From the New York Times, a widely cited figure:
Amid ‘Trump Effect’ Fear, 40% of Colleges See Dip in Foreign Applicants
By STEPHANIE SAUL MARCH 16, 2017
… Nearly 40 percent of colleges are reporting overall declines in applications from international students, according to a survey of 250 college and universities, released this week by the American Association of Collegiate Registrars and Admissions Officers.
Key findings of the survey include:
- 39% of responding institutions reported a decline in international applications, 35% reported an increase, and 26% reported no change in applicant numbers.
Which is different by an order of magnitude than the implication of headline. Instead of 40% of colleges, the net is 39% – 35% = 4%, which is an order of magnitude smaller.