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Syrian Civil War

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Am in London again (that that I particularly want to be), will probably visit Aarhus, Denmark in mid-May (conference). Thinking of going to Denmark by train through the Netherlands, finances permitting. I have yet to visit the Dutch. I have finally picked up my copy of Heiner Rindermann's Cognitive Capital here. Will hopefully soon add... Read More
Been a while since I did one of these. Link: Robert Stark talks to Anatoly Karlin about the Syrian Strikes, Russian Politics & The Failure of Trump Contents: Douma and Dumber John Bolton and the return of the Neocons Trump using the strike to distract from Russiagate Whether the strike is purely symbolic or could... Read More
So we now finally have some limited clarity on the outcome of this year's first Syria crisis. US frigates, B-1 bombers, and French/UK fighters launched around 100 cruise missiles at Syria, incidentally taking care to launch from far away and stay outside the radius of Russia's A2AD bubbles. Ben Nimmo. There are also disputes over... Read More
There are some fairly good reasons in favor of Russia's decision to intervene in Syria, which is why I have always been modestly if unenthusiastically supportive of it: It is basically a giant and continuous live training exercise for Russian pilots and generals, making it almost "free" in financial terms. The value of the Khmeimim... Read More
I don't think I have a reputation for panicking. But I do think that we are now at probably the most dangerous point in world affairs since Russian and NATO troops faced off at Pristina Airport in 1999, if not since the Cold War. It is now clear that there will almost certainly be strikes... Read More
At this point I'm just wondering when neoliberalism.txt will finally lay off the Russiagate conspiracy theory. I suspect never. The neocons surrounding Trump have locked him into a never-ending spiral of escalation towards Russia in a hopeless bid to "prove" that he is not Putin's puppet. By striking Syria, Trump becomes "Presidential" in eyes of... Read More
Since the US attack on Wagner mercenaries in Deir ez-Zor on February 7, which even the Kremlin has now been forced to admit included Russian casualties, come these stunning revelations from The Washington Post: The intercepted communications show not only that Prigozhin was personally involved in planning the attack but that he had discussed it... Read More
1. On February 7, the Americans destroyed a Syrian column moving in the direction of the Coneco oil fields with artillery, wiping up the rest with helicopters. There were at least 100 deaths in the SAA, versus one lightly injured SDF soldier. Although this could be viewed as a Syrian provocation, the fact remains that... Read More
So it's clear from /r/SyrianCivilWar and LiveUAMap that Turkey and the TFSA has begun a large offensive to take Afrin, the Kurdish pocket in the northwest of the country. 1. There's no real question over their capacity to do it - the main question will be to what extent they will need Turkish ground support,... Read More
Russian Ministry of Defense: Security system of the Russian Khmeimim air base and Russian Naval CSS point in the city of Tartus successfully warded off a terrorist attack with massive application of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) through the night of 5th – 6th January, 2018. As evening fell, the Russia air defence forces detected 13... Read More
I have long warned that Islamic State's defeat will be a double-edged sword. Positive: Syrian government-held territory effectively doubles, though mostly in terms of useless, depopulated desert. Negative: Status quo returns to that of several years ago, i.e. back when Assad was "killing his own people" so far as the Western press, without the superlative... Read More
Some pretty strange things going on at Khmeimim. 1. On Jan 3, 2018, Kommersant reported: The destruction of seven (!) planes at the Russian airbase in Syria, including four Su-24, two Su-35C, and one An-72 transport. More than ten servicemen were injured An ammo dump was destroyed This was supposedly the result of an Islamist... Read More
I realize everyone is obsessed with North Kora right now, but the Turkish referendum that is set for April 16 may turn out to be even more significant. Erdogan's AKP and the MHP nationalists have proposed a set of amendments to the Turkish constitution that would remove the office of the Prime Minister, annul a... Read More
So it's been a few days since the Syria Strikes, everyone and his dog have thrown in their two cents, and there has been a set of confusing and contradictory reactions from US officials and pretty much everyone else involved in this saga. The more the contradictions pile on, the less clear the picture becomes.... Read More
In light of recent news, now is perhaps a good time to remind ourselves of perhaps the most succinct and information dense explanation of why Assad is less bad than the "moderate rebels." Via Nicholas Nassim Taleb:
Funny thing is, just the other day I was on a podcast where I joked/predicted that Antifa would try to beat up Richard Spencer's merry band of Alt Right anti-war protesters. Buzzfeed: As AltLeft noted today, "I never anticipated that we would be organizing and participating in actual anti-war demonstrations, but here we are." What... Read More
I'll have a more serious post on this soon enough, but for now, reactions from some of the more important and interesting players. Although they are present, the "anti-globalist" crowd - Steve Bannon and his allies, Stephen Miller and Michael Anton - are relegated to the back, while the likes of Jared Kushner occupy a... Read More
There are so many problems with the propaganda campaign against Assad getting unrolled now. (1) You can't treat exposure to sarin with your bare hands without falling ill/dead yourself, as the White Helmets were apparently doing in the aftermath of the Idlib attack. (2) As Syrian war reporter @Partisangirl noticed, some journalists were apparently discussing... Read More
Source: SyrianCivilWarMap.com Several hours ago, the Turkey-supported Euphrates Shield rebel group, fresh from the capture of Al-Bab, has pivoted towards a full out assault on the SDF-held Manbij enclave. Ahrar Al-Sham units and Turkish spec ops backed up by armor are rumored to be on the outskirts of Arima, which is the stepping stone to... Read More
Yet another tired meme of the Lamestream Media is biting the dust. Tulsi Gabbard is a Democrat who is on good terms with Trump - indeed, she was once viewed as a feasible if highly unlikely candidate for Secretary of State. She has gone to Syria, talked with the people, and confirmed that the "moderate... Read More
Many recent articles and online discussions have been rife with the idea that the reason for Russia's "withdrawal" from Syria (which we now know is really nothing of the sort) was due to its mounting economic problems. In reality that could not be farther from the truth. Here's why: (1) As of March 2016, half... Read More
This is as hardcore cyberpunk as it gets. Target painting via dank memes! (1) Moderate Rebels (TM) make YouTube video that includes their dispositions. (2) Russian journalist Ivan Sidorenko who has good SAA contacts sends a geolocation request to the fine gentlemen of /pol/ (a 4chan "forum"). (3) /pol/ rises up to the task and... Read More
So let's do just that. Here is one of the latest maps via Al-Masdar News. Not only have all of the hills towards the west of Palmyra been brought under firm SAA control, which allowed them to rain down fire on the hapless Islamic State defenders, but according to the latest reports Palmyra Airport has... Read More
Today came the shock announcement that Putin has ordered the withdrawal of most of the Russian strike force in Syria commencing on March 15, 2016. In contrast to the weeks before the start of the intervention, when multiple observers including Stratfor observed signs of an imminent intervention, this has come as a complete surprise. Many... Read More
Click to enlarge.
Here are some recent videos of Russian bombings of Islamic state oil infrastructure (LOL at the guy getting out of Dodge at 0:25). And a bombing of a nicely arraigned line of oil tankers: All of which raises a rather obvious question: If this is easy as easy as shooting fish in a barrel -... Read More
Apologies for the tabloidy title. This is an otherwise serious post. It is well known that higher rates of cousin marriages - especially the father's brother's daughter (FBD) type that is common in the Arab Muslim world - tends to increase clannishness and depress IQs. It is often discussed in HBD circles. The main focus... Read More
As Russian fighters begin their baptism of fire in Syria, it is worth pointing out there are at least three separate wars going on here. And they're all quite distinct. (1) The Actual War Once again I urge people to familiarize themselves with a map of the Syrian conflict (e.g. here). All of Assad's most... Read More
Source: Wikipedia. Click to enlarge. I admit to not having been following the Syrian Civil War anywhere near as closely the war in the Donbass. But with recent rumors of stepped up Russian involvement now being confirmed by videos - and even talk of China possibly sending troops (crazy, but a year ago you'd have... Read More
Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.