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2012 Election

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Here’s my presentation at the early 2013 VDARE.com symposium, transcribed and then translated from spoken Sailerese into actual written English. Hi, I’m Steve Sailer, and it’s a real pleasure to address our symposium. I’m going to talk about some overlooked aspects of the 2012 election. As we get to the data, we’re going to focus... Read More
Ever since last November’s election, we’ve been hearing that Hispanics comprised a record 10 percent of the vote—which therefore obliges Republican Congressmen to pass “comprehensive immigration reform” a.k.a the Schumer-Rubio Amnesty/ Immigration Surge bill RIGHT NOW. For example: But what if these nice, round turnout numbers provided by the Edison exit poll company weren’t true?... Read More
Below is the single most extraordinary chart explaining the results of the recent Presidential election: It’s widely assumed in the press that victory in the Electoral College is determined by the Gender Gap or by the Rising Tide of Hispanic Votersor whatever. But in fact the relationship between these demographic factors and whether a state... Read More
What can we learn from the 2012 Presidential election? How about this? In politics (as we might have occasionally mentionedover the dozen years of VDARE.com’s existence) demography is destiny. Mainstream Republicans appear to be waking up to a reality that they’ve gone out of their way to not think about in the 15 years sincePeter... Read More
The calcifying influence of Democratic talking points on Main Stream Media [MSM] minds can be measured using Google News. Just type in and you will find about 11,400 recent articles. In turn, brings up 17,900 current news stories about this massive problem for Republicans. On the other hand, enter into Google News and you’ll get... Read More
From an interview in the Los Angeles Review of Books by Kelly Candaele of John Heilemann, New York magazine's main political correspondent.JH: I don’t think he doesn’t like people. I know he doesn’t like people. He’s not an extrovert; he’s an introvert. I’ve known the guy since 1988. He’s not someone who has a wide... Read More
A commenter points out that the Democratic Convention's "European and Mediterranean Americans" innovation has yet to percolate to BarackObama.com, where we read:Meanwhile, at MittRomney.com, we find the following list of "Communities:"Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders for RomneyBlack Leadership CouncilCatholics for RomneyEnergy Voters for RomneyFarmers and Ranchers for RomneyFormer Obama Supporters for RomneyJewish Americans for RomneyJuntos... Read More
A commenter points to this Google nGram graph so we can see the history of the phrase used by by the Democratic National Convention for one of their 14 identity politics communities: "European and Mediterranean Americans" (of whom, we are informed by the Democrats: "The culture and history of European and Mediterranean Americans contribute to... Read More
From the official Democratic Convention website, here is the "Communities" page for "European and Mediterranean Americans:" Indeed. This would seem curious, until I read another official Democratic Convention page: Posted by Amaia Kirtland on Sep. 3, 2012 European and Mediterranean Americans met in the Ethnic Council meeting at Charlotte Convention Center on Monday, September 3... Read More
During election years, everybody is supposed to genuflect to Hispanic Numbers, although the usual acts of obeisance are often inept. For example, the Obama Administration engineered that the Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate in Arizona go to Richard Carmona, a guy with a remarkable track record: high school dropout; Vietnam vet; sheriff; nurse; doctor;... Read More
From the Washington Post:The impression that Republicans don’t welcome blacks and other minorities is, however, demonstrably false. Note the number of minority Republican governors recently elected: Bobby Jindal of Louisiana, Nikki Haley of South Carolina, Brian Sandoval of Nevada and Susana Martinez of New Mexico. Even so, the party is undeniab
From Slate:Based on those results, the New Organizing Institute, a Washington-based best-practices lab for lefty field operations, extrapolated that nearly 160,000 African-American v
I actually like Mitt Romney, but I have no idea if he'll make a good President. One concern I've heard is the notion that he's a prime product of the general healthiness of Mormon culture. Mormons try to set up their lives to have a lot of good influences from other Mormons around them. But it... Read More
From the Washington Post:Back in May 2010, I wrote a
Here's the most prominently featured article on LATimes.com today, one that exemplifies a number of my old themes:We all ought to know by now that a huge amount of journalism consists of reporters synthesizing materials provided by paid PR flacks. Obviously, reporters appreciate this. They don't mention it because they don't want to offend the... Read More
From the L.A. Times:Mitt Romney, meanwhile, is likely to become president only if he can improve on John McCain’s performance among whites, who represent a declining share of the U.S. population. The GOP candidate’s  recent campaign swings have been through areas where whites make up a disproportionate share of the population — including portions of... Read More
Thomas Edsall in the New York Times has a post, White Working Chaos, on the various disputes among social scientists such as Andrew Gelman, William Frey, and Larry Bartels on the voting patterns of the white working class. Allow me to offer a theory that I haven't tested directly, but doesn't even come up: a main... Read More
From the WSJ:Now, that's some brilliant politicking, Mitt: With your speech to Latino leaders today, you've definitely picked up some of that crucial voting bloc of Hispanic American citizens who are closely related to illegal immigrants with advanced degrees. You just keep listening to what the WSJ and NYT tell you and you can't go... Read More
Wisconsin has long been an interesting state, fairly rural but with a high-proportion of well-run family farms. It's usually been an example of D.P. Moynihan's Close to the Canadian Border effect (except for its blacks, who appear to have been largely recruited from the South by the generous European-style social benefits offered post WWII). A reader... Read More
The New York Times notices something I've been mentioning for about a dozen years:Not to mention the distractingly frequent showings of The Fast and Furious movies on cable TV.  My old articles are archived at iSteve.com -- Steve Sailer
Here are excerpts from a review I published in VDARE.com in 2003 of a book written by Massachusetts Democratic Senate candidate Elizabeth Warren and her daughter:The two authors note: "The brunt of the price increases has fallen on families with children. Data from the Federal Reserve show that the median home value for the av
It's a truism in the study of politics in the Third World that the real test of democracy is not voting a president in but voting him (and his party and/or relatives) out. That's true in the First World, too. For example, I was a little surprised in 1981 that The Economist was relatively enthusiastic that... Read More
The New York Times has finally picked up on that funny story I noticed last month ("George Lucas to show Marin dark side of the Force") about how Mr. Star Wars' neighbors in Marin County, where John McCain got only 20% of the vote in 2008, won't let Lucas build a film studio on a fraction of... Read More
Jehu at Chariot of Reaction writes:"Frequent fliers" -- the people who make the 7am flight to DFW a few times a month or more -- pretty much keep the country running. (I say this as somebody who flies as infrequently as possible.) They wouldn't be a bad class to cultivate."Providing adult supervision to government" --... Read More
The juggernaut of Diversity-driven intolerance rolls onward. From the New York Times:Pacquiao, who is the national hero of the Philippines, is also a serving congressman in his celebrity-crazed home country. He was portrayed in the American prestige press in 2010 as a great guy for helping ex-boxer Sen. Harry Reid (D-Pugilistic Dementiaville) win re-election over Sharron Angle... Read More
I review Sean Trende's new book on whether 2012 will be a realigning election in VDARE. Read the whole thing there. My old articles are archived at iSteve.com -- Steve Sailer
Sean Trende, a senior analyst with RealClearPolitics, has written a valuable book entitled The Lost Majority: Why the Future of Government Is Up for Grabs – and Who Will Take It that debunks much Main Stream Media [MSM] conventional wisdom—above all, importantly, the apparently unkillable meme that the GOP must get 40% of the Hispanic... Read More
In his November 9th New York Times column cleverly entitled The Cain Scrutiny, Ross Douthat calls attention to the arresting spectacle of white conservatives rising up to defend the honor of Herman Cain andblack manhood against allegations by blonde tramps that the Republican Presidential candidate's sexual advances were unwanted: Indeed. But to say that the... Read More
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Steve Sailer
About Steve Sailer

Steve Sailer is a journalist, movie critic for Taki's Magazine, VDARE.com columnist, and founder of the Human Biodiversity discussion group for top scientists and public intellectuals.


PastClassics
The unspoken statistical reality of urban crime over the last quarter century.
The “war hero” candidate buried information about POWs left behind in Vietnam.
The major media overlooked Communist spies and Madoff’s fraud. What are they missing today?
What Was John McCain's True Wartime Record in Vietnam?