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Homicide

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Dashed line is institutionalization rate (prison + asylum), solid line is homicide rate. First year is 1928, last year 2000. Crossover points are c. 1936 (homicides falling), c. 1968 (homicides rising), and c. 1996 (homicides falling). Most news media coverage you read about how we must End Mass Incarceration Now starts with the factoid that... Read More
In more Berkeley leftist violence news, from KQED News: Well of course they is. You called them "he" rather than they's preferred pronoun "they." What kind of Bay Area lawyer are you not to first ask about pronouns? A sheriff’s deputy rushed to the room, and shouts of “Get off me!” could be heard in... Read More
From The Forward: If Rich's mother had been invited, she could have brought to the first night of the convention his American flag. The Democrats could have used one.
From The Guardian: Is the 'Ferguson effect' real? Researcher has second thoughts ‘Some version’ of theory linking protests over police killings to increase in crime may be best explanation for increase in murders in 2015, St Louis criminologist says after deeper analysis of crime trends Lois Beckett @loisbeckett Friday 13 May 2016 16.23 EDT For... Read More
From the NYT: Unfortunately, I can't yet find this data online. Update: Commenter Drake found it here. After receiving an advance look at the data, the F.B.I. director, James B. Comey Jr., expressed alarm Wednesday about the spike in murders in some major cities. Reigniting the debate over a “Ferguson effect,” he told reporters that... Read More
From the Washington Post: Alternatively, the anti-cop / anti-white agitation could be stimulating blacks to shoot each other out of what Keynes called "animal spirits." Or maybe something is going on in the drug trade. Perhaps heroin is spreading from the white hinterlands to the black inner cities? (I'm not at all in touch with... Read More
Back in the previous decade, you could look up on the federal Bureau of Justice Statistics website a convenient graph in HTML form of "homicide offending" trends over time. But the Obama Administration stopped maintaining that website (you can still find it here on Archive.com's Wayback Machine). As of 2011 they made you look up... Read More
From Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight:
From my new column in Taki's Magazine: Read the whole thing there.
To disprove "scare headlines" about a rise in crime following the Ferguson agitation (which started 8/9/2014), the good folks at ESPN's FiveThirtyEight have assembled homicide data for 59 of the 60 biggest cities in the country for 1/1/2014 through 8/8/2014 and for 1/1/2015 through 8/8/2015: I've taken FiveThirtyEight's table of data and created the graph... Read More
A New York Times article reporting on a sharp increase in homicides over the last year in places like Milwaukee, Baltimore and St. Louis led to much tut-tutting from outlets like Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight about how this was cherrypicking and all around Bad Science . So now FiveThirtyEight has rounded up the homicide numbers for... Read More
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Steve Sailer
About Steve Sailer

Steve Sailer is a journalist, movie critic for Taki's Magazine, VDARE.com columnist, and founder of the Human Biodiversity discussion group for top scientists and public intellectuals.


PastClassics
The evidence is clear — but often ignored
The unspoken statistical reality of urban crime over the last quarter century.
The “war hero” candidate buried information about POWs left behind in Vietnam.
The major media overlooked Communist spies and Madoff’s fraud. What are they missing today?
What Was John McCain's True Wartime Record in Vietnam?