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David A. Hardy This week I was mainly occupied with writing a massive (6,300 words) overview of the history of IQ testing in Russia and what we currently know about the geography of Russian intelligence. I don't think I am exaggerating when I say that it's probably the most comprehensive popular article on the subject... Read More
The figures for Russia are from Levada, those for Ukraine are from KMIS. The basic story is that there was a (mutual) collapse in Ukraine-Russia views of the other country around 2014, which has remained steady since.
A couple of weeks ago, Ukraine passed an edict banning access to a host of Russian web services including VKontakte and Odnoklassniki (Russia's Facebook, and most popular social network in Ukraine, with 13 million users; Odnoklassniki is 4th, with 9 million users; for comparison, Facebook is 8th with 5.6 million users, though tellingly it is... Read More
A couple of weeks back I had an AMA (Ask Me Anything) with /r/Russia. Direct link: Hi /r/Russia! Anatoly Karlin, writer for The Unz Review / Анатолий Карлин, "пейсатель" о России, геополитике. AMA! Thought I would reprint some of the questions and answers there so that they don't vanish into the digital ether. *** You... Read More
Ernst & Young regularly carries out large-scale surveys of corporate employees across a range of countries on issues such as ethics and corruption in the workplace. In the latest Global Fraud Survey (PDF), which took place at the end of 2016, 88% of Ukrainian employees thought that bribery and corrupt practices are widespread in business... Read More
don't follow many people on YouTube, since it's not really my format, but EmperorTigerstar is one of the few people I make an exception for. Not only has he mapped all the classics - WW2, WW1, Napoleonic Wars, history of Europe and the Roman Empire - but also plenty of relatively less well known conflicts... Read More
On March 29, the High Court in London has decided that the sanctity of Eurobond debt trumps Ukraine's special pleading to treat the Russian $3 billion loan to the late Yanukovych regime as odious debt and wave it away on account of Russia's supposed "aggression" against it. This is not the final judgment, which is... Read More
A week ago, I speculated that Voronenkov was most likely killed by a Ukrainian nationalist who overdosed on svidomism, and not by the Dark Lord of the Kremlin: This was strongly suggested by the fact that the gunman, Pavel Parshov, was a former member of a Donbass batallion that had participated in the ATO. He... Read More
The basics on Denis Voronenkov: Communist MP. Bombastically patriotic. He led the way on highly needed and necessary legislation, such as a ban on Pokemon Go, and often waxed lyrical about the "patriotic" and "non-materialistic" values instilled on him by his Komsomol education. This patriotism and lack of materialism expressed itself in the form of... Read More
Immigration statistics from the Ministry of Interior Affairs, 2016. Total new citizenships: 265,319. (USA: 653,416 people in 2014, so about equal in per capita terms). Ukraine: 100,696, up 49% from 2015. (Russians becoming Ukrainian citizens: About 2,000 per year). It is utterly absurd that in per capita terms, there are as many Tajiks (0.27% of... Read More
Why is corruption so bad in Eastern Europe? And what can be done about it? First off, I don't know to what extent it can be reduced. According to the hbdchick's theories on the Hajnal Line, ceteris paribus, Southern and Eastern Europe will always be more corrupt than the countries of "core Europe" because they... Read More
On March 16, the three main political forces of Ukrainian nationalism - the political party Svoboda, Right Sector, and the National Corpus (i.e. the Azov batallion's political wing) - signed a National Manifesto that declared the ideological unity of the three structures, and conveniently summarized the 20 key theses of Ukrainian nationalism. Given the increasingly... Read More
On March 15, the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, headed by Alexander Turchinov, a hardliner who launched the "Anti-Terrorist Operation" as the interim President after Euromaidan, signed off on the legalization of the Donbass blockade, and transmitted a request to Ukraine's Central Bank to finalize a plan to put sanctions on Russian banks... Read More
This is in response to the blockade of coal shipments from the LDNR into Ukraine by right wing militants, who oppose absolutely anything that helps finance the republics. The resulting energy blockade threatens the stability of what appears to be a surprisingly vigorous Ukrainian economic recovery, and puts Poroshenko - with his record low ratings... Read More
Gallup: It might be news to you that NATO was ever expected to help Ukraine with its... crisis, but for many svidomy Ukrainians it is a long-running delusion. One way that vatniks like to make fun of svidomy is by referencing the TyaschaVDen' meme (One Thousand Grivnas per Day), based on Poroshenko's promise in 2014... Read More
Transparency International has released the Global Corruption Barometer 2016 for Europe: The map above shows the answer to the most interesting question in the survey: "Did you or any member of your household make an unofficial payment or gift when using [a public service] over the past 12 months"? In the last survey from 2013,... Read More
Over the years I have studiously avoided commentary on MH17 because of the banal fact that I am not an expert on plane crash official Dutch inquiry that has just released its findings says that it was downed by a Buk missile that came from rebel-controlled territory. Many serious people have come to other conclusions,... Read More
Another August, another war scare. Intermittent reports of Russian military forces "staging" near Ukraine. Are the guns about to honor the title of a famous history book once again? Almost certainly not. Or at least, not by Russia's hand. (1) Though you could play a drinking time for every mention of "Gleiwitz" in conjunction with... Read More
Thomas Theiner, a businessman expat who has lived in Ukraine for the past 5 years, on what "business in Ukraine is really like": Businessmen that had managed to survive Yanukovych's shakedowns are throwing in the towel. The European Choice:
Rosa Luxemburg in her 1918 book on the Russian Revolution: It is actually rather remarkable how much her critiques echoes that of Russian conservative opponents of the Bolsheviks (even if from the opposite side of the ideological spectrum): The Bolsheviks are in part responsible for the fact that the military defeat was transformed into the... Read More
One of the main thrusts of the Maidanist Ukrainian and Western information campaign against Russia during the Ukrainian conflict has beeen the allegation that the NAF (Novorossiyan Armed Forces) were mostly manned by Russian citizens or even the Russian military. This is not to say that there haven't been voices of dissent. For instance, Prof.... Read More
In the wake of blatantly political voting during Eurovision 2016, which Ukraine's Crimean Tatar representative Jamala won despite losing both the popular and the jury vote, to Russia and Australia respectively, the debate has been dominated by the following two positions: Russia supporters - It was a political song, and as such inadmissable under long-standing... Read More
Well, most of them, anyway. Otherwise the prospects of Ukraine's euroassociators don't look all that good. Out of all the more than a dozen polls on this question done since December 2015, not a single one has been in Ukraine's favor. The average gap between the share of people supporting and opposing the Ukraine–European Union... Read More
When the sociopolitical order of Easter Island disappeared in a wave of violence and depravity after deforestation led to the collapse of its ecological basis of existence, as described in Jared Diamond's book Collapse, the most visible symbol of its passing was the mass toppling of the moai statues that had represented the power and... Read More
Prolific IQ researcher Richard Lynn together with two Russian collaborators have recently published arguing that multiple aspects of socio-economic development - infant mortality, fertility, stature, and literacy-as-a-proxy for intelligence were significantly intercorrelated in late Tsarist Russia. Here is the link to the paper - Regional differences in intelligence, infant mortality, stature and fertility in European... Read More
And make no doubt about it - a collapse is exactly what it is, and it afflicts way more of the country than just the war-wracked Donbass. Ukraine now vies with Moldova for the country with the lowest average wages in Europe. Gabon with snow? Saakashvili is hopelessly optimistic. That would actually be a big... Read More
According to a fable often told by Russians themselves, there once lived two peasants. One of them had one cow, the other had two cows. The poorer peasant found a lamp, rubbed it, and out popped a genie, who proceeded to ask him if he wanted 5 cows. He refused and instead wished for one... Read More
Soon after calling for ISIS to murder Russian aviators and their families, the Paris Attacks sent them into a confused tizzy, and now the Maidanists are going from proposing an alliance with ISIS to condemning them as pawns of Khuylo, Тhe Darkest One, and The God of Svidomy Ukrainians... who is otherwise known to normal... Read More
Who would have the temerity to even suggest it? What kind of paid up Kremlin propagandist would even countenance such a possibility? Leonid Bershidsky is who. Bershidsky is a Russian journalist who left Moscow for Berlin a year ago on account of his distaste for Russia's direction under Putin, and where he now agitates for... Read More
They were promised Europe, they have arrived at... Gabon? As shown by a recent KIIS/IFER poll, the incidence of corruption - far from going down, as a loyal consumer of the Western media might expect - has if anything gone up. 40% of Ukrainians in September 2015 admitted they had paid a bribe in the... Read More
So now that I'm blogging more or less regularly again I've been thinking of setting up a bit more of a structured schedule. Probably it will be minor posts interspersed throughout the week, with a compendium of my best Ask.fm questions and major posts (called Big Posts) every Thursday or Friday which will (generally) run... Read More
Here is the CPJ: Irish journalist Bryan MacDonald has
The Guardian's Shaun Walker reports on the latest activities of Andrey Babitsky, the anti-Putin journalist who was fired from RFERL close to a year ago amidst a conspiracy of silence. Here is my full article on Babitsky's account of his work and departure from RFERL, including translations from an interview he did with a Czech... Read More
A few days after the Supreme Court legalized gay marriage throughout the US, a fairly (in)famous Russian TV presenter expressed his support for gay civil unions on the nation's second biggest TV channel in front of a big projector screen blaring out "Love Works Miracles." No, he was not beaten up by skinheads with iron... Read More
The second one in my new series. This one is substantially shorter, as will be most consequent sitreps. Gallup Has conducted a very comprehensive poll about attitudes in the EU, Russia, Ukraine, and the US to various aspects of the Ukrainian crisis. Here is the link to it. I will highlight the most important findings.... Read More
This is the first post in a new series that I intend to do in 1-2 week intervals every Friday. Just like Patrick Armstrong does with his RF Sitreps on Russia Insider, these sitreps are intended to cover both developments in the ongoing War in the Donbass. Assassination of Alexey Mozgovoy On May 23, the... Read More
Album contains the Russian version of this meme.
Just in case you needed any more evidence Freedom House are complete, utter prostitutes. This is about a country where journalists speaking out against mobilization are getting arrested, anti-regime sites get taken down by the secret services, far right thugs raid leftist and anti-Maidan newspapers, and an officially sanctioned website lists the names and addresses... Read More
There are some massacres that are clearly genocides, such as the Holocaust, and there are some massacres that are clearly not, such as Katyn, but in between there is a vast, gristly spectrum that in the absence of any strict and universally accepted definition of the term is dominated by quacks and cranks driven more... Read More
The following leaflets are being spread in Slavyansk, a once focal point of the Donbass resistance that was recaptured by Ukrainian forces in July last year: Translation: How to recognize your typical separatist? Calls for the entry of Russian troops or suggests surrendering to Russia. Propagandizes Russian symbols and spreads the idea of the "Russian... Read More
The Western media is having a field day with this motley gathering of Neo-Nazis and assorted freaks at the grandiosely named International Russian Conservative Forum - none of the more serious alternative right European parties, such as the National Front or Fidesz, bothered turning up, and neither did serious Russian nationalists - and for once... Read More
It became symbolic of the absurdity of Yanukovych's kleptocracy when it was seized by the February Revolutionaries at his Mezhigorye residence. But now, it is nowhere to be found. "In effect, it was stolen. But by whom? I have a list of objects that weren't even confiscated. They were shown only on TV. Two months... Read More
As voting gets underway - and by all accounts, it seems to be overwhelmingly heading for the pro-secession choice - it's worthwhile to dispel four common but erroneous beliefs about it. (1) The referendum is unconstitutional. This is true enough, as all of Ukraine would have to vote on it. But there is one big... Read More
Discuss all things Euromaidan here and vote in the poll (tick as many options as you like). My own opinion is "Protests die down as Yanukovych reasserts control," for reasons that I will expound upon in a forthcoming post. But I have made many of the arguments already on my Twitter feed where I, like... Read More
"Imperialist Putin "Steals" Ukraine"... If only all those hysterical newspaper articles were true! In reality, the only thing he stole was Ukraine's credit card debt. He's no idiot, of course, and is in no rush to pay it off. The drama certainly hasn't ended. But a geopolitical pivot on the model of Khmelnitsky's 1654 decision... Read More
Even a few months ago, it looked as if Ukraine had taken a significant step towards Eurasian integration by signing up as an observer to the Customs Union between Russia, Kazakhstan, and Belarus. However, in the past month, evidence is emerging that it was but a temporary ploy to appease Russia while in reality speeding... Read More
Here it is, for those who read Russian. The May data also has emigration data, which is not included in the prelimary estimates - that is here. The main points to take away: Births fell 0.3% and deaths fell 0.5%; as a result, the overall natural decrease has fallen from -57,000 in 2012 to -53,000... Read More
My latest for VoR/US-Russia Experts panel. Hope you like the title. :) The political fragmentation of the Soviet Union was one of the major contributing factors to the "hyper-depression" that afflicted not only Russia but all the other constituent republics in the 1990's. The Soviet economy had been an integrated whole; an aircraft might have... Read More
My post last week on the increasing visibility of the Russian language on the Internet provoked a heated counter-attack from commentator Ildar Adi, who asserted (without much in the way of proof) that it is actually in significant retreat in Europe, the Near Abroad, and even Russia itself. He believes that whereas there were almost... Read More
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Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.