and getting away with it. Well Trump did that, too, and he may very well have won the White House.

    He’s sent a message to the GOP establishment about issues that worry the white middle class of this country – wage stagnation, immigration, and all the rest. He (and those of us who voted for him) have sent a message loud and clear to the Mitch McConnells, Paul Ryans, Marco Rubios, and Mitt Romneys of the party that cannot be ignored, though they’ve tried to do so time and again. Either they will heed that message this time or they will pay a very stiff price.

    Read More
  52. Steve Sailer is the Bill James of political analysis. Even people who despise him should give him that much credit. Sailer should seriously consider writing something analogous to a Baseball Abstract. He’s already done a lot of the major lifting and could focus on expanding somewhat on his best ideas.

    It was also a pretty good night for Nate Silver who at least gave Trump a pretty good shot.

    Read More
  53. @Michaeloh
    What are odds Hilary refuses to concede tonight and demands several recounts?

    She has now refused to concede. Ugh. I would hope that the even the people stunned by this election, the passionate liberals, would realize they would be WAY worse off if they steal the election.

    BTW, can anyone believe that FOX refuses to call PA, but even the New York Times has admitted that Trump won PA?

    Read More
    • Replies: @415 reasons
    How would the Clintons be worse off? They'll do whatever they can get away with and just say "what does it matter" if they get caught and the media will carry water for them.

    Fox doesn't want to call the whole shebang for Trump until it's 100% for sure.
  54. Steve,

    You may find this stat interesting:

    Read More
  55. @International Jew
    Very high. The Dems are stunned right now, but tomorrow morning they'll file suit in every close state and start discovering uncounted votes. Just like Franken vs Coleman in MN.

    They’re going to have to overcome >50K each in PA and MI. I mean if anybody could pull it off it would be fucking Hillary Clinton who has committed several well documented felonies and faced no consequences. But jeez if this were any other election you could stick a fork in her.

    Read More
  56. @Judah Benjamin Hur
    She has now refused to concede. Ugh. I would hope that the even the people stunned by this election, the passionate liberals, would realize they would be WAY worse off if they steal the election.


    BTW, can anyone believe that FOX refuses to call PA, but even the New York Times has admitted that Trump won PA?

    How would the Clintons be worse off? They’ll do whatever they can get away with and just say “what does it matter” if they get caught and the media will carry water for them.

    Fox doesn’t want to call the whole shebang for Trump until it’s 100% for sure.

    Read More
  57. @Harry Baldwin
    I heard this line on NPR too: "Will Muslims and Hispanics feel they have a place in Trump's America?"

    I don't know. They could go back home. What I was worried about was what place white men like me would have in Hillary's America.

    Imm sure Harry that if the shoe were in n the other foot Megan & Co would be equally concerned about the fears of white bigots, err white voters may have of living under Hilary’s regime.

    Read More
  58. @International Jew
    Very high. The Dems are stunned right now, but tomorrow morning they'll file suit in every close state and start discovering uncounted votes. Just like Franken vs Coleman in MN.

    Pedestal has already set the tone: every vote must be counted. Even the votes we counterfeit. Whoa! CNN reporting Hitlery conceded.. Maybe do a Gore tomorrow and take it back, who knows.

    Read More
  59. Massive congratulations to Steve Sailer for being proven correct on the ‘Sailer Strategy’ he promulgated over a decade and a half ago.

    Steve deserves waaay more recognition and reward than he gets for his commentary.

    Read More
  60. @IHTG
    Hear, hear.

    Hear, hear.

    Hear, hear, hear. Steve, I have only been with you since ~2008, the HALF-BLOOD PRINCE years, but I can say you have been hammering the Sailer Strategy (in typically modest iSteve fashion something someone else had to name after you, not something you chose to name after yourself) incessantly, forcefully, eloquently. And though I was about to call it a night when the Evil One took an early lead in Florida, I am equal parts flabbergasted and overjoyed your strategy of a Republican President actually giving a damn about the white working class worked to such perfection! Trump did not just eke out a narrow victory with one rustbelt state, he gained a crushing victory by flipping all 3! It was more clockwork than D-Day (Donald Day!)

    Bless, you Steve, and I hope you gain some desperately-deserved recognition for inspiring the most amazing political revolution in a generation. As hard as it must have been to watch clowns getting genius awards while you labored in obscurity, know you belong to history now- which beats getting your own comic book any day :-)

    Read More
  61. Steve Sailer vindicated. Congratulations from grateful conservatives are in order.

    Read More
  62. @Charles Erwin Wilson

    You guys...
     
    If we are "You guys" then who are you?

    If we are “You guys” then who are you?

    I’m not part of a pro white movement. However, I support the constitutional right to freedom of association and so forth, so good on ya for that.

    FWIW, I think a pro-white movement is as much of a phantasm as a pan-Arab or pan-East Asian movement is. It just isn’t a fully uniting category, isn’t enough commonality to form a truly cohesive tribe.

    So apart from any considerations of the morality of it, it is certainly folly and I don’t get involved in those kinds of things.

    Who one is is at least partially defined by who one isn’t.

    Anyhow, Trump will lead you out of your valley of despair about moonshots almost half a century ago, and all the angst of faded glory of a mighty race you guys, oops, there I go again, seem to harbor.

    Gotta stop looking in the mirror with all that white stuff and looking ahead to the future of us as an American people. By the same token, the aggressive rub their faces in it section 8 stuff is likely to reduce, which further will reduce you guys’ angst about racial/ethnic/cultural issues.

    Trump is going to help us be cool with being more like Brazil. Nobody cares that tons of German looking people live in the south, heck, they make it into a tourist attraction. Maybe we can have quaint SWPL villages as tourist attractions ourselves eventually. Like Boulder or Austin?

    It is all going to be a lot of fun. Trump is definitely not an eat your broccoli type like Hillary.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Charles Erwin Wilson

    I’m not part of a pro white movement
     
    Do you mean a white version of BLM? Because that's not how I read most of the posters on this site. And it doesn't describe Steve or his strategy.
  63. So then it would appear as though ca.70% of the total white vote did NOT vote for Hillary, and that Trump at least received about 63-65% of the total white vote.

    No need to thank me, I called it in part, namely, that Hillary wouldn’t receive about 7 of 10 white votes. Perhaps one day the GOP will focus on attempting to gain the full 70% of the total white vote.

    Apparently the total black share of the electorate was significantly down in ’16, as one of their own was not on the ballot. Apparently even Obama’s scare tactics on the campaign trail that Trump was the KKK incarnate wasn’t enough to lure them to the polls as they turned out for him in ’08 and in ’12.

    Read More
  64. They are talking about the polls were just wrong. Just like that, just somehow wrong, nobody could have known.

    It is that thing about remembering everything but learning nothing already.

    The polls were obviously wrong because the only thing the MSM was printing for 1.5 years was lies. If there was the slightest bit of truth in anything, it was ruthlessly suppressed.

    These guys are already going into denial and trying to go back to where they were.

    The polls were wrong because journalists utterly failed and disgraced themselves. Generally, I’m for reconciliation, but some of the collaborators need their head’s shaved….

    Read More
  65. Been a long-time reader (8 years, maybe?). Have never donated before, but will at the next drive. It won’t be much at all, but it will just be a small thanks and atta-boy for sticking with it all these years.

    I have no idea whether Trump will make a good president, but regardless you are owed a big thanks for those of us deplorables who got to enjoy this night. Thanks.

    Read More
  66. Nice tribute to Sailer’s perceptiveness in an article on the online front page of the Spectator at the moment:

    Back in 2000 the blogger Steve Sailer observed that the Republicans could win with the low-hanging fruit of a white middle-class increasingly alienated by the Democratic Party’s ‘coalition of the fringes’, and he seems to have been proved right.

    I’ve written before in comments here, at the Spectator and Telegraph, and at Taki’s, that Sailer (along with Derbyshire) would have been a natural for regular columns at those places (Spectator and Telegraph, that is, formerly the natural British outlets for traditionalist conservative thought) were it not for the active censorship of traditionalist and nativist views. Their loss has been Taki’s and Unz’s gain.

    Somewhat ironically, I can’t comment on it at the Spectator Blogs site because I’m banned from posting there by that same process of suppressing the expression of dissident opinions and the way it enables the individual gatekeepers to impose their own agendas by way of political censorship.

    Congratulations to Steve, and to the American people. Like the Brexit vote, another well deserved poke in the eye for all the people who most need a poke in the eye.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Anonymous Nephew
    I just knew that writer would be Ed West.

    Great quote from a guy I've not heard of


    "As the superforecaster Michael Story first observed, social justice warriors ‘overused the antibiotics of shame, bred bio-resistant Trumps.’
    Trump seems to have survived by refusing to submit when his opponents took offence and attempted to shame him into backing down, a tactic that has been hugely successful against conservatives in the past."
     
    That's a very neat analogy. We all know that if you call someone a Nazi racist again and again and again it stops working.
    , @Anonymous Nephew
    Charles Murray gives Steve a shout-out

    "When someone has been so strategically right so early, he deserves acknowledgment"


    https://twitter.com/charlesmurray/status/796232293375508480

    Some other great tweet quotes in that Ed West piece

    "Trump voters are opposed not to identity politics but to identity politics for everyone but them. That's one important lesson of the night."

    "The thing about playing identity politics is that eventually everyone figures out they should do the same thing."

  67. Bravo, sir.

    Maybe I’m just in a good mood, but if we can put the breaks on immigration for a bit I’m optimistic that the life of the GOP can be extended indefinitely.

    Sure, there are some unfavorable developments. Quite a few states that Bush carried easily such as Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada are now toss ups or blue. And you have to wonder if Florida, Texas, and Arizona will be winnable in the future given current trends. But if the immigration slows down, I think we just might have a chance of absorbing Latinos into the greater population.

    Speak frankly, blacks and whites have never really assimilated even after hundreds of years. But intermarriage rates for Hispanics are considerably higher and they aren’t as racially distinct as blacks (and critically a half Hispanic is much more likely to pass for white than a half black). The whiter ones (and the more attractive mestizos) will likely be absorbed into “White America.” Eventually. Best case scenario it would be like the dagos in the 20th century. Again, this is only if we close the border and allow our national identity to settle a bit. Over time, I would bet these Latinos that are going 3 to 1 D will move at least a bit toward the GOP as they become whiter.

    If we can’t stem the tide though, then they will maintain a separate identity and we will just have a permanent, growing Latin underclass that will be a public burden and vote solid D in perpetuity.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Chrisnonymous

    if we can put the breaks on immigration for a bit I’m optimistic that the life of the GOP can be extended indefinitely.
     
    Fuck that. That's not what this election was about. I don't give a shit about the GOP. I don't want a series of immigrations broken up by breaks for assimilation. The point of Trump is not create Hispanic Republicans. We want less overall immigration now and in the future.
  68. @gregor
    Bravo, sir.

    Maybe I'm just in a good mood, but if we can put the breaks on immigration for a bit I'm optimistic that the life of the GOP can be extended indefinitely.

    Sure, there are some unfavorable developments. Quite a few states that Bush carried easily such as Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada are now toss ups or blue. And you have to wonder if Florida, Texas, and Arizona will be winnable in the future given current trends. But if the immigration slows down, I think we just might have a chance of absorbing Latinos into the greater population.

    Speak frankly, blacks and whites have never really assimilated even after hundreds of years. But intermarriage rates for Hispanics are considerably higher and they aren't as racially distinct as blacks (and critically a half Hispanic is much more likely to pass for white than a half black). The whiter ones (and the more attractive mestizos) will likely be absorbed into "White America." Eventually. Best case scenario it would be like the dagos in the 20th century. Again, this is only if we close the border and allow our national identity to settle a bit. Over time, I would bet these Latinos that are going 3 to 1 D will move at least a bit toward the GOP as they become whiter.

    If we can't stem the tide though, then they will maintain a separate identity and we will just have a permanent, growing Latin underclass that will be a public burden and vote solid D in perpetuity.

    if we can put the breaks on immigration for a bit I’m optimistic that the life of the GOP can be extended indefinitely.

    Fuck that. That’s not what this election was about. I don’t give a shit about the GOP. I don’t want a series of immigrations broken up by breaks for assimilation. The point of Trump is not create Hispanic Republicans. We want less overall immigration now and in the future.

    Read More
  69. I wonder if the Democratic Party will attempt to find a way to co-opt some of what we learned about the electorate? What will the party’s base allow them to co-opt?

    Read More
  70. @Randal
    Nice tribute to Sailer's perceptiveness in an article on the online front page of the Spectator at the moment:

    "Back in 2000 the blogger Steve Sailer observed that the Republicans could win with the low-hanging fruit of a white middle-class increasingly alienated by the Democratic Party’s ‘coalition of the fringes’, and he seems to have been proved right."

    I've written before in comments here, at the Spectator and Telegraph, and at Taki's, that Sailer (along with Derbyshire) would have been a natural for regular columns at those places (Spectator and Telegraph, that is, formerly the natural British outlets for traditionalist conservative thought) were it not for the active censorship of traditionalist and nativist views. Their loss has been Taki's and Unz's gain.

    Somewhat ironically, I can't comment on it at the Spectator Blogs site because I'm banned from posting there by that same process of suppressing the expression of dissident opinions and the way it enables the individual gatekeepers to impose their own agendas by way of political censorship.

    Congratulations to Steve, and to the American people. Like the Brexit vote, another well deserved poke in the eye for all the people who most need a poke in the eye.

    I just knew that writer would be Ed West.

    Great quote from a guy I’ve not heard of

    “As the superforecaster Michael Story first observed, social justice warriors ‘overused the antibiotics of shame, bred bio-resistant Trumps.’
    Trump seems to have survived by refusing to submit when his opponents took offence and attempted to shame him into backing down, a tactic that has been hugely successful against conservatives in the past.”

    That’s a very neat analogy. We all know that if you call someone a Nazi racist again and again and again it stops working.

    Read More
  71. @Randal
    Nice tribute to Sailer's perceptiveness in an article on the online front page of the Spectator at the moment:

    "Back in 2000 the blogger Steve Sailer observed that the Republicans could win with the low-hanging fruit of a white middle-class increasingly alienated by the Democratic Party’s ‘coalition of the fringes’, and he seems to have been proved right."

    I've written before in comments here, at the Spectator and Telegraph, and at Taki's, that Sailer (along with Derbyshire) would have been a natural for regular columns at those places (Spectator and Telegraph, that is, formerly the natural British outlets for traditionalist conservative thought) were it not for the active censorship of traditionalist and nativist views. Their loss has been Taki's and Unz's gain.

    Somewhat ironically, I can't comment on it at the Spectator Blogs site because I'm banned from posting there by that same process of suppressing the expression of dissident opinions and the way it enables the individual gatekeepers to impose their own agendas by way of political censorship.

    Congratulations to Steve, and to the American people. Like the Brexit vote, another well deserved poke in the eye for all the people who most need a poke in the eye.

    Charles Murray gives Steve a shout-out

    “When someone has been so strategically right so early, he deserves acknowledgment”

    Some other great tweet quotes in that Ed West piece

    “Trump voters are opposed not to identity politics but to identity politics for everyone but them. That’s one important lesson of the night.”

    “The thing about playing identity politics is that eventually everyone figures out they should do the same thing.”

    Read More
    • Replies: @ben tillman
    Wow -- that is awesome! Things like that really show that you've been influential. Well done, and congratulations!
  72. @Anon
    Who would have thought Michael Moore would be the last-hour prophet of Trump?

    Super major realignment in politics.

    And Wiener's penis is one helluva an energizer bunny or boner in politics.

    The person Hillary hates most right now isn't Trump.

    It is Obama. If anyone stole her chance to be president, it was the dude who cut in front of line with the full help of media.

    Media tried to compensate this time for the bias it showed to Obama in 2008.

    It was Obama and Media that really stole Hillary's chance to be president.

    Don't blame Trump.

    Vote for me because I’m a woman wasn’t a great strategy either.

    Read More
  73. I’ve been reading Sailer for a long time.

    He deserves so much more recognition than he gets. He also deserves remuneration.

    I have set up a monthly contribution of $20.00 through PayPal.

    Everyone here who has the means should do so as well.

    You deserve it, Steve!

    ChrisM.

    Read More
  74. Don’t forget this- you suggested that since the democrats have found that the strategy of branding the republicans as the White Party is so successful, the republicans should brand the democrats as the Black Party. What’s interesting is the the republicans were too spineless to call out the Left on their anti-white identity politics but for some reason the Left decided to do the GOP’s job for them by branding the democrats as the Black Party themselves. Their hatred of the imaginary straight white male oppressor became so overt and hysterical that the GOP was never even had to make the case to middle America that the democrats hate them. It’s a shame that the GOP never toughened up enough to call a spade a spade, but perhaps we’ll have new blood in the GOP, people who won’t feel the need to pretend that politics isn’t adversarial and dirty, as opposed to effete conservatives who make vague criticisms of “the media.”

    http://www.vdare.com/articles/sailer-strategy-supplement-rebrand-democrats-as-the-black-party

    Read More
    • Replies: @Corvinus
    Except with the closeness of the election in the popular vote and in states that Trump won (WI, MI, PENN), it's not about white identity, it's about whites who have the ideology that D.C. ain't working for them (because elites) and they also want gimmedats in the form of economic investments in their future. Trump won in large part because of Reagan populism and Jacksonian (Andrew) anti-establishment rhetoric. The Rust Belt he garnered support from is counting on him to deliver. So this narrative that "Democrats hate them" (whites) is false.
  75. OT–Steve has been mentioned approvingly at achgut.com, the online project of German gadfly journalist Henryk Broder, the local Mark Steyn, sort of, the brighter guys (and girls, there are some) of our alt-right know him, too.

    Read More
  76. @Anonymous Nephew
    Charles Murray gives Steve a shout-out

    "When someone has been so strategically right so early, he deserves acknowledgment"


    https://twitter.com/charlesmurray/status/796232293375508480

    Some other great tweet quotes in that Ed West piece

    "Trump voters are opposed not to identity politics but to identity politics for everyone but them. That's one important lesson of the night."

    "The thing about playing identity politics is that eventually everyone figures out they should do the same thing."

    Wow — that is awesome! Things like that really show that you’ve been influential. Well done, and congratulations!

    Read More
  77. @anonguy

    If we are “You guys” then who are you?
     
    I'm not part of a pro white movement. However, I support the constitutional right to freedom of association and so forth, so good on ya for that.

    FWIW, I think a pro-white movement is as much of a phantasm as a pan-Arab or pan-East Asian movement is. It just isn't a fully uniting category, isn't enough commonality to form a truly cohesive tribe.

    So apart from any considerations of the morality of it, it is certainly folly and I don't get involved in those kinds of things.

    Who one is is at least partially defined by who one isn't.

    Anyhow, Trump will lead you out of your valley of despair about moonshots almost half a century ago, and all the angst of faded glory of a mighty race you guys, oops, there I go again, seem to harbor.

    Gotta stop looking in the mirror with all that white stuff and looking ahead to the future of us as an American people. By the same token, the aggressive rub their faces in it section 8 stuff is likely to reduce, which further will reduce you guys' angst about racial/ethnic/cultural issues.

    Trump is going to help us be cool with being more like Brazil. Nobody cares that tons of German looking people live in the south, heck, they make it into a tourist attraction. Maybe we can have quaint SWPL villages as tourist attractions ourselves eventually. Like Boulder or Austin?

    It is all going to be a lot of fun. Trump is definitely not an eat your broccoli type like Hillary.

    I’m not part of a pro white movement

    Do you mean a white version of BLM? Because that’s not how I read most of the posters on this site. And it doesn’t describe Steve or his strategy.

    Read More
  78. “If you don’t want the guy to drive the truck off the cliff, do not give him the keys.” Bill Clinton, speaking in Waterloo, Iowa, 10/12/16

    In Hillary’s College Thesis, titled, “There is Only the Fight, An Analysis of the Alinsky Model” she describes a role for a character exactly like Trump with

    “…an initial function of serving as an abrasive agent to rub raw the resentments of the people of the community; to fan latent hostilities of many of the people to the point of overt expressions.. to provide a channel into which they can pour their frustration of the past; to create a mechanism which can drain off underlying guilt for having accepted the previous situation for so long a time… In addition to aiding in formation of identity, conflict between groups plays a creative social role by providing a process through which diverse interests are adjusted… To introduce conflict is a risk because there is no guarantee it will remain controllable.”

    See page 12, beginning, “In order to achieve a world without bounds…”

    Link to Hillary’s Thesis as pdf, here:http://www.hillaryclintonquarterly.com/…/HillaryClinton…

    Read More
  79. @ATX Hipster
    Brokaw, et. al on NBC currently talking about how the white vote was always there in the Rust Belt but seemed like it wasn't because Romney couldn't get them to the voting booth.

    If Steve quits blogging, who will the MSM be years behind?

    “Brokaw, et. al on NBC currently talking about how the white vote was always there in the Rust Belt but seemed like it wasn’t because Romney couldn’t get them to the voting booth.”

    Most of those working class whites that lean (D) that went Trump voted for Obama in 2008 and 2012 and voted for Sanders in 2012 in the Democratic primaries.

    It’s the message, not necessarily race. The Democrats will need to recalibrate that message in the same way Obama did when he won. This strategy has been around long before Sailer reported it. This influence is compliments of Nixon and Reagan.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Jack D

    Most of those working class whites that lean (D) that went Trump ... voted for Sanders in 2012 in the Democratic primaries.
     
    I assume you mean 2016 since Sanders didn't run in 2012. I think that the number of Sanders voters who crossed over to Trump was very limited and was not a deciding factor in the election.

    I understand why you (and the rest of the Democrat establishment) don't want to hear the message from whites that you don't really want to hear - it's a natural human tendency to discount a reality that you don't like ("Trump is not my President") or spin it into another message that you like better. In a way I'm glad because the more Democrats keep barking up the wrong tree the less well they will do in future elections. But I'm sure the spin will be used to say "Trump has no mandate" to do anything that Democrats don't like.

    As I have said elsewhere, the real killer mistake that cost the Democrats the election was not so much not appealing to whites but NOT appealing enough to blacks (by running a black candidate - THAT's what really drives black turnout bigly). If the Democrats had just matched Obama's #s in Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee, etc. they might have swung the Rust Belt back in their direction. They won't make that mistake again. Obama was appealing to blacks just by BEING black, but Hillary (and any white D candidate) has to prove her street cred by coming out for BLM,etc. which alienates as many whites as it attracts blacks.

    But, the fact that Hillary was in the Romney role as the darling of Wall Street didn't help her among non-college whites either. Did she REALLY need those speaking fees that badly when the Clintons have $100 million already and billions in their foundation slush fund? Just like the email server (and her earlier health care czar debacle) Hillary has a genius for showing poor judgment. Her decisions are driven solely by greed for money and power - why else did she stay with Bill? We really dodged a bullet by not putting her in charge of the greatest nation on earth.
  80. @Ayatollah
    Don't forget this- you suggested that since the democrats have found that the strategy of branding the republicans as the White Party is so successful, the republicans should brand the democrats as the Black Party. What's interesting is the the republicans were too spineless to call out the Left on their anti-white identity politics but for some reason the Left decided to do the GOP's job for them by branding the democrats as the Black Party themselves. Their hatred of the imaginary straight white male oppressor became so overt and hysterical that the GOP was never even had to make the case to middle America that the democrats hate them. It's a shame that the GOP never toughened up enough to call a spade a spade, but perhaps we'll have new blood in the GOP, people who won't feel the need to pretend that politics isn't adversarial and dirty, as opposed to effete conservatives who make vague criticisms of "the media."

    http://www.vdare.com/articles/sailer-strategy-supplement-rebrand-democrats-as-the-black-party

    Except with the closeness of the election in the popular vote and in states that Trump won (WI, MI, PENN), it’s not about white identity, it’s about whites who have the ideology that D.C. ain’t working for them (because elites) and they also want gimmedats in the form of economic investments in their future. Trump won in large part because of Reagan populism and Jacksonian (Andrew) anti-establishment rhetoric. The Rust Belt he garnered support from is counting on him to deliver. So this narrative that “Democrats hate them” (whites) is false.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Jack D
    Most blue collar whites are not into gimmedats - they prefer to work rather than be on the dole. Even Social Security they see as something that they have paid into and not just manna from Uncle Sam. They don't want Trump to give them gimmedats. They want Trump to restore the level playing field so that they don't have to compete against illegal immigrants or have their factories moved to Mexico or China because the US got played in trade negotiations or due to manipulation of currency values. Trade is supposed to be a two-way street. They want Trump to stop the government from blocking investments in the energy sector because of some crazy global warming theory. They want leadership that is on the side of average Americans and not some globalist elite.

    If the Democrats don't actually hate them (and there is much explicit anti-white rhetoric from the left that shows that they do- remember "basket of deplorables"?) then it makes no difference - their actions (and those of the GOP elite) couldn't have been any worse for them than if they really did.
  81. @Anon
    Trump fused right and left.

    Nationalism and Labor-ism

    So National Socialism, then? Maybe Trump really is Hitler (minus the genocidal warlike tendencies) – he will put the people to work building new Autobahns and VW factories.

    Until Hitler started occupying other countries and exterminating a lot of people, the general view of him (among non Jews) in America was that, putting aside his unpleasant anti-Semitic tendencies (which were maybe somewhat justified), he had really done a lot to bring Germany out of the Depression and cleaned up the decadent Weimar culture. The problem with National Socialism is that Hitler went on to do these other things so they came to be seen as an integral part of the ideology and the brand was permanently spoiled.

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  82. @Corvinus
    Except with the closeness of the election in the popular vote and in states that Trump won (WI, MI, PENN), it's not about white identity, it's about whites who have the ideology that D.C. ain't working for them (because elites) and they also want gimmedats in the form of economic investments in their future. Trump won in large part because of Reagan populism and Jacksonian (Andrew) anti-establishment rhetoric. The Rust Belt he garnered support from is counting on him to deliver. So this narrative that "Democrats hate them" (whites) is false.

    Most blue collar whites are not into gimmedats – they prefer to work rather than be on the dole. Even Social Security they see as something that they have paid into and not just manna from Uncle Sam. They don’t want Trump to give them gimmedats. They want Trump to restore the level playing field so that they don’t have to compete against illegal immigrants or have their factories moved to Mexico or China because the US got played in trade negotiations or due to manipulation of currency values. Trade is supposed to be a two-way street. They want Trump to stop the government from blocking investments in the energy sector because of some crazy global warming theory. They want leadership that is on the side of average Americans and not some globalist elite.

    If the Democrats don’t actually hate them (and there is much explicit anti-white rhetoric from the left that shows that they do- remember “basket of deplorables”?) then it makes no difference – their actions (and those of the GOP elite) couldn’t have been any worse for them than if they really did.

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  83. @Corvinus
    "Brokaw, et. al on NBC currently talking about how the white vote was always there in the Rust Belt but seemed like it wasn’t because Romney couldn’t get them to the voting booth."

    Most of those working class whites that lean (D) that went Trump voted for Obama in 2008 and 2012 and voted for Sanders in 2012 in the Democratic primaries.

    It's the message, not necessarily race. The Democrats will need to recalibrate that message in the same way Obama did when he won. This strategy has been around long before Sailer reported it. This influence is compliments of Nixon and Reagan.

    Most of those working class whites that lean (D) that went Trump … voted for Sanders in 2012 in the Democratic primaries.

    I assume you mean 2016 since Sanders didn’t run in 2012. I think that the number of Sanders voters who crossed over to Trump was very limited and was not a deciding factor in the election.

    I understand why you (and the rest of the Democrat establishment) don’t want to hear the message from whites that you don’t really want to hear – it’s a natural human tendency to discount a reality that you don’t like (“Trump is not my President”) or spin it into another message that you like better. In a way I’m glad because the more Democrats keep barking up the wrong tree the less well they will do in future elections. But I’m sure the spin will be used to say “Trump has no mandate” to do anything that Democrats don’t like.

    As I have said elsewhere, the real killer mistake that cost the Democrats the election was not so much not appealing to whites but NOT appealing enough to blacks (by running a black candidate – THAT’s what really drives black turnout bigly). If the Democrats had just matched Obama’s #s in Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee, etc. they might have swung the Rust Belt back in their direction. They won’t make that mistake again. Obama was appealing to blacks just by BEING black, but Hillary (and any white D candidate) has to prove her street cred by coming out for BLM,etc. which alienates as many whites as it attracts blacks.

    But, the fact that Hillary was in the Romney role as the darling of Wall Street didn’t help her among non-college whites either. Did she REALLY need those speaking fees that badly when the Clintons have $100 million already and billions in their foundation slush fund? Just like the email server (and her earlier health care czar debacle) Hillary has a genius for showing poor judgment. Her decisions are driven solely by greed for money and power – why else did she stay with Bill? We really dodged a bullet by not putting her in charge of the greatest nation on earth.

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    • Replies: @Corvinus
    "I assume you mean 2016 since Sanders didn’t run in 2012."

    Yes.

    "I think that the number of Sanders voters who crossed over to Trump was very limited and was not a deciding factor in the election."

    No, the white working class who voted for Sanders in primary identified with his ideology on the economy, in particular his stance against NAFTA. Trump sought to bring them into his camp, unlike Hillary. They played a major role. Hillary assumed they would bring the vote to her. Trump beat her like a drum in this regard.

    "I understand why you (and the rest of the Democrat establishment)..."

    Does not compute. I'm not part of the Democrat nor Republican establishment. I am an American who is able to make up his own mind about political candidates.

    "it’s a natural human tendency to discount a reality that you don’t like (“Trump is not my President”) or spin it into another message that you like better."

    Works the same way for Republicans.

    "In a way I’m glad because the more Democrats keep barking up the wrong tree the less well they will do in future elections."

    Remember, it was a 50-50 split in the popular vote. A number of Republicans and conservatives who aren't fans of Trump as a person voted for him as the candidate on issues important to them individually.

    "But I’m sure the spin will be used to say “Trump has no mandate” to do anything that Democrats don’t like."

    Razor thin margins of winning states ain't no mandate. Trump has a Republican Congress. They are now in the spotlight. The fickle electorate will be out in full force two years from now in the primaries. It will be examination time.

    "As I have said elsewhere, the real killer mistake that cost the Democrats the election was not so much not appealing to whites but NOT appealing enough to blacks (by running a black candidate – THAT’s what really drives black turnout bigly)."

    Nope. Hillary failed to ensure that the unions and working class who tend to be Reagan Democrats would be in the fold. She blundered big time there.

    "If the Democrats had just matched Obama’s #s in Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee, etc. they might have swung the Rust Belt back in their direction."

    She performed too poorly in those swing counties, the ones that Obama either slightly won or slightly lost.

    "They won’t make that mistake again. Obama was appealing to blacks just by BEING black, but Hillary (and any white D candidate) has to prove her street cred by coming out for BLM,etc. which alienates as many whites as it attracts blacks."

    Obama also appealed to whites who are pro-union and to working class whites. Hillary failed to capture this audience.

    "Just like the email server (and her earlier health care czar debacle) Hillary has a genius for showing poor judgment. Her decisions are driven solely by greed for money and power – why else did she stay with Bill? We really dodged a bullet by not putting her in charge of the greatest nation on earth."

    Yes, she has her obvious flaws that were fatal. But will Trump not put his foot in his mouth, not let his ego get in the way, not grab some interns private parts because he can? His lack of character is equally deplorable to Hillary.
  84. @anonguy
    How are you going to square this circle with the fact that Trump will end up taking a higher percentage of NAM than his immediate predecessor candidates?

    By the Sailer Strategy, he should have a whiter electorate than Romney/McCain, but I'm going to assume that he does better with non-white demographics, which I'm certain will be the case, so he will have a less white demographic than Romney/McCain.

    How that comes about from having a pro-white strategy?

    Maybe rather than a pro-white strategy he really had a pro-American strategy?

    NAM citizens benefit from pro-American trade and immigration policies just as much as non-elite whites.

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  85. @Jack D

    Most of those working class whites that lean (D) that went Trump ... voted for Sanders in 2012 in the Democratic primaries.
     
    I assume you mean 2016 since Sanders didn't run in 2012. I think that the number of Sanders voters who crossed over to Trump was very limited and was not a deciding factor in the election.

    I understand why you (and the rest of the Democrat establishment) don't want to hear the message from whites that you don't really want to hear - it's a natural human tendency to discount a reality that you don't like ("Trump is not my President") or spin it into another message that you like better. In a way I'm glad because the more Democrats keep barking up the wrong tree the less well they will do in future elections. But I'm sure the spin will be used to say "Trump has no mandate" to do anything that Democrats don't like.

    As I have said elsewhere, the real killer mistake that cost the Democrats the election was not so much not appealing to whites but NOT appealing enough to blacks (by running a black candidate - THAT's what really drives black turnout bigly). If the Democrats had just matched Obama's #s in Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee, etc. they might have swung the Rust Belt back in their direction. They won't make that mistake again. Obama was appealing to blacks just by BEING black, but Hillary (and any white D candidate) has to prove her street cred by coming out for BLM,etc. which alienates as many whites as it attracts blacks.

    But, the fact that Hillary was in the Romney role as the darling of Wall Street didn't help her among non-college whites either. Did she REALLY need those speaking fees that badly when the Clintons have $100 million already and billions in their foundation slush fund? Just like the email server (and her earlier health care czar debacle) Hillary has a genius for showing poor judgment. Her decisions are driven solely by greed for money and power - why else did she stay with Bill? We really dodged a bullet by not putting her in charge of the greatest nation on earth.

    “I assume you mean 2016 since Sanders didn’t run in 2012.”

    Yes.

    “I think that the number of Sanders voters who crossed over to Trump was very limited and was not a deciding factor in the election.”

    No, the white working class who voted for Sanders in primary identified with his ideology on the economy, in particular his stance against NAFTA. Trump sought to bring them into his camp, unlike Hillary. They played a major role. Hillary assumed they would bring the vote to her. Trump beat her like a drum in this regard.

    “I understand why you (and the rest of the Democrat establishment)…”

    Does not compute. I’m not part of the Democrat nor Republican establishment. I am an American who is able to make up his own mind about political candidates.

    “it’s a natural human tendency to discount a reality that you don’t like (“Trump is not my President”) or spin it into another message that you like better.”

    Works the same way for Republicans.

    “In a way I’m glad because the more Democrats keep barking up the wrong tree the less well they will do in future elections.”

    Remember, it was a 50-50 split in the popular vote. A number of Republicans and conservatives who aren’t fans of Trump as a person voted for him as the candidate on issues important to them individually.

    “But I’m sure the spin will be used to say “Trump has no mandate” to do anything that Democrats don’t like.”

    Razor thin margins of winning states ain’t no mandate. Trump has a Republican Congress. They are now in the spotlight. The fickle electorate will be out in full force two years from now in the primaries. It will be examination time.

    “As I have said elsewhere, the real killer mistake that cost the Democrats the election was not so much not appealing to whites but NOT appealing enough to blacks (by running a black candidate – THAT’s what really drives black turnout bigly).”

    Nope. Hillary failed to ensure that the unions and working class who tend to be Reagan Democrats would be in the fold. She blundered big time there.

    “If the Democrats had just matched Obama’s #s in Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee, etc. they might have swung the Rust Belt back in their direction.”

    She performed too poorly in those swing counties, the ones that Obama either slightly won or slightly lost.

    “They won’t make that mistake again. Obama was appealing to blacks just by BEING black, but Hillary (and any white D candidate) has to prove her street cred by coming out for BLM,etc. which alienates as many whites as it attracts blacks.”

    Obama also appealed to whites who are pro-union and to working class whites. Hillary failed to capture this audience.

    “Just like the email server (and her earlier health care czar debacle) Hillary has a genius for showing poor judgment. Her decisions are driven solely by greed for money and power – why else did she stay with Bill? We really dodged a bullet by not putting her in charge of the greatest nation on earth.”

    Yes, she has her obvious flaws that were fatal. But will Trump not put his foot in his mouth, not let his ego get in the way, not grab some interns private parts because he can? His lack of character is equally deplorable to Hillary.

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  86. Sailor Strategy? Talk about claiming credit for something that has already been done. FDR, Nixon and Reagan for example. This strategy is nothing new.

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  87. @Percy Gryce
    Reposting: I’ve been on Twitter for the last couple of days, but I just wanted to come home here to say congrats and thanks to Steve. iSteve has been my red pill. I thank you. Your country thanks you.

    Sailor Strategy? Talk about claiming credit for something that has already been done. FDR, Nixon and Reagan for example. This strategy is nothing new.

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  88. […] offset huge Democratic advantages among minorities and white professionals. This was the Sailer Strategy, named after the insightful blogger who coined the notion back in 2000. Steve Sailer’s […]

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