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Portland is, famously, the whitest big municipality in the United States, which gives it some margin for error to do dumb stuff. For example, from Oregon Live: From The Oregonian last year: In contrast, Los Angeles under former top cop Bill Bratton started a program of comin
Dashed line is institutionalization rate (prison + asylum), solid line is homicide rate. First year is 1928, last year 2000. Crossover points are c. 1936 (homicides falling), c. 1968 (homicides rising), and c. 1996 (homicides falling). Most news media coverage you read about how we must End Mass Incarceration Now starts with the factoid that... Read More
From The Forward: If Rich's mother had been invited, she could have brought to the first night of the convention his American flag. The Democrats could have used one.
Good news in a case I've been following. It was the subject of an NBC Dateline episode, "The Girl with the Blue Mustang." If you watch it carefully, you'll note that there is zero evidence against the man who has been in prison for years. From the Los Angeles Times: Man convicted of murdering college... Read More
As Orwell pointed out in the Newspeak Appendix to 1984, for more lucid, more useful thought, it's helpful to have a broader arsenal of conceptual categories. For example, my impression is that there has been an uptick over the last five decades or so in American history of what I would call "kamikaze killers." These... Read More
video of NYC's notorious Hug Thug, Jermaine (a.k.a., Jeremy) Himmelstein, flattening a young lady from Canada in Times Square a couple of days ago. Here's another version of the video that shows more of the lead-up to the attack. Putin's Russia Today plays the story as more evidence of cruel capitalist budget cuts: Himmelstein punched... Read More
From The Guardian: Is the 'Ferguson effect' real? Researcher has second thoughts ‘Some version’ of theory linking protests over police killings to increase in crime may be best explanation for increase in murders in 2015, St Louis criminologist says after deeper analysis of crime trends Lois Beckett @loisbeckett Friday 13 May 2016 16.23 EDT For... Read More
From the NYT: Unfortunately, I can't yet find this data online. Update: Commenter Drake found it here. After receiving an advance look at the data, the F.B.I. director, James B. Comey Jr., expressed alarm Wednesday about the spike in murders in some major cities. Reigniting the debate over a “Ferguson effect,” he told reporters that... Read More
From the NYT: The word "even" in that headline is pretty funny. "Predictably" would be more logical than "even." You know, this outburst of black on black killings isn't some random fluke like the weather, it's a direct result of last fall's BlackLivesMatter agitation in Chicago and Obama Administration anti-police interventions, just like the pattern... Read More
From the Washington Post: Alternatively, the anti-cop / anti-white agitation could be stimulating blacks to shoot each other out of what Keynes called "animal spirits." Or maybe something is going on in the drug trade. Perhaps heroin is spreading from the white hinterlands to the black inner cities? (I'm not at all in touch with... Read More
Back in the previous decade, you could look up on the federal Bureau of Justice Statistics website a convenient graph in HTML form of "homicide offending" trends over time. But the Obama Administration stopped maintaining that website (you can still find it here on Archive.com's Wayback Machine). As of 2011 they made you look up... Read More
From Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight:
With the conventional wisdom congealing around Ta-Nehisi Coates' belief that "mass incarceration" in America was both racist and unnecessary -- just look at how low imprisonment rates are in Europe! -- it's worth noticing something that almost nobody in America has noticed: the big property and assault crime wave in Britain in the last part... Read More
From my new column in Taki's Magazine: Read the whole thing there.
To disprove "scare headlines" about a rise in crime following the Ferguson agitation (which started 8/9/2014), the good folks at ESPN's FiveThirtyEight have assembled homicide data for 59 of the 60 biggest cities in the country for 1/1/2014 through 8/8/2014 and for 1/1/2015 through 8/8/2015: I've taken FiveThirtyEight's table of data and created the graph... Read More
A New York Times article reporting on a sharp increase in homicides over the last year in places like Milwaukee, Baltimore and St. Louis led to much tut-tutting from outlets like Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight about how this was cherrypicking and all around Bad Science . So now FiveThirtyEight has rounded up the homicide numbers for... Read More
From The Atlantic website: So you can't yet read TNC's blockbuster article about "The Enduring Myth of Black Criminality," but you can salve your impatience by listening to TNC talk about his next effusion here. Meanwhile, from The New Republic: The New Black Intelligentsia Is Shaping American Thought Online by MICHAEL ERIC DYSON ... A... Read More
From the NYT Op-Ed Page: The Opinion Pages | CONTRIBUTING OP-ED WRITER The Virginia Shooter Wanted Fame. Let’s Not Give It to Him. Zeynep Tufekci A BRUTAL attack takes place on live television; the on-air reporter and cameraman are fatally shot while at work on an early morning story. The resulting footage — essentially a... Read More
Try to guess which excerpt is from the New York Times and which is from the Daily Mail: Bryce Williams, Virginia Shooting Suspect, Dies By HAWES SPENCER, KATIE ROGERS, ALAN BLINDER and RICHARD PÉREZ-PEÑA AUG. 26, 2015 BEDFORD, Va. — A former reporter who was fired by a Virginia television station shot and killed two... Read More
From The Guardian, an article about a public official telling the truth: Another way of looking at it is that black cops are roughly in proportion to their race's percentage of law-abiding citizens in the NYC commuting zone, but not in proportion to the black race's share of total criminals in NYC. When the usual... Read More
From my book review in Taki's Magazine: Read the whole thing there.
The graph above is one of many from an Atlantic article arguing that increasing imprisonment from 1980 onward didn't have much impact of the big drop in crime from the mid-1990s onward: This may, or may not, be true, but it looks a lot more persuasive if you leave off your graphs America's huge experiment... Read More
Below is the first of four parts of a 1999 debate in Slate between U. of Chicago economist Steven D. Levitt, co-author of the 2005 bestseller Freakonomics: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything, and myself, Steve Sailer. We discussed Levitt's most celebrated theory: Did the legalization of abortion in 1969-1973 cause the crime rate to... Read More
Below is the second of four parts of a 1999 debate in Slate between U. of Chicago economist Steven D. Levitt, co-author of the 2005 bestseller Freakonomics: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything, and myself, Steve Sailer. We discussed Levitt's most celebrated theory: Did the legalization of abortion in 1969-1973 cause the crime rate to... Read More
Below is the third of four parts of a 1999 debate in Slate between U. of Chicago economist Steven D. Levitt, co-author of the 2005 bestseller Freakonomics: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything, and myself, Steve Sailer. We discussed Levitt's most celebrated theory: Did the legalization of abortion in 1969-1973 cause the crime rate to... Read More
Below is the fourth and final part of a 1999 debate in Slate between U. of Chicago economist Steven D. Levitt, co-author of the 2005 bestseller Freakonomics: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything, and myself, Steve Sailer. We discussed Levitt's most celebrated theory: Did the legalization of abortion in 1969-1973 cause the crime... Read More
Tavon, Tavon likes his moneyHe makes a lot they sayThe World's Most Interesting Newspaper, the Daily Mail, comes through again, posting a picture of Tavon White. As I mentioned yesterday, Tavon is the head of the Black Guerilla Family prison gang inside a Baltimore jail, where he fathered five babies by four lady prison guards.I'm not sure... Read More
From the Associated Press:
There has been a lot of talk in the news media about how Christopher Dorner's rampage is more or less payback for the bad old days of racism in the LAPD, as exemplified by Dorner's complaints about Rodney King and the Rampart Scandal. Rafael PerezThe Rampart Scandal was a huge whoop-tee-doo in the late 1990s that's... Read More
I've only seen bits and pieces of the 1982 Sylvester Stallone movie "First Blood," in which troubled but heroic Medal of Honor winner John Rambo outsmarts corrupt cops tracking him in the cold mountains, but I'll bet Christopher Dorner has watched the whole thing.He probably didn't watch The King of Comedy all the way through,... Read More
For a number of years, I've been predicting that, all else being equal, crime should decline as ubiquitous information technology powers us into the This-Will-Go-on-Your-Permanent-Record era. And, indeed, crime rates appear to have fallen during the recession (demonstrating once again that very little crime in modern America is driven by Les Miserables-style stealing-a-loaf-of-bread-to-feed-your-familyism.)On the other... Read More
For the first time since 2008, La Griffe du Lion has posted a new essay. It's called Crime and the Hispanic Effect. He builds a regression model for predicting crime rates in cities and finds its largely driven by the percent black. Percent Hispanic doesn't much matter, one way or another. My old articles are... Read More
From my new essay in Taki's Magazine:Read the whole thing there.My old articles are archived at iSteve.com -- Steve Sailer
From the Chicago Tribune:And if they had?This whole brouhaha is basically the equivalent of a 1930s Stalinist show trial of "wreckers." The Five Year Plan not going as planned? Find some engineers to be blamed for throwing wrenches in their turbines out of spite. Blacks still shooting each other in large numbers? Find a Great... Read More
From the L.A. Daily News:Only $100 per day? This poor bastard has to be the only honest man in Southern California. (See next posting for comparison).
The parents of two USC students from China who were murdered sitting in their BMW have sued:Which colleges are urban and in low crime areas? Kids these days like urban, with good public transportation (in part because drunk driving is punished much more harshly than a generation ago). NYU in Greenwich Village. Harvard, I imagine. Georgetown?... Read More
From the New York Times:Keep in mind that the cops didn't get to talk to this unidentified girl until almost two weeks after attorney Benjamin Crump coached her through a talk with ABC News, and that there is no recording of this phone call (unless Echelon has it, of course). But, this new report, especially the... Read More
From ABC News:THC = weed.This is of major importance not because marijuana makes people more aggressive (it doesn't), but because it undermines the indictment's claim that Zimmerman racially profiled Martin, which appears to be the prosecution's main hope in swaying the jury: Ladies and gentlemen of the jury, what reason could Zimmerman possibly have had... Read More
From the New York Times:
From the Los Angeles Times:Zimmerman, according to the Orlando Sentinel, has told police that Martin approached him from behind that night, punched him in the nose, and began beating him up. Martin's attorneys have
The New York Times has a long article Trayvon Martin Case Shadowed by Series of Police Missteps by Serge F. Kovaleski. You can smell the CYA positioning all over the article as more evidence emerges and the media's Narrative crumbles. The first part of the article insinuates that police incompetence must be the explanation for why the prestige... Read More
Economist Glenn C. Loury, former conservative establishment affirmative action hire, sniffs in The Boston Review that the late James Q. Wilson held politically incorrect views.While I came to disagree sharply with him on criminal justice policy, I must acknowledge that I liked Jim Wilson, the man. He was urbane, witty, and generous with his time.... Read More
This is the tenth anniversary of the assassination of Dutch immigration restrictionist politician Pym Fortuyn on Monday, May 6, 2002. The instantaneous response of European opinion was that he had it coming. The Narrative remains that Fortuyn was assassinated by some wacko animal rights activist, but that's a lot like saying Poland was invaded in 1939... Read More
From WND: My old articles are archived at iSteve.com -- Steve Sailer
Two weeks ago, two white reporters for the Virginia Pilot, evidently out on a Saturday night date, on their way home from a Norfolk, VA theater were beaten by a mob of blacks. Now you might think that a racist mob terrorizing passer-bys downtown would qualify as local news, especially when the victims were newspaper reporters.... Read More
Last week in The Secret History of the 1990s, I suggested that the 1992 Los Angeles riots served as a shameful wake-up call to blacks at the nadir of the crack / gangsta rap era to check themselves before they wreck themselves, and that the relative improvement in black performance in the later 1990s may... Read More
It's nostalgia time at the Daily Beast:And although Rodney King’s beating mattered to the rioters, it wasn’t their sole or even always their primary motivation for rioting. Townsend was less upset by Rodney King than he was by the shooting of Latasha Harlins, a 15-year-old black girl who was killed with a single bullet by... Read More
From the New York Times:I hear Carmel, CA has even less gun violence. The Police Executive Research Forum should go investigate Carmel.
With the 20th anniversary of the South-Central L.A. riot of 1992 coming up, I was glancing at a thumbsucker in the Books section of the L.A. Times by a diligent literary critic who concludes that, unlike the 1965 Watts riot, literary types have avoided the subject of the latter riot:My explanation for this is that... Read More
The New York Post runs a long Reuters article on George Zimmerman full of valuable information. Here's a minor bit that answers one question that struck me: Whereas he looked quite mestizo in the notorious orange shirt photo, why, lately, does a skinnier, shaven-headed, suited Zimmerman look a bit like the President?So, he's not just... Read More
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Steve Sailer
About Steve Sailer

Steve Sailer is a journalist, movie critic for Taki's Magazine, VDARE.com columnist, and founder of the Human Biodiversity discussion group for top scientists and public intellectuals.


PastClassics
The evidence is clear — but often ignored
The unspoken statistical reality of urban crime over the last quarter century.
The “war hero” candidate buried information about POWs left behind in Vietnam.
The major media overlooked Communist spies and Madoff’s fraud. What are they missing today?
What Was John McCain's True Wartime Record in Vietnam?