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From Nature Genetics:

Meta-analysis of the heritability of human traits based on fifty years of twin studies

Tinca J C Polderman, Beben Benyamin, Christiaan A de Leeuw, Patrick F Sullivan, Arjen van Bochoven, Peter M Visscher & Danielle Posthuma

Nature Genetics 47, 702–709 (2015) doi:10.1038/ng.3285
Received 13 February 2015 Accepted 01 April 2015 Published online 18 May 2015

Despite a century of research on complex traits in humans, the relative importance and specific nature of the influences of genes and environment on human traits remain controversial. We report a meta-analysis of twin correlations and reported variance components for 17,804 traits from 2,748 publications including 14,558,903 partly dependent twin pairs, virtually all published twin studies of complex traits. Estimates of heritability cluster strongly within functional domains, and across all traits the reported heritability is 49%.

This is not to say that Nurture or Environment or anything terribly specific accounts for the other 51%. Just call it All Else.

 
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  1. Read More
    • Replies: @Lot
    The article was really boring and in the bland style of Expert A says this while Expert B says slightly different that. It is indistinguishable from any of dozens of similar articles on the same topic.
    , @Paul Walker Most beautiful man ever...
    "Are jews White?"
    I dunno. Are blacks White? It's a mystery . . .
    , @Amasius
    I skimmed it and didn't see Hila Hershkoviz mentioned anywhere.

    http://blogs.timesofisrael.com/ashkenazi-jews-are-not-white-response-to-haaretz-article/

    They often resemble Europeans, but they aren't Europeans genetically and they sure as hell don't identify with us.
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  2. What these large sample genetic studies suggest is that the first generation of “designer babies” are not going to be supermen, but simply a little better than expected.

    Create 30 embryos, test them, and pick your favorite. This should cost about $30,000 using today’s technology. Rather than any extreme athleticism or IQ, the chosen baby will be 3 IQ points higher, an inch taller, and have an expected lifespan 2 years longer than expected values from the parents.

    If you can afford it, it sounds like a good deal to me. $30,000 does not even cover one year tuition at a lot of fancy private high schools, and I am sure the benefits are worth far more than this. And the benefit does not only include having a better kid than expected, but avoiding a worse than expected one, for instance with congenital metal illness.

    These tests will initially only be available for whites and NE Asians since they are the ones we have big genetic databases about.

    The next step after that would be to CRISPR a few favorite additional genes onto the selected embryo. Even then, as we have not managed to locate many genes with large positive effects, the additional boost would be pretty small without a lot of advancements.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Anonymous
    I'd hold off on the CRISPR until scientists are able to completely prevent unanticipated mutations from occurring. By the way, you don't necessarily want to CRISPR in additional genes but rather modify the genes we already have so that they are the most favorable alleles among the known set of possible alleles.
    , @Corvinus
    "Create 30 embryos, test them, and pick your favorite. This should cost about $30,000 using today’s technology."

    So what happens to the 29 that are not selected? Back to the vault? Thrown out in the dumpster?

    So much for valuing human life...
  3. Steve has mentioned that he and Mrs. Steve want their kitchen remodeled. (And hope this has been accomplished!) I am being very practical here. Would you want Steve’s kitchen to be remodeled by Blacks or Mexicans? Their IQ scores are only about 3-5 points apart from what I’ve gathered.

    This might be a head-scratcher if you live in Vermont, but not if you live in Southern California.

    We just finished remodeling our own kitchen, not far from where Steve lives. The prime contractor was Chinese. He had Eastern Europeans do the counter work, Mexicans do the demo and flooring, Filipinos install the cabinets, and a fellow Chinaman do the finishing and painting.

    I hired a black contractor to install the sink, garbage disposal, and such. He didn’t tighten any of the fittings. jJay did that much. No Ashkenazim Jew were involved.

    Read More
    • Replies: @BenKenobi
    Q: "How many Poles does it take to screw in a lightbulb?"

    A: "The same number of ethnicities it takes to remodel a kitchen."
    , @Johanus de Morgateroyde

    He had Eastern Europeans do the counter work,
     
    Perhaps we here in Texas have grown habituated to the quality and pace of Mexican labor, but I can report from experience that it is jaw-dropping to compare the work of Eastern Europeans to what we normally get around these parts. Polish guys, in particular, work three times as fast and the quality of the work is, well, actual quality work. For the same price.

    My friend who renovates and flips houses has moved to all Eastern European labor and says he'll never go back no matter what the price difference. He says that the most endearing difference is that when they run into problems the Poles actually solve the problems rather than cobble their way around them.

  4. When will we see the results testing Cochran’s theory that the various Ashkenazi recessive brain diseases give a large IQ boost to carriers?

    From the LA Times

    Cochran read more than 15 genetics textbooks and became intrigued by the deadly diseases that disproportionately afflict Ashkenazi Jews: Tay-Sachs, a neurological disorder that debilitates children before killing them, usually by age 4. Canavan disease, which turns the brain into spongy tissue and typically claims its victims before they can start kindergarten. Niemann-Pick disease Type A, in which babies accumulate dangerous amounts of fats in various organs and suffer profound brain damage and death before their second birthday.

    He was struck by the fact that so many of the diseases involved problems with processing sphingolipids, the fat molecules that transmit nerve signals.

    This seemed an unlikely coincidence. Genetically isolated groups often have higher rates of certain diseases. But of the more than 20,000 human genes, only 108 are known to be involved in sphingolipid metabolism. The odds of Ashkenazi Jews having four sphingolipid storage disorders by random chance are less than 1 in 100,000, he calculated.

    He talked it over with Harpending, an expert in human population genetics. They came to believe this was an example of heterozygote advantage — where having two copies of a mutated gene can mean disaster but one copy is helpful.

    The most famous example of this is sickle cell anemia, which strikes people of African descent who have two defective copies of the hemoglobin B gene. As a result, they make red blood cells that are too curvy to carry oxygen to critical organs.

    People who have only one bad copy make useful red blood cells that are deformed just enough to protect them from the malaria parasite, insulating them against the disease.

    Instead of sickle cell anemia, Ashkenazi Jews had to contend with Tay-Sachs, Niemann-Pick and other diseases.

    Instead of malaria resistance, Cochran and Harpending reasoned, Jews got an IQ boost.

    The idea didn’t come out of nowhere. Researchers have been drawn to the question of Jewish intelligence and genetic diseases at least since the 1920s, when some of the disorders were first being studied. Many physicians remarked on the unusual intelligence of their patients.

    One of the first to conduct a systematic study was Dr. Roswell Eldridge, a neurogeneticist at the National Institutes of Health. He compared IQs of 14 children with torsion dystonia — a neurological disorder afflicting Ashkenazi Jews that twists the body through uncontrollable muscle contractions — against 10 of their healthy siblings and against unrelated Jewish students matched by age, sex and school.

    The patients had an average IQ score of 121, compared with 111 for the control students, he found. Siblings had an average IQ of 119, compared with 112 for their matched controls. The results were published in 1970 in the medical journal Lancet.

    Dr. Ari Zimran, director of Shaare Zedek Medical Center’s Gaucher Clinic in Jerusalem, thought he would get similar results by studying the very bright patients he treated for Gaucher disease, another Ashkenazi genetic disorder in which excessive amounts of a fatty substance build up in certain organs, causing pain, fatigue and other symptoms.

    His small study in the 1980s found no difference between IQs of patients and unaffected relatives. A larger study might have done so, Zimran said. But he decided not to pursue it.

    Read More
  5. @Matthew Kelly
    OT, but here's some fine Sailer-bait:
    http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/12/are-jews-white/509453

    The article was really boring and in the bland style of Expert A says this while Expert B says slightly different that. It is indistinguishable from any of dozens of similar articles on the same topic.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Matthew Kelly
    The content is not of interest, but I was thinking the timing might be.
  6. @Lot
    The article was really boring and in the bland style of Expert A says this while Expert B says slightly different that. It is indistinguishable from any of dozens of similar articles on the same topic.

    The content is not of interest, but I was thinking the timing might be.

    Read More
  7. Is there a reason for this spate of posts on “hbd” fundamentals? This may be paranoid, but do you anticipate a wave of ideological attacks against the “new race science”? Or have you attracted some influential readers for whom you want to provide ideological ammo?

    Read More
    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    What with all the excitement, I'd fallen behind on posting on recent scientific advances.
    , @CJ

    Is there a reason for this spate of posts on “hbd” fundamentals?
     
    Steve is quite capable of speaking for himself, but even a Trump fanboy like me gets tired of all Donald all the time (which is what the rest of the media and blogosphere seems to be).
  8. @b.s.a.
    Is there a reason for this spate of posts on "hbd" fundamentals? This may be paranoid, but do you anticipate a wave of ideological attacks against the "new race science"? Or have you attracted some influential readers for whom you want to provide ideological ammo?

    What with all the excitement, I’d fallen behind on posting on recent scientific advances.

    Read More
  9. So 51% is based on non-genetic factors. That’s actually pretty interesting, as it suggests environment and nurture actually may play a huge role on our lives.

    Read More
    • Replies: @b.t.o
    "So 51% is based on non-genetic factors"

    Not really Johnny Walker. When a twin study finds a genetic correlation X, it does not mean that all else is environment. It means closer to "we don't know about the rest, but we did find at ;east X% is genetic."

    Any measurement error will also show up as environment. Slatestarcodex I believe adressed this earlier this year.
    , @Chrisnonymous
    My default assumption for the last 5+ years has been that this is a good guide to understanding the interplay of genetics and other stuff on development.

    https://www.amazon.com/Nurture-Assumption-Children-Revised-Updated/dp/1439101655

    If anybody knows of recent refutations or updates to Harris' work, please post here.
    , @JayMan

    So 51% is based on non-genetic factors. That’s actually pretty interesting, as it suggests environment and nurture actually may play a huge role on our lives.
     
    Except of that 50%, 0% is the shared environment, which includes nurture and all the things people typically think about when they say "environment" – particularly parenting.

    Most of it is measurement error anyway – i.e., missed heritability. The true heritability of most behavioral traits is in the 70-90% range.

  10. Anonymous says:     Show CommentNext New Comment
    @Lot
    What these large sample genetic studies suggest is that the first generation of "designer babies" are not going to be supermen, but simply a little better than expected.

    Create 30 embryos, test them, and pick your favorite. This should cost about $30,000 using today's technology. Rather than any extreme athleticism or IQ, the chosen baby will be 3 IQ points higher, an inch taller, and have an expected lifespan 2 years longer than expected values from the parents.

    If you can afford it, it sounds like a good deal to me. $30,000 does not even cover one year tuition at a lot of fancy private high schools, and I am sure the benefits are worth far more than this. And the benefit does not only include having a better kid than expected, but avoiding a worse than expected one, for instance with congenital metal illness.

    These tests will initially only be available for whites and NE Asians since they are the ones we have big genetic databases about.

    The next step after that would be to CRISPR a few favorite additional genes onto the selected embryo. Even then, as we have not managed to locate many genes with large positive effects, the additional boost would be pretty small without a lot of advancements.

    I’d hold off on the CRISPR until scientists are able to completely prevent unanticipated mutations from occurring. By the way, you don’t necessarily want to CRISPR in additional genes but rather modify the genes we already have so that they are the most favorable alleles among the known set of possible alleles.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Lot
    I agree. It is the logical next step, but CRISPR is not close to be ready for eugenic fertility practices.

    It may also stay prohibitively expensive for a long time even if it works in theory.
  11. “as it suggests environment and nurture actually may play a huge role on our lives” – Your grandam knew that but apparently you have regressed enough to need to read it in a scientific journal.

    Read More
  12. @JohnnyWalker123
    So 51% is based on non-genetic factors. That's actually pretty interesting, as it suggests environment and nurture actually may play a huge role on our lives.

    “So 51% is based on non-genetic factors”

    Not really Johnny Walker. When a twin study finds a genetic correlation X, it does not mean that all else is environment. It means closer to “we don’t know about the rest, but we did find at ;east X% is genetic.”

    Any measurement error will also show up as environment. Slatestarcodex I believe adressed this earlier this year.

    Read More
  13. @JohnnyWalker123
    So 51% is based on non-genetic factors. That's actually pretty interesting, as it suggests environment and nurture actually may play a huge role on our lives.

    My default assumption for the last 5+ years has been that this is a good guide to understanding the interplay of genetics and other stuff on development.

    https://www.amazon.com/Nurture-Assumption-Children-Revised-Updated/dp/1439101655

    If anybody knows of recent refutations or updates to Harris’ work, please post here.

    Read More
  14. @Matthew Kelly
    OT, but here's some fine Sailer-bait:
    http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/12/are-jews-white/509453

    “Are jews White?”
    I dunno. Are blacks White? It’s a mystery . . .

    Read More
    • Replies: @NoseytheDuke
    There was an article listed here earlier entitled Are Jews White? When I clicked on it it had been removed. Why, I wonder?
  15. @Anonymous
    I'd hold off on the CRISPR until scientists are able to completely prevent unanticipated mutations from occurring. By the way, you don't necessarily want to CRISPR in additional genes but rather modify the genes we already have so that they are the most favorable alleles among the known set of possible alleles.

    I agree. It is the logical next step, but CRISPR is not close to be ready for eugenic fertility practices.

    It may also stay prohibitively expensive for a long time even if it works in theory.

    Read More
  16. “Despite a century of research on complex traits in humans, the relative importance and specific nature of the influences of genes and environment on human traits remain controversial.”

    Of course. The fact that race exists and that there is such a thing as IQ is controversial to the leftist race deniers.

    Read More
  17. Fifty-Fifty

    If it was really ‘fifty-fifty’, it seems very unlikely (astonishing) findings like the following would be possible:

    STANDARDIZED TESTS: THE INTERPRETATION OF RACIAL AND ETHNIC GAPS

    Black children from the wealthiest families have mean SAT scores lower than white children from families below the poverty line.

    Black children of parents with graduate degrees have lower SAT scores than white children of parents with a high-school diploma or less.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Triumph104
    John Rivers tweeted a bogus chart. Many of those countries didn't participate in the 2015 or 2011 TIMSS at all. A few like Botswana, only participated in the fourth grade test, not the 8th grade test as printed in the tweet.

    List of countries 2015 TIMSS, 8th grade:
    http://www.unz.com/isteve/timss-today-pisa-next-week/

  18. A Mexican cashier will not know how to calculate the change, in his head, from a $1 bill, for $0.79 fountain drink. This is as true as the sun will rise. Honest, hard-working people they are.

    Read More
    • Replies: @(((Owen)))

    A Mexican cashier will not know how to calculate the change
     
    Maybe a Mexican-American cashier won't know how to make change.

    A Mexican, on the other hand, will know how to do it in his head and even be capable of doing a three way transaction with a neighboring merchant to get your change when he has only large bills and the neighbor has only small bills and you need some funny amount of change because you just came back from the ATM with all large bills.
    , @Jim Don Bob
    I gave the young black cashier at McDonalds $0.78 for a cup of coffee this morning that cost $0.63 and he looked at me like I was insane.
    , @Formerly CARealist
    Counting back change or working a CASH register is purely practice and nothing else. When I worked in that environment, several decades ago, we all became experts at it. Some of us were merely slow and others were downright stupid. It didn't matter, all we needed was experience.

    This was a doughnut shop. Making and selling doughnuts is pretty simple work. And may it never leave our world.

    Chocolate old-fashioned. OMG!
  19. @jJay
    Steve has mentioned that he and Mrs. Steve want their kitchen remodeled. (And hope this has been accomplished!) I am being very practical here. Would you want Steve's kitchen to be remodeled by Blacks or Mexicans? Their IQ scores are only about 3-5 points apart from what I've gathered.

    This might be a head-scratcher if you live in Vermont, but not if you live in Southern California.

    We just finished remodeling our own kitchen, not far from where Steve lives. The prime contractor was Chinese. He had Eastern Europeans do the counter work, Mexicans do the demo and flooring, Filipinos install the cabinets, and a fellow Chinaman do the finishing and painting.

    I hired a black contractor to install the sink, garbage disposal, and such. He didn't tighten any of the fittings. jJay did that much. No Ashkenazim Jew were involved.

    Q: “How many Poles does it take to screw in a lightbulb?”

    A: “The same number of ethnicities it takes to remodel a kitchen.”

    Read More
  20. @Matthew Kelly
    OT, but here's some fine Sailer-bait:
    http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/12/are-jews-white/509453

    I skimmed it and didn’t see Hila Hershkoviz mentioned anywhere.

    http://blogs.timesofisrael.com/ashkenazi-jews-are-not-white-response-to-haaretz-article/

    They often resemble Europeans, but they aren’t Europeans genetically and they sure as hell don’t identify with us.

    Read More
    • Replies: @unpc downunder
    Most Ashkenazi Jews are more than 50 percent European in terms of DNA. This is just basic common sense. If you look and act like a European it's highly unlikely you are less than 50 percent European.

    And generally speaking, Jews do identity with urban upper middle class whites. If they didn't identify with them, they wouldn't marry them so often. It's rural, suburban and blue collar whites they clash with.
    , @Anonymous
    Ashkenazi Jews have around 50% European admixture. Most of that admixture is of Southern European origin, but there is a small component that is of Eastern/Northern European origin. Also, the non-European genetic element in Ashkenazi Jews is Levantine. Levantine non-Muslim populations are among the populations closest to European Whites. Even Northern European Whites can be modeled as a mixture of Early European Farmers, Western Hunter Gatherers, and Ancestral North Eurasians. The Early Neolithic Farmers were themselves descended from farmers who migrated to Europe from Anatolia and the Levant around 10,000 years ago and subsequently mixed with hunter-gatherer populations who were already there. The Bronze-Age Indo-European invaders can themselves be modeled as a mixture of all three of these basic components.
  21. @eah
    Fifty-Fifty

    If it was really 'fifty-fifty', it seems very unlikely (astonishing) findings like the following would be possible:

    STANDARDIZED TESTS: THE INTERPRETATION OF RACIAL AND ETHNIC GAPS

    Black children from the wealthiest families have mean SAT scores lower than white children from families below the poverty line.

    Black children of parents with graduate degrees have lower SAT scores than white children of parents with a high-school diploma or less.

    https://twitter.com/JohnRiversX4/status/805272545796624384

    John Rivers tweeted a bogus chart. Many of those countries didn’t participate in the 2015 or 2011 TIMSS at all. A few like Botswana, only participated in the fourth grade test, not the 8th grade test as printed in the tweet.

    List of countries 2015 TIMSS, 8th grade:

    http://www.unz.com/isteve/timss-today-pisa-next-week/

    Read More
    • Replies: @eah
    Thanks -- I did not check into the details because I assumed the conclusion ('a top 95% score in most of Black Africa is lower than a bottom 5% score in East Asia') was probably roughly accurate -- in any case I still see the discrepancy -- however 'rough' -- as indicative that it cannot be 50-50.
  22. @jjay
    A Mexican cashier will not know how to calculate the change, in his head, from a $1 bill, for $0.79 fountain drink. This is as true as the sun will rise. Honest, hard-working people they are.

    A Mexican cashier will not know how to calculate the change

    Maybe a Mexican-American cashier won’t know how to make change.

    A Mexican, on the other hand, will know how to do it in his head and even be capable of doing a three way transaction with a neighboring merchant to get your change when he has only large bills and the neighbor has only small bills and you need some funny amount of change because you just came back from the ATM with all large bills.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    Henry Harpending noted when he lived in the Kalahari Desert that Bushmen who didn't have a word for a number higher than 3 in their language could tell when a shopkeeper tried to cheat them while making change.
    , @Neil Templeton
    The Central Banker can make your change through printing it straight outright and buying your undervalued assets at a premium. Regarding your millions of neighbors who risk loss through inflation in their cash holdings and fixed rate contracts, they are made whole with the promise that either the funds will circulate only among rich guys who purchase only rich guy stuff, or their neighbors will produce enough goods and services to offset inflation through growth inspired by creative expansion of the labor force and investment in the neighbors of people you will never know, or care about, and who will use the influx of American dollars to purchase US debt, ranches in Wyoming, and apartments in Manhattan.

    Regarding the more limited number of your neighbors who might concern themselves with the extravagance of purchasing underwater assets at a premium, or the unforeseen consequences of flooding their nation with strangers, or the risk of trading large volumes of American assets to those who may not share even remotely similar values; they can pound sand.
  23. Great article by Scott Alexander about how 50% heritable actually means “measurably 50% heritable and probably much more”:

    http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/03/16/non-shared-environment-doesnt-just-mean-schools-and-peers/

    “Imagine a world where intelligence is entirely genetic. Two identical twins take an IQ test, one makes some lucky guesses, the other is tired, and they end up with a score difference of 5 points. Then some random unrelated people take the test and they get the 5 point difference plus an extra 20 point difference from genuinely having different IQs. In this world, scientists might conclude that about 80% of IQ is genetic and 20% is environmental. But in fact in terms of real, stable IQ differences, 100% would be genetic and 0% environmental.”

    Read More
    • Replies: @eah
    "...and probably much more"

    Thanks for the link -- that has certainly always been my view.
  24. @(((Owen)))

    A Mexican cashier will not know how to calculate the change
     
    Maybe a Mexican-American cashier won't know how to make change.

    A Mexican, on the other hand, will know how to do it in his head and even be capable of doing a three way transaction with a neighboring merchant to get your change when he has only large bills and the neighbor has only small bills and you need some funny amount of change because you just came back from the ATM with all large bills.

    Henry Harpending noted when he lived in the Kalahari Desert that Bushmen who didn’t have a word for a number higher than 3 in their language could tell when a shopkeeper tried to cheat them while making change.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Almost Missouri
    Isn't that sort of a refutation of the Sapir-Whorf hypothesis?
  25. @Paul Walker Most beautiful man ever...
    "Are jews White?"
    I dunno. Are blacks White? It's a mystery . . .

    There was an article listed here earlier entitled Are Jews White? When I clicked on it it had been removed. Why, I wonder?

    Read More
    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    I decided to perhaps touch on it in my Taki's column.
  26. @Triumph104
    John Rivers tweeted a bogus chart. Many of those countries didn't participate in the 2015 or 2011 TIMSS at all. A few like Botswana, only participated in the fourth grade test, not the 8th grade test as printed in the tweet.

    List of countries 2015 TIMSS, 8th grade:
    http://www.unz.com/isteve/timss-today-pisa-next-week/

    Thanks — I did not check into the details because I assumed the conclusion (‘a top 95% score in most of Black Africa is lower than a bottom 5% score in East Asia’) was probably roughly accurate — in any case I still see the discrepancy — however ‘rough’ — as indicative that it cannot be 50-50.

    Read More
  27. @Andrew Swift
    Great article by Scott Alexander about how 50% heritable actually means "measurably 50% heritable and probably much more":

    http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/03/16/non-shared-environment-doesnt-just-mean-schools-and-peers/

    "Imagine a world where intelligence is entirely genetic. Two identical twins take an IQ test, one makes some lucky guesses, the other is tired, and they end up with a score difference of 5 points. Then some random unrelated people take the test and they get the 5 point difference plus an extra 20 point difference from genuinely having different IQs. In this world, scientists might conclude that about 80% of IQ is genetic and 20% is environmental. But in fact in terms of real, stable IQ differences, 100% would be genetic and 0% environmental."

    “…and probably much more”

    Thanks for the link — that has certainly always been my view.

    Read More
  28. My Grandfather, from Belfast, with only an 8th grade education, could easily add up a column of numbers in his head and make change for 71 cents. A lot of black kids could make quick change for hundred $ bill in the 1980s during the crack era.

    I have been working in Compton, CA the last few months. No blacks run grocery stores there. Why?

    I don’t think this is strongly IQ related. It’s something else. These are my countrymen and I wish them well. They won’t take full ownership of their businesses like Asians will perhaps.

    Read More
  29. @NoseytheDuke
    There was an article listed here earlier entitled Are Jews White? When I clicked on it it had been removed. Why, I wonder?

    I decided to perhaps touch on it in my Taki’s column.

    Read More
  30. OT

    There’s a new peadophile/’child abuse’ scandal in UK soccer, where one ex-player made allegations against a (deceased) youth coach, another half-dozen people then also accused him, and now the game’s administrators have had several hundred allegations against the youth coaches of various clubs (among which Chelsea, who paid an alleged victim £50,000 to keep schtum).

    I’m not suggesting these allegations aren’t true. Soccer is a pretty macho sport and you can see why people kept quiet about what happened to them.

    But what’s impressive is the amount of coverage the state media are giving it here – headline news on BBC and in the Guardian day after day, as with the former DJ Jimmy Savile. Compare that with their silence over the last 20 years of Rotherham-style group abuse on a much greater scale. The implicit strategy, as with crime, is to maximise coverage of white offenders and minimise coverage of non-white offenders.

    Also OT but Steveish

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/dec/06/turkey-coup-fethullahgulen-charter-schools

    “Harmony’s flagship campus in Houston has become an improbable battleground in a spat between Turkey’s president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, and a dissident Turkish cleric.

    The Turkish government has hired an international law firm to investigate a large chain of charter schools in Texas and across the country, which it alleges is connected to a dissident Turkish cleric – and one-time political ally of Erdoğan – Fethullah Gülen.”

    Read More
    • Replies: @Anonymous
    I'm pretty damned sure that the great big soccer 'nonce' scandal is all about money.
    There is a ton of money in English soccer, the nonce victims - who I tend to believe, but why oh why didn't they complain decades ago when the nonces were still alive and punishable, and when totally different owners, managers and management teams ran the clubs - are fully aware that there is a lucrative seam of paydirt in soccer.
    Same with the BBC - just think 30 million licence fees at £150 a pop, a big rock candy mountain of solid gold.

    Anyhow, a genuine victim of crime - and not someone seeking compensation for an injury caused by a criminal - would be satisfied by his abuser being banged up and locked away - and not by money.
  31. Anonymous says:     Show CommentNext New Comment
    @Anonymous Nephew
    OT

    There's a new peadophile/'child abuse' scandal in UK soccer, where one ex-player made allegations against a (deceased) youth coach, another half-dozen people then also accused him, and now the game's administrators have had several hundred allegations against the youth coaches of various clubs (among which Chelsea, who paid an alleged victim £50,000 to keep schtum).

    I'm not suggesting these allegations aren't true. Soccer is a pretty macho sport and you can see why people kept quiet about what happened to them.

    But what's impressive is the amount of coverage the state media are giving it here - headline news on BBC and in the Guardian day after day, as with the former DJ Jimmy Savile. Compare that with their silence over the last 20 years of Rotherham-style group abuse on a much greater scale. The implicit strategy, as with crime, is to maximise coverage of white offenders and minimise coverage of non-white offenders.

    Also OT but Steveish

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/dec/06/turkey-coup-fethullahgulen-charter-schools

    "Harmony’s flagship campus in Houston has become an improbable battleground in a spat between Turkey’s president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, and a dissident Turkish cleric.

    The Turkish government has hired an international law firm to investigate a large chain of charter schools in Texas and across the country, which it alleges is connected to a dissident Turkish cleric – and one-time political ally of Erdoğan – Fethullah Gülen."
     

    I’m pretty damned sure that the great big soccer ‘nonce’ scandal is all about money.
    There is a ton of money in English soccer, the nonce victims – who I tend to believe, but why oh why didn’t they complain decades ago when the nonces were still alive and punishable, and when totally different owners, managers and management teams ran the clubs – are fully aware that there is a lucrative seam of paydirt in soccer.
    Same with the BBC – just think 30 million licence fees at £150 a pop, a big rock candy mountain of solid gold.

    Anyhow, a genuine victim of crime – and not someone seeking compensation for an injury caused by a criminal – would be satisfied by his abuser being banged up and locked away – and not by money.

    Read More
  32. Strictly a layman when it comes to biology and genetics but nature is smarter and while we can study genes to imagine we can ‘improve’ upon what nature has arranged is unlikely. Its a bit like ‘time travel’. Were you to go back in time and change one small thing 1,000 years ago you could have no way of knowing what that would lead to today. Maybe that same problem exists with messing around with genes. We are designed to cope with the world we exist in and we cannot know what genetic components will equip us best for an uncertain future.

    Read More
  33. @JohnnyWalker123
    So 51% is based on non-genetic factors. That's actually pretty interesting, as it suggests environment and nurture actually may play a huge role on our lives.

    So 51% is based on non-genetic factors. That’s actually pretty interesting, as it suggests environment and nurture actually may play a huge role on our lives.

    Except of that 50%, 0% is the shared environment, which includes nurture and all the things people typically think about when they say “environment” – particularly parenting.

    Most of it is measurement error anyway – i.e., missed heritability. The true heritability of most behavioral traits is in the 70-90% range.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Seth Largo
    Right. Things that happen in the womb, in particular. "Not genetic" doesn't automatically equate to "social structures and upbringing."
    , @candid_observer
    I'm not sure I get the claim that most of the remaining variance is measurement error, at least with respect to well known tests such as IQ tests. They have a pretty good idea how much measurement error there is in an IQ test -- it's typically part of the vetting process for the test, I think.

    Don't they just find a way to correct for measurement error before they report heritability? For example, if, on average, identical twins were to score within the variability predicted by measurement error, wouldn't that amount to evidence that IQ was wholly heritable for them, in the sense of broad heritability?

    , @phil
    JayMan,

    Actually, some of the 51% DOES reflect the impact of shared environment. The meta-analysis cited by Steve includes numerous studies of children and teenagers. It is true that the impact of shared environment tends toward 0%, but only by adulthood.
  34. This is not to say that Nurture or Environment or anything terribly specific accounts for the other 51%. Just call it All Else.

    Well, we know that structural racism accounts for (at least) 100% a priori, so it follows that oppressed parents must be doing a 51% better job than oppressor just to account for the observed equality of merit.

    Read More
  35. @jjay
    A Mexican cashier will not know how to calculate the change, in his head, from a $1 bill, for $0.79 fountain drink. This is as true as the sun will rise. Honest, hard-working people they are.

    I gave the young black cashier at McDonalds $0.78 for a cup of coffee this morning that cost $0.63 and he looked at me like I was insane.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Jack D
    The worst is when they accidentally punch in the wrong amount tendered into their register ($100 instead of $10) and now they have to figure the change on their own. After a while I take them out of their misery and tell them how much change to give me.
  36. Anon says:     Show CommentNext New Comment
    Read More
    • Replies: @Almost Missouri
    That Detroit News article about unrecountable ballots says that Hillary won't be able to re-fiddle her vote counts up even higher because so many of the ballot containers are damaged or dubious. Which is nominally good news. But the implication is that but for the messed up ballots, Hillary might have had a chance to flip Michigan.

    But that misses the point of what made the ballots messed up in first place.

    Mysteriously, almost all the damaged balloting is in heavily blue districts (Detroit and Flint). So it's pretty obvious that they were already heavily frauded to get Hillary as close as she was. Which also left the districts' balloting damaged and made the originally certified vote counts unamendable. So now that the Dems realize they need to cheat even more than they did, they are stuck in their own trap.

    Of course the Detroit News can't says this directly.

  37. @Steve Sailer
    Henry Harpending noted when he lived in the Kalahari Desert that Bushmen who didn't have a word for a number higher than 3 in their language could tell when a shopkeeper tried to cheat them while making change.

    Isn’t that sort of a refutation of the Sapir-Whorf hypothesis?

    Read More
    • Replies: @melendwyr
    We hardly need *more* refutations of Sapir-Whorf. In its strong form, at least, it's as close to completely wrong as you can be without being it.
  38. @Anon
    http://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2016/12/05/recount-unrecountable/95007392/

    http://city-journal.org/html/french-twist-14875.html

    That Detroit News article about unrecountable ballots says that Hillary won’t be able to re-fiddle her vote counts up even higher because so many of the ballot containers are damaged or dubious. Which is nominally good news. But the implication is that but for the messed up ballots, Hillary might have had a chance to flip Michigan.

    But that misses the point of what made the ballots messed up in first place.

    Mysteriously, almost all the damaged balloting is in heavily blue districts (Detroit and Flint). So it’s pretty obvious that they were already heavily frauded to get Hillary as close as she was. Which also left the districts’ balloting damaged and made the originally certified vote counts unamendable. So now that the Dems realize they need to cheat even more than they did, they are stuck in their own trap.

    Of course the Detroit News can’t says this directly.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Anon
    One thing for sure, the spin that Hillary lost the white working vote because of identity politics is only half of it.

    After all, Romney also lost much of that vote, and he didn't go for identity politics. Why did he lose those votes? Because of the Bane Factor.

    Hillary alienated the white working class with identity politics and the Bane Factor. She got tagged more with Wall Street that is for 'free trade'.

    But to say she got too close to Wall Street, the 1%, the oligarchy, the Jewish Power, and etc. would be more upsetting to the Narrative. Shhhh about the power of the Tribe.

    Another thing. We can't blame her for sucking up to identity politics and the 1%. After all, she lost to Obama in 2008 because Obama had greater appeal to non-whites and to the 1%. Hillary's biggest supporters in 2008 came from the white working class and middle class, but she couldn't win. She lost to the mulatto who was favored by the 1%, non-whites, and young people.

    Also, for 8 yrs under Obama, the narrative was 'white people are over', especially after Romney lost in 2012 followed by the Obama Conqueror Newsweek cover.
    Also, it was under Obama that identity politics took off in so many tangents. Sexual deviants exploded into 50 genders. Of course, whether 10, 50, or 100 genders, it's just further division of a sexually deviant population that is maybe 3% of the whole. If you divide the 3% into 50 genders, that means more identities but still only 3% of the population. But gender politics made it seem like there are more prog voters when it was just cutting a bean into smaller pieces. Progs went from bean-counting to bean-cutting.

    https://youtu.be/KqEVYbPw9lI?t=1m23s

    Hillary is a vile opportunist, but she was only reacting to everything that happened since 2008. She realized that Obama won because he was favored by 1%. So, this time, she made sure the 1% would choose her. She made herself the perfect candidate for the 1%, even pushing TPP.
    And she realized from 2008 that the white working class is a spent force. So, why not just play with identity politics. ID politics will attract growing numbers of non-whites and even appeal to affluent white urban voters who love to virtue-signal about their 'inclusiveness' and hipster appreciation of 'creative' gender identities.

    For 8 yrs, Obama did little but serve the 1% and push identity politics. Hillary made sure that this formula would work for her this time. The difference was Obama was better at hiding his ties to the 1%(with the help of the media). And of course, the GOP made this easy since it accused Obama of 'socialism' of all things. According to the GOP, Obama's problem was he wasn't doing enough for the 1%. It's like GOP bitching that Obama's biggest sin is 'throwing Israel under the bus' when he'd been doing little else but serve Israel.
    When Obama was serving the 1%, the GOP position was he wasn't serving it strongly enough. So, Obama could seem like a champion of the Workers.
    Trump changed this dynamics in 2016 by attacking Wall Street.
    Also, even though Obama and Hillary were war-mongers, GOP made them look like peaceniks because its complaint was Obama and Hillary aren't aggressive enough in the Middle East. GOP nuts were blaming Obama and Hillary for not going deeper into Libya and Syria. Trump reversed this narrative too. He played the peace candidate.

    Anyway, if ID politics in 2008 was hopeful(with the dream that a black president will lead to reduction in racial discord), it got ugly in 2016 with blacks and SJW's rampaging around. And even with Muslim attacks in US and EU. And even cop killings.
    Also, Trump played a new kind of implicitly white identity politics by energizing the middle class and working class with civic nationalism. Trump also cast some doubts into homos and blacks. He told homos that Muslims kill them. He told blacks that open borders will mean less for blacks. Blacks didn't vote for him in big numbers, but in some states, they stayed home in big numbers.

    Also, Obama had Bush disaster to run against in 2008. And in 2012, Romney could be spun as the Wall Street candidate. Obama ran on a kind of Propulism, the populism of the 'proposition nation', the new manifest destiny of replacing white folks with the entire world who will collaborate with Glob elites in the beating down of white America.
    , @Anon
    If inner city voting is routinely rigged in favor of the Democrats, this makes me wonder what Trump's actual inner city vote count was. He may very well have won the national popular vote if it was honestly counted. This makes me wonder if it's worth forcing the Democrats to count inner city votes honestly. Republicans might be able to flip more coastal states if they do and create a national Republican lock on the vote instead of having to struggle each election cycle.
  39. @Almost Missouri
    Isn't that sort of a refutation of the Sapir-Whorf hypothesis?

    We hardly need *more* refutations of Sapir-Whorf. In its strong form, at least, it’s as close to completely wrong as you can be without being it.

    Read More
  40. @JayMan

    So 51% is based on non-genetic factors. That’s actually pretty interesting, as it suggests environment and nurture actually may play a huge role on our lives.
     
    Except of that 50%, 0% is the shared environment, which includes nurture and all the things people typically think about when they say "environment" – particularly parenting.

    Most of it is measurement error anyway – i.e., missed heritability. The true heritability of most behavioral traits is in the 70-90% range.

    Right. Things that happen in the womb, in particular. “Not genetic” doesn’t automatically equate to “social structures and upbringing.”

    Read More
  41. @Lot
    What these large sample genetic studies suggest is that the first generation of "designer babies" are not going to be supermen, but simply a little better than expected.

    Create 30 embryos, test them, and pick your favorite. This should cost about $30,000 using today's technology. Rather than any extreme athleticism or IQ, the chosen baby will be 3 IQ points higher, an inch taller, and have an expected lifespan 2 years longer than expected values from the parents.

    If you can afford it, it sounds like a good deal to me. $30,000 does not even cover one year tuition at a lot of fancy private high schools, and I am sure the benefits are worth far more than this. And the benefit does not only include having a better kid than expected, but avoiding a worse than expected one, for instance with congenital metal illness.

    These tests will initially only be available for whites and NE Asians since they are the ones we have big genetic databases about.

    The next step after that would be to CRISPR a few favorite additional genes onto the selected embryo. Even then, as we have not managed to locate many genes with large positive effects, the additional boost would be pretty small without a lot of advancements.

    “Create 30 embryos, test them, and pick your favorite. This should cost about $30,000 using today’s technology.”

    So what happens to the 29 that are not selected? Back to the vault? Thrown out in the dumpster?

    So much for valuing human life…

    Read More
    • Replies: @Jack D
    Think of all the billions of sperm cells that get wasted every day!
  42. @JayMan

    So 51% is based on non-genetic factors. That’s actually pretty interesting, as it suggests environment and nurture actually may play a huge role on our lives.
     
    Except of that 50%, 0% is the shared environment, which includes nurture and all the things people typically think about when they say "environment" – particularly parenting.

    Most of it is measurement error anyway – i.e., missed heritability. The true heritability of most behavioral traits is in the 70-90% range.

    I’m not sure I get the claim that most of the remaining variance is measurement error, at least with respect to well known tests such as IQ tests. They have a pretty good idea how much measurement error there is in an IQ test — it’s typically part of the vetting process for the test, I think.

    Don’t they just find a way to correct for measurement error before they report heritability? For example, if, on average, identical twins were to score within the variability predicted by measurement error, wouldn’t that amount to evidence that IQ was wholly heritable for them, in the sense of broad heritability?

    Read More
    • Replies: @candid_observer
    Here's a fairly standard way of correcting for measurement error, going back to Spearman:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correction_for_attenuation
    , @JayMan

    I’m not sure I get the claim that most of the remaining variance is measurement error, at least with respect to well known tests such as IQ tests. They have a pretty good idea how much measurement error there is in an IQ test — it’s typically part of the vetting process for the test, I think.
     
    There heritability of IQ is in the .75-.9 range. Where as the heritability of personality is typically measured around .5. That's where noise comes in. When you correct for noisy measurments, the heritability of non-IQ behavioral traits rises to be comparable with IQ.
    , @utu
    Only systematic error can be corrected if their nature is well understood. This is not the case here. The twin studies that resulted in the claim that 70% of IQ variance is explained by heritability just state this and nothing else and certainly not that any individual person IQ is 70% due to heritability. But the results of twin studies are often over interpreted. A proper question about heritability of IQ would be as follows: What is the maximum attainable IQmax for a person with a given genetic makeup? And then which factors contributed to the fact that his IQ is what it is (IQ<IQmax). Twin studies can not answer this questions but it could if were permitted to make experiment on babies and children.

    The result of separated twin studies are not absolute because they are strongly sample dependent. If the twins end up having very similar IQ's because their experienced very similar environments (say middle class home) the results would be larger than 70%. And if the twins had very different IQ's because, say one of the twins was subjected to growth impeding abusive environment the result of the study would indicate that heritability is much smaller than 70%.

    While everybody likes to cite the twin studies results very few really understand their meaning and their weakness.
  43. @b.s.a.
    Is there a reason for this spate of posts on "hbd" fundamentals? This may be paranoid, but do you anticipate a wave of ideological attacks against the "new race science"? Or have you attracted some influential readers for whom you want to provide ideological ammo?

    Is there a reason for this spate of posts on “hbd” fundamentals?

    Steve is quite capable of speaking for himself, but even a Trump fanboy like me gets tired of all Donald all the time (which is what the rest of the media and blogosphere seems to be).

    Read More
    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    Yes, I wanted to class up the joint a little with some sciencey stuff.
  44. @jjay
    A Mexican cashier will not know how to calculate the change, in his head, from a $1 bill, for $0.79 fountain drink. This is as true as the sun will rise. Honest, hard-working people they are.

    Counting back change or working a CASH register is purely practice and nothing else. When I worked in that environment, several decades ago, we all became experts at it. Some of us were merely slow and others were downright stupid. It didn’t matter, all we needed was experience.

    This was a doughnut shop. Making and selling doughnuts is pretty simple work. And may it never leave our world.

    Chocolate old-fashioned. OMG!

    Read More
  45. @JayMan

    So 51% is based on non-genetic factors. That’s actually pretty interesting, as it suggests environment and nurture actually may play a huge role on our lives.
     
    Except of that 50%, 0% is the shared environment, which includes nurture and all the things people typically think about when they say "environment" – particularly parenting.

    Most of it is measurement error anyway – i.e., missed heritability. The true heritability of most behavioral traits is in the 70-90% range.

    JayMan,

    Actually, some of the 51% DOES reflect the impact of shared environment. The meta-analysis cited by Steve includes numerous studies of children and teenagers. It is true that the impact of shared environment tends toward 0%, but only by adulthood.

    Read More
  46. Anon says:     Show CommentNext New Comment
    @Almost Missouri
    That Detroit News article about unrecountable ballots says that Hillary won't be able to re-fiddle her vote counts up even higher because so many of the ballot containers are damaged or dubious. Which is nominally good news. But the implication is that but for the messed up ballots, Hillary might have had a chance to flip Michigan.

    But that misses the point of what made the ballots messed up in first place.

    Mysteriously, almost all the damaged balloting is in heavily blue districts (Detroit and Flint). So it's pretty obvious that they were already heavily frauded to get Hillary as close as she was. Which also left the districts' balloting damaged and made the originally certified vote counts unamendable. So now that the Dems realize they need to cheat even more than they did, they are stuck in their own trap.

    Of course the Detroit News can't says this directly.

    One thing for sure, the spin that Hillary lost the white working vote because of identity politics is only half of it.

    After all, Romney also lost much of that vote, and he didn’t go for identity politics. Why did he lose those votes? Because of the Bane Factor.

    Hillary alienated the white working class with identity politics and the Bane Factor. She got tagged more with Wall Street that is for ‘free trade’.

    But to say she got too close to Wall Street, the 1%, the oligarchy, the Jewish Power, and etc. would be more upsetting to the Narrative. Shhhh about the power of the Tribe.

    Another thing. We can’t blame her for sucking up to identity politics and the 1%. After all, she lost to Obama in 2008 because Obama had greater appeal to non-whites and to the 1%. Hillary’s biggest supporters in 2008 came from the white working class and middle class, but she couldn’t win. She lost to the mulatto who was favored by the 1%, non-whites, and young people.

    Also, for 8 yrs under Obama, the narrative was ‘white people are over’, especially after Romney lost in 2012 followed by the Obama Conqueror Newsweek cover.
    Also, it was under Obama that identity politics took off in so many tangents. Sexual deviants exploded into 50 genders. Of course, whether 10, 50, or 100 genders, it’s just further division of a sexually deviant population that is maybe 3% of the whole. If you divide the 3% into 50 genders, that means more identities but still only 3% of the population. But gender politics made it seem like there are more prog voters when it was just cutting a bean into smaller pieces. Progs went from bean-counting to bean-cutting.

    Hillary is a vile opportunist, but she was only reacting to everything that happened since 2008. She realized that Obama won because he was favored by 1%. So, this time, she made sure the 1% would choose her. She made herself the perfect candidate for the 1%, even pushing TPP.
    And she realized from 2008 that the white working class is a spent force. So, why not just play with identity politics. ID politics will attract growing numbers of non-whites and even appeal to affluent white urban voters who love to virtue-signal about their ‘inclusiveness’ and hipster appreciation of ‘creative’ gender identities.

    For 8 yrs, Obama did little but serve the 1% and push identity politics. Hillary made sure that this formula would work for her this time. The difference was Obama was better at hiding his ties to the 1%(with the help of the media). And of course, the GOP made this easy since it accused Obama of ‘socialism’ of all things. According to the GOP, Obama’s problem was he wasn’t doing enough for the 1%. It’s like GOP bitching that Obama’s biggest sin is ‘throwing Israel under the bus’ when he’d been doing little else but serve Israel.
    When Obama was serving the 1%, the GOP position was he wasn’t serving it strongly enough. So, Obama could seem like a champion of the Workers.
    Trump changed this dynamics in 2016 by attacking Wall Street.
    Also, even though Obama and Hillary were war-mongers, GOP made them look like peaceniks because its complaint was Obama and Hillary aren’t aggressive enough in the Middle East. GOP nuts were blaming Obama and Hillary for not going deeper into Libya and Syria. Trump reversed this narrative too. He played the peace candidate.

    Anyway, if ID politics in 2008 was hopeful(with the dream that a black president will lead to reduction in racial discord), it got ugly in 2016 with blacks and SJW’s rampaging around. And even with Muslim attacks in US and EU. And even cop killings.
    Also, Trump played a new kind of implicitly white identity politics by energizing the middle class and working class with civic nationalism. Trump also cast some doubts into homos and blacks. He told homos that Muslims kill them. He told blacks that open borders will mean less for blacks. Blacks didn’t vote for him in big numbers, but in some states, they stayed home in big numbers.

    Also, Obama had Bush disaster to run against in 2008. And in 2012, Romney could be spun as the Wall Street candidate. Obama ran on a kind of Propulism, the populism of the ‘proposition nation’, the new manifest destiny of replacing white folks with the entire world who will collaborate with Glob elites in the beating down of white America.

    Read More
  47. @candid_observer
    I'm not sure I get the claim that most of the remaining variance is measurement error, at least with respect to well known tests such as IQ tests. They have a pretty good idea how much measurement error there is in an IQ test -- it's typically part of the vetting process for the test, I think.

    Don't they just find a way to correct for measurement error before they report heritability? For example, if, on average, identical twins were to score within the variability predicted by measurement error, wouldn't that amount to evidence that IQ was wholly heritable for them, in the sense of broad heritability?

    Here’s a fairly standard way of correcting for measurement error, going back to Spearman:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correction_for_attenuation

    Read More
  48. @candid_observer
    I'm not sure I get the claim that most of the remaining variance is measurement error, at least with respect to well known tests such as IQ tests. They have a pretty good idea how much measurement error there is in an IQ test -- it's typically part of the vetting process for the test, I think.

    Don't they just find a way to correct for measurement error before they report heritability? For example, if, on average, identical twins were to score within the variability predicted by measurement error, wouldn't that amount to evidence that IQ was wholly heritable for them, in the sense of broad heritability?

    I’m not sure I get the claim that most of the remaining variance is measurement error, at least with respect to well known tests such as IQ tests. They have a pretty good idea how much measurement error there is in an IQ test — it’s typically part of the vetting process for the test, I think.

    There heritability of IQ is in the .75-.9 range. Where as the heritability of personality is typically measured around .5. That’s where noise comes in. When you correct for noisy measurments, the heritability of non-IQ behavioral traits rises to be comparable with IQ.

    Read More
  49. @Amasius
    I skimmed it and didn't see Hila Hershkoviz mentioned anywhere.

    http://blogs.timesofisrael.com/ashkenazi-jews-are-not-white-response-to-haaretz-article/

    They often resemble Europeans, but they aren't Europeans genetically and they sure as hell don't identify with us.

    Most Ashkenazi Jews are more than 50 percent European in terms of DNA. This is just basic common sense. If you look and act like a European it’s highly unlikely you are less than 50 percent European.

    And generally speaking, Jews do identity with urban upper middle class whites. If they didn’t identify with them, they wouldn’t marry them so often. It’s rural, suburban and blue collar whites they clash with.

    Read More
  50. @candid_observer
    I'm not sure I get the claim that most of the remaining variance is measurement error, at least with respect to well known tests such as IQ tests. They have a pretty good idea how much measurement error there is in an IQ test -- it's typically part of the vetting process for the test, I think.

    Don't they just find a way to correct for measurement error before they report heritability? For example, if, on average, identical twins were to score within the variability predicted by measurement error, wouldn't that amount to evidence that IQ was wholly heritable for them, in the sense of broad heritability?

    Only systematic error can be corrected if their nature is well understood. This is not the case here. The twin studies that resulted in the claim that 70% of IQ variance is explained by heritability just state this and nothing else and certainly not that any individual person IQ is 70% due to heritability. But the results of twin studies are often over interpreted. A proper question about heritability of IQ would be as follows: What is the maximum attainable IQmax for a person with a given genetic makeup? And then which factors contributed to the fact that his IQ is what it is (IQ<IQmax). Twin studies can not answer this questions but it could if were permitted to make experiment on babies and children.

    The result of separated twin studies are not absolute because they are strongly sample dependent. If the twins end up having very similar IQ's because their experienced very similar environments (say middle class home) the results would be larger than 70%. And if the twins had very different IQ's because, say one of the twins was subjected to growth impeding abusive environment the result of the study would indicate that heritability is much smaller than 70%.

    While everybody likes to cite the twin studies results very few really understand their meaning and their weakness.

    Read More
  51. @Jim Don Bob
    I gave the young black cashier at McDonalds $0.78 for a cup of coffee this morning that cost $0.63 and he looked at me like I was insane.

    The worst is when they accidentally punch in the wrong amount tendered into their register ($100 instead of $10) and now they have to figure the change on their own. After a while I take them out of their misery and tell them how much change to give me.

    Read More
  52. @Corvinus
    "Create 30 embryos, test them, and pick your favorite. This should cost about $30,000 using today’s technology."

    So what happens to the 29 that are not selected? Back to the vault? Thrown out in the dumpster?

    So much for valuing human life...

    Think of all the billions of sperm cells that get wasted every day!

    Read More
    • Replies: @Corvinus
    "Think of all the billions of sperm cells that get wasted every day!"

    False equivalency. A couple purposely creating a couple of dozen of embryos, selecting the "best" one, and summarily throwing the others away is not on the same ethical plane compared to a man using Kleenex to wipe off his population paste after self-indulgence.
  53. @jJay
    Steve has mentioned that he and Mrs. Steve want their kitchen remodeled. (And hope this has been accomplished!) I am being very practical here. Would you want Steve's kitchen to be remodeled by Blacks or Mexicans? Their IQ scores are only about 3-5 points apart from what I've gathered.

    This might be a head-scratcher if you live in Vermont, but not if you live in Southern California.

    We just finished remodeling our own kitchen, not far from where Steve lives. The prime contractor was Chinese. He had Eastern Europeans do the counter work, Mexicans do the demo and flooring, Filipinos install the cabinets, and a fellow Chinaman do the finishing and painting.

    I hired a black contractor to install the sink, garbage disposal, and such. He didn't tighten any of the fittings. jJay did that much. No Ashkenazim Jew were involved.

    He had Eastern Europeans do the counter work,

    Perhaps we here in Texas have grown habituated to the quality and pace of Mexican labor, but I can report from experience that it is jaw-dropping to compare the work of Eastern Europeans to what we normally get around these parts. Polish guys, in particular, work three times as fast and the quality of the work is, well, actual quality work. For the same price.

    My friend who renovates and flips houses has moved to all Eastern European labor and says he’ll never go back no matter what the price difference. He says that the most endearing difference is that when they run into problems the Poles actually solve the problems rather than cobble their way around them.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Neil Templeton
    Poles have had two big problems to solve in the last thousand years or so. Three if you count the Mongols. Lots of opportunity to build character.
  54. When this Nature vs Nurture thing is finally resolved, it will end with geneticists claiming that almost everything you are or do is based on DNA. The environmentalists will counter its not DNA, but the bad choices your Mom made by deciding to be with the wrong guy. As usual, women and minorities are hardest hit.

    Read More
  55. @Jack D
    Think of all the billions of sperm cells that get wasted every day!

    “Think of all the billions of sperm cells that get wasted every day!”

    False equivalency. A couple purposely creating a couple of dozen of embryos, selecting the “best” one, and summarily throwing the others away is not on the same ethical plane compared to a man using Kleenex to wipe off his population paste after self-indulgence.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Lot
    So you favor dysgenic fertility for morality's sake? I do not agree that is moral myself.

    Here the end point of Corvinus's Christian bioethics:

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/acts-of-faith/wp/2016/04/21/what-you-ask-is-christian-embryo-adoption-heres-a-primer/
    , @Neil Templeton
    If we're going to raise the moral bar without support in the record, why don't we just go back to Leviticus?
  56. True equivalency. Embryos have no properties of people. They don’t even have nervous systems. Undifferentiated tissue is no more a human being than a blood sample or donated organ.

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  57. @CJ

    Is there a reason for this spate of posts on “hbd” fundamentals?
     
    Steve is quite capable of speaking for himself, but even a Trump fanboy like me gets tired of all Donald all the time (which is what the rest of the media and blogosphere seems to be).

    Yes, I wanted to class up the joint a little with some sciencey stuff.

    Read More
  58. Anon says:     Show CommentNext New Comment
    @Almost Missouri
    That Detroit News article about unrecountable ballots says that Hillary won't be able to re-fiddle her vote counts up even higher because so many of the ballot containers are damaged or dubious. Which is nominally good news. But the implication is that but for the messed up ballots, Hillary might have had a chance to flip Michigan.

    But that misses the point of what made the ballots messed up in first place.

    Mysteriously, almost all the damaged balloting is in heavily blue districts (Detroit and Flint). So it's pretty obvious that they were already heavily frauded to get Hillary as close as she was. Which also left the districts' balloting damaged and made the originally certified vote counts unamendable. So now that the Dems realize they need to cheat even more than they did, they are stuck in their own trap.

    Of course the Detroit News can't says this directly.

    If inner city voting is routinely rigged in favor of the Democrats, this makes me wonder what Trump’s actual inner city vote count was. He may very well have won the national popular vote if it was honestly counted. This makes me wonder if it’s worth forcing the Democrats to count inner city votes honestly. Republicans might be able to flip more coastal states if they do and create a national Republican lock on the vote instead of having to struggle each election cycle.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Almost Missouri

    "makes me wonder if it’s worth forcing the Democrats to count inner city votes honestly"
     
    Yes, especially because the inner city "votes" are concentrated in a relatively few, densely populated, closely clustered districts, so a little poll watching goes a long way.

    On the other hand, it's hard to find R poll watchers who want to work in the dangerous and genocidal D ghettos.
  59. @Anon
    One thing for sure, the spin that Hillary lost the white working vote because of identity politics is only half of it.

    After all, Romney also lost much of that vote, and he didn't go for identity politics. Why did he lose those votes? Because of the Bane Factor.

    Hillary alienated the white working class with identity politics and the Bane Factor. She got tagged more with Wall Street that is for 'free trade'.

    But to say she got too close to Wall Street, the 1%, the oligarchy, the Jewish Power, and etc. would be more upsetting to the Narrative. Shhhh about the power of the Tribe.

    Another thing. We can't blame her for sucking up to identity politics and the 1%. After all, she lost to Obama in 2008 because Obama had greater appeal to non-whites and to the 1%. Hillary's biggest supporters in 2008 came from the white working class and middle class, but she couldn't win. She lost to the mulatto who was favored by the 1%, non-whites, and young people.

    Also, for 8 yrs under Obama, the narrative was 'white people are over', especially after Romney lost in 2012 followed by the Obama Conqueror Newsweek cover.
    Also, it was under Obama that identity politics took off in so many tangents. Sexual deviants exploded into 50 genders. Of course, whether 10, 50, or 100 genders, it's just further division of a sexually deviant population that is maybe 3% of the whole. If you divide the 3% into 50 genders, that means more identities but still only 3% of the population. But gender politics made it seem like there are more prog voters when it was just cutting a bean into smaller pieces. Progs went from bean-counting to bean-cutting.

    https://youtu.be/KqEVYbPw9lI?t=1m23s

    Hillary is a vile opportunist, but she was only reacting to everything that happened since 2008. She realized that Obama won because he was favored by 1%. So, this time, she made sure the 1% would choose her. She made herself the perfect candidate for the 1%, even pushing TPP.
    And she realized from 2008 that the white working class is a spent force. So, why not just play with identity politics. ID politics will attract growing numbers of non-whites and even appeal to affluent white urban voters who love to virtue-signal about their 'inclusiveness' and hipster appreciation of 'creative' gender identities.

    For 8 yrs, Obama did little but serve the 1% and push identity politics. Hillary made sure that this formula would work for her this time. The difference was Obama was better at hiding his ties to the 1%(with the help of the media). And of course, the GOP made this easy since it accused Obama of 'socialism' of all things. According to the GOP, Obama's problem was he wasn't doing enough for the 1%. It's like GOP bitching that Obama's biggest sin is 'throwing Israel under the bus' when he'd been doing little else but serve Israel.
    When Obama was serving the 1%, the GOP position was he wasn't serving it strongly enough. So, Obama could seem like a champion of the Workers.
    Trump changed this dynamics in 2016 by attacking Wall Street.
    Also, even though Obama and Hillary were war-mongers, GOP made them look like peaceniks because its complaint was Obama and Hillary aren't aggressive enough in the Middle East. GOP nuts were blaming Obama and Hillary for not going deeper into Libya and Syria. Trump reversed this narrative too. He played the peace candidate.

    Anyway, if ID politics in 2008 was hopeful(with the dream that a black president will lead to reduction in racial discord), it got ugly in 2016 with blacks and SJW's rampaging around. And even with Muslim attacks in US and EU. And even cop killings.
    Also, Trump played a new kind of implicitly white identity politics by energizing the middle class and working class with civic nationalism. Trump also cast some doubts into homos and blacks. He told homos that Muslims kill them. He told blacks that open borders will mean less for blacks. Blacks didn't vote for him in big numbers, but in some states, they stayed home in big numbers.

    Also, Obama had Bush disaster to run against in 2008. And in 2012, Romney could be spun as the Wall Street candidate. Obama ran on a kind of Propulism, the populism of the 'proposition nation', the new manifest destiny of replacing white folks with the entire world who will collaborate with Glob elites in the beating down of white America.

    IOW, Obama was plausibly black.

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  60. @Corvinus
    "Think of all the billions of sperm cells that get wasted every day!"

    False equivalency. A couple purposely creating a couple of dozen of embryos, selecting the "best" one, and summarily throwing the others away is not on the same ethical plane compared to a man using Kleenex to wipe off his population paste after self-indulgence.

    So you favor dysgenic fertility for morality’s sake? I do not agree that is moral myself.

    Here the end point of Corvinus’s Christian bioethics:

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/acts-of-faith/wp/2016/04/21/what-you-ask-is-christian-embryo-adoption-heres-a-primer/

    Read More
    • Replies: @Lot
    Here is that depressing story in more detail

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/acts-of-faith/wp/2016/04/21/my-wife-and-i-are-white-evangelicals-heres-why-we-chose-to-give-birth-to-black-triplets/?tid=pm_pop_b
    , @Anonymous Nephew
    Corvinus doesn't have AFAIK Christian (or indeed any) ethics. He argues in bad faith always and I don't know why people waste time 'debating' him.
    , @Corvinus
    "So you favor dysgenic fertility for morality’s sake? I do not agree that is moral myself."

    Being able to see whether or not a child has a disease by a physician offers parents time to prepare for the challenges. With researchers "fixing" certain degenerative diseases through genetic alterations, that is in the best interest of society. When these same doctors start saying that paying customers can change the sex of their child or prefer certain physical traits, then people began questioning the process from an ethical standpoint.

    "Here the end point of Corvinus’s Christian bioethics."

    The end point is that a childless couple ends up having children. What, you upset that the babies are black, with the parents being white? Wow, just wow.
  61. @Lot
    So you favor dysgenic fertility for morality's sake? I do not agree that is moral myself.

    Here the end point of Corvinus's Christian bioethics:

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/acts-of-faith/wp/2016/04/21/what-you-ask-is-christian-embryo-adoption-heres-a-primer/
    Read More
  62. @Johanus de Morgateroyde

    He had Eastern Europeans do the counter work,
     
    Perhaps we here in Texas have grown habituated to the quality and pace of Mexican labor, but I can report from experience that it is jaw-dropping to compare the work of Eastern Europeans to what we normally get around these parts. Polish guys, in particular, work three times as fast and the quality of the work is, well, actual quality work. For the same price.

    My friend who renovates and flips houses has moved to all Eastern European labor and says he'll never go back no matter what the price difference. He says that the most endearing difference is that when they run into problems the Poles actually solve the problems rather than cobble their way around them.

    Poles have had two big problems to solve in the last thousand years or so. Three if you count the Mongols. Lots of opportunity to build character.

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  63. @Corvinus
    "Think of all the billions of sperm cells that get wasted every day!"

    False equivalency. A couple purposely creating a couple of dozen of embryos, selecting the "best" one, and summarily throwing the others away is not on the same ethical plane compared to a man using Kleenex to wipe off his population paste after self-indulgence.

    If we’re going to raise the moral bar without support in the record, why don’t we just go back to Leviticus?

    Read More
  64. Anonymous says:     Show CommentNext New Comment
    @Amasius
    I skimmed it and didn't see Hila Hershkoviz mentioned anywhere.

    http://blogs.timesofisrael.com/ashkenazi-jews-are-not-white-response-to-haaretz-article/

    They often resemble Europeans, but they aren't Europeans genetically and they sure as hell don't identify with us.

    Ashkenazi Jews have around 50% European admixture. Most of that admixture is of Southern European origin, but there is a small component that is of Eastern/Northern European origin. Also, the non-European genetic element in Ashkenazi Jews is Levantine. Levantine non-Muslim populations are among the populations closest to European Whites. Even Northern European Whites can be modeled as a mixture of Early European Farmers, Western Hunter Gatherers, and Ancestral North Eurasians. The Early Neolithic Farmers were themselves descended from farmers who migrated to Europe from Anatolia and the Levant around 10,000 years ago and subsequently mixed with hunter-gatherer populations who were already there. The Bronze-Age Indo-European invaders can themselves be modeled as a mixture of all three of these basic components.

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  65. @(((Owen)))

    A Mexican cashier will not know how to calculate the change
     
    Maybe a Mexican-American cashier won't know how to make change.

    A Mexican, on the other hand, will know how to do it in his head and even be capable of doing a three way transaction with a neighboring merchant to get your change when he has only large bills and the neighbor has only small bills and you need some funny amount of change because you just came back from the ATM with all large bills.

    The Central Banker can make your change through printing it straight outright and buying your undervalued assets at a premium. Regarding your millions of neighbors who risk loss through inflation in their cash holdings and fixed rate contracts, they are made whole with the promise that either the funds will circulate only among rich guys who purchase only rich guy stuff, or their neighbors will produce enough goods and services to offset inflation through growth inspired by creative expansion of the labor force and investment in the neighbors of people you will never know, or care about, and who will use the influx of American dollars to purchase US debt, ranches in Wyoming, and apartments in Manhattan.

    Regarding the more limited number of your neighbors who might concern themselves with the extravagance of purchasing underwater assets at a premium, or the unforeseen consequences of flooding their nation with strangers, or the risk of trading large volumes of American assets to those who may not share even remotely similar values; they can pound sand.

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  66. @Lot
    So you favor dysgenic fertility for morality's sake? I do not agree that is moral myself.

    Here the end point of Corvinus's Christian bioethics:

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/acts-of-faith/wp/2016/04/21/what-you-ask-is-christian-embryo-adoption-heres-a-primer/

    Corvinus doesn’t have AFAIK Christian (or indeed any) ethics. He argues in bad faith always and I don’t know why people waste time ‘debating’ him.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Corvinus
    "Corvinus doesn’t have AFAIK Christian (or indeed any) ethics. He argues in bad faith always and I don’t know why people waste time ‘debating’ him."

    If this conversation is well above your pay grade, rather than berate me, request for some assistance. More than happy to help those who struggle with basic information.
  67. @Lot
    So you favor dysgenic fertility for morality's sake? I do not agree that is moral myself.

    Here the end point of Corvinus's Christian bioethics:

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/acts-of-faith/wp/2016/04/21/what-you-ask-is-christian-embryo-adoption-heres-a-primer/

    “So you favor dysgenic fertility for morality’s sake? I do not agree that is moral myself.”

    Being able to see whether or not a child has a disease by a physician offers parents time to prepare for the challenges. With researchers “fixing” certain degenerative diseases through genetic alterations, that is in the best interest of society. When these same doctors start saying that paying customers can change the sex of their child or prefer certain physical traits, then people began questioning the process from an ethical standpoint.

    “Here the end point of Corvinus’s Christian bioethics.”

    The end point is that a childless couple ends up having children. What, you upset that the babies are black, with the parents being white? Wow, just wow.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Lot
    The couple in question was not infertile, and yes I think they should have had their own children rather than implant three black embryos.
  68. @Anonymous Nephew
    Corvinus doesn't have AFAIK Christian (or indeed any) ethics. He argues in bad faith always and I don't know why people waste time 'debating' him.

    “Corvinus doesn’t have AFAIK Christian (or indeed any) ethics. He argues in bad faith always and I don’t know why people waste time ‘debating’ him.”

    If this conversation is well above your pay grade, rather than berate me, request for some assistance. More than happy to help those who struggle with basic information.

    Read More
  69. @Corvinus
    "So you favor dysgenic fertility for morality’s sake? I do not agree that is moral myself."

    Being able to see whether or not a child has a disease by a physician offers parents time to prepare for the challenges. With researchers "fixing" certain degenerative diseases through genetic alterations, that is in the best interest of society. When these same doctors start saying that paying customers can change the sex of their child or prefer certain physical traits, then people began questioning the process from an ethical standpoint.

    "Here the end point of Corvinus’s Christian bioethics."

    The end point is that a childless couple ends up having children. What, you upset that the babies are black, with the parents being white? Wow, just wow.

    The couple in question was not infertile, and yes I think they should have had their own children rather than implant three black embryos.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Corvinus
    "The couple in question was not infertile, and yes I think they should have had their own children rather than implant three black embryos."

    We appreciate your virtue signalling.

  70. @Lot
    The couple in question was not infertile, and yes I think they should have had their own children rather than implant three black embryos.

    “The couple in question was not infertile, and yes I think they should have had their own children rather than implant three black embryos.”

    We appreciate your virtue signalling.

    Read More
  71. @Anon
    If inner city voting is routinely rigged in favor of the Democrats, this makes me wonder what Trump's actual inner city vote count was. He may very well have won the national popular vote if it was honestly counted. This makes me wonder if it's worth forcing the Democrats to count inner city votes honestly. Republicans might be able to flip more coastal states if they do and create a national Republican lock on the vote instead of having to struggle each election cycle.

    “makes me wonder if it’s worth forcing the Democrats to count inner city votes honestly”

    Yes, especially because the inner city “votes” are concentrated in a relatively few, densely populated, closely clustered districts, so a little poll watching goes a long way.

    On the other hand, it’s hard to find R poll watchers who want to work in the dangerous and genocidal D ghettos.

    Read More

Comments are closed.

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