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The Late Obama Age Collapse: Murder Rate Up 19% Post-Ferguson, 29% in Big Cities

The liberal Brennan Center at NYU has a report out on crime trends that tries to shore up the reputation of the Obama Administration, but the details can be alarming. It begins on a cheerful note:

Crime Trends: 1990-2016
Matthew Friedman, Ames Grawert, James Cullen
April 18, 2017

Crime has dropped precipitously in the last quarter-century. While crime may fall in some years and rise in others, annual variations are not indicative of long-term trends. While murder rates have increased in some cities, this report finds no evidence that the hard-won public safety gains of the last two and a half decades are being reversed.

Do you hear us? No evidence!

For grins, here is Jennifer Rubin spinning the Brennan Center report in, of all places, the Chicago Tribune:

What Donald Trump Gets Wrong About Crime

See? All is well. Or as the always even-handed and sober Washington Post headlined Rubin’s write-up of the Brennan report:

Here’s Proof That Trump Is Ignorant and Deluded About Crime

But then the Brennan Center goes on to say:

 The national murder rate rose 10 percent in 2015, to 4.9 per 100,000, and is estimated to increase by around 8 percent in 2016 to 5.3.

So that’s about a 19% increase in homicide nationally from 2014 to 2016 (1.10 times 1.08 = 1.188), an era in which homicide should have fallen a few percentage points due to ever improving emergency health care (not to mention huge increases in video surveillance capabilities, which ought to be sharply discouraging crime). Here’s their graph of the national murder rate from 2000 to 2016 (my screenshot):

Screenshot 2017-04-20 18.54.35

These increases place the national murder rate around 2008 levels. In the 30 largest cities, murder rates rose by 13.2 percent in 2015, and 14 percent in 2016.

So that’s a 29% increase in murders in the 30 biggest cities over the last two years of the Obama Administration.

(By the way, one way to make this sound less bad is to fail to multiply the percentages together. People reading it will tend to get confused by the numbers 13.2% and 14% and assume that means there was no real increase from 2015 to 2016.)

In other words, most of the big spike appears to be in black-on-black murders since the emergence of #BlackLivesMatter as a much celebrated force for good at the time of the Ferguson brouhaha in August 2014. Hispanics and whites don’t seem to be shooting each other much more, just blacks killing blacks ever since the Establishment went into a frenzy over #BlackLivesMatter in the second half of 2014.

Funny how that works …

Even so, today’s “inner cities” are safer than at almost any point in the past.

As long you define “the past” to be “since NWA’s Straight Outta Compton album launched the gangsta rap era in 1988.” Plus, while your chance of getting shot in the inner cities is a lot higher than during JFK’s administration, the EMTs are a lot more likely to save your life. So there’s that, which is nice.

These increases were highly concentrated. More than half of the 2015 urban increase (51.8 percent) was caused by just three cities, Baltimore, Chicago, and Washington, D.C. And Chicago alone was responsible for 43.7 percent of the rise in urban murders in 2016. It is important to remember the relatively small base from which the percentage increases are calculated.

“These increases were highly concentrated” in BLM cities, but who is counting?

Baltimore was of course home to the Freddie Gray BLM fiasco in March 2015. (Washington DC may be a spillover from Baltimore. I don’t know.) The big homicide spike in Chicago dates from the release of the video in November 2015 of the Chicago PD’s apparent bad shooting of Laquan McDonald. (St. Louis isn’t one of the 30 biggest cities, so the post-Ferguson rise in black on black killings in St. Louis isn’t counted in this report.)

That’s a lot of incremental dead black bodies in the wake of the Ferguson brouhaha. Especially since the first two big BLM cases — Michael Brown in Ferguson and Freddie Gray in Baltimore (not to mention the precursor Trayvon Martin case) — turned out to be factual fiascos of Fake News …

 
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  1. So, assuming the levels would have stayed the same as 2013 absent the Ferguson/Michael Brown fiasco and its media and Obama administration hyping, how many deaths of black men have Obama, Holder, and the media caused?

    Read More
    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    A few thousand, I would imagine.

    Anybody want to try the math?

    , @Lot
    Roughly 1600 excess black male deaths in 2016.
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  2. @Broski
    So, assuming the levels would have stayed the same as 2013 absent the Ferguson/Michael Brown fiasco and its media and Obama administration hyping, how many deaths of black men have Obama, Holder, and the media caused?

    A few thousand, I would imagine.

    Anybody want to try the math?

    Read More
    • Replies: @Not Raul
    Has there been a large increase in blacks killing whites in these cities?
  3. Mark Twain talked about lies, damned lies and statistics. Perhaps the NYT should be a recipient of some Twain metric, along the lines of “The article was a 3 on the 5 point Twain scale of lying with statistics.” Think of to as a type of an honest Snopes.

    Read More
  4. Obama didn’t care about riling up blacks, as he and the entire Democratic establishment figured it would be good GOTV for 2016 and his administration had sent the signal that local law enforcement might as well give up on trying to do their jobs in all but the most extreme cases.

    I am sure the Democrats will try to make the case that the law and order atmosphere of the first Trump term has disproportionately hurt blacks, but without a likeable black politician heading their ticket, I don’t think this will get blacks to show up in numbers any better than 2016, and they will probably run away from the BLM crowd, if it still exists then.

    Read More
  5. Latest ‘random’ murder from STL:

    http://fox2now.com/2017/04/20/two-dead-and-one-injured-in-north-st-louis/

    “FOX 2 asked St. Louis police if this was a hate crime. Police say the only racial aspect to the shooting is that the suspect was black and the two Laclede Gas workers were white.”

    Read More
  6. @Steve Sailer
    A few thousand, I would imagine.

    Anybody want to try the math?

    Has there been a large increase in blacks killing whites in these cities?

    Read More
  7. As we know, the official Democrat line on Trump is that he’s peddling a “dark” (their word of choice) vision of the American inner city. But Trump has actually lived in a big city all his life, and remembers well when cities were safe. He expects them to be safe, which is light years away from the Democrat expectation of chaos and violence. Which is caused by Democrats.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Marty T
    More importantly Trump remembers when cities were NOT safe.
  8. One is forced to ponder the question, Why haven’t the citizens of Chicago tarred and feathered their mayor and run him out of town on a rail?
    Is the machine that deeply joined to the gangs?

    Read More
    • Replies: @yaqub the mad scientist
    Yes,yes, and yes. And there's plenty more links than those.
    , @David Davenport
    Is the machine that deeply joined to the gangs?

    Yes, Chicago Africkan-American gangs turn out the Africkan-American vote for Democrats in exchange for Democrat political protection for the gangs.
    , @Flip
    The shootings haven't really spilled over to white areas so it hasn't impacted our lives yet. The blacks are unwilling to cooperate with the police in solving the problem. Black politicians are against increasing gun law enforcement.
    , @Jonathan Silber
    Why haven't the citizens of Chicago tarred and feathered their mayor and run him out of town on a rail?

    Most of the shootings and murders in Chicago of Blacks by other Blacks occur in just two or three Black ghetto neighborhoods, miles from the parts of the city where middle- and upper-class Whites live; to them the violence and mayhem of Blacks pose little or no threat.

  9. On-Topic-Via-Intersectionality

    Richard Spencer’s Auburn speech. Interesting primer to the Alt-Right. Again with the ‘Hail Victory’ – they gotta cut that shib out. 25:00 mark shows he’s been reading Sailer:

    “Identity comes to African-Americans like dew comes in the morning.”

    http://www.unz.com/isteve/the-next-cause-murder-equality/?highlight=%22gun+violence+falls%2C+like+the+dew%22

    And gun violence “falls,” like the dew, if the dew mostly fell on black segregated neighborhoods.

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  10. @Busby
    One is forced to ponder the question, Why haven't the citizens of Chicago tarred and feathered their mayor and run him out of town on a rail?
    Is the machine that deeply joined to the gangs?

    Yes,yes, and yes. And there’s plenty more links than those.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Inquiring Mind
    His Honor the Mayor of Chicago has not been tarred, feathered, and run out of town on a rail because his political rivals for the post, believe it or not, are much, much worse. This is not the situation with Mr. Wilhelm in New York.
  11. homicide should have fallen a few percentage points due to ever improving emergency health care (not to mention huge increases in video surveillance capabilities, which ought to be sharply discouraging crime).

    I absolutely agree with ER health care, but I just don’t see how surveillance affects violent crime. I don’t work gangs, where most of those extra murders come from, but I’m familiar enough with them to know that they don’t care about being caught on camera. That category of killer is practically defined by his lack of forethought. I concede that it might help a bit by catching guys before they go on to a second killing, but I’d be willing to bet that most of those extra murders are first time killers. Again, if they had the forethought to check for cameras, they would be doing something more lucrative than gang banging and living in their baby mama’s public housing.

    The overall phenomenon is laughably obvious to those who work patrol, though. Forgive me if I repeat, but my own department’s gang unit is a good example. In the past, an uptick in gang violence meant more resources thrown at suppression, which in practice means traffic and foot stops on suspected gang members. That meant putting more cops on that detail, which meant cops without backgrounds in gangs, which meant cops stopping every car load of black males age 16-26 and looking for guns. Not elegant, but it worked, even if most of the gun cases got tossed because the searches were lousy (search and seizure is surprisingly hard). Now, though, that tactic is radioactive. Instead, the gang team works off of a list of known, documented gang members that they’re specifically looking at. They’d rather defend a shooting arising from that than from a beat cop who stopped people he doesn’t know. So new faces don’t get stopped, so they carry guns, so they’re armed when the stupid argument breaks out, so the murder rate goes up.

    All of that is on top of the fact that beat cops like me simply don’t stop suspected gang members, or drive fast to gang related calls, or generally interact with that problem.

    Why in the name of God would I? And I’m not even particularly racist.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Lot

    I just don’t see how surveillance affects violent crime. I don’t work gangs, where most of those extra murders come from, but I’m familiar enough with them to know that they don’t care about being caught on camera. That category of killer is practically defined by his lack of forethought.
     
    He is more likely to get caught on video, perhaps one which he or a friend filmed themselves and shared on facebook, doing something short of murder, and then goes away for a long time.
    , @E. Rekshun
    Good post. Thanks for the real-life observations and experiences.
  12. ‘…Plus, while your chance of getting shot in the inner cities is a lot higher than during JFK’s administration…’

    Unless of course your were at the top of the JFK administration in which case there was 100% chance of your getting shot in the inner cities.

    It all depends.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Alden
    Dealey Plaza in Dallas wasn't part of the inner city. But DC, our seat of government had a very high black on black nurder rate at the time. Ne desole pas
  13. Perhaps it is because of this:

    My argument in that essay was somewhat incendiary, as I was suggesting that little evidence exists for pervasive and long-lasting parenting influences on child development. I still maintain that position; not out of a personal bias, but simply because that is what the evidence demands of me.

    http://quillette.com/2017/03/16/on-parenting-and-parents/

    Read More
  14. I still contend that #BlackLivesMatter was a cosmetic contention of the neoliberal to deal with the psychological harm caused to their own psyches by the proliferation of the Knockout videos a few years back. It wasn’t carefully considered and organic, but a quickly thrown together rehash of 20th century USSR communism talking points and lots of $$$. Oh, lots and lots of $$$$$$. If there is one thing that Progressive Inc. isn’t lacking, it’s $$$.

    Remember Lawrence Auster’s law of liberalism: the better a group is doing, the more they have to be brought down. The worse, the more they have to be lied for.
    The knockout videos were absolutely devastating and the Black Lives Matter, a top down neoliberal orchestration, appeared shortly thereafter.

    I’m dead serious about this: Check the timeline. When those videos began hitting Drudge, it was just a few months to less than a year later that #BlackLivesMatter, an organization that reacted to nothing in reality except injured psyches of the neoliberal plutocrat class, appeared.

    Read More
  15. @yaqub the mad scientist
    Yes,yes, and yes. And there's plenty more links than those.

    His Honor the Mayor of Chicago has not been tarred, feathered, and run out of town on a rail because his political rivals for the post, believe it or not, are much, much worse. This is not the situation with Mr. Wilhelm in New York.

    Read More
  16. More than half of the 2015 urban increase (51.8 percent) was caused by just three cities, Baltimore, Chicago, and Washington, D.C.

    Kinda like Hillary’s victory in the popular vote.

    Read More
  17. While crime may fall in some years and rise in others, annual variations are not indicative of long-term trends.

    And besides, there’s far more variation within a year, than across years. Crime, like race, doesn’t exist. Got it?

    Read More
  18. Let’s keep in mind that the murder rate for non-Black demographics might actually be falling. And the increase in murders might be swimming against the tide of still-improving trauma care. Meaning, this surge in the Black murder rate might be even bigger than the overall increase.

    Plus, while your chance of getting shot in the inner cities is a lot higher than during JFK’s administration, the EMTs are a lot more likely to save your life. So there’s that, which is nice.

    Yeah, improves a victim’s chances of getting revenge…

    Read More
    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    I wouldn't be sutprised if the black homicide rate is up 40 or 50% since Ferguson.

    The NYT tried to get Hispanics worked up over the police shooting a Hispanic in some small town in Eastern Washington -- calling it the Latino Ferguson -- but nobody cared.

  19. @Busby
    One is forced to ponder the question, Why haven't the citizens of Chicago tarred and feathered their mayor and run him out of town on a rail?
    Is the machine that deeply joined to the gangs?

    Is the machine that deeply joined to the gangs?

    Yes, Chicago Africkan-American gangs turn out the Africkan-American vote for Democrats in exchange for Democrat political protection for the gangs.

    Read More
    • Agree: PV van der Byl
    • Replies: @PV van der Byl
    Indeed they do. I believe this Chicago magazine article was featured on iSteve when it appeared five years ago:

    http://www.chicagomag.com/Chicago-Magazine/January-2012/Gangs-and-Politicians-An-Unholy-Alliance/
  20. Not elegant, but it worked, even if most of the gun cases got tossed because the searches were lousy (search and seizure is surprisingly hard). Now, though, that tactic is radioactive.

    The guns get tossed into the incinerator, right? Sounds like a plan to me. Make them keep forking over $200 a pop for a new one as often as possible.

    Read More
  21. @Svigor
    Let's keep in mind that the murder rate for non-Black demographics might actually be falling. And the increase in murders might be swimming against the tide of still-improving trauma care. Meaning, this surge in the Black murder rate might be even bigger than the overall increase.

    Plus, while your chance of getting shot in the inner cities is a lot higher than during JFK’s administration, the EMTs are a lot more likely to save your life. So there’s that, which is nice.
     
    Yeah, improves a victim's chances of getting revenge...

    I wouldn’t be sutprised if the black homicide rate is up 40 or 50% since Ferguson.

    The NYT tried to get Hispanics worked up over the police shooting a Hispanic in some small town in Eastern Washington — calling it the Latino Ferguson — but nobody cared.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Thea
    I wonder if they understood the dynamics of the Zimmerman situation better than our dear leaders.
    , @fish
    The white homicide rate ain't looking so great either.....

    In his first Fresno County Superior Court appearance as a suspect in the shooting deaths of four men, Kori Muhammad yelled "Let black people go, and reparations!" on Friday, April 20, 2017.
     
    ....and reparations.


    See....this is just the kind of tragedy that you're asking for when a brother can't move enough mix tapes to make rent!



    http://www.sacbee.com/news/local/crime/article145958869.html#storylink=cpy
  22. This is O T
    Steve,
    Take a look at this review of a French sociologists book on France. The book has not been translated into english but the review indicates this book parallels exactly the subjects you explore in this blog.

    https://www.city-journal.org/html/french-coming-apart-15125.html

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  23. The original version :

    and the latest one :

    Another favorite from the past :

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  24. Violence obviously works. Dems are not trying to tamp things down, if anything trying to up the ante, pushing first Maxine Waters, and later and inevitably, Kamala Harris as the Great Black Hope to defeat Trump by a massive Black turnout. I think they have learned their lesson, Chelsea might be allowed to be VP or a cabinet member, but the Presidential Candidate MUST BE BLACK. And violence stirred up so Whitey and Donald Trump can be blamed. It makes Aristos feel good too.

    In the same way, the latest jihad shooting on the Champs Elysee helps the Far Left candidate tremendously. And hurts Le Pen mightily. The French have been cheese eating surrender monkeys since at least Verdun and arguably since 1870. Again violence works — the Barcelona bombing right before the election led to a hard-left government that let in any Muslim and enacted anti-Christian laws, as most Spaniards voted for surrender and submission. Its easy to see — women get off on it and far too many fathers and husbands placate their wives and daughters. Want to see a cuckservative? Find a White father with daughters. Why, its almost as if women and men have competing and mutually antagonistic reproductive motivations and desires. Any violence by Muslims or Blacks leads to White women wanting to surrender to these dominant, unintelligent men who are not burdened by male intelligence, and cuckservative fathers currying favor with wives and daughters.

    A decent, loving father will always see his daughter as the adorable little girl she was at ten. And like most things in the West that have gone wrong, it is the very decency that is genetically programmed that is the heart of the Wests decline.

    Read More
  25. Another great group from that time with a better ending :

    And while we’re at it :

    Read More
  26. Plus, while your chance of getting shot in the inner cities is a lot higher than during JFK’s administration, the EMTs are a lot more likely to save your life. So there’s that, which is nice.

    Not the first time medical improvements, incremental or quantum (eg, war), were relevant to public policy.

    Quite a few women died from botched abortions in the 1920s, hardly any by the 1950s. WWII was good for something!

    Those hangers were a Big Lie. But an effective one.

    Read More
  27. I might be a secret agent man “cause they givin” me a number and taken away my name .

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6iaR3WO71j4

    Read More
  28. anonymous says:     Show CommentNext New Comment

    Though I am familiar with US demographics, and what they were prior to the 1965 Immigration Act, I never really thought much about the average age of the population. I was watching a show on PBS about the summer of 1967 and some bear attacks at a national park. During the setup of this documentary the narrator mentioned the “youth” culture of the time and said that half the US population at that time was 25 years of age or younger.

    I guess it is not surprising coming on the heels of the great baby boom, but I’d never realized the extent of it. But thinking about this in relation to the crime rate, wouldn’t it make sense that there would be more crime when such a large percentage of the population was young? And isn’t a major factor in the lower crime rates the media love to cite a function of an aging population?

    Read More
    • Agree: Travis
    • Replies: @Travis
    the average age of Americans in 1980 was 30 years old.....today the average age is 39...
    average age of whites is 45 today verse 31 in 1980.

    Most White females in America can no longer have children, which is one reason white deaths have exceeded white births over the last 5 years.
    , @The Anti-Gnostic
    This is an under-explored hypothesis. Violence is most often perpetrated by young adult men, so if there's a spike in crime, maybe we should look for a spike in the number of men age 18 - 40. The Baby Boom had a lot of their numbers falling in that age range thru the 60s and 70s. The 70s also had some bad economic pressures, with a truly awful tax code and high interest rates--the Fed didn't include "let the good times roll" and "print money and buy your own debt" in its mandate back then.

    Peter Turchin has generated a thesis which states there are roughly 50-year cycles of peak violence. I don't know if he's factored young male demographics into his models. I'm old enough to remember the 60s and 70s. Whites used to be a lot more truculent. My favorite story from that era is the tale of Ken McElroy, a town bully killed by vigilantes in 1981. There was all sorts of violent weirdness through the 70s.

    @ Steve Sailer:

    Remember the days of Colors (circa 1988) in your neck of the woods? How did LA get things calmed down? I'm going to hypothesize a lot of young blacks were locked up to grow old behind bars, or kicked out by rival Latino young men. Latinos have lower rates of violence than blacks, and then they got older and lower-T in their turn.

    Back to Turchin and the present day: he had better be wrong, or we are in for interesting times starting in 2020.

    , @prole
    In addition to our demographics being older today, mass incarceration of Americans started in the 1990s, and even today about 1 million black men are in prison...11% of black men under 30 are in prison today..
  29. @donut
    I might be a secret agent man "cause they givin" me a number and taken away my name .

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6iaR3WO71j4
    Read More
  30. It is not realistic to expect medical advances in emergency room care from 2014 to 2016 to have a strong effect that amounts to “a few percentage points.” I actually think it is more likely the quality of medical care afforded to the average urban gun shot wound is declining.

    ERs running near a lot of gunshot wound victims is not one of the many ways to make money in medicine.

    Urban ERs keep suffering more and more as they are forced to cover more and more uncompensated care. Urban ERs are not a profit center, but operations that runs on charity and public funding, plus large urban prestige hospitals and medical schools need to have one, even if money losing, as a cost of business.

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  31. @Just some cop

    homicide should have fallen a few percentage points due to ever improving emergency health care (not to mention huge increases in video surveillance capabilities, which ought to be sharply discouraging crime).
     
    I absolutely agree with ER health care, but I just don't see how surveillance affects violent crime. I don't work gangs, where most of those extra murders come from, but I'm familiar enough with them to know that they don't care about being caught on camera. That category of killer is practically defined by his lack of forethought. I concede that it might help a bit by catching guys before they go on to a second killing, but I'd be willing to bet that most of those extra murders are first time killers. Again, if they had the forethought to check for cameras, they would be doing something more lucrative than gang banging and living in their baby mama's public housing.

    The overall phenomenon is laughably obvious to those who work patrol, though. Forgive me if I repeat, but my own department's gang unit is a good example. In the past, an uptick in gang violence meant more resources thrown at suppression, which in practice means traffic and foot stops on suspected gang members. That meant putting more cops on that detail, which meant cops without backgrounds in gangs, which meant cops stopping every car load of black males age 16-26 and looking for guns. Not elegant, but it worked, even if most of the gun cases got tossed because the searches were lousy (search and seizure is surprisingly hard). Now, though, that tactic is radioactive. Instead, the gang team works off of a list of known, documented gang members that they're specifically looking at. They'd rather defend a shooting arising from that than from a beat cop who stopped people he doesn't know. So new faces don't get stopped, so they carry guns, so they're armed when the stupid argument breaks out, so the murder rate goes up.

    All of that is on top of the fact that beat cops like me simply don't stop suspected gang members, or drive fast to gang related calls, or generally interact with that problem.

    Why in the name of God would I? And I'm not even particularly racist.

    I just don’t see how surveillance affects violent crime. I don’t work gangs, where most of those extra murders come from, but I’m familiar enough with them to know that they don’t care about being caught on camera. That category of killer is practically defined by his lack of forethought.

    He is more likely to get caught on video, perhaps one which he or a friend filmed themselves and shared on facebook, doing something short of murder, and then goes away for a long time.

    Read More
  32. @Broski
    So, assuming the levels would have stayed the same as 2013 absent the Ferguson/Michael Brown fiasco and its media and Obama administration hyping, how many deaths of black men have Obama, Holder, and the media caused?

    Roughly 1600 excess black male deaths in 2016.

    Read More
  33. I don’t see how this is exactly a problem. The gangbangers are happy rubbing out each other and the locals don’t like the PoPo in their ‘hood so it all works out.

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    • Agree: Kylie
    • Replies: @Lugash
    No, removing murderers and violent criminals is a good thing. If you don't, they continue to harass and target civilians. If you let it fester long enough the criminals start to gain political power. See Shrimp Boy Chow and Leland Yee in San Francisco, or the links upthread.

    And they knock themselves up far, far faster than they knock each other off.

  34. @Rod1963
    I don't see how this is exactly a problem. The gangbangers are happy rubbing out each other and the locals don't like the PoPo in their 'hood so it all works out.

    No, removing murderers and violent criminals is a good thing. If you don’t, they continue to harass and target civilians. If you let it fester long enough the criminals start to gain political power. See Shrimp Boy Chow and Leland Yee in San Francisco, or the links upthread.

    And they knock themselves up far, far faster than they knock each other off.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Lurker
    The danger is it's a brutal training system. Sure many of them are weeded out permanently but the survivors are more brutal, ruthless etc.
    , @bored identity
    https://twitter.com/RealJamesWoods/status/855164893879652352
  35. Anonymous says:     Show CommentNext New Comment

    Total number of deaths from fires rose during the last Obama term. Any idea why?

    https://www.usfa.fema.gov/data/statistics/#tab-2

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    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    That's bad.
    , @George
    deaths from fires rose

    Overcrowded dilapidated housing (buildings that should be torn down used to house immigrants)+ budgets strained by pension and health costs(pensiontsunami.com)

    One time Catastrophic events like Oakland fire?
    , @David
    Following the link, I see deaths due to fire are up while fire and injury counts are down. Loss dollars are down too. Sounds like a low income housing issue, maybe Central Americans not used to living in multistory buildings.
    , @Thea
    Sotomayor?
  36. @Anonymous
    Total number of deaths from fires rose during the last Obama term. Any idea why?

    https://www.usfa.fema.gov/data/statistics/#tab-2

    That’s bad.

    Read More
    • Replies: @donut
    Really that's bad ? who wants to die in an inferno ? Who wants to die in his own bed in pool of liquid stool ? There are so many ways for us to die . Do you want to die in your sleep ? How will that help ? For myself I don't want to wake up dead . Terrified of the unknown as I am I would prefer to face eternity wide awake .
  37. Steve. This post title is brilliant. Congratz.

    But who plays the role of the sea peoples in this version

    BTW I’m skeptical of new history that springs from the imagination of pop historians trying to get attention – How very convenient to invent a villain to provide a simple explanation to a complex issue that cannot be explained with one quick answer. Just as in the dark ages in europe no one was writing down the history of that the age and so it is lost forever.

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  38. @Steve Sailer
    That's bad.

    Really that’s bad ? who wants to die in an inferno ? Who wants to die in his own bed in pool of liquid stool ? There are so many ways for us to die . Do you want to die in your sleep ? How will that help ? For myself I don’t want to wake up dead . Terrified of the unknown as I am I would prefer to face eternity wide awake .

    Read More
  39. U.S. Cities Experienced Another Big Rise In Murder In 2016
    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/u-s-cities-experienced-another-big-rise-in-murder-in-2016/

    The murder rate is low in the 60s and doubles into the 70s.

    Crime: 60s vs Now
    Losing Wars: Vietnam vs GWOT
    Demographics: Great migration vs Great immigration
    Ideology: Communism vs Islam

    Read More
  40. @Lugash
    No, removing murderers and violent criminals is a good thing. If you don't, they continue to harass and target civilians. If you let it fester long enough the criminals start to gain political power. See Shrimp Boy Chow and Leland Yee in San Francisco, or the links upthread.

    And they knock themselves up far, far faster than they knock each other off.

    The danger is it’s a brutal training system. Sure many of them are weeded out permanently but the survivors are more brutal, ruthless etc.

    Read More
  41. @Anonymous
    Total number of deaths from fires rose during the last Obama term. Any idea why?

    https://www.usfa.fema.gov/data/statistics/#tab-2

    deaths from fires rose

    Overcrowded dilapidated housing (buildings that should be torn down used to house immigrants)+ budgets strained by pension and health costs(pensiontsunami.com)

    One time Catastrophic events like Oakland fire?

    Read More
    • Replies: @res
    Those reasons sound plausible. How about building code enforcement is racist?

    The 2012 to 2013 change is odd. Number of fires, $ loss, and injuries all decline significantly, but deaths go up by 13%.
  42. Read More
    • Replies: @eah
    First comment on the video:

    These were the days when California was a great place to live.
  43. Read More
    • Replies: @Wanderer
    So they found one woman from a " maths-mad family" (hint) who works at a Russian online lender allegedly "devising analytical models to determine loan eligibility" but they give us no evidence of her actual work, and we are told that Russia does a better job of getting women into STEM fields than the West does?

    Right.
    , @Peripatetic commenter
    So the Russians are superior then ...

    When will the left realize that the Russians' meddling in the elections of other countries is the right thing?

  44. @donut
    Hey Steve :

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yy57Xdk9u0o

    First comment on the video:

    These were the days when California was a great place to live.

    Read More
  45. @Busby
    One is forced to ponder the question, Why haven't the citizens of Chicago tarred and feathered their mayor and run him out of town on a rail?
    Is the machine that deeply joined to the gangs?

    The shootings haven’t really spilled over to white areas so it hasn’t impacted our lives yet. The blacks are unwilling to cooperate with the police in solving the problem. Black politicians are against increasing gun law enforcement.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Bill Jones
    Any idea when the last murder in Chicago to be carried out with a legally owned firearm was?
  46. Here again are Ferguson’s crime rates per 100,000

    Violent Crimes
    In 2013 –> 101 –> 478
    In 2014 –> 115 –> 545
    In 2015 –> 190 –> 902

    Murders and Non-Negligent Manslaughters
    In 2013 –> 2 –> 9
    In 2014 –> 2 –> 10
    In 2015 –> 5 –> 24

    Rapes
    In 2013 –> 3 –> 14
    In 2014 –> 2 –> 10
    In 2015 –> 8 –> 38

    Robberies
    In 2013 –> 54 –> 256
    In 2014 –> 51 –> 242
    In 2015 –> 82 –> 389

    Aggravated Assaults
    In 2013 –> 42 –> 199
    In 2014 –> 60 –> 284
    In 2015 –> 95 –> 451

    Michael Brown was shot in August 2014.

    The numbers for 2016 are not available yet.

    http://people-who-did-not-see.blogspot.com/2016/10/crime-rates-rose-significantly-in.html

    Read More
  47. anonymous says:     Show CommentNext New Comment

    “… is to fail to multiply the percentages together.”

    Did you mean to say “add”?

    Read More
  48. Here are the FBI’s year-to-year semi-annual (January through June) changes of crime rates per 100,000 for the entire USA:

    Violent Crimes
    2012-2013 –> -5.4%
    2013-2014 –> -4.6%
    2014-2015 –> +1.7%
    2015-2016 –> +5.3%

    Murders
    2012-2013 –> -6.9%
    2013-2014 –> -6.0%
    2014-2015 –> +6.2%
    2015-2016 –> +5.2%

    Rapes
    2012-2013 –> -10.6%
    2013-2014 –> +4.6%
    2014-2015 –> +9.6%
    2015-2016 –> +4.4%

    Robberies
    2012-2013 –> -1.8%
    2013-2014 –> -10.3%
    2014-2015 –> +0.3%
    2015-2016 –> +3.2%

    Aggravated assaults
    2012-2013 –> -6.6%
    2013-2014 –> -1.6%
    2014-2015 –> +2.3%
    2015-2016 –> +6.5%

    Motor vehicle thefts
    2012-2013 –> -3.2%
    2013-2014 –> -5.7%
    2014-2015 –> +1.0%
    2015-2016 –> +6.6%

    Michael Brown was killed in August 2014.

    Statistics for July-December 2016 are not available yet, but the FBI provides these semi-annual comparisons.

    https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2016/preliminary-semiannual-uniform-crime-report-januaryjune-2016/tables/table-3

    Read More
  49. This isn’t our problem. Blacks don’t care about the deaths of blacks unless whites cause them. Blacks are content with high murder rates in Africa, Brazil, the Caribbean and major US cities. This is just part of black culture and should be acknowledged as part of our multicultural experience. If there comes a day when blacks care about blacks being slaughtered, then the rest of us should start paying attention. Until then, let’s focus on things people of interest to the public.

    Read More
  50. @anonymous
    Though I am familiar with US demographics, and what they were prior to the 1965 Immigration Act, I never really thought much about the average age of the population. I was watching a show on PBS about the summer of 1967 and some bear attacks at a national park. During the setup of this documentary the narrator mentioned the "youth" culture of the time and said that half the US population at that time was 25 years of age or younger.

    I guess it is not surprising coming on the heels of the great baby boom, but I'd never realized the extent of it. But thinking about this in relation to the crime rate, wouldn't it make sense that there would be more crime when such a large percentage of the population was young? And isn't a major factor in the lower crime rates the media love to cite a function of an aging population?

    the average age of Americans in 1980 was 30 years old…..today the average age is 39…
    average age of whites is 45 today verse 31 in 1980.

    Most White females in America can no longer have children, which is one reason white deaths have exceeded white births over the last 5 years.

    Read More
  51. @David Davenport
    Is the machine that deeply joined to the gangs?

    Yes, Chicago Africkan-American gangs turn out the Africkan-American vote for Democrats in exchange for Democrat political protection for the gangs.

    Indeed they do. I believe this Chicago magazine article was featured on iSteve when it appeared five years ago:

    http://www.chicagomag.com/Chicago-Magazine/January-2012/Gangs-and-Politicians-An-Unholy-Alliance/

    Read More
  52. The state of Missouri recently experienced two major race-related controversies.

    1) The 2014 Ferguson controversy. Michael Brown was killed in August 2014, and Police Officer Darren Wilson was exonerated by a grand jury in November 2014. Both events were followed by race riots.

    2) The 2015 University of Missouri controversy. On September 12, 2015, the student government’s Black president alleged that someone in a pickup truck called him a “nigger”. Eventually the university’s football team declared a strike, and ultimately the university’s White president resigned on November 9, 2015.

    —–

    After those two controversies, the Democratic Party in Missouri collapsed politically.

    In the last three Presidential elections, the Democratic candidate won the following percentages of votes in Missouri:

    2008 = 49%

    2012 = 44%

    2016 = 38%

    in 2016, Donald Trump won 66% of the White votes in Missouri.

    In the 2016 elections for US House of Representatives, Republicans won six districts and Democrats won two districts (Saint Louis and Kansas City).

    In the 2016 election for the US Senate, the Republican won.

    Here are the 2016 election’s votes for state offices:

    Governor
    Republican = 51%
    Democrat = 45%

    Lieutenant Governor
    Republican = 55%
    Democrat = 40%

    Attorney General
    Republican = 61%
    Democrat = 39%

    Secretary of State
    Republican = 60%
    Democrat = 36%

    State Senate Seats
    Republican = 26 seats
    Democrat = 8 seats

    State House Seats
    Republican = 117 seats
    Democrat = 45 seats

    Missouri used to be a swing state.

    http://people-who-did-not-see.blogspot.com/2016/11/support-for-democrats-has-collapsed-in.html

    Read More
    • Replies: @anonymous
    To what effect? The consequences will be chimerical (e.g., Justice Gorsuch likely more a Roberts than a Scalia) or none (e.g., Syria).

    Please consider abstaining, particularly in elections to offices in the "federal" government.
    , @Flip
    And the University of Missouri is having trouble filling its freshman class, and is closing dorms.
  53. @Steve Sailer
    I wouldn't be sutprised if the black homicide rate is up 40 or 50% since Ferguson.

    The NYT tried to get Hispanics worked up over the police shooting a Hispanic in some small town in Eastern Washington -- calling it the Latino Ferguson -- but nobody cared.

    I wonder if they understood the dynamics of the Zimmerman situation better than our dear leaders.

    Read More
  54. @Anonymous
    Total number of deaths from fires rose during the last Obama term. Any idea why?

    https://www.usfa.fema.gov/data/statistics/#tab-2

    Following the link, I see deaths due to fire are up while fire and injury counts are down. Loss dollars are down too. Sounds like a low income housing issue, maybe Central Americans not used to living in multistory buildings.

    Read More
  55. anonymous says:     Show CommentNext New Comment

    Rubin is described as offering views from a “conservative” perspective. Sure doesn’t seem like it. What would be lefty-liberal? She uses terms such as “racist views”, “poorest” and “most segregated” areas, Trump is “ignorant”, etc. and vents her prejudices against Trump’s voting base who are said to be “white” and “rural” which is code for hicks. She’s just another hater. She also manages to skate around the fact that this is mostly a black driven issue, that blacks are doing all the killing. The number of homicides committed by MS-13 or Latin Kings are much lower than that of blacks so they look better in comparison. That’s real nice to know.

    Read More
  56. @Anonymous
    Total number of deaths from fires rose during the last Obama term. Any idea why?

    https://www.usfa.fema.gov/data/statistics/#tab-2

    Sotomayor?

    Read More
  57. Unfortunately people like Sailerand Trump cherry pick the numbers that want to report to prove their narrative. Then the sycophants jump on board and claim what they say is the truth.

    Trump has character flaws, really I think MOST of the people whom voted for an eight year old to be president of the United States are the one’s with the character flaws. That main flaw being they are racist. It’s so very funny, “Who’s going pay for that WALL? You are if you live in America, not Mexico, plus you won’t be able afford to even go to Wal-Mart, because all your food comes from Mexico.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Buffalo Joe
    Tiny, Glad to see you are back from rehab. The writers who were covering for you were too lucid and had an annoying grasp of basic English grammar and usage. Oh, and maybe they should change the name of the stores to Wall-Mart.
    , @Alden
    Why don't you apply to Fordham and Wharton? Trump graduated from Wharton, one of the top business schools in the country.

    Calling him an 8 year old is just plain stupid and silly.
  58. Rising homicide rate is a feature not a bug when the motive is deconstruction of a society.

    Read More
  59. @Busby
    One is forced to ponder the question, Why haven't the citizens of Chicago tarred and feathered their mayor and run him out of town on a rail?
    Is the machine that deeply joined to the gangs?

    Why haven’t the citizens of Chicago tarred and feathered their mayor and run him out of town on a rail?

    Most of the shootings and murders in Chicago of Blacks by other Blacks occur in just two or three Black ghetto neighborhoods, miles from the parts of the city where middle- and upper-class Whites live; to them the violence and mayhem of Blacks pose little or no threat.

    Read More
    • Replies: @guest
    That's true. Where I live, MN, something like 60% of violent crime happens in a couple of neighborhoods in a big city 30 minutes or so from where I live. They might as well be on the dark side of the moon.
  60. @anonymous
    Though I am familiar with US demographics, and what they were prior to the 1965 Immigration Act, I never really thought much about the average age of the population. I was watching a show on PBS about the summer of 1967 and some bear attacks at a national park. During the setup of this documentary the narrator mentioned the "youth" culture of the time and said that half the US population at that time was 25 years of age or younger.

    I guess it is not surprising coming on the heels of the great baby boom, but I'd never realized the extent of it. But thinking about this in relation to the crime rate, wouldn't it make sense that there would be more crime when such a large percentage of the population was young? And isn't a major factor in the lower crime rates the media love to cite a function of an aging population?

    This is an under-explored hypothesis. Violence is most often perpetrated by young adult men, so if there’s a spike in crime, maybe we should look for a spike in the number of men age 18 – 40. The Baby Boom had a lot of their numbers falling in that age range thru the 60s and 70s. The 70s also had some bad economic pressures, with a truly awful tax code and high interest rates–the Fed didn’t include “let the good times roll” and “print money and buy your own debt” in its mandate back then.

    Peter Turchin has generated a thesis which states there are roughly 50-year cycles of peak violence. I don’t know if he’s factored young male demographics into his models. I’m old enough to remember the 60s and 70s. Whites used to be a lot more truculent. My favorite story from that era is the tale of Ken McElroy, a town bully killed by vigilantes in 1981. There was all sorts of violent weirdness through the 70s.

    @ Steve Sailer:

    Remember the days of Colors (circa 1988) in your neck of the woods? How did LA get things calmed down? I’m going to hypothesize a lot of young blacks were locked up to grow old behind bars, or kicked out by rival Latino young men. Latinos have lower rates of violence than blacks, and then they got older and lower-T in their turn.

    Back to Turchin and the present day: he had better be wrong, or we are in for interesting times starting in 2020.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Boomstick
    The number of people imprisoned in California went way up, though a lot of the increase was in the 80's:

    http://www.ppic.org/main/popup.asp?u=../content/images/Figure_PrisonPopulation1.png&t=The%20prison%20population%20has%20leveled%20off%20while%20the%20parole%20population%20continues...

    From about 20K in 1980 to 80K in the late 80's to 150K in the mid-2000's. It's since dropped to around 100K, largely by court order.

    LA also exported a significant number of black residents to Lancaster, out in the high desert and well away from downtown LA.
    , @E. Rekshun
    Remember the days of Colors (circa 1988) in your neck of the woods? How did LA get things calmed down?

    I went on a ride-a-long for a night shift w/ an LA County deputy in 1988. It was exciting but uneventful.


    I’m going to hypothesize a lot of young blacks were locked up to grow old behind bars

    Yes, that sounds about right. I've read that Hispanics have pushed blacks out of S. Central LA, so I was guessing overall black population in LA has dropped, but census.gov show that black population in LA increased from 6.2% in 2010 to 6.5% in 2015. I can't find any demographics on LA for the '80s and '90s but I bet black are fewer now than back then (with all the black migration back to the south and Atlanta in particular).
  61. OT, but has to do a lot with Obama Age Collapse of All Thang Norman Lear Considered:

    Triple Parentheses Flipping-Gentrification Paints it Black, But Now Has to Go Back Because of The One Hundred Year Long Tradition

    Addendum :

    “…remove this black paint!!

    I’m sick and tired of these white people moving into the neighborhood and thinking they can take over and that you as black person don’t belong here!!

    this is our neighborhood !!!”

    http://www.thepetitionsite.com/takeaction/925/218/801/

    Read More
  62. I don’t see how this is exactly a problem. The gangbangers are happy rubbing out each other and the locals don’t like the PoPo in their ‘hood so it all works out.

    I could go either way on this one, for reasons you state (plus the shoddy to nonexistent tax base Blacks provide, meaning somebody else is always picking up their tab) vs. a tendency to always be ready to offer at least the olive branch of a certain minimum of law enforcement. It’s really gotten bad now, with Blacks’ doubling down via BlM (it’s bad enough when Blacks aren’t openly protesting the police presence they can’t even pay for).

    Donut, I don’t really consider it unknown. I know damn well after you’re dead there’s nothing (this isn’t something I choose to believe, more like something I can’t help but believe, based on the observable universe). I’d rather have it happen quickly, painlessly, and with as little notice as possible.

    The danger is it’s a brutal training system. Sure many of them are weeded out permanently but the survivors are more brutal, ruthless etc.

    Oh, I dunno. Live by the sword, die by the sword. The more stupid, violent, and impulsive you are, the more likely you are to get yourself killed at a young age.

    Read More
  63. @eah

    So they found one woman from a ” maths-mad family” (hint) who works at a Russian online lender allegedly “devising analytical models to determine loan eligibility” but they give us no evidence of her actual work, and we are told that Russia does a better job of getting women into STEM fields than the West does?

    Right.

    Read More
    • Replies: @eah
    According to Unesco, 29% of people in scientific research worldwide are women, compared with 41% in Russia.
  64. @anonymous
    Though I am familiar with US demographics, and what they were prior to the 1965 Immigration Act, I never really thought much about the average age of the population. I was watching a show on PBS about the summer of 1967 and some bear attacks at a national park. During the setup of this documentary the narrator mentioned the "youth" culture of the time and said that half the US population at that time was 25 years of age or younger.

    I guess it is not surprising coming on the heels of the great baby boom, but I'd never realized the extent of it. But thinking about this in relation to the crime rate, wouldn't it make sense that there would be more crime when such a large percentage of the population was young? And isn't a major factor in the lower crime rates the media love to cite a function of an aging population?

    In addition to our demographics being older today, mass incarceration of Americans started in the 1990s, and even today about 1 million black men are in prison…11% of black men under 30 are in prison today..

    Read More
  65. Its not homicide but something HUGE is happening in Florida since Trump’s election. I peruse the website Florida.arrests.org. daily. While it is not always possible to tell country of origin ( some counties don’t include place of birth) there has been an astonishing drop in the number of Mexican and Central Americans arrested for DUI and other minor criminal offenses since Trump became president. The word has gone out apparently. Get arrested, even on a misdemeanor charge, and you are subject to being deported ergo the normal pattern of seeing a bunch of mestizos getting hauled in for DUI, battery, domestic violence over the weekend has almost disappeared. Now your Puerto Ricans ( who don’t seem to have the same drinking problem as Central American mestizos) still show up in the same numbers but the drop in arrests of Hondurans, Guatemalans and Mexicans is obvious.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Mike Sylwester

    there has been an astonishing drop in the number of Mexican and Central Americans arrested for DUI and other minor criminal offenses since Trump became president
     
    I know a lot of Lithuanians who have been living in the USA illegally for years.

    They all are extremely careful about not driving drunk. They police each other strictly. If one of them seems intoxicated, all the rest of them prevent him from driving.

    The main reason for the precaution is the possibility that the person might be deported. The possibility of a traffic accident is a secondary consideration.

  66. @George
    deaths from fires rose

    Overcrowded dilapidated housing (buildings that should be torn down used to house immigrants)+ budgets strained by pension and health costs(pensiontsunami.com)

    One time Catastrophic events like Oakland fire?

    Those reasons sound plausible. How about building code enforcement is racist?

    The 2012 to 2013 change is odd. Number of fires, $ loss, and injuries all decline significantly, but deaths go up by 13%.

    Read More
  67. @Wanderer
    So they found one woman from a " maths-mad family" (hint) who works at a Russian online lender allegedly "devising analytical models to determine loan eligibility" but they give us no evidence of her actual work, and we are told that Russia does a better job of getting women into STEM fields than the West does?

    Right.

    According to Unesco, 29% of people in scientific research worldwide are women, compared with 41% in Russia.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Peripatetic commenter
    Does that include global warming research.

    Anyway, you know what they say about statistics. Maybe it also includes administrators and secretaries.
  68. @The Anti-Gnostic
    This is an under-explored hypothesis. Violence is most often perpetrated by young adult men, so if there's a spike in crime, maybe we should look for a spike in the number of men age 18 - 40. The Baby Boom had a lot of their numbers falling in that age range thru the 60s and 70s. The 70s also had some bad economic pressures, with a truly awful tax code and high interest rates--the Fed didn't include "let the good times roll" and "print money and buy your own debt" in its mandate back then.

    Peter Turchin has generated a thesis which states there are roughly 50-year cycles of peak violence. I don't know if he's factored young male demographics into his models. I'm old enough to remember the 60s and 70s. Whites used to be a lot more truculent. My favorite story from that era is the tale of Ken McElroy, a town bully killed by vigilantes in 1981. There was all sorts of violent weirdness through the 70s.

    @ Steve Sailer:

    Remember the days of Colors (circa 1988) in your neck of the woods? How did LA get things calmed down? I'm going to hypothesize a lot of young blacks were locked up to grow old behind bars, or kicked out by rival Latino young men. Latinos have lower rates of violence than blacks, and then they got older and lower-T in their turn.

    Back to Turchin and the present day: he had better be wrong, or we are in for interesting times starting in 2020.

    The number of people imprisoned in California went way up, though a lot of the increase was in the 80′s:

    http://www.ppic.org/main/popup.asp?u=../content/images/Figure_PrisonPopulation1.png&t=The%20prison%20population%20has%20leveled%20off%20while%20the%20parole%20population%20continues…

    From about 20K in 1980 to 80K in the late 80′s to 150K in the mid-2000′s. It’s since dropped to around 100K, largely by court order.

    LA also exported a significant number of black residents to Lancaster, out in the high desert and well away from downtown LA.

    Read More
  69. @Just some cop

    homicide should have fallen a few percentage points due to ever improving emergency health care (not to mention huge increases in video surveillance capabilities, which ought to be sharply discouraging crime).
     
    I absolutely agree with ER health care, but I just don't see how surveillance affects violent crime. I don't work gangs, where most of those extra murders come from, but I'm familiar enough with them to know that they don't care about being caught on camera. That category of killer is practically defined by his lack of forethought. I concede that it might help a bit by catching guys before they go on to a second killing, but I'd be willing to bet that most of those extra murders are first time killers. Again, if they had the forethought to check for cameras, they would be doing something more lucrative than gang banging and living in their baby mama's public housing.

    The overall phenomenon is laughably obvious to those who work patrol, though. Forgive me if I repeat, but my own department's gang unit is a good example. In the past, an uptick in gang violence meant more resources thrown at suppression, which in practice means traffic and foot stops on suspected gang members. That meant putting more cops on that detail, which meant cops without backgrounds in gangs, which meant cops stopping every car load of black males age 16-26 and looking for guns. Not elegant, but it worked, even if most of the gun cases got tossed because the searches were lousy (search and seizure is surprisingly hard). Now, though, that tactic is radioactive. Instead, the gang team works off of a list of known, documented gang members that they're specifically looking at. They'd rather defend a shooting arising from that than from a beat cop who stopped people he doesn't know. So new faces don't get stopped, so they carry guns, so they're armed when the stupid argument breaks out, so the murder rate goes up.

    All of that is on top of the fact that beat cops like me simply don't stop suspected gang members, or drive fast to gang related calls, or generally interact with that problem.

    Why in the name of God would I? And I'm not even particularly racist.

    Good post. Thanks for the real-life observations and experiences.

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  70. @eah

    So the Russians are superior then …

    When will the left realize that the Russians’ meddling in the elections of other countries is the right thing?

    Read More
  71. @eah
    According to Unesco, 29% of people in scientific research worldwide are women, compared with 41% in Russia.

    Does that include global warming research.

    Anyway, you know what they say about statistics. Maybe it also includes administrators and secretaries.

    Read More
  72. @The Anti-Gnostic
    This is an under-explored hypothesis. Violence is most often perpetrated by young adult men, so if there's a spike in crime, maybe we should look for a spike in the number of men age 18 - 40. The Baby Boom had a lot of their numbers falling in that age range thru the 60s and 70s. The 70s also had some bad economic pressures, with a truly awful tax code and high interest rates--the Fed didn't include "let the good times roll" and "print money and buy your own debt" in its mandate back then.

    Peter Turchin has generated a thesis which states there are roughly 50-year cycles of peak violence. I don't know if he's factored young male demographics into his models. I'm old enough to remember the 60s and 70s. Whites used to be a lot more truculent. My favorite story from that era is the tale of Ken McElroy, a town bully killed by vigilantes in 1981. There was all sorts of violent weirdness through the 70s.

    @ Steve Sailer:

    Remember the days of Colors (circa 1988) in your neck of the woods? How did LA get things calmed down? I'm going to hypothesize a lot of young blacks were locked up to grow old behind bars, or kicked out by rival Latino young men. Latinos have lower rates of violence than blacks, and then they got older and lower-T in their turn.

    Back to Turchin and the present day: he had better be wrong, or we are in for interesting times starting in 2020.

    Remember the days of Colors (circa 1988) in your neck of the woods? How did LA get things calmed down?

    I went on a ride-a-long for a night shift w/ an LA County deputy in 1988. It was exciting but uneventful.

    I’m going to hypothesize a lot of young blacks were locked up to grow old behind bars

    Yes, that sounds about right. I’ve read that Hispanics have pushed blacks out of S. Central LA, so I was guessing overall black population in LA has dropped, but census.gov show that black population in LA increased from 6.2% in 2010 to 6.5% in 2015. I can’t find any demographics on LA for the ’80s and ’90s but I bet black are fewer now than back then (with all the black migration back to the south and Atlanta in particular).

    Read More
  73. @Lugash
    No, removing murderers and violent criminals is a good thing. If you don't, they continue to harass and target civilians. If you let it fester long enough the criminals start to gain political power. See Shrimp Boy Chow and Leland Yee in San Francisco, or the links upthread.

    And they knock themselves up far, far faster than they knock each other off.

    Read More
  74. How can they even publish an article/study that says…” even so, inner cities are safer than at almost any point in the past.” This is demonstratively false. The murder rates in just NY state’s cities, other than NYC are up. The same is true in Ohio. There is little solace in knowing that your 7 year old boy (Buffalo), 10 year old boy (Buffalo) and three year old girl (Cleveland) were shot in the head but survived due to exceptional Level One Trauma care. The fact that they are permanently blind or disabled doesn’t show up as a stat.

    Read More
  75. anonymous says:     Show CommentNext New Comment
    @Mike Sylwester
    The state of Missouri recently experienced two major race-related controversies.

    1) The 2014 Ferguson controversy. Michael Brown was killed in August 2014, and Police Officer Darren Wilson was exonerated by a grand jury in November 2014. Both events were followed by race riots.

    2) The 2015 University of Missouri controversy. On September 12, 2015, the student government's Black president alleged that someone in a pickup truck called him a "nigger". Eventually the university's football team declared a strike, and ultimately the university's White president resigned on November 9, 2015.

    -----

    After those two controversies, the Democratic Party in Missouri collapsed politically.

    In the last three Presidential elections, the Democratic candidate won the following percentages of votes in Missouri:

    2008 = 49%

    2012 = 44%

    2016 = 38%

    in 2016, Donald Trump won 66% of the White votes in Missouri.

    In the 2016 elections for US House of Representatives, Republicans won six districts and Democrats won two districts (Saint Louis and Kansas City).

    In the 2016 election for the US Senate, the Republican won.

    Here are the 2016 election's votes for state offices:

    Governor
    Republican = 51%
    Democrat = 45%

    Lieutenant Governor
    Republican = 55%
    Democrat = 40%

    Attorney General
    Republican = 61%
    Democrat = 39%

    Secretary of State
    Republican = 60%
    Democrat = 36%

    State Senate Seats
    Republican = 26 seats
    Democrat = 8 seats

    State House Seats
    Republican = 117 seats
    Democrat = 45 seats

    Missouri used to be a swing state.

    http://people-who-did-not-see.blogspot.com/2016/11/support-for-democrats-has-collapsed-in.html

    To what effect? The consequences will be chimerical (e.g., Justice Gorsuch likely more a Roberts than a Scalia) or none (e.g., Syria).

    Please consider abstaining, particularly in elections to offices in the “federal” government.

    Read More
  76. @Mike Sylwester
    The state of Missouri recently experienced two major race-related controversies.

    1) The 2014 Ferguson controversy. Michael Brown was killed in August 2014, and Police Officer Darren Wilson was exonerated by a grand jury in November 2014. Both events were followed by race riots.

    2) The 2015 University of Missouri controversy. On September 12, 2015, the student government's Black president alleged that someone in a pickup truck called him a "nigger". Eventually the university's football team declared a strike, and ultimately the university's White president resigned on November 9, 2015.

    -----

    After those two controversies, the Democratic Party in Missouri collapsed politically.

    In the last three Presidential elections, the Democratic candidate won the following percentages of votes in Missouri:

    2008 = 49%

    2012 = 44%

    2016 = 38%

    in 2016, Donald Trump won 66% of the White votes in Missouri.

    In the 2016 elections for US House of Representatives, Republicans won six districts and Democrats won two districts (Saint Louis and Kansas City).

    In the 2016 election for the US Senate, the Republican won.

    Here are the 2016 election's votes for state offices:

    Governor
    Republican = 51%
    Democrat = 45%

    Lieutenant Governor
    Republican = 55%
    Democrat = 40%

    Attorney General
    Republican = 61%
    Democrat = 39%

    Secretary of State
    Republican = 60%
    Democrat = 36%

    State Senate Seats
    Republican = 26 seats
    Democrat = 8 seats

    State House Seats
    Republican = 117 seats
    Democrat = 45 seats

    Missouri used to be a swing state.

    http://people-who-did-not-see.blogspot.com/2016/11/support-for-democrats-has-collapsed-in.html

    And the University of Missouri is having trouble filling its freshman class, and is closing dorms.

    Read More
  77. Here’s Proof That Trump Is Ignorant and Deluded About Crime

    How can WaPo be this bad? Somebody please tell me.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Triumph104
    WaPo (Jeff Bezos), NYTimes (Carlos Slim), and WSJ (Rupert Mudoch) are more or less owned by one person. While I have not noticed anything nefarious at WSJ, the conflicting and schizophrenic reporting at WaPo and NYTimes reflect the agendas of their billionaire overlords. Both benefit from illegal immigration, Bezos can keep wages down at Amazon warehouses and his new brick-and-mortar convenience stores and Slim can support his Mexican phone empire with remittances sent from the states.

    Since these billionaire overlords and friends (Musk, Gates, Zuckerberg, etc.) are doing everything they can to earn even more money by automating society, keeping wages low through legal and illegal immigration, and eliminating employment for the masses, they have to create narratives that deflect people's attention from what is actually happening.

    The push for more black teachers is to create chaotic schools. Once schools become chaotic then privatizers will take over and instead of hiring teachers they will hire hourly techs who will monitor children being taught by computers in call-center like rooms. Gates and Zuckerberg will make billions selling the software to the schools.

  78. @Jonathan Silber
    Why haven't the citizens of Chicago tarred and feathered their mayor and run him out of town on a rail?

    Most of the shootings and murders in Chicago of Blacks by other Blacks occur in just two or three Black ghetto neighborhoods, miles from the parts of the city where middle- and upper-class Whites live; to them the violence and mayhem of Blacks pose little or no threat.

    That’s true. Where I live, MN, something like 60% of violent crime happens in a couple of neighborhoods in a big city 30 minutes or so from where I live. They might as well be on the dark side of the moon.

    Read More
  79. @Steve Sailer
    I wouldn't be sutprised if the black homicide rate is up 40 or 50% since Ferguson.

    The NYT tried to get Hispanics worked up over the police shooting a Hispanic in some small town in Eastern Washington -- calling it the Latino Ferguson -- but nobody cared.

    The white homicide rate ain’t looking so great either…..

    In his first Fresno County Superior Court appearance as a suspect in the shooting deaths of four men, Kori Muhammad yelled “Let black people go, and reparations!” on Friday, April 20, 2017.

    ….and reparations.

    See….this is just the kind of tragedy that you’re asking for when a brother can’t move enough mix tapes to make rent!

    http://www.sacbee.com/news/local/crime/article145958869.html#storylink=cpy

    Read More
  80. Black politicians are against increasing gun law enforcement.

    Leftists are pretty much against law enforcement in Black communities, period. I’m (very) pro-2nd-Amendment, but I also think local jurisdictions should be able to regulate it more heavily than I would countenance at the federal level.* If people don’t like it, they can vote with their feet – America’s a biiiig country.

    It’s not like these bangers are legit CCW permit-holders. Pat ‘em down and take their guns if they can’t show paperwork.

    * This is why I don’t buy leftists’ bullshit about gun control, or Steve’s explanation. My position is the path of least resistance for gun control, but no, leftists aren’t hearing it; federal legislation to take away YT’s guns, or bust. Steve thinks it’s about wanting to disarm Blacks, but being unwilling to say so; my problem with that (other than the fact that leftists always grab for semi-auto rifles first, which aren’t even on the urban crime radar, while ignoring handguns, which are pretty much the entire problem in urban areas, but also the urban leftist’s gun of choice for legal self-defense) is that leftists can do it at the local level and simply say it’s a crime thing. They don’t have to cave to Black complaints.

    Read More
  81. Anonymous says:     Show CommentNext New Comment

    OT

    Trump tells young immigrants in US illegally to ‘rest easy’

    Young immigrants brought to the U.S. illegally as children can “rest easy,” President Donald Trump said Friday, telling the “dreamers” they will not be targets for deportation under his immigration policies.

    Trump, in a wide-ranging interview with The Associated Press, said his administration is “not after the dreamers, we are after the criminals.”

    The Art of the Deal, folks.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Anonymous
    Does the DNC head ever lie awake wondering if Trump's 12D chess battleground maneuvers are drawing hundreds of the Reconquista's divisions into a trap?

    Tom Perez‏ @TomPerez

    DREAMers are the future of our country. You don't belong in Congress.

    Steve King @SteveKingIA
    First non-valedictorian DREAMer deported. Border Patrol, this one's for you. http://usat.ly/2pyZriQ
     


     
    Probably not.
  82. @Bragadocious
    As we know, the official Democrat line on Trump is that he's peddling a "dark" (their word of choice) vision of the American inner city. But Trump has actually lived in a big city all his life, and remembers well when cities were safe. He expects them to be safe, which is light years away from the Democrat expectation of chaos and violence. Which is caused by Democrats.

    More importantly Trump remembers when cities were NOT safe.

    Read More
  83. @unit472
    Its not homicide but something HUGE is happening in Florida since Trump's election. I peruse the website Florida.arrests.org. daily. While it is not always possible to tell country of origin ( some counties don't include place of birth) there has been an astonishing drop in the number of Mexican and Central Americans arrested for DUI and other minor criminal offenses since Trump became president. The word has gone out apparently. Get arrested, even on a misdemeanor charge, and you are subject to being deported ergo the normal pattern of seeing a bunch of mestizos getting hauled in for DUI, battery, domestic violence over the weekend has almost disappeared. Now your Puerto Ricans ( who don't seem to have the same drinking problem as Central American mestizos) still show up in the same numbers but the drop in arrests of Hondurans, Guatemalans and Mexicans is obvious.

    there has been an astonishing drop in the number of Mexican and Central Americans arrested for DUI and other minor criminal offenses since Trump became president

    I know a lot of Lithuanians who have been living in the USA illegally for years.

    They all are extremely careful about not driving drunk. They police each other strictly. If one of them seems intoxicated, all the rest of them prevent him from driving.

    The main reason for the precaution is the possibility that the person might be deported. The possibility of a traffic accident is a secondary consideration.

    Read More
  84. @Tiny Duck
    Unfortunately people like Sailerand Trump cherry pick the numbers that want to report to prove their narrative. Then the sycophants jump on board and claim what they say is the truth.



    Trump has character flaws, really I think MOST of the people whom voted for an eight year old to be president of the United States are the one's with the character flaws. That main flaw being they are racist. It's so very funny, "Who's going pay for that WALL? You are if you live in America, not Mexico, plus you won't be able afford to even go to Wal-Mart, because all your food comes from Mexico.

    Tiny, Glad to see you are back from rehab. The writers who were covering for you were too lucid and had an annoying grasp of basic English grammar and usage. Oh, and maybe they should change the name of the stores to Wall-Mart.

    Read More
  85. Anonymous says:     Show CommentNext New Comment
    @Anonymous
    OT


    Trump tells young immigrants in US illegally to 'rest easy'

    Young immigrants brought to the U.S. illegally as children can "rest easy," President Donald Trump said Friday, telling the "dreamers" they will not be targets for deportation under his immigration policies.

    Trump, in a wide-ranging interview with The Associated Press, said his administration is "not after the dreamers, we are after the criminals."

     

    The Art of the Deal, folks.

    Does the DNC head ever lie awake wondering if Trump’s 12D chess battleground maneuvers are drawing hundreds of the Reconquista’s divisions into a trap?

    Tom Perez‏ @TomPerez

    DREAMers are the future of our country. You don’t belong in Congress.

    Steve King @SteveKingIA
    First non-valedictorian DREAMer deported. Border Patrol, this one’s for you. http://usat.ly/2pyZriQ

    Probably not.

    Read More
  86. Plus, while your chance of getting shot in the inner cities is a lot higher than during JFK’s administration, the EMTs are a lot more likely to save your life. So there’s that, which is nice.

    The rate of aggravated assault declined by 32% over the period running from 1995 to 2014. The rate of homicide declined by 45%. A more intricate analysis might be instructive, but I don’t think you can credit the decline in homicide to better emergency care, certainly not in toto.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    The rate of shooting fatalities to shooting woundings is lower today than in the past.

    It's not the whole reason fewer people are murdered than at the height of the Crack Wars in the early 1990s, but improvements in emergency medical care should be lowering the murder rate, all else being equal, a few percent per year.

    , @Bill Jones
    You seem to have neglected attempted murder. Any particular reason why?
    , @Johann Ricke

    The rate of aggravated assault declined by 32% over the period running from 1995 to 2014. The rate of homicide declined by 45%. A more intricate analysis might be instructive, but I don’t think you can credit the decline in homicide to better emergency care, certainly not in toto.
     
    Wrong time scale. Not since the 90's. Since the 60's. For a city, San Diego has the most extensive, time-wise, crime stats I can find on the internet. Starting in 1963, the aggravated assault rate spiked (out of proportion to population increase), and the murder rate jumped soon after. Since that year, aggravated assaults have gone up about 8x, whereas murders have gone up just over 3x. On a per capita basis, since 1963, burglary and larceny have gone down, whereas car thefts and all categories of violent crime have gone up.
  87. @Art Deco
    Plus, while your chance of getting shot in the inner cities is a lot higher than during JFK’s administration, the EMTs are a lot more likely to save your life. So there’s that, which is nice.

    The rate of aggravated assault declined by 32% over the period running from 1995 to 2014. The rate of homicide declined by 45%. A more intricate analysis might be instructive, but I don't think you can credit the decline in homicide to better emergency care, certainly not in toto.

    The rate of shooting fatalities to shooting woundings is lower today than in the past.

    It’s not the whole reason fewer people are murdered than at the height of the Crack Wars in the early 1990s, but improvements in emergency medical care should be lowering the murder rate, all else being equal, a few percent per year.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Art Deco
    The homicide rate in the U.S. reached a plateau around 1980 and fluctuated some before beginning a decent around 1992. It wasn't any higher during the crack craze than it had been earlier, bar in certain localities. The FBI data series of which I made use begins in 1995, which was after the crack craze and when the homicide rate was already 20% off its 1980 peak.

    I wouldn't doubt that better emergency care saves some lives, though I would doubt it could generate a 2-3% annual reduction in mortality (which is the sort of performance improvement you've seen in oncology).
  88. @Flip
    The shootings haven't really spilled over to white areas so it hasn't impacted our lives yet. The blacks are unwilling to cooperate with the police in solving the problem. Black politicians are against increasing gun law enforcement.

    Any idea when the last murder in Chicago to be carried out with a legally owned firearm was?

    Read More
  89. @anony-mouse
    '...Plus, while your chance of getting shot in the inner cities is a lot higher than during JFK’s administration...'

    Unless of course your were at the top of the JFK administration in which case there was 100% chance of your getting shot in the inner cities.

    It all depends.

    Dealey Plaza in Dallas wasn’t part of the inner city. But DC, our seat of government had a very high black on black nurder rate at the time. Ne desole pas

    Read More
    • Replies: @Art Deco
    IIRC, the homicide rate in DC was about 10 per 100,000 in 1960. The metropolitan mean of the time would have been around 5 per 100,000. 'Very high' compared to Toronto's homicide rates, not those of an ordinary American city.
  90. @Art Deco
    Plus, while your chance of getting shot in the inner cities is a lot higher than during JFK’s administration, the EMTs are a lot more likely to save your life. So there’s that, which is nice.

    The rate of aggravated assault declined by 32% over the period running from 1995 to 2014. The rate of homicide declined by 45%. A more intricate analysis might be instructive, but I don't think you can credit the decline in homicide to better emergency care, certainly not in toto.

    You seem to have neglected attempted murder. Any particular reason why?

    Read More
    • Replies: @Art Deco
    The FBI and BJS reports do not track that datum.

    My wager would be that attempted murder and aggravated assault are pretty closely correlated.
  91. @Tiny Duck
    Unfortunately people like Sailerand Trump cherry pick the numbers that want to report to prove their narrative. Then the sycophants jump on board and claim what they say is the truth.



    Trump has character flaws, really I think MOST of the people whom voted for an eight year old to be president of the United States are the one's with the character flaws. That main flaw being they are racist. It's so very funny, "Who's going pay for that WALL? You are if you live in America, not Mexico, plus you won't be able afford to even go to Wal-Mart, because all your food comes from Mexico.

    Why don’t you apply to Fordham and Wharton? Trump graduated from Wharton, one of the top business schools in the country.

    Calling him an 8 year old is just plain stupid and silly.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Peripatetic commenter

    Calling him an 8 year old is just plain stupid and silly.
     
    Well, since Tiny D*ck has a tiny d*ck and a tiny br*in, that is to be expected.
  92. @Alden
    Why don't you apply to Fordham and Wharton? Trump graduated from Wharton, one of the top business schools in the country.

    Calling him an 8 year old is just plain stupid and silly.

    Calling him an 8 year old is just plain stupid and silly.

    Well, since Tiny D*ck has a tiny d*ck and a tiny br*in, that is to be expected.

    Read More
  93. @Bill Jones
    You seem to have neglected attempted murder. Any particular reason why?

    The FBI and BJS reports do not track that datum.

    My wager would be that attempted murder and aggravated assault are pretty closely correlated.

    Read More
  94. @Steve Sailer
    The rate of shooting fatalities to shooting woundings is lower today than in the past.

    It's not the whole reason fewer people are murdered than at the height of the Crack Wars in the early 1990s, but improvements in emergency medical care should be lowering the murder rate, all else being equal, a few percent per year.

    The homicide rate in the U.S. reached a plateau around 1980 and fluctuated some before beginning a decent around 1992. It wasn’t any higher during the crack craze than it had been earlier, bar in certain localities. The FBI data series of which I made use begins in 1995, which was after the crack craze and when the homicide rate was already 20% off its 1980 peak.

    I wouldn’t doubt that better emergency care saves some lives, though I would doubt it could generate a 2-3% annual reduction in mortality (which is the sort of performance improvement you’ve seen in oncology).

    Read More
  95. @Alden
    Dealey Plaza in Dallas wasn't part of the inner city. But DC, our seat of government had a very high black on black nurder rate at the time. Ne desole pas

    IIRC, the homicide rate in DC was about 10 per 100,000 in 1960. The metropolitan mean of the time would have been around 5 per 100,000. ‘Very high’ compared to Toronto’s homicide rates, not those of an ordinary American city.

    Read More
  96. @Art Deco
    Plus, while your chance of getting shot in the inner cities is a lot higher than during JFK’s administration, the EMTs are a lot more likely to save your life. So there’s that, which is nice.

    The rate of aggravated assault declined by 32% over the period running from 1995 to 2014. The rate of homicide declined by 45%. A more intricate analysis might be instructive, but I don't think you can credit the decline in homicide to better emergency care, certainly not in toto.

    The rate of aggravated assault declined by 32% over the period running from 1995 to 2014. The rate of homicide declined by 45%. A more intricate analysis might be instructive, but I don’t think you can credit the decline in homicide to better emergency care, certainly not in toto.

    Wrong time scale. Not since the 90′s. Since the 60′s. For a city, San Diego has the most extensive, time-wise, crime stats I can find on the internet. Starting in 1963, the aggravated assault rate spiked (out of proportion to population increase), and the murder rate jumped soon after. Since that year, aggravated assaults have gone up about 8x, whereas murders have gone up just over 3x. On a per capita basis, since 1963, burglary and larceny have gone down, whereas car thefts and all categories of violent crime have gone up.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Art Deco
    No, it's not the wrong time scale. He was discussing the sources of the decline in the homicide rate, which dates from about 1992. Since 1960, the evolution of crime rates nationally has been as follows.

    Vehicular theft: +20% per person, -40% per vehicle; 67% off peak rate per person (1991)
    Burglary: -3%; 70% off peak rate (1980)
    Aggravated assault: + 176%; 46% off peak rate (1992)
    Robbery: +70%; 63% off peak rate (1991)
    Forcible rape: +193%; 34% off peak rate (1992)
    Murder: -4%; 52% off peak rate (1980)
  97. @Johann Ricke

    The rate of aggravated assault declined by 32% over the period running from 1995 to 2014. The rate of homicide declined by 45%. A more intricate analysis might be instructive, but I don’t think you can credit the decline in homicide to better emergency care, certainly not in toto.
     
    Wrong time scale. Not since the 90's. Since the 60's. For a city, San Diego has the most extensive, time-wise, crime stats I can find on the internet. Starting in 1963, the aggravated assault rate spiked (out of proportion to population increase), and the murder rate jumped soon after. Since that year, aggravated assaults have gone up about 8x, whereas murders have gone up just over 3x. On a per capita basis, since 1963, burglary and larceny have gone down, whereas car thefts and all categories of violent crime have gone up.

    No, it’s not the wrong time scale. He was discussing the sources of the decline in the homicide rate, which dates from about 1992. Since 1960, the evolution of crime rates nationally has been as follows.

    Vehicular theft: +20% per person, -40% per vehicle; 67% off peak rate per person (1991)
    Burglary: -3%; 70% off peak rate (1980)
    Aggravated assault: + 176%; 46% off peak rate (1992)
    Robbery: +70%; 63% off peak rate (1991)
    Forcible rape: +193%; 34% off peak rate (1992)
    Murder: -4%; 52% off peak rate (1980)

    Read More
  98. @Hockamaw

    Here’s Proof That Trump Is Ignorant and Deluded About Crime
     
    How can WaPo be this bad? Somebody please tell me.

    WaPo (Jeff Bezos), NYTimes (Carlos Slim), and WSJ (Rupert Mudoch) are more or less owned by one person. While I have not noticed anything nefarious at WSJ, the conflicting and schizophrenic reporting at WaPo and NYTimes reflect the agendas of their billionaire overlords. Both benefit from illegal immigration, Bezos can keep wages down at Amazon warehouses and his new brick-and-mortar convenience stores and Slim can support his Mexican phone empire with remittances sent from the states.

    Since these billionaire overlords and friends (Musk, Gates, Zuckerberg, etc.) are doing everything they can to earn even more money by automating society, keeping wages low through legal and illegal immigration, and eliminating employment for the masses, they have to create narratives that deflect people’s attention from what is actually happening.

    The push for more black teachers is to create chaotic schools. Once schools become chaotic then privatizers will take over and instead of hiring teachers they will hire hourly techs who will monitor children being taught by computers in call-center like rooms. Gates and Zuckerberg will make billions selling the software to the schools.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Triumph104

    ... they have to create narratives that deflect people’s attention from what is actually happening.
     
    YouTube (Larry Page and Sergei Brin) has stopped monetizing videos that they consider "controversial". While the new policy has shut up a few nuts, it is mostly affecting people with independent voices who have yet to drink the Kool-Aid. If these people can't earn a living on YouTube, they will stop making videos, forcing people back to the WaPos and NYTimes of the world. I've heard that gun channels like Nutnfancy are losing ad money -- the billionaire overlords don't want the people armed.

    Even NPR got rid of its comment section a few months before 2016 presidential elections so that its listeners wouldn't have a platform to criticize the biased reporting that immediately ensued.

  99. @Triumph104
    WaPo (Jeff Bezos), NYTimes (Carlos Slim), and WSJ (Rupert Mudoch) are more or less owned by one person. While I have not noticed anything nefarious at WSJ, the conflicting and schizophrenic reporting at WaPo and NYTimes reflect the agendas of their billionaire overlords. Both benefit from illegal immigration, Bezos can keep wages down at Amazon warehouses and his new brick-and-mortar convenience stores and Slim can support his Mexican phone empire with remittances sent from the states.

    Since these billionaire overlords and friends (Musk, Gates, Zuckerberg, etc.) are doing everything they can to earn even more money by automating society, keeping wages low through legal and illegal immigration, and eliminating employment for the masses, they have to create narratives that deflect people's attention from what is actually happening.

    The push for more black teachers is to create chaotic schools. Once schools become chaotic then privatizers will take over and instead of hiring teachers they will hire hourly techs who will monitor children being taught by computers in call-center like rooms. Gates and Zuckerberg will make billions selling the software to the schools.

    … they have to create narratives that deflect people’s attention from what is actually happening.

    YouTube (Larry Page and Sergei Brin) has stopped monetizing videos that they consider “controversial”. While the new policy has shut up a few nuts, it is mostly affecting people with independent voices who have yet to drink the Kool-Aid. If these people can’t earn a living on YouTube, they will stop making videos, forcing people back to the WaPos and NYTimes of the world. I’ve heard that gun channels like Nutnfancy are losing ad money — the billionaire overlords don’t want the people armed.

    Even NPR got rid of its comment section a few months before 2016 presidential elections so that its listeners wouldn’t have a platform to criticize the biased reporting that immediately ensued.

    Read More
    • Replies: @Ivy
    NPR: Your tax dollars at work.

    I gave up on them long ago when they spun and lied about a project with which I was very familiar. I wish that someone had sold tickets to see their facial expressions when Trump announced the recent funding cuts. That ticket revenue would've been more symbolic than anything, so why not some photo ops!
  100. The most powerful form of censorship is not twisting the facts (WaPo headlin today: Trump Polls at all time Lows. Story says his base loves hime) , but rather not reporting stories inconvenient to the Narrative, e.g. 2 Rockville aliens rape a 14 yo, the annual March for Life, the Murders of Christopher Newsom and Channon Christian (https://www.google.com/search?q=channing+newsom), etc. I’d bet that not 1 in 100 people have heard about any of them.

    I’m all for some serious trust-busting, of the Standard Oil variety, on Microsoft, Google, Facebook and Twitter, right after all their H1-B visas go away. These companies are a menace to the USA.

    Read More
  101. @Triumph104

    ... they have to create narratives that deflect people’s attention from what is actually happening.
     
    YouTube (Larry Page and Sergei Brin) has stopped monetizing videos that they consider "controversial". While the new policy has shut up a few nuts, it is mostly affecting people with independent voices who have yet to drink the Kool-Aid. If these people can't earn a living on YouTube, they will stop making videos, forcing people back to the WaPos and NYTimes of the world. I've heard that gun channels like Nutnfancy are losing ad money -- the billionaire overlords don't want the people armed.

    Even NPR got rid of its comment section a few months before 2016 presidential elections so that its listeners wouldn't have a platform to criticize the biased reporting that immediately ensued.

    NPR: Your tax dollars at work.

    I gave up on them long ago when they spun and lied about a project with which I was very familiar. I wish that someone had sold tickets to see their facial expressions when Trump announced the recent funding cuts. That ticket revenue would’ve been more symbolic than anything, so why not some photo ops!

    Read More
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