The Unz Review: An Alternative Media Selection
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Demographics

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The above graph shows the diversity of Silicon Valley firms. There is an under-representation of black Americans and people of Latino cultural backgrounds. But there are many people of Asian ethnic origins. Since "Asians," defined as people who inhabit the sweep of land between the Indus and east and north toward the Amur river, compose... Read More
I haven't seen anyone else coin this term, but when I see a chart like this, I think "the arrowhead aimed at civilization."  
On Twitter Chris Mims expresses the entirely reasonable proposition that China's low fertility is a prescription for long term socioeconomic disaster (they're already beyond "peak worker"), with a link to an article in Quartz, China's ratio of boys to girls is still dangerously high—and it’s the Chinese government's fault. First, I've noted before that in... Read More
There's another Census Projection out. Yes, I understand that the character of the children born today is going to have obvious impacts on the nature of the population 50 years from now, but we really need to heed the stupidity of past projections. Here's a piece from 1930, A Nation of Elders in the Making:... Read More
I was at ASHG this week, so I've followed reactions to the election passively. But one thing I've seen is repeated commentary on the fact that Asian Americans have swung toward the Democrats over the past generation. The thing that pisses me off is that there is a very obvious low-hanging fruit sort of explanation... Read More
Over at Econlog Bryan Caplan bets that India's fertility will be sup-replacement within 20 years. My first inclination was to think that this was a totally easy call for Caplan to make. After all, much of southern India, and the northwest, is already sup-replacement. And then I realized that heterogeneity is a major issue. This... Read More
There was a question below in regards to the high fertility of some extreme ("ultra") religious groups, in particular Haredi Jews. The commenter correctly points out that these Jews utilize the Western welfare system to support large families. This is not limited to just Haredi Jews. The reason Somalis and Arabs have fertility ~3.5 in... Read More
As someone with mild concerns about dysgenic (albeit, with a normative lens that high intelligence and good looks are positive heritable traits) trends, I'm quite heartened that Marissa Mayer is pregnant. Of course she's batting well below the average of some of her sisters, but you take what you can get in the game of... Read More
Early this year I received an email from Dr. Peter Ralph, inquiring if I might discuss some interesting statistical genetic results from analyses of the POPRES data set which might have historical relevance. I've been excitingly waiting for the preprint to be made public so it could trigger some wider discussion. I believe that the... Read More
The readers of this weblog are relatively non-fecund, at least going by reader surveys. But I was curious nonetheless about the attitudes toward number of children, and realized goals of number of children, in the General Social Survey. I decided to look at two variables: CHILDS CHLDIDEL The former asks the respondent how many children... Read More
It is sometimes fashionable to assert that higher socioeconomic status whites are the sort who will impose integration on lower socioeconomic status whites, all the while sequestering themselves away. I assumed this was a rough reflection of reality. But after looking at the General Social Survey I am not sure that this chestnut of cynical... Read More
A few years ago I put up a post, WORDSUM & IQ & the correlation, as a "reference" post. Basically if anyone objected to using WORDSUM, a variable in the General Social Survey, then I would point to that post and observe that the correlation between WORDSUM and general intelligence is 0.71. That makes sense,... Read More
Update: There was a major coding error. I've rerun the analysis. No qualitative change. As is often the case a 10 minute post using the General Social Survey is getting a lot of attention. Apparently circa 1997 web interfaces are so intimidating to people that extracting a little data goes a long way. Instead of... Read More
A few months ago I listened to Frank Newport of Gallup tell Kai Ryssdal of Marketplace that upper class Americans tend to be Democrats. Ryssdal was skeptical, but Newport reiterated himself, and explained that's just how the numbers shook out. This is important because Newport shows up every now and then to offer up numbers... Read More
I've never watched Mad Men, but I really can't help but hear all about the show. One thing that has struck me about the change from then, ~1960, to now, ~2010, is the alignment of quantitative demographic trends with impressionistic cultural ones. The 1970s were a disaster for the old urban order. Below are the... Read More
Prompted by Andrea Mitchell's complaint that Iowa is not representative of America in racial terms the Audacious Epigone probed an American state's typicality in terms of racial demographics, using the overall American population as a measure. One of the major issues with judging the typicality of a given state is that there is a great... Read More
Mike the Mad Biologist has a post up, A Modest Proposal: Alabama Whites Are Genetically Inferior to Massachusetts Whites (FOR REALZ!). The post is obviously tongue-in-cheek, but it's actually an interesting question: what's the difference between whites in various regions of the United States? I've looked at this before, but I thought I'd revisit it... Read More
There's a variable in the GSS, GENESELF, which asks: This is relevant today especially. First, the technology is getting better and better. Second, couples are waiting longer to start families. Unfortunately this question was only asked in 1990, 1996, and 2004. But on the positive side the sample sizes were large. I decided to combine... Read More
Fascinating story about the re-identification of people of Eurasian ancestry as white to get into elite universities. Some Asians' college strategy: Don't check 'Asian': In the article Steve Hsu observes that the Ivy League universities have a suspiciously similar proportion of Asians, about 2/3 of the fraction of a "race blind" admissions college like Cal... Read More
The New York Times has a article out about environmentalists who are now looking at population control again, after shying away from it. This is probably prompted by the hullabaloo over "7 billion." This comes in the wake of a long piece, The Last Taboo, in the Lefty periodical Mother Jones. The rationale for why... Read More
  I wanted to clarify a few issues with the Census' American Community Survey. These data come from the interval of 2006-2008, and they allowed me to query the proportional of various Latino/Hispanic groups who identified as white. I knew in the aggregate that the majority of America's Latinos identified as white, but I was... Read More
One of the things I really hate are unqualified linear projections. They're so useless most of the time. A science fiction magazine will give you more insight about the future than the United Nations population projection for the year 2100. This is just as much of an issue when it comes to American Census demographic... Read More
If you have not read my post "To the antipode of Asia", this might be a good time to do so if you are unfamiliar with the history, prehistory, and ethnography of mainland Southeast Asia. In this post I will focus on mainland Southeast Asia, and how it relates implicitly to India and China genetically,... Read More
In my long post below, Celts to Anglo-Saxons, in light of updated assumptions, I had a "cartoon" demographic model in mind which I attempted to sketch out in words. But sometimes prose isn't the best in terms of precision, and almost always lacks in economy. In particular I wanted to emphasize how genes and memes... Read More
Image Credit: Anirudh Koul One of the great things about the mass personal genomic revolution is that it allows people to have direct access to their own information. This is important for the more than 90% of the human population which has sketchy genealogical records. But even with genealogical records there are often omissions and... Read More
About six months ago I read a history of modern Italy and was struck by a passage which observed that during the early years of the Italian state none of the prominent political leaders were practicing Roman Catholics. Part of this was specific to the history of the rise of modern Italy, Umberto I fought... Read More
The New York Times has a piece up, Defusing India’s Population Time Bomb, which reiterates what I was trying to get at yesterday, India's demographic problems are localized to particular regions, not the nation as a whole. First, let's review the world's population growth & fertility rates: Now let's focus on a few nations: China's... Read More
The Best Jobs Report In a Long Time: If you read the media sometimes it seems like the past recession was total hell in the white-collar sector, but really it wasn't (comparatively). For what it's worth, 84% of readers of my weblogs have university degrees or higher.... (Yes, I know the issues in regards to... Read More
A few weeks ago I referenced Campbell Gibson's paper, The Contribution of Immigration to the Growth and Ethnic Diversity of the American Population, which estimated that ~1990 50% of the population of the United States could be attributed to those enumerated in the Census of 1790. In other words, the first generation of white settlers... Read More
One of the mantras of the new age is that European nations have to deal with diversity, something that's new to them. This actually ahistorical. Some military units in the Austro-Hungarian Empire actually used English as the lingua franca because of their ethnic diversity (due to those who returned from the United States, see 1848:... Read More
I was in the bookstore and decided to look through God Is Back: How the Global Revival of Faith Is Changing the World. The authors work at The Economist, so I assumed it was going to be more reportage than a popular distillation of scholarship. I haven't read the whole thing, but that seems about... Read More
Walker's World: French births soar:The second development to note is that INED, France's National Institute of Demographic Studies, has done some detailed research and concluded that France's immigrant population is responsible for only 5 percent of the rise in the birthrate and that France's population would be rising anyway even without the immigrant population....In fact... Read More
Razib Khan
About Razib Khan

"I have degrees in biology and biochemistry, a passion for genetics, history, and philosophy, and shrimp is my favorite food. If you want to know more, see the links at http://www.razib.com"