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Audacious Epigone writes:
In imitation of Steve Sailer’s–epigone, after all!–detailed demographic breakdown of the 2012 presidential election with Romney and Obama going head-to-head, here’s a less aesthetically appealing version of the same for 2016 with Trump and Clinton squaring off.
A few brief technical notes: Reuters-Ipsos never released official exit poll results, but they have maintained a daily tracking poll on Trump’s approval rating with filters including who respondents voted for in addition to all the various demographic categories presented below. The data is taken from the poll’s commencement on January 20 through March 14, the latest date for which figures were available at the time of this post’s creation. The total sample size among those who voted for either Trump or Clinton is 13,381*. Trump shows a modest edge, 50.6%-49.4%, in the popular vote in this sample. I have no opinion on whether this is more or less accurate than the officially reported popular vote total when it comes to legitimate ballots cast by American citizens.
The following graphs show the vote share of each demographic group Trump received in November:
See the other three parts of the graph there.
Here’s my 2012 graph based on Romney’s share in the Reuter’s online panel.
But will The Coalition of the Fringes hold together?