From the Jerusalem Post:
Population could exceed 15 million in 35 years.
BY DANIEL K. EISENBUD FEBRUARY 21, 2018 07:53
> Racing toward disaster: Israel’s unsustainable population bomb
> Haredi woman, 42, in Jerusalem gives birth to her 20th child
The creation of large Jewish families has long been viewed by many as a patriotic duty in the country’s existential struggle.
With today’s population in excess of 8.7 million Jews and Arabs (74.5% and 20.9%, respectively) averaging 3.1 children per family, the nation could face an overpopulation crisis within 35 years exacerbated by a profoundly limited infrastructure, experts contend. …
Prof. Alon Tal, chairman of Tel Aviv University’s department of public policy, said the conference was the first international gathering of academic experts to focus on the issue of overpopulation in Israel.
… “Now, we’re really talking about the sociology and the culture of Israelis having lots of children, why they have lots of children, and what might be a strategy for changing the paradigm where people have less children for the good of the nation.”
According to Tal, Israel is the second-most densely populated country in the developed world and has the highest per capita rate of population growth.
He added that Israel’s population is growing by more than two million people each decade, with its average 3.1 children per family dwarfing normative rates within Western countries, most of which average 1.7 children. …
“David Ben-Gurion encouraged people to have many children, but now we need to have a collective conversation as a nation and realize that while there was once a period in Israeli history when having lots of children was absolutely a patriotic thing to do, today it is an unpatriotic thing to do because it harms the common good,” he said. …
In terms of the wide-held belief that Jews must continue to outpace Arab birthrates in order to ensure a Jewish majority, Tal said that race has already been won.
“That used to be an absolutely valid argument, but today Arabs are averaging roughly 40,000 births a year and the Jews are averaging over 100,000. So if there was a demographic battle, it’s over,” he said.
I wrote about the economics of Israel’s Jewish fertility boom back in 2011.