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Trump's Reckless Hostility Unites China and Russia
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Good work Mr. President! You have now managed to lay the groundwork for a grand Chinese-Russian alliance. The objective of intelligent diplomacy is to divide one’s foes, not to unite them.

This epic blunder comes at a time when the US appears to be getting ready for overt military action in Syria against Russian and Syrian forces operating there. The excuse, as before, will be false-flag attacks with chlorine gas, a chemical widely used in the region for water purification. It appears that the fake attacks have already been filmed.

Meanwhile, some 303,000 Russian, Chinese and Mongolian soldiers are engaged in massive maneuvers in eastern Siberia and naval exercises in the Sea of Japan and Sea of Okhotsk. The latter, an isolated region of Arctic water, is the bastion of Russia’s Pacific Fleet of nuclear-armed missile submarines.

Interestingly, President Vladimir Putin, who has attended the war games with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, just offered to end the state of war between Russia and Japan that has continued since 1945. He also offered some sort of deal to resolve the very complex problem of the Russian-occupied Kuril Islands (Northern Territories to Japan) that has bedeviled Moscow–Tokyo relations since the war. The barren Kurils control the exits and entry to the Sea of Okhotsk where Russia’s nuclear missiles shelter.

In the current war games, Russia has deployed 30,000 military vehicles and 1,000 combat aircraft. China contributed 3,200 troops, 30 warplanes and naval units. Most of the equipment deployed in Vostok-18 was state of the art. Russia’s and China’s infantry, artillery and armor appeared impressive and combat ready – or as we in the US Army used to say, ‘STRAC.’

Why were these huge exercises being held in remotest eastern Siberia? First, so China could contribute forces close to its territory. Second, as a possible warning to the United States not to invade North Korea, which is just to the south and abuts on both China and Russia. Third, as a demonstration of the improved effectiveness of Russia and China’s military and as a warning to the US and its NATO satraps not to pick a fight with Russia over Ukraine, Syria or the Black Sea.

On a grander scale, Beijing and Moscow were signaling their new ‘entente cordiale’ designed to counter-balance the reckless military ambitions of the Trump administration, which has been rumbling about a wider war in Syria and intervention in, of all places, Venezuela. The feeling in Russia and China is that the Trump White House is drunk with power and unable to understand the consequences of its military actions, a fact underlined by recent alarming exposés about it.

Russia and China appear – at least for now – to have overcome their historic mutual suspicion and animosity. In the over-heated imagination of many Russians, China often appears to be the modern incarnation of the Mongol hordes of the past that held ancient Rus in feudal thrall. Russians still call China ‘Kitai’, or Cathay.

ORDER IT NOW

For the Chinese, Russia is the menacing power that stole large parts of eastern Siberia in the 19th century. Today, Russia frets that China’s 1.4 billion people will one day swamp the Russian Far East which has only 6.2 million inhabitants spread over a vast, largely empty region which is one of the world’s least inhabited.

In the 1960’s, after the Soviet Union and China became ideological antagonists, the two sides frequently clashed along their border rivers, Amur and Ussuri. They almost stumbled into a full-scale war on their 4,000 km border– at a time when the US had invaded Vietnam supposedly to ‘halt Chinese-Soviet aggression.’ The CIA was as ill-informed back then as it is today.

Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping attended the grand display, along with their senior military staffs. This week-long martial event, Russia’s largest war games in almost four decades, overshadowed the smaller military exercise being staged by NATO in Ukraine.

The message from eastern Siberia was clear: Washington’s reckless hostility and bellicosity is causing its foes to band together. A full third of the Russian Army just moved from Europe to the Far East for the war games. The Chinese dragon of which Napoleon warned is awakening.

(Republished from EricMargolis.com by permission of author or representative)
 
• Category: Foreign Policy • Tags: American Military, China, Donald Trump, Russia 
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  1. Alistair says:

    In the absence of the US leadership; president Putin is de facto leader of the “Semi-Free World”- it’s refreshing to see the old foes are forging new alliances, but they’re also reshaping the world without the United States at the helm.

    The world is learning to move on without the US; the Trump’s Republicans are leading the US into further isolation and total irrelevancy in the new world order – beside Turkey and Germany who are actively seeking for an alternative military alliance to replace NATO – even Israel is testing new level of cooperation with Russia and China – and perhaps that’s what Mr. Putin was aiming for all along; to break up the western alliances.

    Collusion or not, thus far, Mr. Trump has been effectively acting for the Russian’s interests; i.e. weakening and dismantling the old western alliances;
    “See what Mr. Trump has done for Russia so far:
    - weakening Transatlantic relations,
    - undermining EU,
    - undermining NATO,
    - undermining US intelligence agencies,
    - and getting the Republican Party to cheer all this”
    ( Prof. Vali Nasr, https://twitter.com/vali_nasr )

    Without the US at the helm, it’s not surprising to see that Russia and China are filling the gap; president Putin should get all the credits for that, he is de facto leader of the “Semi-Free World”.

    • Replies: @anon
    , @Authenticjazzman
  2. pyrrhus says:

    No, Trump has merely carried over the stupid policies of Clinton, Bush, and Obama. Remember when Clinton bombed the Chinese Embassy in Serbia?

    But Trump, at least, clearly wants a closer relationship with Russia.

    • Agree: Giuseppe
  3. Once again, Trump does the right thing unintentionally. He’s helping to end American unipolar dominance, and I support him in that.

  4. anon[125] • Disclaimer says:
    @Alistair

    That 17 yrs, while Ameruca was busy elsewhere and was gutting technological development and cutting science education, Russia and China made the best of the distraction.

  5. @Alistair

    ” Weakening and dismantling the old western alliances”

    The old “western alliances” only exist on paper. None of the treaty participants could be trusted to abide by their promise to aid another member in cases of attack upon their territory.
    The main participants in the NATO alliance have now moved radically to the left of center, and they steeped in total opposition to US policy, unless the US democrats are in power.
    DT did not “dismantle” the alliance , it becomes dismantled each and every time the Republicans are in power, as the european “social democrats” simply hate the US republicans with an irrational manic passion.

    AJM

  6. Anonymous[386] • Disclaimer says:

    Trump is simply fulfilling “The Pentagon’s New Map” pledge from 2003. He’s no different from Obama (who was scared into lockstep) or Bush…Trump has more bravado and bluff…but solidly neocon. Syria is a “reservoir of resources and location” to be kept in perpetual chaos and war like the rest of the Middle East and those countries the map deems “Gap countries.” Trump=neocons=1% who want arm sales, cheap resources, and control so that they can instigate totalitarianism anywhere desired.

    Russia and China represent countries looking at a U.S. who wants all developed countries to toe the line, fisically, economically, and politically, for the hegemonic “global economy and prosperity for all”=unbelievable wealth and control (how you think, how you produce, whether or not you have children, how many, etc.) for the 1%.

  7. The Sino/Russia alliance has been in the works a long time and was already solid by the time Trump was elected. It was Bush and Obama that forced Russia and China together. Nothing Trump could do would separate them. Don’t feel bad that you missed it. Apparently Kissinger is unaware of it also if its true he counseled Trump to ally with Putin against China.

    • Agree: Andrei Martyanov
    • Replies: @myself
  8. Biff says:

    Singling Trump out for this is short sighted. Obama’s State Department would be in the lead as an instigator.

    • Replies: @Harold Smith
  9. Renoman says:

    And what prey tell is Murca so scared of? Russia and China are no threat they just want to do business and get everyone fed. Murca has waaaay more bombs and guns, no one wants to fight them. They need to go home and fix all the broken beat up infrastructure in their own country and leave the World alone for a change. Just let Israel fight it’s own battles for a change, let them hire someone else for their dirty work.

  10. @Biff

    It’s not short sighted, IMO. Trump had an opportunity to reverse course and take us off the path to WW3. Trump had a patriotic duty and election mandate to end the imperialism and the dangerously confrontational foreign policy, but instead he reversed himself, betrayed his supporters and morphed into “Obama on steroids”.

    Moreover, as I see it, having run on a platform of defiance to the “deep state”, Trump didn’t need the support of the “deep state” to win the election, and this makes him far more morally culpable for his crimes than his predecessors, IMO.

  11. phil says:

    The article seems to assume that Trump leads the US government. He does not. He is enmeshed with Deep State operatives, most notably Jewish neoconservatives. As a candidate, and as president, Trump has expressed his desire NOT to be in Syria, but the operatives have in mind a long-term presence in Syria that risks war with Russia. Trump became president with the help of $25 million from Sheldon Adelson, the Las Vegas casino magnate, whose main loyalty is to Israel. Ending the Iran nuclear deal (which was forged with the help of Obama) was a condition for receiving the $25 million. Trump agreed to this condition. Adelson and Israel PM Netanyahu seek a confrontation with Iran, with war as a definite possibility.

    Regardless of whether actions in Syria provoke a war, and regardless of Iran, there is a Jewish elite in Washington and the media that wants confrontation with Russia. If they do not get what they want, impeachment is also very much on the table. At this point Trump is too proud simply to resign, but he probably wishes that he had never run for president.

  12. Why were these huge exercises being held in remotest eastern Siberia? First, so China could contribute forces close to its territory. Second, as a possible warning to the United States not to invade North Korea, which is just to the south and abuts on both China and Russia.

    Eric, you omitted one key perspective: North Korea’s.

    NK should be particularly worried that China is learning how to conduct operations with Russia. After all, Russia’s Pacific Fleet is stationed at Vladivostok which is just a stone’s throw away from NK and has access to NK’s long east coast for naval sorties and landings. I think that would be an essential element of any Chinese invasion of NK.

    Add in to the mix that China currently doesn’t have direct access to the Sea of Japan because its border falls just a few kilometres short of the coast due to slithers of land belonging to NK and Russia respectively. At the moment China uses a single pier leased from NK to give it access to the Sea of Japan and that lease expires in 2020. What if NK is refusing to renew the lease or will only renew at the current tiny scale?

    Obviously China could simply buy the Russian slither, but perhaps Russia isn’t in the mood to sell it. As an alternative, wouldn’t it be really convenient if a new post-invasion government in NK decided to allow an expanded port to be built by China, or better still simply decide to donate that little strip of land to China…

    Lets look at the pro’s and con’s:

    In the pro’s column: China gets access to the Sea of Japan; China gets to control NK and can quickly build a ton of infrastructure and governance that would instantly and massively improve the quality of life in NK; China gets to increase the productivity of a corner of China bordering NK that is in desperate need of an economic reason to be developed; it will make it harder for the US to blockade it in the Yellow Sea – something that could be easily done if the US successfully invaded NK; China eliminates an unstable quasi-nuclear power on its border.

    In the con’s column: China might end up in an Afghanistan/Iraq/Vietnam style debacle; NK’s population is tiny, so it may not be worth the necessary economic investment to modernise NK’s economy; invasion will harm China’s carefully crafted image of only being interested in trade.

    Finally, we need to ask what’s in it for Russia? Well, Vladivostok (the home of the Pacific Fleet) is hemmed in by Japan. What if a new NK government offered Russia a 100 year lease for a port on NK’s west coast – that would give Russia access to the Yellow Sea and would make it a lot harder for the US to track its naval assets as easily as they can when transiting the Sea of Japan. Add in climate change, and it might be that Siberia is ripe for development and in need of markets in the Pacific.

  13. Phil (#11) has it right. Trump has largely sold out to the neocon deep state element and is largely following their policies, perhaps because as an amateur he was easily convinced by the fact all of the so-called grownups seemed to favour the hardline imperial policy, or perhaps because he vainly hopes that by following the neocon policies it will make them ease up on him. It won’t because by caving in he only reveals his weakness. His early failure was in allowing himself to be pressured to get rid of General Flynn, known for his opposition to arming the jihadi element in Syria and elsewhere, though he had Trump’s blindspot on Iran. Workingclass (#7) also has it right: the Russia-Chinese alliance was already in place in 2016 as a result of the yankees throwing their weight around in the Ukraine and on absurd sanctions.
    In a way, Trump’s lack of diplomatic finesse, by strengthening the Chinese-Russian alliance and making it more likely that satellites may desert the Nato “Atlantacist” fold, by weakening yankee dominance is probably a good thing for everywhere else. Though things can’t get much worse, I think this would have occurred sooner had the harpy won, and the weakening of the US position due to diplomatic incompetency may make things not quite as bad for the rest of the world.

    • Replies: @Harold Smith
  14. Cratylus says:

    What an idiotic column this is. First of all it is full of a Cold War mind set. We are on one side and Russia and China are our “adversaries,” the accepted MSM designation for them at the moment. Margolis is right in lock step with the lying big media which may soon switch from “adversaries” to “enemies.”
    Second, the observation that Russia and China are being “forced together” is so old it is getting whiskers. But so is Margolis – so a hoary Cold War mentality and seeing the new in the very old is no surprise.
    Third, since the beginning of the unipolar moment the US has led the West in trying to ensure the everlasting domination of said West that began 500 years ago – roughly. It has been a period marked by non-stop wars, death and destruction. We ought to be striving to end it. What could be more advantageous to such an anti-imperialist, anti-hegemonist development than a close partnership, economic and geo-strategic, between Russia and China. We ought to be singing its praises rather than critiquing it as closet Exceptionalist/Imperialist/Hegemonist apologists like Margolis are doing.
    It is a tribute to the open-mindedness of Unz to publish it – or maybe they were doing it to let us see that Margolis has no clothes. But it is not a pleasant site.

  15. Very dangerous times ahead. Donald Trump’s make america great is NOT panning out. If USA does not get it’s own ways,expect WWIII
    US Presidents are not elected but selected .

  16. @exiled off mainstreet

    “Phil (#11) has it right.”

    On the contrary, he doesn’t. To the extent Phil’s comment makes sense, he seems to be saying that since Trump voluntarily sold out to the “deep state”, he can’t be held responsible for anything he does (or fails to do). Does that sound reasonable to you?

    “Trump has largely sold out to the neocon deep state element and is largely following their policies, perhaps because as an amateur he was easily convinced by the fact all of the so-called grownups seemed to favour the hardline imperial policy, or perhaps because he vainly hopes that by following the neocon policies it will make them ease up on him.”

    So according to you, Trump was unquestionably sincere during the campaign, but then at some point shortly after being inaugurated (really shortly afterward) he realized: “Oh no, I better start taking orders from the ‘deep state’ or they’ll somehow ‘get me’? I’ll gladly risk war with Russia (even if it leads to planetary extinction), if it’ll just stop them from harassing me.”

  17. Giuseppe says:

    The feeling in Russia and China is that the Trump White House is drunk with power and unable to understand the consequences of its military actions…

    The feeling in Russia and China has been that the White House administrations from Clinton forward are drunk with power. The consequences of a Chinese-Russian alliance is explained by the geopolitical theories of Sir Halford McKinder, who wrote of what he termed the heartland (Eurasia) something like, and I am partly paraphrasing, “he who controls eastern Europe controls the heartland, and he who controls the heartland controls the world island (Europe, Asia, Africa) and he who controls the world island controls the world.” It is the longstanding incomprehensible US policy of waging economic war on both China and Russia while harassing them militarily that has driven them together economically. China is building the infrastructure for a new world order in the Belt and Road Initiative, and Russia is providing the land, the geographical pivot of history, as well as rich raw materials. Trump didn’t do this alone, as others here have noted it involves the extremely stupid knee-jerk foreign policy of previous administrations.

    If this project is seen through to completion, the Chinese-Russian alliance will be unstoppable. But of course, there is always a good chance that Babylon on the Potomac will belatedly wake up from its power-drunk hangover and attempt a world war in order to hold on to hegemony.

  18. JohnJones says:

    You could blame the deep state for this as well. Since election day, Trump has had to prove that he is not under Putin’s thumb. Remember the Helsinki summit?

    • Replies: @Harold Smith
  19. @Cratylus

    All American politics are connected to the “gay” issue, and the bonkers US leftists are furious because Russia has not adopted their, the US leftist’s, gay stance, and they are crazy enough to risk an atomic conflict just to get their point across.

    Authenticjazzman “Mensa” qualified since 1973, airborne trained US army vet and pro jazz performer.

  20. @JohnJones

    “Since election day, Trump has had to prove that he is not under Putin’s thumb. ”

    Or at least that’s what they want you to believe. They want you to believe that Trump is a nice guy in a bad situation. He’s an honest, morally competent man who desperately wants to do what’s right for America…alas all he can do is sit there helplessly while the “deep state,” wielding a political doomsday weapon (i.e., “government-by-Russian- collusion-narrative”), steers the ship of state off of a cliff.

    And lots of people have fallen for the scam, as facially absurd as it is, even the likes of Paul Craig Roberts.

    • Replies: @Authenticjazman
  21. @Harold Smith

    ” And lots of people have fallen for the scam”

    Just as you fell for the scam of “altruism” propagated by the corrupt, racist, lying Democrats.

    Look we know you are in great pain due to the loss of your hero HRC, so just start counting the days til 6 Nov 2024, and then you and your marxist buddies will have a shot at the WH, from which you can resume your drive to convert the US into a northern version of Venezuela, the workers paradise south of the border where they wipe their popos with coca-leaves.

    Damn you are such a fool that reading your nonsensical postings gives me heartburn and a king-size headache.

    Authenticjazzman “Mensa” qualified since 1973, airborne trained US Army vet, and pro jazz performer.

  22. “Damn you are such a fool that reading your nonsensical postings gives me heartburn and a king-size headache.”

    Liar. A pile of animated dogshit such as yourself doesn’t get “headaches.”

    “Authenticjazzman ‘Mensa’ qualified since 1973, airborne trained US Army vet, pro jazz performer, and consummate mentally and morally defective fool.”

  23. Mathew says:

    The Russia-China alliance is way past the stage of “groundwork”. For all practical purposes, Russia and China are a single country – a single block of economic, military, technology, education and infrastructure. If you attack one, both will now retaliate. Their economies and their destinies are now intertwined for the foreseeable future.

    Oh, and as odious as Trump is, one cannot blame him for this historic unification of China and Russia. The real “groundwork” was laid (or actually mislaid) by Nixon and Brezhinksi.

    One more thing… very soon Iran, India, Pakistan and even the schizophrenic Turkey will be part of this alliance.

    Welcome to the new world. #BeltAndRoad

  24. myself says:
    @WorkingClass

    The Sino/Russia alliance has been in the works a long time

    A long, long time. In fact, the seeds of the alliance were sown back in 1991, when the old Soviet Union had just collapsed.

    Got to credit the leaders of Russia and China during that era, they foresaw the birth of the coming age, and acted with far-sighted wisdom.

    And now the Bear and the Dragon unite.

  25. Alistair says:
    @Cratylus

    Reverting to Cold War,

    The reality is that the US economy is heavily dependent on the Military Industrial Complex; America needs to have Military Adversaries, so, it can grow its economy, as such, the U.S has already reverted to 1970′s style of Cold War Competition between the superpowers and hardcore Republicans are feuling that aspiration; the Republican control of all the branches of the US government is the further proof of that.

    As to Russia; after two decades of internal turmoil in the post Soviet Union transition years; Russians have came to the conclusion that America cannot be trusted, that the US will never treat Russia as an equal superpower but a Defeated Communist Regime; President George Bush’s withdrawal from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty (ABMT) in 2002; the expansion of NATO to Eastern Europe, the invasion of Iraq, Libya, Syria, US interference in Georgia and Ukraine, all and all have proven that the America’s global ambition doesn’t include other superpowers but the old USA – as a result, Mr. Putin has emerged from the ashes of the KGB, he is reverting the Russian military to its glorious days of the Cold War.

    As to China, the Chinese Communist regime has never really changed but reformed its approach to the global commerce; China opened up to trade and investment with more global presence. Today, Chinese regime is a form of Communist State Sponsored Capitalism operating at the global level but the old communist leaderships are still in full control – they’re competing with the US every step of the way on the global stage.

    The reality is that, America needs to have Military Adversaries to grow its economy, the US is rigidity locked-in the Cold War mindset, and hardcore republicans are fueling that aspiration, and just like Russians, Republicans too, they want to put the clock back to the mid 1970′s – the glorious days of the Cold War.

    • Replies: @Cratylus
  26. Cratylus says:
    @Alistair

    Republicans and Russkies are the bad guys, you say.
    Now let us see who you left out? The Dems!!!
    Of course.
    What world are you living in? The Dems are worse even than the GOP Elite these days. The neocons have fled en masse into the Dem Party, fearing the Donalds desire to “get along with Russia” and his general inclination to anti-interventionism. The Mueller thugs, the Killary sore losers, the GOP Elite, the “Intelligence” agency fascists, the MIC and the Deep State may frustrate DJT yet – just as they did Reagan-Gobachev in the end.
    And to smear the Russians who are trying mightily to get to Detente is whacko.
    Yes, the MICs in each country want to keep rolling in the dough. That is not new; it is a cliche.
    But the way you put it, there is an inevitablity to it and that dulls the urge to change. There is nothing inevitable about the future unless we accept it as a continuing version of the present and fail to change it.
    Your cliches and silly Partisanship are not helping matters.

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