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From the NYT:

Murder Rates Jump in Many Major U.S. Cities, New Data Shows
By ERIC LICHTBLAU and GARDINER HARRIS MAY 13, 2016

WASHINGTON — More than 20 major cities, including Chicago, Dallas, Las Vegas and Los Angeles, have seen large increases in murders in recent months, a spike that the director of the F.B.I. linked to less aggressive policing stemming from a “viral video effect.”

The new data released Friday showed clashing trend lines across the country, with many cities seeing a sharp increase in murders while rates in others — including New York and Miami — were down significantly from last year.

Unfortunately, I can’t yet find this data online.

Update: Commenter Drake found it here.

After receiving an advance look at the data, the F.B.I. director, James B. Comey Jr., expressed alarm Wednesday about the spike in murders in some major cities. Reigniting the debate over a “Ferguson effect,” he told reporters that he believed the trend could be linked to a “viral video effect” because officers were being less aggressive for fear of ending up on videos.

The White House distanced itself from Mr. Comey on the issue, named after Ferguson, Mo., where the 2014 shooting of an unarmed black man set off protests and rioting.

Josh Earnest, the White House spokesman, told reporters Thursday that “there still is no evidence to substantiate the claim that the increase in violent crime is related to an unwillingness of police officers to do their job.”

Mr. Earnest said the president saw a false choice in any notion that police officers must decide between fighting crime and doing so in a fair way.

The White House and the F.B.I. clashed over the issue last fall as well, when Mr. Comey made similar remarks about anecdotal reports he was receiving about less aggressive policing. He indicated that the latest data — which came from polling of more than 60 cities by the Major Cities Chiefs Police Association — left him even more concerned about some officers backing off from confronting suspects.

The Washington Post found an increase across the 50 biggest cities in homicides from 2014 to 2015 of over 16 percent. That’s a big change for one year. And that’s not including St. Louis (Greater Ferguson), which isn’t big enough to make the top 50.

Another thing that might be going on is that the Mexican heroin dealers have started pushing smack in the big cities, stirring up the black gangs. Sam Quinones’s book Dreamland reported that about a half decade ago, Mexican heroin dealers were concentrating on selling heroin in white rural areas because nobody important in America much cares about white hillbillies quietly dying of overdoses (you’ll notice that nobody talked about the White Death in the media until the new Nobel Economics laureate Angus Deaton brought it up right after he won his award). But, according to Quinones, back then Mexican heroin retailers considered African Americans to be hotheaded and violent and thus to be avoided.

But that kind of prudence among foreign drug dealers can seldom last, and now Mexican heroin is spreading to black ghettos, with predictable results in terms of blacks shooting blacks:

From the NYT last month:

Crime Spike in St. Louis Traced to Cheap Heroin and Mexican Cartels
By TIMOTHY WILLIAMS APRIL 2, 2016

… The death of Ms. Walker was linked by the authorities to a violent St. Louis street gang with ties to a Mexican drug cartel that in the past has supplied marijuana and cocaine throughout the Midwest. In recent years, however, Mexican traffickers have inundated the St. Louis area with a new, potent form of heroin, drastically reducing prices for the drug and increasing its strength to attract suburban users.

The dispersal of the cheap heroin has led to a surge in overdoses, addiction and violence in cities across the country.

Besides St. Louis — where the problem is particularly acute — Chicago, Baltimore, Milwaukee and Philadelphia have attributed recent spikes in homicides in part to an increase in the trafficking of low-cost heroin by Mexican cartels working with local gangs.

“The gangs have to have a lot of customers because the heroin is so cheap,” said Gary Tuggle, the Drug Enforcement Administration’s chief in Philadelphia, who observed the same phenomenon while overseeing the agency’s Baltimore office. ”What we are seeing is these crews becoming more violent as they look to expand their turf.” …

In a trend mimicked in large cities nationally, many of the heroin consumers in St. Louis are young whites in their 20s, who drive into the city from suburbs and distant rural areas, the police say. And while most heroin overdose victims here are white, nearly all of the shooting victims and suspects in St. Louis this year have been African-American men and boys, police data shows.

“What I’m seeing at street level are violent disputes about money owed around heroin debts, with sometimes the dispute being about money, and sometimes about drugs,” said D. Samuel Dotson III, the police chief of St. Louis.

In 2014, St. Louis had the highest homicide rate of any city with more than 100,000 people.

Ferguson started in August 2014 and impacted policing across the St. Louis area.

Its 157 homicides that year increased by 18 percent in 2015 to 188, and while the rate has slowed in the initial months of this year, St. Louis is again on pace to be among the nation’s most dangerous big cities.

 
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  1. OT! But Steve will add it shortly:

    http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/15/opinion/why-are-the-highly-educated-so-liberal.html

    A choice quote:
    A distinguishing feature of this new class, according to Dr. Gouldner, was the way it spoke and argued. Steeped in science and expert knowledge, it embraced a “culture of critical discourse.” Evidence and logic were valued; appeals to traditional sources of authority were not.

    One is tempted to go over and post a comment about evidence of differential IQ, or crime rates, or any number of other types of evidence that were never really “valued.” One wonders if the era of big data will change this.

    Also cherce, as they say:
    While there’s ample evidence of the professional class using its economic and educational capital to preserve its advantages — think of the clustering of professionals into exclusive neighborhoods, or the early immersion of professional-class children into a world of literacy, art and science
    I miss the old Left. Those guys were honest and explicit about their class conflicts.

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  2. countenance says: • Website

    So far in 2016 compared to the same time period last year, in the city of St. Louis, murders are about the same, but other varieties of violent crime, including aggravated assault, are way up.

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  3. OT Steve might find this amusing:

    http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/may/13/donald-trump-india-hindu-supporters-new-delhi

    ISTR he predicted Trump would do better than many people expect with certain ethnicities who tend to admire a “big man”.

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  4. notsaying says:

    I read and see a lot about the heroine/opiode pain pill epidemics.

    I don’t ever see anything mentioned about what we are going to do to curtail the supply coming from the Mexican gangs.

    The local police arrest the lowest level drug sellers and they get long sentences. How about the higher ups?

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  5. SailerFan says:

    Trump is winning and winning and winning.

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  6. Dahlia says:

    One little data point…

    My small town is experiencing a crime wave and my husband and I were marveling last night at the demographics of the perps.
    In two months we’ve had 3 murders, 1 attempted, and a very public robbery with guns involving many people: 1 white (murdered 2) 7 black.
    We have a HUGE Hispanic (Mexican) population with Blacks making up a smallish minority and yet…

    All the Black men were attempting to, or did, rob others. I don’t know why the white man killed the two, but he was a “handy man” drifter type: no other category of human is as scary to me.

    A friend and fellow parishioner, a 75-year-old black man is friends with one of the robbery victims, another elderly, well-to-do black man. He is so upset with the crime wave that he visited our police department to tell them he was ashamed of them for letting these thugs get the upper hand.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Marty
    Welcome back Dahlia.
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  7. Anonymous says: • Disclaimer

    Just another of the consequences of Republican ideology. This is what happens when we do not adequately fund things.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Lurker
    A secure southern border wall/fence being a case in point.
    , @boogerbently
    Wow,
    A troll that's lasted a whole 3 weeks !
    , @Joe Walker
    Please explain how Republicans are causing blacks to kill each other.
    , @anon
    How are Republicans (or anybody else) forcing blacks to kill each other?
    , @Reg Cæsar

    Just another of the consequences of Republican ideology. This is what happens when we do not adequately fund things.
     
    It's a lot easier to "adequately fund things" when you're not forced to fund other things.

    I once took my brother-in-law to his state's capitol building for the first time. He was upset at the apparent profligacy, during the Depression. (Actually, it was even less so than the previous one, built in an even more frugal time, which had burned down.)

    I explained to him that taxes were much lower in that time, and voters stingier, yet other states' capitolia from the same era were more opulent than this.

    Our newest state capitols are cheap and bland, because we have to spend on prisons, and on the families that fill them.
    ReplyAgree/Disagree/Etc. More... This Commenter This Thread Hide Thread Display All Comments
  8. save us panopticon, you’re our only dope.

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  9. Priss Factor [AKA "Polly Perkins"] says:
    Read More
    • Replies: @Langley
    In the Blue state of Hawaii we call them cross-dressers when they break the law:

    http://www.staradvertiser.com/breaking-news/police-man-dressed-as-woman-uses-pepper-spray-on-walmart-worker/

    The comments suggest that the locals are fed up with the Democrat newspaper.
    ReplyAgree/Disagree/Etc. More... This Commenter This Thread Hide Thread Display All Comments
  10. I knew you were in trouble the first time I saw Obama riding his bicycle.

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  11. 2Mintzin1 says:

    “Another thing that might be going on is that the Mexican heroin dealers have started pushing smack in the big cities, stirring up the black gangs.”
    Absolutely goddamned right.
    Small cities, too.
    My own neck of the woods, Syracuse, in central NY, has lots of shootings and stabbings, especially on the South Side.

    One of the local cops got himself into trouble (don’t know if he was formally disciplined) when he admitted to a reporter that the mayhem was the result of Mexican drug dealers fighting it out with the locals …he was wise enough not to actually mention the race of the locals, but he didn’t have to.

    Read More
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  12. Lurker says:
    @Anonymous
    Just another of the consequences of Republican ideology. This is what happens when we do not adequately fund things.

    A secure southern border wall/fence being a case in point.

    Read More
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  13. @Anonymous
    Just another of the consequences of Republican ideology. This is what happens when we do not adequately fund things.

    Wow,
    A troll that’s lasted a whole 3 weeks !

    Read More
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  14. JerryC says:

    Kind of skeptical about this Mexican heroin gang thing. I live in the St Louis area and it seems to me the murders are still being committed in the same areas by the same collection of RayQuans and LaShawns. Has anything really changed?

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  15. MC says:

    If the Justice Dept. doesn’t indict Hillary, Comey should resign and become Trump’s running mate.

    Read More
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  16. JVO says:

    I’d be interested to hear what any actual police officers have to say.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Joe Walker
    Most of them won't say anything for fear of losing their jobs.
    , @Brutusale
    The police will be told by the mayor, who in turn is told by the local real estate cartel, what to say.
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  17. Mr. Earnest said the president saw a false choice in any notion that police officers must decide between fighting crime and doing so in a fair way.

    Yeah, right. Maybe a reporter should ask Josh Ernest about Officer Darren Wilson, formerly of the Ferguson Police Department.

    1.) Did he do anything wrong?
    2.) Does he still have job?

    Read More
    • Agree: Travis, TWS
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  18. Joe Walker says: • Website
    @Anonymous
    Just another of the consequences of Republican ideology. This is what happens when we do not adequately fund things.

    Please explain how Republicans are causing blacks to kill each other.

    Read More
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  19. Joe Walker says: • Website
    @JVO
    I'd be interested to hear what any actual police officers have to say.

    Most of them won’t say anything for fear of losing their jobs.

    Read More
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  20. Jefferson says:

    “The new data released Friday showed clashing trend lines across the country, with many cities seeing a sharp increase in murders while rates in others — including New York and Miami — were down significantly from last year.”

    Many Conservative New Yorkers on the internet have said that ever since De Blasio has gotten into office, the city has turned into New Jack City and The Warriors again. In 2016 will there be drug dealers and underage Gay male street prostitutes openly plying their trade in public again on 42nd street like in 1986 and 1976?

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3560664/A-time-capsule-bad-old-days-Shocking-photo-series-captures-underage-prostitutes-Times-Square-late-1970s.html

    Large swaths of New York City was just as dysfunctional and 3rd World under Ed Koch as it was under David Dinkins.

    Read More
    • Replies: @SFG
    New Jack City? It's got a way to go for that, though I wouldn't underestimate Di Blasio. Give him a few more terms. NYC has always been too liberal for its own good. It is kind of funny to see Trump going on about it though, sticking skyscrapers in the back of his videos and so on. It makes no electoral sense, but the guy loves his hometown! (Very conservative, actually.)
    , @2Mintzin1
    My liberal Manhattan relatives detest De Blasio, for the very reasons you mention.

    He is apparently enmeshed in some sort of scandal being investigated by the DA/and/or U.S. attorney. This tells me that his own party is embarrassed by him, and wants him gone.
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  21. There were eight relatives shot across four homes in southern Ohio on one day not quite a month ago. This was covered in national news for about half a day. Many commenters suggested this was Mexican cartel business (the victims were white). Still no official word on the suspects, which increases my prior on this being the case.

    http://www.dispatch.com/content/topic/news/2016/04/piketon-homicides.html

    This evening, there’s a current year Kitty Genovese incident in Philadelphia linked from Drudge:

    The witness who shot the video says the beating went on for some time. He says maybe 20 to 30 minutes.

    “Did anyone try to help the woman?,” FOX 29 asked, “No one, just bystanders, smiling laughing. Just standing around like a normal day, like nothing was even happening,” the witness said.

    http://www.fox29.com/news/140390031-story

    Below it, a local story on two white siblings found by their mother, having died from heroin:

    http://www.fox29.com/news/136622020-video

    Read More
    • Replies: @Ed
    The poor parents they lost 2 other kids before their last two kids two overdosed.
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  22. anon says: • Disclaimer
    @Anonymous
    Just another of the consequences of Republican ideology. This is what happens when we do not adequately fund things.

    How are Republicans (or anybody else) forcing blacks to kill each other?

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  23. SFG says:
    @Jefferson
    "The new data released Friday showed clashing trend lines across the country, with many cities seeing a sharp increase in murders while rates in others — including New York and Miami — were down significantly from last year."

    Many Conservative New Yorkers on the internet have said that ever since De Blasio has gotten into office, the city has turned into New Jack City and The Warriors again. In 2016 will there be drug dealers and underage Gay male street prostitutes openly plying their trade in public again on 42nd street like in 1986 and 1976?
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3560664/A-time-capsule-bad-old-days-Shocking-photo-series-captures-underage-prostitutes-Times-Square-late-1970s.html

    Large swaths of New York City was just as dysfunctional and 3rd World under Ed Koch as it was under David Dinkins.

    New Jack City? It’s got a way to go for that, though I wouldn’t underestimate Di Blasio. Give him a few more terms. NYC has always been too liberal for its own good. It is kind of funny to see Trump going on about it though, sticking skyscrapers in the back of his videos and so on. It makes no electoral sense, but the guy loves his hometown! (Very conservative, actually.)

    Read More
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  24. Langley says:
    @Priss Factor
    http://observer.com/2016/04/bernie-sanders-berated-with-questions-about-zionist-jews-at-harlem-forum/

    Uh oh, must distract us from this with more tranny stuff.

    In the Blue state of Hawaii we call them cross-dressers when they break the law:

    http://www.staradvertiser.com/breaking-news/police-man-dressed-as-woman-uses-pepper-spray-on-walmart-worker/

    The comments suggest that the locals are fed up with the Democrat newspaper.

    Read More
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  25. iSteveFan says:

    Reigniting the debate over a “Ferguson effect,” he told reporters that he believed the trend could be linked to a “viral video effect” because officers were being less aggressive for fear of ending up on videos.

    It’s funny that the White House is hesitant to believe that videos could influence cops, but enthusiastically embraced video as the culprit in Benghazi.

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  26. Drake says:

    Steve wrote:

    Unfortunately, I can’t yet find this data online.

    Here is the pdf with the raw data

    https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/2832727/MCCA-Violent-Crime-Data-1st-Quarter-2016-2015.pdf

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  27. Another thing that might be going on is that the Mexican heroin dealers have started pushing smack in the big cities, stirring up the black gangs.

    Celebrate Diversity!

    Read More
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  28. Ed says:
    @Some Economist
    There were eight relatives shot across four homes in southern Ohio on one day not quite a month ago. This was covered in national news for about half a day. Many commenters suggested this was Mexican cartel business (the victims were white). Still no official word on the suspects, which increases my prior on this being the case.
    http://www.dispatch.com/content/topic/news/2016/04/piketon-homicides.html

    This evening, there's a current year Kitty Genovese incident in Philadelphia linked from Drudge:

    The witness who shot the video says the beating went on for some time. He says maybe 20 to 30 minutes.

    "Did anyone try to help the woman?," FOX 29 asked, "No one, just bystanders, smiling laughing. Just standing around like a normal day, like nothing was even happening," the witness said.

     

    http://www.fox29.com/news/140390031-story

    Below it, a local story on two white siblings found by their mother, having died from heroin:
    http://www.fox29.com/news/136622020-video

    The poor parents they lost 2 other kids before their last two kids two overdosed.

    Read More
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  29. Marty says:
    @Dahlia
    One little data point...

    My small town is experiencing a crime wave and my husband and I were marveling last night at the demographics of the perps.
    In two months we've had 3 murders, 1 attempted, and a very public robbery with guns involving many people: 1 white (murdered 2) 7 black.
    We have a HUGE Hispanic (Mexican) population with Blacks making up a smallish minority and yet...

    All the Black men were attempting to, or did, rob others. I don't know why the white man killed the two, but he was a "handy man" drifter type: no other category of human is as scary to me.

    A friend and fellow parishioner, a 75-year-old black man is friends with one of the robbery victims, another elderly, well-to-do black man. He is so upset with the crime wave that he visited our police department to tell them he was ashamed of them for letting these thugs get the upper hand.

    Welcome back Dahlia.

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  30. Arclight says:

    Must not notice things. Reminds me of an Atlantic piece last year on how more conservative southern states have significantly worse educational outcomes than northern blue ones – which never at any point touched on the fact that most of these states tended to have very large black populations that drag the average down. Same with high rates of infant mortality, STDs, and so on. But of course read any article in The Atlantic or a similar publication and you will learn the most troublesome population are white men.

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  31. anon says: • Disclaimer

    Mr. Earnest said the president saw a false choice in any notion that police officers must decide between fighting crime and doing so in a fair way.

    Some incidents it may not be obvious what was fair until afterwards so in all those 50/50 cases if they step in they’ll be wrong 50% of the time. However if they don’t step in then the other 50% of the time…

    I also wonder about other services like ambulance, paramedic, fire. If the cops have backed off then those others tend to become next target and so imo they’re likely to have backed off as well so I wonder if there’s stats on house fires or slow ambulances or something like that as well.

    Read More
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  32. @Anonymous
    Just another of the consequences of Republican ideology. This is what happens when we do not adequately fund things.

    Just another of the consequences of Republican ideology. This is what happens when we do not adequately fund things.

    It’s a lot easier to “adequately fund things” when you’re not forced to fund other things.

    I once took my brother-in-law to his state’s capitol building for the first time. He was upset at the apparent profligacy, during the Depression. (Actually, it was even less so than the previous one, built in an even more frugal time, which had burned down.)

    I explained to him that taxes were much lower in that time, and voters stingier, yet other states’ capitolia from the same era were more opulent than this.

    Our newest state capitols are cheap and bland, because we have to spend on prisons, and on the families that fill them.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Harry Baldwin
    Yes. One hundred years ago we could build a Grand Central Terminal. Today we spend the same money supporting a few thousand Somalian refugees for a year.
    , @The most deplorable one
    China seems to have that problem under control:

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-rape-idUSBRE95I09N20130619

    I suspect that there are a good number of people in DC who do not want such things to happen here, starting with Bill Clinton, although after so many years of being married to Hillary he might actually welcome the relief.
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  33. 2Mintzin1 says:
    @Jefferson
    "The new data released Friday showed clashing trend lines across the country, with many cities seeing a sharp increase in murders while rates in others — including New York and Miami — were down significantly from last year."

    Many Conservative New Yorkers on the internet have said that ever since De Blasio has gotten into office, the city has turned into New Jack City and The Warriors again. In 2016 will there be drug dealers and underage Gay male street prostitutes openly plying their trade in public again on 42nd street like in 1986 and 1976?
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3560664/A-time-capsule-bad-old-days-Shocking-photo-series-captures-underage-prostitutes-Times-Square-late-1970s.html

    Large swaths of New York City was just as dysfunctional and 3rd World under Ed Koch as it was under David Dinkins.

    My liberal Manhattan relatives detest De Blasio, for the very reasons you mention.

    He is apparently enmeshed in some sort of scandal being investigated by the DA/and/or U.S. attorney. This tells me that his own party is embarrassed by him, and wants him gone.

    Read More
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  34. @Reg Cæsar

    Just another of the consequences of Republican ideology. This is what happens when we do not adequately fund things.
     
    It's a lot easier to "adequately fund things" when you're not forced to fund other things.

    I once took my brother-in-law to his state's capitol building for the first time. He was upset at the apparent profligacy, during the Depression. (Actually, it was even less so than the previous one, built in an even more frugal time, which had burned down.)

    I explained to him that taxes were much lower in that time, and voters stingier, yet other states' capitolia from the same era were more opulent than this.

    Our newest state capitols are cheap and bland, because we have to spend on prisons, and on the families that fill them.

    Yes. One hundred years ago we could build a Grand Central Terminal. Today we spend the same money supporting a few thousand Somalian refugees for a year.

    Read More
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  35. Yep, video surveillance of law enforcement to make sure they actually stay within the law is the problem. This could have absolutely nothing to do with all the dreamers we’ve been letting in the past couple of years.

    Read More
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  36. Brutusale says:
    @JVO
    I'd be interested to hear what any actual police officers have to say.

    The police will be told by the mayor, who in turn is told by the local real estate cartel, what to say.

    Read More
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  37. The most deplorable one [AKA "Fourth doorman of the apocalypse"] says:
    @Reg Cæsar

    Just another of the consequences of Republican ideology. This is what happens when we do not adequately fund things.
     
    It's a lot easier to "adequately fund things" when you're not forced to fund other things.

    I once took my brother-in-law to his state's capitol building for the first time. He was upset at the apparent profligacy, during the Depression. (Actually, it was even less so than the previous one, built in an even more frugal time, which had burned down.)

    I explained to him that taxes were much lower in that time, and voters stingier, yet other states' capitolia from the same era were more opulent than this.

    Our newest state capitols are cheap and bland, because we have to spend on prisons, and on the families that fill them.

    China seems to have that problem under control:

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-rape-idUSBRE95I09N20130619

    I suspect that there are a good number of people in DC who do not want such things to happen here, starting with Bill Clinton, although after so many years of being married to Hillary he might actually welcome the relief.

    Read More
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PastClassics
The “war hero” candidate buried information about POWs left behind in Vietnam.
What Was John McCain's True Wartime Record in Vietnam?
The evidence is clear — but often ignored
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