The Unz Review: An Alternative Media Selection
A Collection of Interesting, Important, and Controversial Perspectives Largely Excluded from the American Mainstream Media
 BlogviewIlana Mercer Archive
GOP’s Texas Strategy: Hope New Voters Don’t Show Up
🔊 Listen RSS
Email This Page to Someone

 Remember My Information



=>

Bookmark Toggle AllToCAdd to LibraryRemove from Library • BShow CommentNext New CommentNext New ReplyRead More
ReplyAgree/Disagree/Etc. More... This Commenter This Thread Hide Thread Display All Comments
AgreeDisagreeLOLTroll
These buttons register your public Agreement, Disagreement, Troll, or LOL with the selected comment. They are ONLY available to recent, frequent commenters who have saved their Name+Email using the 'Remember My Information' checkbox, and may also ONLY be used three times during any eight hour period.
Ignore Commenter Follow Commenter
Search Text Case Sensitive  Exact Words  Include Comments
List of Bookmarks

Democrats, reports the Economist, “think they might win Texas in 2020.”

Demographers, being mostly Democrats, credit Donald Trump.

One of them, he’s from Rice University in Houston, claimed that Donald Trump was the “worst thing that ever happened to Texas Republicans”:

“Mr. Trump has alienated many white Republican women in Texas, and has also pushed away Hispanics, who account for around 40 percent of the state’s population. … According to a recent poll by the University of Texas and Texas Tribune, more Texans say they would sooner vote for a candidate running against Mr. Trump than re-elect the president.”

But even those afflicted with Trump Derangement Syndrome are forced to concede that ,

“Long after Mr. Trump leaves office, demographic change in Texas will continue to exert an influence on the fortunes of Republicans, as the Hispanic population grows, millennials vote in increasing numbers and people continue to move to Texas from other states, bringing their more liberal politics with them.”

Yes, the country as a whole is moving leftward. And it’s not Donald Trump—although a border wall and a moratorium on immigration would have helped mightily. As the Economist attests, “Americans are more in favor of ‘big-government’ policies today than at any point in the last 68 years.”

The “public mood” in America is decidedly with statism and leftism.

Ultimately, even blame-Trump demographers must, on occasion, crunch data accumulated over decades and admit that, a “blue Texas” must be chalked up to demographic “changes,” which denote the swamping of the native population by a politically monocultural immigrant cohort:

“Those who foresee a ‘blue Texas’ point to demography as the primary reason for the state’s supposed [Democratic] competitiveness. While increasing turnout among minority and young voters has helped Democrats rack up big margins in cities, moderates in the suburbs—especially women—have been moving leftwards too.”

“Texas is more racially diverse and younger than the country at large. Non-whites lean heavily Democratic and young Americans are the most Democratic generation of all.”

As an example of what women and a minority-majority transformation do to elections, look no further than California’s Orange County, whose tipping point was reached as late as 2016.

Imagine that! The iconic place that had “incubated Barry Goldwater’s conservatism and was home to Richard Nixon”! As late as 2016, “The OC,” dubbed “Goldwater Country,” “had last backed a Democratic presidential candidate in 1936, when they voted for FDR.”

“But the fortress has fallen to shifts in the population. Orange County, which used to be the color of pith, is now minority majority with 34 percent of its population Hispanic and 21 percent Asian. Its voter registration reflects the change. It is 35 percent Republican, 34 percent Democrat and 27 percent independent, the definition of a competitive district.”

Mass migration (and school indoctrination) has turned the California home of Barry Goldwater conservatism into Democratic stomping ground.

And it’ll do the same to Texas. In truth, the “worst thing that ever happened to Texas Republicans,” aside the women’s vote, is mass, chain migration.

So, Texas might be poised to tip—all the more so since six of the state’s Republican incumbents have announced their retirement.

On the positive side, the new voting groups are notoriously tardy. Not I, but the leftist Economist gripes that non-whites and the young (categories not mutually exclusive, naturally) are “less likely to find their way to the polls.”

ORDER IT NOW

To retain their traditional strongholds, Republicans, who’ve done next-to-nothing to stem the tide of immigration, must now rely on the tardiness of the New Americans as an election strategy—in other words, on the propensity of the young and the diverse not to … show up.

That’s some election strategy.

Ilana Mercer has been writing a weekly, paleolibertarian column since 1999. She is the author of Into the Cannibal’s Pot: Lessons for America From Post-Apartheid South Africa (2011) & The Trump Revolution: The Donald’s Creative Destruction Deconstructed (June, 2016). She’s on Twitter, Facebook & Gab. Latest on YouTube: “How Democracy Made Us Dumb.”

 
• Category: Ideology • Tags: 2020 Election, Democratic Party, Immigration, Texas 
Hide 14 CommentsLeave a Comment
Commenters to Ignore...to FollowEndorsed Only
Trim Comments?
    []
  1. Realist says:

    There is no stopping it…this country is on a shit slide to hell.

    • Replies: @Patricus
  2. To retain their traditional strongholds, Republicans, who’ve done next-to-nothing to stem the tide of immigration

    They were too busy working for their donors and their own pocket. The only difference between Dems and GOP is the speed with which what remains of America will be sold out to the highest bidder. Dems, while promoting perverted social agenda, still promise some economic relief through allegedly “left” economic slogans, GOP meanwhile discusses BS white-board neo-liberal economic theories and concepts, which will finish off what remains of the US. But sure, bread and circuses, such as election shows and choices between shitty and extremely shitty professional crooks, will continue for a bit longer until the whole thing explodes.

  3. Patricus says:
    @Realist

    From my meetings with Americans throughout much of the nation I perceive a conservative majority. Many haven’t bothered to vote–especially those in majority blue states–but the social justice warriors do not represent the hearts and minds of the people. There is no popular clamor for LGBT bathrooms, or for dismantling our energy systems. People intuitively know the government can’t subsidize all our needs. The Hispanics in Texas are often right leaning and many transplants chose Texas in order to escape blue state totalitarianism. If most of our institutions collapse the people will probably revert to traditional conservatism.

    • Agree: davidgmillsatty
    • Replies: @Realist
  4. If Texas turns only purple, requiring the GOP to allocate significant resources to holding it, it probably spells national presidential electoral defeat for Republicans. Resources spent in Texas will not be available to try and sway voters in swing states such as Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Florida. The United States is well on its way to being a one-party state, probably by 2028 at the latest.

    • Agree: houston 1992
    • Replies: @davidgmillsatty
  5. Realist says:
    @Patricus

    Let’s hope so. But I do believe there is a two party system…just the Deep State.

    • Replies: @Realist
    , @Realist
  6. @Diversity Heretic

    The Democrats are doing everything they can to run white people out of the party. I see things going the opposite way. We are headed for a white party and an everyone else party except Asians. Asians may ultimately throw themselves with the white party.

  7. hmm our fate is now dependent upon the tardiness and kindness of strangers. But at least the big Ag producers did not have to invest in capital equipment crops.

  8. @davidgmillsatty

    I hope that your prediction comes true, but I just see too many legacy Democratic whites and “woke” whites to feel much optimism. Maybe when whites run out of places to which to run, they will start identifying with their race, but I fear by then that whites may be a mere plurality. And Asians tend to side with the party that they think is a winner.

  9. Realist says:
    @Realist

    But I do believe there is a two party system…just the Deep State.

    Should read: But I do not believe there is a two party system…just the Deep State.

  10. Realist says:
    @Realist

    But I do believe there is a two party system…just the Deep State.

    Should read: But I do not believe there is a two party system…just the Deep State.

  11. Binyamin says:

    I have always believed in the old dictum – ‘America, love it or leave it.’ Ilana is a comparatively recent immigrant and she obviously does not like much of modern America. She should either ‘shut up and stay’ or ‘get out and screech’. She chooses to stay and scream.
    I have always been baffled at the sight of immigrants who demonize their fellow immigrants. I think there is the delusion that somehow Ilana is superior to other immigrants and as if by magic she has become a native born immigrant patriot. Any mental health issues aside, I think Ilana is phobic that one day the authorities would classify her as an illegal alien and therefore she hides behind the metaphorical cloak of an immigration hardliner.
    This article is one among many where Ilana reveals her ignorance of American history by mixing up immigrants with Hispanics. Overwhelming majority of the 40% Hispanic immigrants in Texas are well integrated native born Americans. This should not surprise anyone since Texas and Mexico have unique historical links and in days gone by had some shared history. Many Hispanics regard themselves as whites and not just the well known figures of Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio. Take a look at Mitt Romney- he comes across as the quasisential Masssachusetts WASP. How many people know that Romney has Hispanic heritage? Half his extended family has lived in Mexico for generations and the Romneys freely move between Mexico and the states.
    ‘Hispanic ‘ derives from the root word Hispaniola, a region of Europe comprising Spain and Portugal. They are more European than Ilana who has never lived in Europe and most South African Jews originate from the Middle East.
    A word of advice for Ilana – being accepted as a spokesperson for America’s whites is not going to happen anytime soon. To save yourself from further ridicule, for once, have some pride in your South African heritage and as a start cheer your country’s remarkable Springboks rugby team currently playing in the world cup.

  12. MarkinLA says:
    @davidgmillsatty

    People like my Dad have to die off. It doesn’t matter what lie is put out about Trump he swallows every one since it reinforces his lifelong hatred of Republicans due to the corruption at the local level when he was a kid. He gets all his information from the TV and refuses to look at alternate souces because “how many followers do they have” as though that makes up for the difference in who untimately produced the correct news or not. He believes nothing about the corruption of the Democrats because “why weren’t they prosecuted” and on and on.

    He cries about what have the Republicans done for the working man but when he was in management had little good to say about unions. He can’t see that the Democrats are now no better.

    He isn’t stupid but just thinks like someone who is because it fits his internal beliefs.

  13. To be fair: the strategy is not wrong.

    Look at the districts in CA that were Red for decades up until 2018, when CA legalized ballot hardvesting. 4 districtcs that were able to stay red due to the huge population of minority voters that never voted, all of a sudden flipped blue after the fact thanks to third party mail in ballots.

    I spoke to friend who works in the criminal rehabilitation profession, and they said while most criminals are registered as Dems, the majority of them dont vote. The issue with this theory is that if CA is any inclincation, then it doesnt matter THAT they vote, but that they are ALLOWED to vote. Look at what happened with ballot stuffing in Palm Bay, FL during the last elections.

    Dems need as many on-paper voters as possible if they hope to flip Texas, which it appears they have thanks to Illegals and CA shit-libs swamping the state in the 2000s. If Texas starts implementing less strict voter laws, they will lose the state to the LEft and never get it back. At the end of the day, the Right needs to mobilize more voters ot the polls than the left, and not count on their own laziness to win them the election.

  14. the sooner the Republiscam pty dies

    the better for the White hardRight. 2020

    would be good, 2024 acceptable. After which

    certain Zionists among us might want to

    make aliyah ASAP.

Current Commenter
says:

Leave a Reply - Comments on articles more than two weeks old will be judged much more strictly on quality and tone


 Remember My InformationWhy?
 Email Replies to my Comment
Submitted comments become the property of The Unz Review and may be republished elsewhere at the sole discretion of the latter
Subscribe to This Comment Thread via RSS Subscribe to All Ilana Mercer Comments via RSS