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 TeasersiSteve Blog

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With Tiger Woods having just won his first tournament since 2013, here’s my book review in Taki’s last spring, “The Tiger Mother’s Son,” of the recent tell-all biography about him.

 
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Razib Khan summarizes a new paper, Estimating mobility using sparse data: Application to human genetic variation, on using new genomic data to measure migrations down through prehistory in Western Eurasia.

Screenshot 2018-09-23 02.44.16

It turns out that there were three eras of massive migration in the post-Ice Age ancient West, each, perhaps, involving a fairly new technology:

- the invention of agriculture, which encouraged Middle Eastern farmers to invade Europe

- the rise of the Bronze Age, such as the Yamnaya (Aryan) steppe people’s invasion of Northern Europe

- and the rise of the Iron Age, which may be involved with the mysterious Sea Peoples’ attacks on the palace civilizations of the Near East during the Late Bronze Age Collapse around 1200 BC.

On the other hand, I could be wrong about the technology connections to these ages of mass migrations.

In between, people tended to settle down where they were and not feel the need so much to “Go to interesting places, meet interesting people, and kill them.”

 
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From The Telegraph:

Press-ups and sit-ups dropped from new gender neutral Army training

“Press-ups” are what Americans call push-ups.

Dominic Nicholls Steve Bird Duarte Dias, video producer Charlotte Krol, video producer
22 SEPTEMBER 2018 • 9:49AM

For centuries, young soldiers have been “thrashed” in a hell for leather fitness test to prove they were at the peak of physical strength and battle ready. But in a new scientific overhaul of basic training, the British Army revealed yesterday that combat training will become “gender and age neutral” – because the enemy does not care what sex or how old a soldier is.

Here’s the URL:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/09/21/gender-neutral-fitness-tests-soldiers-enemy-does-not-discriminate/

Fortunately, Britain’s next war is scheduled with the Oberlin College gender studies department.

Perhaps, though, the Telegraph is pulling one’s leg? In contrast, the Daily Mail makes it sound like the new gender neutrality is reserved for fitness tests, which would make the tests harder for women to pass.

 
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From the New York Times:

Google C.E.O. Denies Allegations of Political Bias in Search Results

By Kate Conger
Sept. 21, 2018

SAN FRANCISCO — Sundar Pichai, Google’s chief executive, said in an email to employees on Friday that the company has never and will never bias its search results for political purposes.

On an internal email thread at Google, employees discussed the possibility of including pro-immigration content in search, according to The Journal. The email thread was a brainstorming session among employees and none of the ideas were put into effect, said Gina Scigliano, a Google spokeswoman.

“Recent news stories reference an internal email to suggest that we would compromise the integrity of our Search results for a political end. This is absolutely false,” Mr. Pichai wrote in the email, which was obtained by The New York Times. “We do not bias our products to favor any political agenda. The trust our users place in us is our greatest asset and we must always protect it.”

One interesting aspect of this is that people have generally seemed kind of scared to call out Google on it biases, perhaps from fear that Google will do you down in vengeance.

For example, go to Google and type in “American inventors” or “American scientists” and see the hilarious results. My 2016 post on this was one of my most popular ever, but nobody in the press besides the Daily Caller dared pick up on it.

Another issue is that it’s hard to tell the difference, both empirically and in theory, between when Google is doing something bad to somebody and when Google is not doing something nice for somebody. Google has coded a vast number of clever ploys to make it easier for users to find what they want without being experts at Boolean algebra or library science.

For example, back in 2010, I pointed out the blatant and petty Google bias against Pat Buchanan in its auto-completion prompt.. But nobody else seemed to notice it.

More understandably, after I pointed out in 2012 in my column “Google’s Gaydar” how you can use Google’s autocompletion prompt system to measure how much the public is looking for information about whether a celebrity is gay (e.g., in 2012, Kevin Spacey maxed out Google Gaydar):

Other stars who score a 0 on Google Gaydar include Walter Matthau, Jeff Bridges, W. C. Fields, Mel Gibson, Fred MacMurray, Robert Duvall, and Woody Allen. This doesn’t mean that they are all 100 percent straight, just that none of their ten most common search terms — €”or even the ten most popular beginning with the letter “€œg”€ — are the word “€œgay.”€

In contrast, type in “€œKevin Spacey,”€ and the word “€œgay”€ is immediately proposed as the single most efficient suggestion to finish your search. So Spacey gets a 100.

Not long afterwards, Google broke its own system to stop autocompleting the word “gay.” (Microsoft’s Bing still does, and the world hasn’t come to an end.)

Does anybody methodically study Google’s various biases? If not, why not?

 
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From the New York Times Opinion page:

The Patriarchy Will Always Have Its Revenge

I want to burn the frat house of America to the ground.

I’m pretty low-key about violent metaphors, but I think the NYT should have blue-penciled this call for arson. Nobody remembers, but Sabrina Rubin Erdely’s UVA rape hoax story led to a leftist mob smashing the windows of a UVA fraternity on 11/20/2014. Somebody easily could have been blinded. The next level of escalation would be fire, which can kill dozens.

Most of the fraternity houses I’ve seen are old wooden buildings that look like they’d go up in flames spectacularly. There really are firebugs out there and they don’t need encouragement from the New York Times.

By Jennifer Weiner
Contributing Opinion Writer

Sept. 22, 2018

… I’m beyond angry. As the spectacle of Judge Kavanaugh’s nomination unfolds, I find myself caught in the undertow of bad memories, stuck in a simmer of rage. My hands furl into fists. My jaw clenches. My teeth grind in the night. I send my daughters out into the world each day, with a wave and a smile, and then I come inside and want to cry out of fury and frustration, because the world has not changed fast enough. It’s one thing to say #MeToo, but if I find out it’s them, too, I can picture myself hunting down the man who hurt them and dismembering him with my fingernails and burning the whole world down.

When Clarence Thomas won his seat, I felt like someone had taken an eraser to the core of my being, and had rubbed a bit of me away. …

“If you poison us, do we not die?” The Jewish moneylender Shylock asked in “The Merchant of Venice,” inquiring whether his humanity matched that of his Christian clients. “And if you wrong us, shall we not revenge?”

Jennifer Weiner is the author, most recently, of the memoir “Hungry Heart” and a contributing opinion writer.

So far as I can tell, this is not another Titania McGrath prank.

 
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From ESPN:

School superintendent critical of Deshaun Watson, black QBs resigns
3:09 PM PT

HOUSTON — A white Texas school superintendent who posted online that “You can’t count on a black quarterback,” in reference to Houston Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson, has resigned.

Deshaun Watson said he’s dealt with racism before, so he’s “not worried” about comments made about him on Facebook by a school district superintendent.

In a letter Saturday to the Onalaska Independent School District board, Lynn Redden said his comment posted earlier in the week on the Houston Chronicle’s Facebook page was “wrong and inappropriate.”…

Redden had criticized Watson for letting the clock run down before completing a pass in a 20-17 loss to the Tennessee Titans on Sunday.

Redden’s comment prompted the school board to convene a special meeting Saturday.

And here’s the article immediately below that one on ESPN:

Baltimore hosts parade for Ray Lewis, gives him key to city

Ray Lewis connects with fans during a parade in Baltimore that celebrated his Hall of Fame induction.

3:41 PM PT
Jamison Hensley
ESPN Staff Writer

 
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Commenter Wilkey points out:

OT: The Norcal Rapist (Roy Charles Waller) joins the Golden State Killer and a growing list of monsters snagged by ancestral dna websites.

Prediction: this horrific phenomenon will exhibit dramatically disparate impact against white perps, as testing your dna to find relatives and discover your ancestry is more of a white people thing. Very few Hispanics and black murderers will get caught via this method.

Further prediction: the MFM will spin this fact one of two ways (or both ways at once): 1) “Look at all the monstrous white killers on the loose! See, white men really are evil!”; 2) “Why are these police departments focusing only on criminals with white victims?”

Of course we could level the playing field by submitting all the dna samples from inmates to the genealogy sites, but you know the ACLU and the Democratic Party would have more than a few things to say about that.

 
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From The Economist:

Why Europe should focus on its growing interdependence with Africa

Sealing the Mediterranean will not work

Charlemagne then

by Charlemagne, Sep 20th 2018

IT IS a peculiarly modern habit to think of the Mediterranean Sea as a boundary. For over two millennia, civilisations bled across it and intermingled. Roman, Carthaginian, Moorish and Venetian empires expanded primarily along maritime routes. It took four days to get from imperial Rome to today’s Tunisia, but 11 days to reach Milan. The Sahara restricted contact between this Mediterranean Eurafrica and the regions to the south, but not entirely. A study of 22 skulls from Roman London found that four were African, for example.

North African, to be precise …

… Today’s waves of African migration are merely a prelude. Of the 2.2bn citizens added to the global population by 2050, 1.3bn will be Africans—about the size of China’s population today. And more of them will have the means to travel. Those Africans risking the trip north across the Mediterranean today are not the poorest, but those with a mobile phone to organise the trip and money to pay smugglers. Few of the Nigerians who attempt the crossing are from their country’s poor north, for example; almost all are from its wealthier south. As African countries gradually prosper, migration will surely increase, not decrease. Emmanuel Macron raised these points in a recent interview. The French president was recommending a new book, “The Rush to Europe”, published in French by Stephen Smith of Duke University, which models past international migrations like that of Mexicans into America to show that the number of Afro-Europeans (Europeans with African roots) could rise from 9m at present to between 150m and 200m by 2050, perhaps a quarter of Europe’s total population. …

Charlemagne now

Prof. Smith actually finds the African population boom and migration to Europe quite alarming.

EU leaders met in Salzburg on September 19th and 20th to discuss new border controls and north African “disembarkation platforms” where migrants from the south could be processed and sent back. The summit epitomised a strategy that Mr Smith dubs “Fortress Europe”, which involves reducing migration from north Africa at almost any human cost, letting in merely a trickle of approved African migrants, bickering over who should accommodate them and then, as recompense, funnelling modest aid into Africa. Angela Merkel promotes a “Marshall Plan for Africa”, as a means of reducing migration. That reckons without the fact that economic development will raise migration numbers.

The scramble for Europe

There is an alternative “Eurafrica” strategy, writes Mr Smith. This is to accept the integration of Africa and Europe. Alex de Waal, an Africa expert at Tufts University, agrees that is the only realistic course. “The logic of history is a European-Mediterranean market that will cross the Sahara, too,” he says. “The challenge is to recognise that reality and make it a mutually beneficial and regulated one. Building walls will not work.” …

It also means creating regulated routes for migrants travelling in both directions. Over the century, European districts that today have a Eurafrican character—parts of Barcelona, Marseille, Brussels and London, say—will become more the norm than the exception. “African migrants will provide a significant part of the European workforce, so we need to ask what part of the workforce and what sort of training we need to provide,” says Mr de Waal. African music and food will become more prominent in European cultural and culinary diets.

The two options, Fortress Europe versus Eurafrica, may one day end up as a choice between denial and reality. Europe cannot insulate itself from the dramatic long-term shifts in its continental neighbour. Like it or not, Eurafrica is part of Europe’s demographic and cultural destiny. It is better, surely, not to ignore or reject this but to work out how to make it a success.

After all, what’s the worst that could happen to Europe by becoming Eurafrica?

Turn Paris into Detroit?

What?

That’s racist to say that. It’s racist to even think that!

Is Paris worth a crimethought?

I don’t think so!

 
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I assumed this headline was self parody, but maybe it isn’t. From the Washington Post:

I wanted to understand Europe’s populism. So I talked to Bono.

By Fareed Zakaria
Columnist
September 20 at 5:21 PM

When confronting a challenging problem, it’s sometimes useful to listen to someone who looks at it from an entirely different angle. That’s why I found it fascinating to talk about the rise of populism and nativism with Bono last weekend at a summit in Kiev. …

Bono’s message resonated because I had been reading Francis Fukuyama’s new book, “Identity: The Demand for Dignity and the Politics of Resentment.”

My review of Fukuyama’s Identity: The Demand for Dignity… is here.

What people in Europe and the United States ought to be proud of, what they should celebrate, are the remarkable achievements of diversity.

Diversity’s got electrolytes.

 
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From the NYT Upshot page:

A Rise in Murder? Let’s Talk About the Weather

The correlation between heat and crime suggests the need for more research on shootings in American cities.

By Jeff Asher
Sept. 21, 2018

The national murder rate reached a modern low in 2014, capping a quarter-century decline. Then it rose across the United States in 2015 and 2016. Why gun violence increased in those two years remains somewhat of a mystery, and no single factor is likely to explain it, but there is one potential contributor that is rarely talked about: weather.

Temperatures across the country were higher on average in those two years than they were in 2014. The relationship between temperature and crime has been discussed for decades. Fewer people are murdered in America during colder months than during warmer ones.

In the case of 2015 and 2016, it may be a small part of the story, but the broader correlation of weather and crime merits more research. …

The effect of warmer weather on rising gun violence in 2015 and 2016 in any individual city might have been small, but all told across the nation, it might have been significant. If you look at national murder data from 2000 to 2016 and compare it with the average annual temperature across the United States per year, you could predict a national rise or fall in murder using just the average annual temperature in 11 of 16 years.

… Warmer weather can’t really explain big increases in murder in Chicago or Baltimore in 2015 and 2016 — or in Orlando, where the Pulse nightclub mass shooting took place.

The F.B.I. will release its Uniform Crime Report data for 2017 on Monday, and indications are that murder will have fallen slightly.

In my Taki’s column back on January 10, 2018, I added up from local newspaper reports the 2017 homicide toll in the 50 biggest cities and came up with a 2% drop vs. 2016.

This would match a slight drop in the national average annual temperature last year, although it’s not clear what role, if any, weather might have played.

Gun violence in Chicago has also fallen over the last year and a half, with declines for 16 straight months. Murder is down 20 percent so far this year in the city. But the weekend of violence Aug. 3 through 5 — when at least 74 people were shot and 12 were killed — was a reminder of how grim it can get in Chicago during the summer. That suggests the need for more research and better data on shootings in American cities to understand how weather affects gun violence.

Uh, sure, but how about looking squarely at the Ferguson Effect?

 
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From Hot Air:

Christine Blasey Ford Will Drive Across Country Because She Doesn’t Like Airplanes

JOHN SEXTON Posted at 7:21 pm on September 21, 2018

Maybe she could loop north to do some relaxing leaf-peeping in Minnesota and Maine along the way …

If she has a white Bronco it could be like 3,000 miles of OJ:

I hope she has a convertible to help her overcome her claustrophobia inside her car. But watch out for the Grand Canyon!

Maybe she could go to visit psychologist Homer Simpson:

What if the airline let her take onboard a huge peacock as her emotional support animal?

 
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From the NYT:

It Was a Suspected ‘Birth Tourism’ Site. Then Came Late-Night Screams.

By Christina Goldbaum
Sept. 21, 2018

Many neighbors had long been suspicious about the red brick townhouse in Queens.

Bryan Kim, 19, said he had seen pregnant women showing up at the home.

Sheng Long Peng, 70, said he had often seen the owner of the home arrive in his car with groups of pregnant women.

Elizabeth Lee, 51, said she saw minivans drop off women with suitcases.

“They would arrive as much as twice a week,” she said.

By the time Kayla Cho, another neighbor, woke up shortly after 3:30 a.m. on Friday to the sound of high-pitched screaming coming from the home, followed by cries for help, the questions about the mysterious residence had taken a violent turn.

When officers arrived at the house in the Flushing neighborhood, they found three infants and two adults had been stabbed by an employee who then cut her own wrist, according to the police.

Law enforcement officials said the employee was Yu Fen Wang, 52, who was unconscious when officers arrived at the scene. She regained consciousness after officers applied a tourniquet to stop the bleeding, and was taken into custody. She is undergoing a psychiatric evaluation.

At the home where the stabbings occurred, officials said they found cribs for 11 children and believe that nine babies were present at the time of the attack. Two knives were recovered at the scene, the police said.

The infants who were stabbed were 13, 22 and 33 days old ….

But law enforcement officials suspect the residence was used to house women from Asia who traveled to the United States on tourist visas to give birth to their children in order to secure them American citizenship, according to the law enforcement official.

“We think it had something to do with immigration and citizenship,” the law enforcement official said. “It had something to do with their desire to have the kids as American citizens and it would eventually help the parents.”

Officials do not know if the mothers will take them back home in what appeared to be a “maternity tourism” or “birth tourism” operation. Once U.S. citizen children turn 21 they can sponsor a parent for a green card.

Back in 2011, I had Google translate a Chinese birth tourism ad so I could list the seven advantages the Chinese see in scamming their kids in on American birthright citizenship.

 
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I wrote about this research back on January 18, but now it’s finally gone public. From Yale Insights:

Yale Study Finds Twice as Many Undocumented Immigrants as Previous Estimates

MOHAMMAD FAZEL-ZARANDI, JONATHAN S. FEINSTEIN, EDWARD H. KAPLAN

SEPTEMBER 21, 2018

Generally accepted estimates put the population of undocumented immigrants in the United States at approximately 11.3 million. A new study, using mathematical modeling on a range of demographic and immigration operations data, suggests that the actual undocumented immigrant population may be more than 22 million.

… But a paper by three Yale-affiliated researchers suggests all the perceptions and arguments based on that number may have a faulty foundation; the actual population of undocumented immigrants residing in the country is much larger than that, perhaps twice as high, and has been underestimated for decades.

Using mathematical modeling on a range of demographic and immigration operations data, the researchers estimate there are 22.1 million undocumented immigrants in the United States. Even using parameters intentionally aimed at producing an extremely conservative estimate, they found a population of 16.7 million undocumented immigrants.

Read the study: The Number of Undocumented Immigrants in the United States: Estimates Based on Demographic Modeling with Data from 1990 to 2016

The results, published in PLOS ONE, surprised the authors themselves. They started with the extremely conservative model and expected the results to be well below 11.3 million.

“Our original idea was just to do a sanity check on the existing number,” says Edward Kaplan, the William N. and Marie A. Beach Professor of Operations Research at the Yale School of Management. “Instead of a number which was smaller, we got a number that was 50% higher. That caused us to scratch our heads.”

Jonathan Feinstein, the John G. Searle Professor of Economics and Management at Yale SOM, adds, “There’s a number that everybody quotes, but when you actually dig down and say, ‘What is it based on?’ You find it’s based on one very specific survey and possibly an approach that has some difficulties. So we went in and just took a very different approach.”

The 11.3 million number is extrapolated from the Census Bureau’s annual American Community Survey. “It’s been the only method used for the last three decades,” says Mohammad Fazel‐Zarandi, a senior lecturer at the MIT Sloan School of Management and formerly a postdoctoral associate and lecturer in operations at the Yale School of Management. That made the researchers curious—could they reproduce the number using a different methodology?

The approach in the new research was based on operational data, such as deportations and visa overstays, and demographic data, including death rates and immigration rates. “We combined these data using a demographic model that follows a very simple logic,” Kaplan says. “The population today is equal to the initial population plus everyone who came in minus everyone who went out. It’s that simple.”

… After running 1,000,000 simulations of the model, the researchers’ 95% probability range is 16 million to 29 million, with 22.1 million as the mean.

Notably, the upper bound of the traditional survey approach, which also produces a range, doesn’t overlap with the lower bound of the new modeling method. “There really is some open water between these estimates,” Kaplan says. He believes that means the differences between the approaches can’t be explained by sampling variability or annual fluctuations.

There are key areas of agreement between this paper and the existing survey numbers. Both methods found that the greatest growth of the undocumented population happened in the 1990s and early 2000s. Both found that the population size has been relatively stable since 2008.

I don’t have a strong opinion on whether the Pew estimate or the Yale estimate is more statistically valid. I do have an opinion on the meta-issue. As I wrote in January:

Shouldn’t the United States government know how many people are living in the United States?

Knowing how many people live in your country is something that governments have undertaken to find out for over two thousand years. There are at least three censuses mentioned in the Bible, two in the Old Testament. For the U.S. government to not know within an 8 digit number, because illegal aliens are considered sacred and mysterious, is nuts.

Obviously, whatever the number is, it’s extremely relevant to policy issues like amnesty. And yet for many years we’ve been stuck with just the Pew number because our country’s establishment has a negligent attitude about illegal immigration: Don’t study it too hard because you might find out something the Deplorables will find interesting.

 
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From Tom Wolfe’s 1987 classic The Bonfire of the Vanities:

An assistant D.A. in Major Offenses has started calling Abe Weiss “Captain Ahab,” and now they all did. Weiss was notorious in his obsession for publicity, even among a breed, the district attorney, that was publicity-mad by nature. …

Every assistant D.A. in the Bronx … shared Captain Ahab’s mania for the Great White Defendant. For a start, it was not pleasant to go through life telling yourself, “What I do for a living is, I pack blacks and Latins off to jail.” It wasn’t that it was morally wrong … It was that it was in bad taste. So it made the boys uneasy, this eternal prosecution of the blacks and Latins.

… The press couldn’t even see these cases. It was just poor people killing poor people. To prosecute such cases was to be part of the garbage collection service, necessary and honorable, plodding and anonymous.

Captain Ahab wasn’t so ridiculous, after all. Press coverage! Ray and Jimmy could laugh all they wanted, but Weiss had made sure the entire city knew his name. Weiss had an election coming up, and the Bronx was 70 percent black and Latin, and he was going to make sure the name Abe Weiss was pumped out to them on every channel that existed. He might not do much else, but he was going to do that.

 
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Below are the highly rated movies that differ the most between the sexes in Internet Movie DataBase rankings.

Earlier this year, commenter Lex posted some tables from Reddit of movies female vs. male taste differences in movies, based on Internet Movie DataBase rankings on a 10 point scale.

IMDB ratings are based on up two million votes each, and they are reasonably reliable: e.g., to pick two neo-sword & sandal movies, Ridley Scott’s Gladiator is an 8.5 overall (both sexes) while Oliver Stone’s Alexander is only a 5.6. I would guess that over 95% of viewers of both would say that the former is objectively a movie that works better than the latter.

Men and women mostly are pretty much in agreement on IMDB ratings (e.g., The Shawshank Redemption is #1 with both sexes, which I don’t really get, but whatever). But when you look at where they disagree most, it’s hardly surprising.

The male vs. female difference results are quite plausible, although I don’t quite understand how the ranks and scores line up. Also, I have various various quibbles about the methodology:

- Far more males than females rate movies on IMDB; ranking cultural products is just kind of a guy thing to do (e.g., High Fidelity).

- Presumably, women who go on IMDB to share their movie ratings have tastes more like men who go on IMDB to share their movie rating than to the women who don’t see much of point in doing this.

- The methodology of looking at size of differences in ratings selects for mid-ranked movies, whereas movies near the top are less likely to show up and consensus bad movies are considered at all. For example, to take two David Lean war epics that appeal more to men than to women, The Bridge on the River Kwai was ranked the 581st best movie of all time by IMDB women and the 180th best movie of all time by men, for a difference of 401. In contrast, Lawrence of Arabia was rated 396th and 105th for a difference of 291. Does this really mean that ratings of The Bridge over the River Kwai is more sex divergent than Lawrence of Arabia or just that the latter was rated somewhat higher by both sexes? If you divided the rankings, then the gap for the former is 3.22 and for the latter is 3.77. I think all you can really say definitively is that both are fine movies and unsurprisingly appeal more to men than to women.

Most of the movies that women like a lot more than men are ones that men think are pretty good but not so great (male ratings of 7.2 to 7.8). The movies that women don’t like as much as men tend to be ones that men think are terrific.

 
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From WRAL, reprinting from the New York Times:

From the Anonymity of Academia to the Center of a Supreme Court Confirmation
Posted 8:40 p.m. yesterday

By Elizabeth Williamson, Rebecca R. Ruiz, Emily Steel, Grace Ashford and Steve Eder, New York Times

The text message from Christine Blasey Ford this summer worried her college best friend, Catherine Piwowarski.

Over their years of friendship — as roommates, bridesmaids and parents on opposite coasts — Dr. Blasey wanted to know, had she ever confided that she had been sexually assaulted in high school?

No, Piwowarski said she texted back, she would have remembered that, and was everything OK? Blasey didn’t want to speak in detail quite yet, her friend recalled her responding. “I don’t know why she was asking that or what it ultimately meant or didn’t mean,” Piwowarski said in an interview, but she remembers thinking that the question betrayed deep turmoil.

That was about a month before Blasey, a research psychologist, came forward with her allegation that Judge Brett M. Kavanaugh, President Donald Trump’s Supreme Court nominee, sexually assaulted her more than three decades ago when they were high school students in the Washington suburbs.

So this isn’t promising for the Democrats: the woman whom the NYT calls the accuser’s “college best friend” did not have an inkling about any sexual assault in high school, much less that the purported perp was a possible GOP Supreme Court nominee until she got a text message from her friend of 30+ years a few months ago.

So far, nobody credible has come forward to offer any supporting validation. The woman who did go on NPR to talk about how she had heard all about it back in high school immediately collapsed in a heap, probably worried about getting a subpoena.

That lack of evidence is especially striking considering how favorable the political climate is for this kind of accusation. From the same article:

Twenty-three members of Blasey’s class at Holton-Arms signed a joint letter sent to Congress this week, calling for “due consideration” of her claims. Another letter is signed by more than 1,000 alumnae, dating back to the class of 1948. When Guerry circulated the letter from the class of 1984, she found that Blasey’s story resonated deeply. “I was very much surprised by how many of my classmates wrote back to say to say they had traumatic experiences in high school,” she said. “When they heard Christine’s story, it struck a chord for them.”

The NYT goes on to report a salacious story involving somebody else and somebody else.

But none of these 1,000 has gone public with any dirt on Kavanaugh. The best the NYT could come up with by yesterday was:

After the alleged attack on Blasey, a male friend said, she “fell off the face of the earth socially,” failing to appear at parties and events she’d previously attended. “All I remember is after my junior year thinking, ‘Where’s Chrissy Blasey?’” he recalled.

“She was the sort of person a lot of people paid attention to — she was a leader, she was great. I was like, where did she go?”

That might be evidence of something, or it could be just like the much repeated report in Sabrina Rubin Erdely “A Rape on Campus” classic from Jackie Coakley’s roommate at UVA that Jackie got really depressed, presumably due to Haven Monahan and all the shattered glass.

This has somewhat different flavor, though, than the Jackie-Sabrina fiasco. If you listen to the recorded conversation between the two, one striking feature is how the coed is the dominant personality of the two. Erdely, the older woman, is kind of nerdish, while Coakley is brassy and brazen. She picks up on Erdely’s theories and wholeheartedly amplifies them with over the top confabulations.

Blasey-Ford doesn’t seem very similar at all.

On the other hand, the Democrats may have a witness or two stashed away. It would be pretty incompetent of them not to have something in reserve. Furthermore, that GOP operative’s scheme of blaming it on a classmate of Kavanaugh could backfire by giving somebody else an incentive to pin the blame on Kavanaugh.

 
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The elite nervous breakdown accelerates. From NBC News:

Yale Law dean: Reports that professor groomed female clerks for Kavanaugh ‘of enormous concern’

Yale Law School Dean Heather Gerken wrote that she wanted to “address the press reports today regarding allegations of faculty misconduct.”

by Adam Edelman and Kasie Hunt / Sep.20.2018 / 3:06 PM PDT

The dean of Yale Law School on Thursday responded to reports that a prominent professor at the school had advised students seeking judicial clerkships with Brett Kavanaugh on their physical looks, saying the reported allegations of faculty misconduct are “of enormous concern” and calling on anyone affected to come forward.

According to reports in The Guardian, the Huffington Post and Above the Law, Amy Chua, a professor at the law school, would advise students on their physical appearance if they wanted to seek a clerkship for Kavanaugh. Specifically, Chua would help potential applicants to have a “model-like” appearance. …

Yale has not specified what the misconduct might be. …

Chua, who is perhaps best known for being the author of a 2011 book “Battle Hymn of the Tiger Mother,” wrote a July op-ed for The Wall Street Journal titled “Kavanaugh Is a Mentor To Women.”

In it, she wrote that she’d helped place 10 Yale Law School students — eight of them women — as clerks with Kavanaugh, including her own daughter, whose clerkship had been set to begin in August. “I can’t think of a better judge for my own daughter’s clerkship,” she wrote.

Clearly, Professor Chua is pimping out her own daughter! There’s some kind of rightwing satanic sex cult at Yale Law School. How did they miss this back in the 1980s? It is as bad as McMartin Preschool and Pizzagate!

The White House had no immediate comment on the Yale dean’s letter.

In an emailed statement to NBC News, Chua said: “For the more than 10 years I’ve known him, Judge Kavanaugh’s first and only litmus test in hiring has been excellence. He hires only the most qualified clerks, and they have been diverse as well as exceptionally talented and capable.

“There is good reason so many of them have gone on to Supreme Court clerkships; he only hires those who are extraordinarily qualified. As I wrote in the Wall Street Journal, he has also been an exceptional mentor to his female clerks and a champion of their careers. Among my proudest moments as a parent was the day I learned our daughter would join those ranks.”

Seriously, judging from comments on my blog from ex-students of her’s, Professor Chua is a really nice person who goes the extra mile to help her students. The notion that she would advise her students on what to wear to job interviews is neither implausible nor scandalous.

 
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Oh, yes he does. It’s a not very well known true fact that little Paulie Krugman, from the wrong side of the tracks in Long Island, had to work his way through Yale by caddying for the rich kids twosome of Brett Kavanaugh and Haven Monahan. Monsters in their personal lives, they forced little Paulie to kick their golf balls out from behind trees.

If you don’t believe me, just ask the Glass Brothers.

 
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It appears that an unfolding GOP strategy in the Kavanaugh Kase is to blame by name a specific guy who looks much like Kavanaugh. Rather than use his name at present, I will call him, uh, … Haven Monahan Sr.

That would let the GOP sort of get around the problem of Not Believing the Woman in the #MeToo Era, while also getting Kavanaugh off.

But, uh, aren’t there potential downsides to dragging Haven Monahan’s name into this? Has the statute of limitations run out in Maryland? Doesn’t this give Haven much motivation to dish dirt on his old buddy Brett? Or is Haven all set and onboard with this strategy?

(But perhaps Democrats will go for this idea of a multigenerational Monahan family nefariously causing all the scandals: It’s in the tainted Monahan blood. Look at who is trying to take down the saintly Keith Ellison!)

In late breaking news, another suspect has been identified: George Glass. If you spot Mr. Glass, please notify Senator Diane Feinstein immediately.

Perhaps not coincidentally, George Glass is the older brother of Stephen Glass, who mentored Sabrina Rubin Erdely at the U. of Pennsylvania student newspaper before enjoying a spectacular career at The New Republic in the 1990s.

If you don’t believe me, just ask the Glass Brothers: they’ll tell you.

 
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From NPR:

Kavanaugh Accuser’s Classmate: ‘That It Happened Or Not, I Have No Idea’
September 20, 2018 7:57 AM ET
Domenico Montanaro – 2015

A former classmate of Christine Blasey Ford tells NPR that she does not know if an alleged sexual assault by Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh took place as she first suggested on social media.

“That it happened or not, I have no idea,” Cristina King Miranda told NPR’s Nina Totenberg. “I can’t say that it did or didn’t.”

That’s different from what Miranda wrote Wednesday in a now-deleted Facebook post that stated definitively, “The incident DID happen, many of us heard about it in school.”…

“In my [Facebook] post, I was empowered and I was sure it probably did [happen],” Miranda told NPR. “I had no idea that I would now have to go to the specifics and defend it before 50 cable channels and have my face spread all over MSNBC news and Twitter.”

Miranda noted on Twitter that she did not have “first hand knowledge” of the incident.

To all media, I will not be doing anymore interviews. No more circus. To clarify my post: I do not have first hand knowledge of the incident that Dr. Christine Blasey Ford mentions, and I stand by my support for Christine. That’s it. I don’t have more to say on the subject.

— Cristina King Miranda (@reinabori) September 19, 2018

Miranda said staff from the Senate Judiciary Committee had reached out to her, something she was not expecting. She said she will not go through with a committee interview if asked.

Miranda says she played soccer with Ford — whom she refers to as Chrissy — in high school and that she continues to support her. Miranda added that despite not knowing specifics of what went on at the party three decades ago, she remembers that there was a “buzz” that went around possibly on a weekend about the party where an alleged incident involving students from her school and Kavanaugh’s took place.

 
Steve Sailer
About Steve Sailer

Steve Sailer is a journalist, movie critic for Taki's Magazine, VDARE.com columnist, and founder of the Human Biodiversity discussion group for top scientists and public intellectuals.


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