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 "Chip Smith"
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B-side of their first single: "Huge, Terrific Enormous Dancer (Fantastic)" (Plagiarized from a friend.) The album will feature "My Song," "Saturday Night's Alright for Tweeting," "The Butch Is Back," "Burn Down the Party," "Philadelphia Dweebdom," "Don't Go Breaking Our Laws," and "Don't Let the Net Go Down on Me." And in the second single, Sir...
  • Chip Smith

    I have this weird notion that if Trump wins there will be a cultural shift and people will come up with new ways to have fun — like in the 70s and 80s. I don’t anticipate any big changes otherwise, but a renewed American groove would be nice (all right for fighting).

    And that’s sort of my take on Steve’s take where Elton John is on rotation — that there’s a layer of unpredictable excitement percolating, and the wonks are obtuse.

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  • From the New York Times: Obama Warns of Growing Mistrust Between Minorities and Police By JULIE HIRSCHFELD DAVIS JULY 14, 2016 WASHINGTON — President Obama on Thursday defended the Black Lives Matter movement and said the legacy of racial conflict in the United States had driven dangerous mistrust between the police and minority communities. Notice...
  • Chip Smith

    That’s my neck of the woods, man.

  • Chip Smith

    First off, that’s not true. More important, they had no legal authority to touch him, much less arrest him. The city apparently agreed, considering the settlement.

  • Chip Smith

    As I’m sure you know, the actual cause of death from asphyxiation is often a cardiac event. Ask any doctor, if you don’t believe me. The officers had no legal authority to even touch this man. He was talking, and he had not committed a crime.

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  • Chip Smith

    “He was a 500 lb man with a history of heart attacks…”

    Were the officers unaware of this man’s size and the attendant health risks?

    Garner was doing nothing illegal or provocative. Yet he was placed in a choke hold, and shortly after he said “I can’t breathe,” he died. In other words, he was choked to death. If you don’t believe your lying eyes, that’s not my problem.

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  • Chip Smith

    Eric Garner’s death (I would call it a homicide) still strikes me as the most unambiguously inexcusable of the high-profile cases under discussion. He was talking, and then he was choked to death. I’m inclined to think Sailer has a point in noting that the NYC context may account for the relative lack of coverage in this case. It may even account for Erica Garner’s exclusion from the townhall event. Manhattan power brokers prefer their riots at a safe distance.

    • Agree: Connecticut Famer
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  • Via SlateStarCodex, here are some futurist predictions for the year 2000 by John Elfreth Watkins Jr. in the December 1900 issue of Ladies Home Journal. This list is fairly well-known for being pretty reasonable, so it's worth looking at for suggestions of how to make decent predictions and how to avoid mistakes that even a...
  • Chip Smith

    Obama has expressed support for the move, and it has the ring of an eleventh-hour legacy gambit. Anyway, it’s a long-odds prediction. If I turn out to be right, I’ll come back and gloat.

    Lincoln is also on the five, which isn’t going anywhere.

  • Chip Smith

    Refrigeration devastated the ice industry. Natural gas devastated the whale oil industry. I don’t know the long-term consequences of a similar shift in meat supply, but neither does anyone else.

    And I’m not saying the consequences would be entirely positive. I’m just throwing my prediction into the ring.

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  • Chip Smith

    I have a 10-to-one bet with my wife that Obama will issue a directive to abolish the penny. I think that will happen within 20 years. It might not be a great idea, but I think it’s coming.

    I think marketable high-quality in-vitro meat is going to happen faster than anyone expected (not many people are expecting it) and it will lead to a more pronounced moralization of animal welfare. 30 years.

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  • From Boswell's Life of Johnson (and used as an epigraph to Nabokov's Pale Fire): I recollect [Hodge the cat] one day scrambling up Dr. Johnson's breast, apparently with much satisfaction, while my friend smiling and half-whistling, rubbed down his back, and pulled him by the tail; and when I observed [Hodge] was a fine cat,...
  • Chip Smith

    A lovely tribute. Animals enrich our lives.

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine: The Scientist vs. the SPLC by Steve Sailer April 06, 2016 The dumbing down of the establishment left is amusingly illustrated by how the Southern Poverty Law Center, America’s most lucrative hate group, put the great scientist Henry Harpending (1944–2016) on their “Extremist Info” blacklist as a “White...
  • Chip Smith

    When I first read that entry on Harpending, I also thought it was suspiciously trollish. Probably nothing of the sort, but the notion of SPLC volunteers engaging in Straussian shenanigans is too much fun to let go.

  • Via Marginal Revolution, pundit Andrew Sullivan announces he is coming out of his sudden retirement to write for New York Magazine. The most interesting article Andrew Sullivan ever wrote was a long one in the NYT Magazine in 2000 entitled “The He Hormone” about how his ongoing career comeback was due to a Performance-Enhancing Drug:...
  • Chip Smith

    Adderall is a pretty intense drug. I’ve never had a script, but I’ve tried it a few times and have always been amazed at the intensity of focus — and the productivity! — that follows. An interesting quirk is that it seems to dull (or rather alter) my sense of humor. My default funnybone is cerebral, odd, free-form, silly — but under a kidspeed spell, well, I tend toward something akin to “wit,” and puns that would never occur to my unaltered mind intrude unwanted. I don’t know what that means, but I find it personally fascinating, and I wonder if others have been similarly affected.

  • In his 1871 book The Descent of Man, Charles Darwin considered at length whether the races of man were best thought of as separate species or as subspecies, eventually deciding upon the latter, which seems reasonable. Of course, we don't have a foolproof definition of species. Indeed, much of the incentives for biologists and paleoanthropologists...
  • Chip Smith

    Har, har. (“short”)

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  • Chip Smith

    Are there significant numbers of African Pygmy immigrants in Europe and/or the US? It would be interesting to know a bit about how they fare compared with other migrant populations. Occurs to me I’ve never seen this discussed. A bit of cursory Googling leads nowhere.

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  • From the Washington Post: More people were murdered last year than in 2014, and no one’s sure why By Max Ehrenfreund and Denise Lu Jan. 27, 2016 The number of homicides in the country's 50 largest cities rose nearly 17 percent last year, the greatest increase in lethal violence in a quarter century. A Wonkblog...
  • Chip Smith

    Can we rule out the possibility that looting of pharmacies introduced new supply of controlled substances into illicit markets, with an uptick in violence following for the usual turf-related reasons? That would account for the relative localism of a “Ferguson effect,” but I have no idea if there’s evidence either way.

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  • From NewYorker.com: “What would it look like if I took America’s obsession with firearms to its logical extreme?” says the artist Eric Drooker about his New Yorker cover for the issue dated December 14, 2015. The proliferation of guns and the too-easy access to military-grade weapons is not the only story in San Bernardino, but...
  • Chip Smith

    Thanks for the correction regarding the foregrip.

  • Chip Smith

    Artistic license excuses the peripheral imagery (such as the blurry handgun with no trigger), but the focal point, where she’s holding the rifle by the grip at an impossible angle, is rendered in some detail and therefore betrays the artist’s careless ignorance. Guns aren’t made of Styrofoam! And I don’t know what to make of that bottom sight, or whatever it is. I suspect it was maybe supposed to be some kind of tripod. Same crap, in any case. That Comics Curmudgeon guy is always pointing out similar physical absurdities in Mary Worth panels — and the worst Mary Worth panels are better than this.

    And I notice they’re buying whole milk. Silly heartland Americans. They don’t read no Science.

    • Agree: Spmoore8
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  • Over at Heterodox Academy there's a post, Heterodox Academy’s Guide to the Most (and Least) Politically Diverse Colleges, First Edition, geared toward those looking for "unsafe spaces." This isn't on the list, but there's another option: just be around me! Recently a friend found out I was a conservative, and he expressed total wonderment at...
  • Chip Smith

    Good choices. I’m happy to see Dworkin in the mix. Reading her most ridiculed book Intercourse was an eye-opening experience for me; I was expecting a rabid and humorless polemic, but was soon disarmed. She’s actually a very clear, witty, and personable writer, and her views about sexual relations — and sex itself — are distinguishable from the caricature that persists.

    Another one that stands out for me is Roger Shattuck’s Forbidden Knowledge: From Prometheus to Pornography (1994). Those who, like me, are strongly predisposed to defend free expression and free inquiry as terminal values would do well to engage with Shattuck’s wide-ranging and careful argument for a different intellectual tradition.

  • West Virginia has long been notorious as the worst white state in the country, and the recent White Death has hit West Virginia whites harder than any other state's whites, with death rates among whites 45-54 years old increasing 41% from 1999-2013. Ohio isn't as badly off as West Virginia, but the middle-aged death rate...
  • Chip Smith

    There are surely deeper HBD issues in play, but I do know that SSDI (“disability”) culture has been deeply entrenched in West Virginia for decades, particularly in the southern coal counties where work-related injuries have historically been common.

    My hunch is that part of this is due to regional exploitation of qualification reforms (e.g., the “treating physician rule”) implemented under Reagan’s compromise legislation, but whatever set it off, pill mills and disability law offices have become a fixture of the southern West Virginia landscape. Family members help other family members “get on benefits” as a way of life. Painkillers are prescribed, abused, sold; and when the supply is cut by civic-minded reforms, Oxy addicts turn to low-grade heroin. Overdoses are now common.

    There’s a lot more that could be noted about the inhabitants of this moribund, coal-dependent region (who are, I believe, the truest exemplars of Charles Murray’s thesis in Coming Apart), and I don’t doubt that much of their sad plight can be attributed to heritable traits, including time-preference and IQ. But when you live here, you observe a quitting culture rigged by history, abetted by policy, and picked by vultures. And no one cares.

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  • Language, while up to Presidential podcast norms, does not meet iSteve standards. As you may have heard, college debate has collapsed into complete farce in recent years due to white and Asian people letting black contestants turn it into a contest over who is most black. (The black contestants don't use the word "black" to...
  • Chip Smith

    Thanks for this follow-up link.

    WHEN and HOW and WHY did this happen? Seriously. Does anyone know? It’s so bizarre.

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  • Somehow, you just sort of knew their review would begin like this: How to Live Within a Black Body Ta-Nehisi Coates’s “Between the World and Me” is a letter to his son, and a lesson for us all By Bijan Stephen @bijanstephen If you were to map the black bodies destroyed by American police this...
  • Chip Smith

    If TNC’s son reacted the way he describes it, it’s because Pop primed him with the same inchoate monologues that end up in his essays. Which is sad.

    TNC is a moderately talented writer, long out of his depth. His affectation of currently fashionable postmodernist lingo — all this business about “black bodies” — is clumsy and wince-inducing and detracts from whatever point he might striving for. He also makes mistakes. A lot of mistakes. Any other public intellectual would have been hung out long ago, but he gets a pass because he happens to be the next best thing to James Baldwin for the moment, even if the moment has passed. I think his inflated stature (not his fault) is going to catch up with him in time. Too much rope.

  • the semi-safe-for-work Green Band trailer for Ted 2. (And here is the funnier and more coherent NSFW Red Band trailer.) Ted 2 is Seth MacFarlane's sequel about a foul-mouthed Bostonian stuffed bear who overcomes society's antiquated prejudice against Toy Marriage. But Ted and his human wife are confronted by the technical problem that while they...
  • Chip Smith

    “Also, black lives matter incredibly much…”

    Careful there, Steve. “Black lives” is passé. It’s “black BODIES” now. Know your shibboleths!

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  • So now we can see why the national press has been so tactically vague for all these weeks about the precise races of the Baltimore officers involved, while allowing the public to assume it was all about Straight White Males run amok again. Booking photos of the six arrested Baltimore cops: Ebony and ivory work...
  • Chip Smith

    The most likely explanation is that that particular claim will turn out to be less than accurate. That’s the way it is with sensational stories, as we’ve seen time and again. Claims are made and repeated. Some of them are even true.

  • La Griffe du Lion has been one of the more stylish, audacious, and influential underground intellectuals of the 21st Century. No one wields a sharper Occam's Razor than La Griffe. His pseudonym is drawn from an anecdote about a set of cutting edge math problems proposed by Johann Bernoulli in 1696. An anonymous correspondent solved...
  • Chip Smith

    It’s a shtick, man. A touch of kayfabe for the smart set. Goes down easier than Moldbug, even if I can’t do the math.

  • At The Edge.org, Daniel Kahneman interviews an Israeli historian named Yuval Noah Harari, author of Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind. I've skimmed the book and would have found it more persuasive about 15 years ago. Death Is Optional A Conversation: Yuval Noah Harari, Daniel Kahneman [3.4.15] Once you really solve a problem like direct...
  • Chip Smith

    One thing Steven Pinker changed my mind about is the probability of intelligent extraterrestrial life. I thought it was highly probable until I read his sobering (cold water) analysis in How the Mind Works — the part where he analogizes the evolutionary event of intelligent life to the environmentally contingent and obviously rare emergence of an elephant’s trunk. It’s such a simple and obvious point, but it made me very aware of the teleological bias — or raft of biases — that had previously led me to suspect that Higher Intelligence must be “out there.” Or whatever. I still think it’s possible that we — as self aware beings — are not alone in the cosmos, but I no longer think it’s necessarily probable. How likely is it that there are elephant-like critters on other distant planets, what with there trunks on utilitarian display? Consciousness shouldn’t be so different, and could easily be a one-off quirk. We’re just in love with the idea of us-as-ends is all.

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  • From Commentary, a publication of the American Jewish Committee: WASP Without a Sting 02.01.15 - 12:00 AM | by Terry Teachout There is hardly anyone under the age of 60 aware of how phenomenally successful Bob Hope once was. His heyday may have been long-lasting—he hosted a top-rated weekly radio series from 1937 to 1953,...
  • Chip Smith

    You know what was genuinely funny back before we gave much thought to “funny”? Cartoons. Warner Brothers cartoons from the 40s and 50s are still hilarious. Old Popeye cartoons, too. And Tom & Jerry. Great stuff. Still makes me laugh.

  • But I'm a creep I'm a weirdo What the hell am I doing here? I don't belong here Radiohead's "Creep" ranks with Nirvana's "Smells like Teen Spirit" near the summit of 1990s grunge rock blond male self-loathing: I feel stupid and contagious Here we are now, entertain us A mulatto An albino A mosquito My...
  • Chip Smith

    This is a deceptively insightful moment by Patrice O’Neal, who had more than a few.

    There’s an embarrassing feeling that comes when you read where you want to leave the book and talk to the writer. I always say that when that comes, whatever your ultimate verdict, you have to call it a good book. Because it caught you. Snared you. Made you want to make it personal. The best comics are like that, too. It feels like a conversation where there’s something at stake.

  • From New York Magazine last week: Horrible Things The Sickening Rape Allegations Against a Silicon Valley Mogul By Jessica Roy February 3, 2015 Last week, 24-year-old Elise Clougherty, a Stanford neuro-engineering graduate and former Ford print model, filed a lawsuit against Joseph Lonsdale, a powerful Silicon Valley entrepreneur who, along with Peter Thiel, co-founded the...
  • Chip Smith

    “…grabbing her head and using it to push open a shower door.”

    (???)

  • Francis Fukuyama reviews in The American Interest a book by philosophy professor Arthur Melzer that I reviewed last year in Taki's Magazine about the evidence for Leo Strauss's theory of esoteric writing. Fukuyama writes: The first part of Philosophy Between the Lines is a simple chronicle of evidence of just how widespread the use of...
  • Chip Smith

    I don’t know if it qualifies as (botched) esotericism, but I think that Dinesh D’Souza clearly knew what he was doing when, in “The End of Racism,” he lamely pretended to refute hereditarian arguments after presenting a curiously strong case for their empirical validity.

  • I read denunciations of The Bell Curve, I'm struck by how little subsequent data are cited. We hear a lot of a priori arguments that were musty when the late Stephen Jay Gould was trumpeting themand a lot of ad hominem anger, but few references to new data that have emerged in the 20 years...
  • Chip Smith

    It’s a complicated subject, but most research suggests that suicidality (usually considered an undesirable trait) is positively correlated with IQ. It’s also curiously easy to overlook profoundly undesirable developments are that are *contingently* associated with high IQ. It takes very high-functioning brains, for example, to come up with technologies that can annihilate large populations. The practical capacity for mass genocide may not qualify as a “trait,” but sub specie aeternitatis, it seems like a pretty big downside for smarts.

  • Merry Christmas to everybody out there! It's been a fun year and I want to thank all who have contributed along the way. Sometimes I get a little blue, but then I think about everybody who has helped me, through comments, emailed ideas for posts, verbal support, and (let's not forget) money. And then I...
  • Chip Smith

    Merry Christmas, Steve! I’ve been reading your stuff since way back (2001, I think) and I can say in all honesty that few writers have had such a profound influence on the way I see the world. Years ago I alerted a friend to your old blog and I’ll never forget her response: “He writes like he’s 20 and chewing gum.” That pretty much sums up your charm. Red pills as gummy candy.

  • Here's a question about the analogy of the Rape Culture Hysteria of 2014 to the Satanic Daycare Hysteria of the 1980s: Wasn't the 1980s frenzy more of a Bottom Up affair? My vague recollection is that the previous madness was promoted by, say, local prosecutors, disparate media outlets, and maybe some ambitious ministers rather than...
  • Chip Smith

    The daycare SRA panic drew on the cultural factors Steve mentions and then some. Oprah’s role (bottom up?) shouldn’t be overlooked, but nor should (top-down?) fashions in psychotherapy that were packaged as “expert opinion” at the time. There’s almost certainly a continuum from MPS to recovered memory therapy to the SRA panic in full bloom, and it seems wrong to trace any of what came to pass to a particular rumor. Storms gather and pass.

    Good comments by SPMoore8 above on the tricky etiology of the present rape culture scare.

  • Old-timer William Saletan writes in Slate about how whites in a national poll are much more likely to blame the cops in the New York Eric Garner case than in Ferguson Michael Brown case: Informed Bias While blacks see the grand jury decisions in Ferguson and Staten Island almost identically, whites seem them as dramatically...
  • Chip Smith

    I haven’t studied on the grand jury proceedings in the Garner case, but a number of people defending the outcome seem to focus on the question of whether the cop(s) *intended* to kill Garner. Unless there’s something quirky about the law of police misconduct or the grand jury system in NYC, I’m pretty sure the matter of intent would only be relevant with regard to charges of first and second degree murder (or such equivalent charges where mens rea is key). Wouldn’t a grand jury typically have to consider a raft of lessor offenses in which a person’s death occurs through negligence or procedural misconduct?

    I’ve watched the video and it’s not even clear to me that Garner was being legally detained. I’m pretty sure verbal recalcitrance is legal in any case, though I wouldn’t even characterize Garner’s conduct as recalcitrant. He was just talking emphatically, and making pretty good case that he should be left alone. Yeah, I’m with the “informed” majority on this one. There should have been an indictment.

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  • Uptown Resident comments: Re: the broken glass metaphor [in the Rolling Stone gang rape article]. Charlie Kaufman alludes to how cliche it is in “Adaptation” by having Charlie’s dumb twin, Donald, use broken mirrors as a visual motif in his screenplay [The 3]. Donald is following the advice of Bob the screenwriting instructor that an...
  • Chip Smith

    “I know a lot of people think everybody should just concentrate on a Just-the-Facts-Ma’am Sgt. Joe Friday attitude toward this story, but it’s also worth pointing out the literary techniques that made this article so unquestioned in the mass media from November 19 through November 30.”

    I would say that it’s not merely “worth pointing out” but crucial to understanding how such stories are developed in the churn of culture.

  • In The Atlantic, Olga Khazan laments: The Rolling Stone Fiasco Is Terrible News for Rape Survivors When sexual assault reports turn out to be inaccurate—even slightly so—nobody wins. Well, the truth wins. Truth is better for us than ignorance, lies, or spin. And it's more interesting.
  • Chip Smith

    For most people, truth is far less interesting than a culturally attuned subversion myth — and that’s what the Rolling Stone story, like the “rape culture” story that it served, is.

    Notice the shibbolethic sleight of phrase by which “rape victim” has been traded for “rape survivor.” This is an indication — one of many — that the “rape culture” narrative has become a new seat of sacredness, guarded in turn by a “ring of motivated ignorance.”* I’m in favor of breaking the spell and getting at the truth of all things when possible, but I think it’s just as important to understand what we’re up against. Silliest thing I ever believed was that religion meant supernaturalism.

    * Per Jonathan Haidt, and as elaborated by Sarah Perry, cf: https://theviewfromhellyes.wordpress.com/2014/11/27/sacredness-as-practiced-by-religious-entrepreneurs-rape-riots-and-economic-efficiency/).

  • From my new column at Taki's Magazine: Numerous identity politics uproars, such as Ferguson, Trayvon, and Duke Lacrosse, have turned out to be humiliating fiascos for the national press when all the facts are finally toted up. Note that these were the mainstream media’s wars of choice, battlegrounds chosen to teach the public lessons. What...
  • Chip Smith

    And we are once again reminded of Janet Malcolm’s famous line: “Every journalist who is not too stupid or too full of himself to notice what is going on knows that what he does is morally indefensible.”

    Erdely doesn’t seem too stupid to me. Was she too full of herself to consider that it might not be kind, exploiting the probable confabulations of a disturbed woman for the sake of a dramatic narrative?

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  • Andrea Dworkin (1946-2005) was a polarizing figure among feminists since she brought an Old Testament prophet's fervor to the task of taking the logic of feminism to extreme lengths. And she was not illogical. But she was also a physically and psychologically unattractive person, a Jabba the Hut-shaped stereotype of an unbalanced feminist. According to...
  • Chip Smith

    This is a pretty good essay that captures some of the qualities that make Dworkin such an enduring figure, at least for those who can get past the caricature. As someone who has read most of her work, from her earliest prose-poetry to her sincerely pathetic account of being drugged and raped, I would add that Dworkin was simply a terrific writer. She was an exemplar of the classic style in her forays into literary criticism (her much maligned book, “Intercourse,” being a great example); she was a shrewd and clear polemicist (“Letters from a War Zone”); and she was a modern novelist of the first rank (“Mercy” is one of the most powerful novels I have ever read). Her critical essays often addressed the pretense of masculine conquest found in the works of writers like Henry Miller and Norman Mailer, but I think Dworkin actually saw herself in similar literary terms, and that she even saw herself on a similar mission (albeit from a martyr’s point of view) in blending life and art.

    While I understand what Sailer is getting at, I disagree strongly with the characterization of Dworkin as “aspergery.” She was acutely empathic, and this, curiously, can lead to the same breaches of team-oriented decorum.

  • Author Richard Bradley blogs: Some years ago, when I was an editor at George magazine, I was unfortunate enough to work with the writer Stephen Glass on a number of articles. They proved to be fake, filled with fabrications, as was pretty much all of his work. The experience was painful but educational; it forced...
  • Chip Smith

    The element about the victim’s acquaintance from the anthropology discussion group reminds me of a trope that comes up in the “rape-revenge” sub-genre of slasher films, such as “Last House on the Left” and “I Spit on Your Grave.” The idea is that even the low-ranking “good guy” of the group (who might be dull-witted or simply softhearted) will give in to the evil momentum in response to male peer pressure. It’s sort of an “et tu” moment that suggests, along with the practical implausibilities in how the story is blocked, that a narrative is being concocted.

    It’s important that this one be debunked roundly and loudly. It’s not a matter of muddled exaggeration, but of falsehood parading as journalism — with real consequences.

  • Here's Razib Khan of the Unz Review writing on recent evolution in the New York Times: Our Cats, Ourselves By RAZIB KHAN NOV. 24, 2014 DAVIS, Calif. — IT’S commonplace to call our cats “pets.” But anyone sharing a cat’s household can tell you that, much as we might like to choose when they eat...
  • Chip Smith

    In the book “Cat Sense,” John Bradshaw speculates that where and when cats have been domesticated it is likely that selection was mediated by women and children. That’s probably true, but I don’t know that it has anything to do with the social “gendering” of cats versus dogs.

    What I wonder about is whether human affection for cats is an adaptation stemming from their utility in controlling pestilence. Razib Khan may know the answer, and I look forward to reading more of his work on this topic.

    I love cats, by the way. And dogs.

  • With World War T turning into a rout, Michelle Goldberg in The New Yorker profiles one last pocket of resistance: radical lesbian-feminists who have been trying for 40 years to stop men in dresses from showing up at the Michigan Womyn's Music Festival and hitting on the poor lesbians who just want to camp in...
  • Chip Smith

    Bailey talks about this in The Man Who Would Be Queen, where he argues that the transsexuals in such cultures are generally distinguishable from autogynephilic types, being effeminate boys who are culturally groomed into transitioning early. That’s one reason why they’re prettier, and more genuinely feminine, than the IT geeks, athletes, and film directors who end up transitioning later in life out of an inverted attraction to women. In Western cultures hyper-feminine boys, rather than being routed into hormonal transformation, simply identify as gay.

  • said! I spotted it in a conversation with Dennis Mangan. I guess it's good to see that someone else has brought up these points. Here's the rest of the it seems, Dennis Mangan – like many in the medical establishment – appears permanently locked into a rather unscientific way of thinking. The problem of disentangling...
  • Chip Smith

    I absolutely agree with this observation and I find it puzzling. Do out think this is a case of evolutionary mismatch? –That some food taboos in some past environments were adaptive and as a result modern minds are (mis)equipped with food taboo toggles that spring into action when faddish cues light up in the culture?

  • Interestingly, none of the commenters to my previous post (Gay Germ Fallout?), with the exception of Luke Lea, seems to be talking about the main point of the post: the consequences should people discover that there is a gay germ. The discussion is focusing on whether or not the pathogen exists, which it almost certainly...
  • Chip Smith

    erica,

    In your reply to my comment, you assert that I left out “the likelihood that this hypothetical germ does other damage.” Just wanted to note that my speculation was in reply to M’s scenario where such “other damage” is suggested as the primary basis for vaccination.

    But this makes me wonder: How likely is it that exposure to the hypothetical germ might instead turn out be beneficial in some other respect? This possibility is at least implicit in Steve Sailer’s first “gay germ” article, where he talks about SCA and malaria.

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  • Chip Smith

    M,

    I sincerely hope you are right in your speculation about how this would go down, but there are a lot of necessary steps that might not fall in line, and I think you profoundly underestimate the political fallout that would follow the inevitable headlines no matter how the news is couched. Homosexuality isn’t like mental retardation or even deafness; it’s a culturally rooted and celebrated group identity that matters very much to a great many people for reasons personal and political. To understand what I am suggesting, imagine the same scenario you outline with the difference being that the doctor advises parents that the secondary effect of the recommended vaccine is that it will make their children far less receptive to religious belief (I know this is an outlandish hypothetical, but religiousity does have a biological component). Do you think this would remain a matter that takes place in the privacy of the doctor-patient relationship, or do you think it would explode in sensational headlines about doctors programming kids’ brains for atheism — and under Obamacare?! I think the latter scenario would predominate, and I think that’s more or less what we’ll see if pathogenic homosexuality is proven and treatable.

    Against this we should keep in mind the cultural — and cross-cultural — backdrop characterized by overwhelming scientific illiteracy and profoundly differing cultural priors regarding the moral status of same-sex attraction. Some governments would mandate vaccination, and in some Western democracies the issue would be politicized with genocidal rhetoric attending the debate. There would be appeals for political asylum. There would be folk beliefs about the germ’s origin. A cultural paradigm built around dubious science would be shattered. People would take sides

    Notwithstanding the best PR and the most optimal alignment of secondary facts, I can’t imagine this going well.

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  • Chip Smith

    It would be the worst of politics, the stuff wars are made of. At least that’s what I fear and suspect, especially so if it turns out that gay people transmit the germ. And even if that isn’t the case, good luck educating the masses once the genie’s out. This is a genuinely dangerous idea.

    Maybe it will also turn out that valuing truth is a pathogenic trait.

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  • Readers here will recall my recital of Greg Cochran's hypothesis that obligate male homosexuality is caused by a pathogenic agent, likely a virus (please see 100 Blog Posts – A Reflection on HBD Blogging And What Lies Ahead: Homosexuality (the “gay germ” hypothesis)). This is by far the most likely explanation for male homosexuality (see...
  • Chip Smith

    JayMan,The summary of the larger studies (from the registries) showing low concordance is impressive, but I wonder if they go far enough to distinguish “same sex attraction” from preferential homosexuality. Do concordance rates change when degrees are taken into account?

    And what about the possibility that the genetic contribution is showing up less because it is in fact rapidly diminishing. Generational differences in the weight of concordance would test this.

    What I want to rule out is the possibility that a genetic factor could have been introduced under certain conditions only to evaporate as moral and technological preconditions change.

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  • Chip Smith

    “Wow. What state are your folks from?”

    West Virginia. And my strong impression from conversations with oldsters is that this sentiment — the obliviousness — was fairly common until relatively recently. That Liberace movie touches on this.

  • Chip Smith

    “What kind of grandparents do you have?”

    I’m recalling an actual conversation with my wife’s grandparents. (Mine were dead before I was born.) My mother said the same thing and she was shocked when the Village People were outed, as were countless unassuming Americans. The “sissies” and “fairies” that my father hated … usually had wives and kids.

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  • Chip Smith

    “Wouldn’t it be better to have whatever advantage and not be gay?”

    I would say that it shouldn’t matter if the dominant cultural environment enforced sufficient rates of reproduction. And it could have been a relatively recent turn, perhaps being part of the Mathusian break that Greg Clark talks about. That would fit with a surfeit of resources being sufficient to promote descendance.

    And it’s my understanding that the <11% concordance figure is a subject of ongoing debate. I know there are studies that find significantly higher MZ concordance, including some that attempt to correct for the selection bias that confounded the high estimates that were initially reported decades ago. I know you're inclined to rule out a genetic factor, but I still wonder whether there could be a genetic predisposition that only becomes manifest under certain environmental conditions.

    If it is pathogenic (and I certainly think there's a good chance it is), I think some of the social implications about which you express concern would be somewhat diminished if it turned out that some other highly valued traits are hatched in like manner. I'm thinking of an event where the (hypothetically proven) claim that "homosexuality is cause by germs" might be rejoined by saying, "yeah, well so is musical virtuosity … or _____." Is there speculation to this effect — that some relatively rare but socially valued traits might reduce to pathogenic etiology?

    Thanks for the links. I can't sleep.

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  • Chip Smith

    One thing I need to be convinced of is that preferential male homosexuality actually resulted in a fitness disadvantage in our recent past, given cultural pressures and the absence of birth control. Couldn’t it have been that gay men exhibited qualities that were attractive to women and that (absent culturally acceptable alternatives) they had children at the same (or higher) rates than straight men — perhaps initially in families with resources sufficient to ensure enough descendants to carry the trait forward? How would we even know?

    The grandparents will tell you there were no gays when they went to school, but look through their old yearbooks and I bet you can spot the likely candidates. Of course, they will answer, those men are married with children and grandchildren.

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  • Chip Smith

    What does Cochran mean when he says that sexually antagonistic selection is pretty much ruled out by GWAS surveys?

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  • In 1990, Stan Liebowitz and Stephen Margolis wrote an article detailing the history of the now standard QWERTY keyboard layout vs. its main competitor, the Dvorak Simplified Keyboard. (Read it here for free, and read through the rest of Liebowitz's articles at his homepage.) In brief, the greatest results in favor of the DSK came...
  • Chip Smith

    It would be useful to know the extent to which the later periods are weighted by approving references to Liebowitz and Margolis. 
     
    Also, I notice that QWERTY mythology has yet to be addressed by Snopes, which is surprising since they routinely deflate popular economic fallacies. Perhaps it’s a sore spot with the editors.

  • Kung Fu star Carradine found dead.
  • Chip Smith

    TGGP, 
     
    Forget Kung Fu and rent the original Death Race 2000.

  • Part of the preface from Bryan Caplan's next book is up.
  • Chip Smith

    Selfish reasons are easy. Selfless ones, not so much.

  • It's out. Will be interesting to compare with Religious Landscape Survey. Here's a headline from a summary: More Americans say they have no religion. H/T Secular Right.
  • Chip Smith

    …and before him bush… 
     
    Which Bush? When before? I wondered about precedent when I heard Obama’s inaugural speech reference to “non-believers.”

  • No surprise. But the data are rather stark. Excluding those who gave "No Answer" and "Lots" here are the mean number of children of readers by age group from the survey, with the mean number of children in the age groups from the GSS for whites in the parentheses:18-25 = 0 (0.32)26-35 = 0.25 (1.36)36-45...
  • Chip Smith

    …at a sociological level the idea that wongba’s choices are individual and are of just as much value of someone who responsibly reproduces is problematic. 
     
    Perhaps, but at a philosophical level the very idea of “responsible” reproduction is, to some of us, morally problematic. One may value the traditions of western civilization without presuming to speak for the child who never had a choice.  
     
    Sociological suicide is a neat metaphor, but procreation absolutely guarantees suffering for those who are forced to life. Every time. I think this is bad, no matter who inherits the earth.

  • Brad Delong reports that Yale professor Chris Blattman is looking for suggested readings for his class "Why is Africa poor and what (if anything) can the West do about it?" Blattman's syllabus (pdf) seems excellent but includes nothing on IQ. What reading(s) would the GNXP crowd suggest he add? I expect that your suggestions will...
  • Chip Smith

    On the literary side, I recommend When A Crocodile Eats the Sun, by Peter Godwin — a book that has aroused surprisingly little interest in the Steve-o-sphere.

  • At Secular Right I stated:Right now only a few weblogs (that I know of!) seem to make regular recourse to the GSS when confronted with a question amenable to inquiry. The Inductivist, The Audacious Epigone and to a lesser extent Half Sigma. I wish there were more weblogs out there where individuals would take 10...
  • Chip Smith

    Sister Y recently posted some interesting GSS data on “Attitudes Toward Suicide.”

  • You probably already know this, but in case you don't, I'm somewhat involved in a new website, Secular Right. Heather Mac Donald, Derb and Walter Olson are current contributors. My own postings there will be mostly about philosophy, history and data analysis, as opposed to rapid response to other weblogs or commentary on current politics.
  • Chip Smith

    TGGP, 
     
    By “disease model,” I was referring to diagnostic classification, not Cochran’s pathogenic theory. Moot point, since I see that geecee has signed off.

  • Chip Smith

    Perhaps it’s because this is a male-dominated forum, but as David B notes, the conflation of homosexuality with male homosexuality has been conspicuous throughout this thread. This seems very relevant to the question of SSM, since lesbians are more likely than gay men to marry (ss). It is also relevant to the question of pathology, since many of the stats cited in support of the view that homosexuality is a disease do not apply to female homosexuals.  
     
    I would be interested in hearing what geecee has to say about lesbians. If “lesbians are not gay” (to paraphrase Steve Sailer), does the disease model fit at all? Many of the arguments against SSM seem strange when the debate is narrowed to consider only female-female marriage. Shouldn’t the normative questions be segregated for the sake of clarity?

  • Chip Smith

    Heterosexual, monogamous marriage has served Western Civilization pretty well over the last 2000 years, so a conservative would want to see damn good evidence that overturning it does not present a danger to society. 
     
    Couldn’t the same have until recently been said of heterosexual, monogamous, and monoracial marriage? And if so, was there a similar imperative to compile “damn good evidence” that overturning anti-miscegenation statutes did not present a “danger to society” before taking the plunge? 
     
    I think a purer conservative argument hinges on the proven — and traditional — utility of marriage and monogamous social structure, regardless of the beneficiaries. 
     
    Regarding “fairness,” a clear distinction may be drawn between equalitarian fairness (fairness before the law, i.e “equal protection”) and an egalitarian-redistributivist concept of fairness. The former is a foundational principle of property rights and religious liberty. The latter paves the way to Maoist hell.

  • Opinion Polls & Market Research
  • Chip Smith

    being a black president might force obama to be extra careful about who he appoints because of the perception that he’s a race man. 
     
    I’d be very surprised if this weren’t the way it played out. And while Sailer’s occasionally petty commentary on Obama has been justifiably tailored to counter the negligent incuriosity of a predictably lazy punditocracy, the effect, for me anyway, has been to humanize the man in a way that the campaign narrative has not. Every black or mixed-race intellectual I’ve ever known has struggled with questions of racial identity, and Obama’s pronouncements on matters of “race and inheritance,” even when amplified by Sailer, reveal something of a genuine conflict and maturation – signs of decency, and growth.  
     
    But then I always had soft spot for Sam Francis, so what do I know? I’m voting for Paul when the time comes. For the hell of it.

  • Chip Smith

    West Virginia’s primary is later in the game so I didn’t participate in the poll. I will say that while I usually vote libertarian, the more I’ve read of Steve Sailer’s running commentary on Obama, the more interesting and essentially decent he comes off. Two qualified cheers if he pulls it off.

  • Rather like those polygamous Mormon separatists who live right on the Utah-Arizona border and build their houses on skids so they can drag them just across the dividing line when the state police are coming to arrest them, Voltaire spent his last two decades on the French-Swiss border in the village of Ferney, near Geneva,...
  • Chip Smith

    I’m guessing JP Rushton might have something to say about this. Then there’s that unmetnionable miscreant, Ernst Zundel, who sat in a Canadian jail for years before being deported to a proper German prison.

  • Murray offered his challenge in an interview with me in 2003 about his book "Human Accomplishment: The Pursuit of Excellence in the Arts and Sciences, 800 B.C. to 1950:""I think that the number of novels, songs, and paintings done since 1950 that anyone will still care about 200 years from now is somewhere in the...
  • Chip Smith

    I think Nicholson Baker’s novel, The Mezzanine, has a chance. And I wouldn’t bet against the paintings of Francis Bacon, or Andy Warhol. Seriously.

  • At Cato Unbound, Linda Gottfredson is debating Jim Flynn, Stephen J. Ceci, and Eric Turkheimer:Proponents of the taboo on discussing race and IQ assume that the taboo is all for the common good, but whose good, exactly, is served? It is most certainly not individuals of below-average intelligence, who face a tremendous uphill battle in...
  • Chip Smith

    It’s the “twelve closest friends” problem discussed in the opening chapter of The Bell Curve. The educated classes simply cannot fathom that a sizable proportion of the population is tuned to a different cognitive frequency and that this has real-world implications. They can’t understand it, in part, because the cloisters they inhabit – courtesy of meritocratic stratification – make it easy to avoid commingling with the left half entirely. On those ocassions when intellectuals do catch a glimpse of stark reality, their reflexive hostility is such that IQ denialism becomes a seductive cover. Gottfredson’s sin is that she cares enough about people to try to understand them.

  • Mark Liberman has updated his post on race and IQ in response to my post. I actually wrote out a long response and deleted it--believe it or not, I have about as much of a desire to get sucked into this conversation as he does. But I strongly, strongly disagree with his claim that showing...
  • Chip Smith

    I agree that Rushton and Lynn’s credibility is ultimately of little importance, but my understanding was that Rushton’s original research on Sub-Saharan IQ has been largely based on data derived from Raven’s Progressive Matrices, a nonverbal test (which presumably would not require familiarity with tennis). No?

  • I was walking past the TV in the living room a few months ago and the local news was broadcasting a segment about a woman who had been knifed repeatedly in her apartment by a robber early Sunday morning who had been seen checking for unlocked doors. As the broadcast went on, introducing more details...
  • Chip Smith

    This makes sense until the first capital offense is committed, after which the existence of the death penalty might actually provide a stronger incentive for criminals to murder remaining witnesses/bystanders/potential informants to avoid being apprehended and thus executed. What’s left to lose?

  • A great deal of confused and unreliable reporting is flying around concerning James Watson's comments on race and intelligence.In the interests of public information, here is an article from today's London Independent which is signed by Watson and therefore, unless he disavows it, may be taken as accurately reflecting his current views.Added: And here is...
  • Chip Smith

    This is a pretty insular community where grand order taboos can be tossed about as a matter of course. Has anyone considered that Watson may have been threatened?  
     
    He’s an old man with little to lose. He could have issued a statement of clarification citing relevant literature in support of broadly recognized African IQ deficits. He could have stressed the policy implications, while making clear that such observations are necessarily general and should in no way be construed to undermine political equality. But the apology Watson issued, despite Jason Malloy’s careful reading, seems suspiciously contrite, and fraught with shame. 
     
    Keep in mind it wasn’t long ago that threats and physical attacks were de rigueur for scientists who ventured into the wrong side of this controversy. I think Sailer has mentioned that he still receives threats from time to time.  
     
    I’m not saying this is what happened. And I don’t have any evidence that it did. I just hate to think that in focusing on the finer points of scientific relevance, we might be overlooking an obvious – and ominous – possibility.

  • Several readers have pointed out that this story is likely to get more national coverage than similar local crime cases. I wonder why ... Details emerge in W.Va. torture case By JOHN RABY and TOM BREEN, Associated Press Writers 34 minutes ago For at least a week, authorities say, a young black woman was held...
  • Chip Smith

    Jan,

    The latest report from the Charleston Gazette lends support to your suspicion:

    http://wvgazette.com/webtools/print/News/2007091122

    If the MSM takes the bait – and they may not, given the retch factor alone – it will be interesting to see the “hate crime” narrative is cast. My revised hunch is that there may be a mite too much unseemly “otherness” in the sordid specter of crank-addled dysgenic hillfolk to suit any middle-class appetite for an easy morality play. Perhaps someone should tip off Al Sharpton, just to see what happens.

    This is unfolding in my neck of the woods, by the way. If you want to keep up, The Charleston Gazette, the Charleston Daily Mail, and the Logan Banner will have the most up-to-date coverage.

  • Bad news for atheists: individuals low in religiosity are more likely to have a "slacker" personality. And worse news: this is true even among intellectually gifted people. First, a disclaimer that I consider myself an atheist, though I would never use that term.* So no guff about having an agenda. Also, though obvious, it needs...
  • Chip Smith

    Reading through the metric criteria, it still seems that avowed atheists could be misleadingly grouped with those who are a-religious or religiously disengaged. I would be more impressed if self-described “atheists” were shown to exhibit the imputed personality traits.

  • Chip Smith

    To amplify Michael Vassar’s comment, I think there could be a confounding problem in equating low religiosity with philosophical atheism. On a low to high spectrum of religious belief, it might be a mistake to group atheists — who are often obnoxiously passionate about their lack of belief — with those who simply care less. While the latter group (apatheists, for lack of a better term) might simply tend toward laziness in affairs religious and otherwise, I would like to know more about the comparative profile of those who are not merely low on the scale, but who explicitly disavow belief. 
     
    Is this problem addressed in the cited literature?

  • John Hawks casts a skeptical eye on the "circumcision reduces HIV transmission" story. Think how embarrassing it would be if, under pressure from Western governments, African nations start chopping off foreskins willy-nilly only later to find, well, hm, maybe it's not that effective after all. The outrage that would result from that is in itself...
  • Chip Smith

    I’m on Stan’s side on this one. One can fairly speculate as to how the news would be received if the imputed 1.8% reduction in HIV risk were attributed to infibulation or some other form of female genital surgery rather than dick mutilation (albeit consensual dick mutilation in this rare instance). I think it’s safe to assume that the issue would be cast in very different terms, with ethical caveats quite appropriately front and center.  
     
    From a more empirical vantage, I have to wonder how much of the risk reduction might be attributable to the circumcised cohort engaging in less sex – or less risky sex – due to down time resulting from recovery or even due to reduced sex drive compounded by body image issues, etc. For all the disinterested clinical chatter, this is, in physical and psychological terms, a pretty radical intervention for adult men and singling out circumcision as the independent variable seems a mite hasty, especially given the unintended consequences that could ensue when the “hey, I’m circumcised, what’s the risk?” meme takes root. 
     
    On a related note, I would be very interested in hearing GNXP contributors’ thoughts on Leonard Glick’s Marked in Your Flesh: Circumcision from Ancient Judea to Modern America, which, incidentally, does a pretty good job of summarizing potential problems with the extant literature purporting to show prophylactic benefits.

  • Been watching Beyond Belief 2006. Funniest moment so far, V.S. Ramachandran recounts the % of people in a survey who considered themselves "above average" in intelligence. Take a guess. Answer below the fold.98% of people surveyed (representative survey mind you!) considered themselves above average in intelligence.
  • Chip Smith

    I think it may have been in No Two Alike where I read that people diagnosed with clinical depression tend to have a more accurate perception of their own intelligence.

  • Via Hit and Run, a Wired article: Battle of the New Atheism. The author talks with Dawkins and Dennett.
  • Chip Smith

    In the Wired article, Dawkins is quoted as saying “The probability of God… while not zero, is vanishingly small,” which strikes me, perhaps wrongly, as an unjustified empirical concession. If the crux of the God question hinges on the rational failure of supernatural appeal (as Dawkins seems to suggest at times), isn’t the business of “proving” God rendered theoretically moot by the epistemological foundations of rationalism?  
     
    I note that Steve Sailer is fond of pointing out that astro-physicists are more cautious about ultimate questions than life sciece types, which may or may not be true; but where knowledge is limited, it seems to me the only way to entertain the possibility of “God” to fill in the gaps is through the deliberate suspension of the rules of naturalistic/rational inquiry, in which sense the probablility of God, by epistemological default, has to be zero. No? The only way I know out of this trap would be to posit a theory of God that is somehow apprehensible through rational/empirical means, but at that point, doesn’t the explanandum lose it’s defining supernatural qualities and cease to be God?  
     
    Forgive me if I’m missing some crucial distinction, but this has always struck me as a sort of inescapable conclusion. Is there some theoretical order of evidence (as Dawkins implicitly suggests) that could convince a commited naturalist otherwise? And if so, how could the (seeming) contradictions be reconciled?

  • Chip Smith

    …my main issue with him is that he does not allow what he knows to inform an acceptance of religion as a fact of the universe which we unbelievers had to grapple with.  
     
    Yes. And I find this especially curious given Dawkins’ seminal role in popularizing memetics. Inasumuch as it can be understood as robust memeplex, religion would seem to present such a great opportunity for more disinterested study.

  • Chris of Mixing Memory points me to this very interesting review [PDF] (demolition to be honest) of David J. Buller's Adapting Minds, a critique of Evolutionary Psychology which made some waves last year. Even if you haven't read Buller's book, the review will be of interest as it covers a lot of ground.
  • Chip Smith

    Machery and Barrett’s analysis of Buller’s treatment of the “Cinderella effect” is especially strong. Has Buller addressed the mortality data they cite?

  • What books are you going to be reading as 2006 unfolds? I suspect most of us are always behind and short of time, but I am curious as to what has caught the attention of GNXP readers. I'll be working my way through Will Provine's The Origins of Theoretical Population Genetics, somewhat parochial of course,...
  • Chip Smith

    I’m probably not a typical gnxp reader (I still have trouble with 8th grade algebra), but for what it’s worth, I’m looking forward to the following titles: 
     
    1. Marked in Your Flesh: Circumcision form Ancient Judea to Modern America, by Leonard Glick 
     
    2. Szasz Under Fire: The Psychiatric Abolistionist Faces His Critics, edited by Jeffrey Schaler 
     
    3. Fair Women, Dark Men: The Forgotten Roots of Racial Prejudice, by Peter Frost 
     
    4. The Murderer Next Door, by David Buss  
     
    5. What Evolution Is, by Ernst Mayr 
     
    Happy New Year, all.

  • Many are the journals that I read. Any recommendations to add to the list? A bias toward human evolution and genetics preferred. You should also check out Jason's megalist.
  • Chip Smith

    I like “Politics and the Life Sciences”  
     
    http://www.politicsandthelifesciences.org/