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This is one possible interpretation of a recent report in Vedomosti, which analyzed a Russian Ministry of Defense tender for military insurance for the years 2018-2019. Included within was detailed Russian military mortality statistics for the 2012-2016 period, lifting the lid on a veil of secrecy on such matters since 2010. 2005 2012 2013 2014... Read More
My article on the history and present reality of Russian IQ has just been published at Sputnik i Pogrom, with its trademark beautiful graphics: Русская Ноосфера: масштабный обзор уровня IQ по регионам России. The pièce de résistance: Without undue exaggeration, I believe this is the most comprehensive popular article on this topic in the Russian... Read More
Yesterday there was another poll on the Russian Presidential elections in 2018, this time from FOM (although state-owned, my impression is that they aren't any less accurate than the independent - and somewhat oppositionist - Levada). Adjusting for undecideds/no shows, the results if elections were to be held tomorrow are as follows: Putin - 84%,... Read More
Assuming that it will be just between these four, I think it's going to go something like this: Note that Sobchak and any [liberal candidate] can be substituted for Navalny. (Also TBH, I think Navalny has a chance of getting 10% - see below). If other candidates (but not Navalny) run, for instance, Grigory Yavlinsky... Read More
Guangzhou, China (/r/Cyberpunk) Some time ago a commenter asked me about the state of China Studies in Russia, an issue that is pretty germane as they increasingly align with each other. TL;DR - Catastrophic. Simply put, Russia does not have the cognitive tools to understand the country that Kremlin talking points describe as Russia’s "strategic... Read More
In my opinion, almost certainly yes (quantified: 90%. In line with PredictIt). Just to get that clear off the bat. But neither is it an absolutely foregone conclusion. For instance, see this recent "scoop" from The Independent's Oliver Carroll: The reason "scoop" is in apostrophes is that Putin's tiredness is hardly new to the Moscow... Read More
Recent Rasmussen poll: I wrote about this as a return to pre-Soviet norms back in February: No, this doesn't appear to be on account of Republican/conservative infatuation with Putler, as /r/politics and the Blue Checkmarks would have you believe. Op
I am pretty bad with these puns. But this one might just be SSC-worthy. One of my goals for the rest of Anti-Bolshevik Month is to write a comprehensive alternate history in which the Russian Republic survives WW1. Randall Parker's question on Twitter: "Imagine a time traveler goes back to 1913 and kill Hitler, Stalin,... Read More
Just came back from a workshop on "Intelligence and Culture as Factors of National Competitiveness" organized by the Institute of Psychology RAS. The most interesting presentation was by Konstantin Sugonyev, which may be published in a forthcoming paper. It concerned the following test: https://recrut.mil.ru/career/soldiering/test.htm This is a test on the Russian Defense Ministry's website, where... Read More
Inflation is now at 2.7% as of October 2017, down from double-digit rates three years ago and overshooting the Central Bank of Russia's 4% target for this year. This constitutes an all-time post-Soviet low. This is in large part thanks to the hawkish monetary policy of CBR head Elvira Nabiullina, and indirectly of Putin, who... Read More
Westerners have semi-legitimate reasons to like Lenin. Hard-headed proponents of Realpolitik and plain old vanilla Russophobes might appreciate his role in crippling Russia relative to what it could have been in the 20th century (i.e. a full-spectrum challenger to the American order, instead of Upper Volta with missiles). The increasing popular strains of SJW leftism... Read More
So the leader of Russia's Communist Party (KPRF) Zyuganov and Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov have gotten into a bit of a spat over whether or not Lenin should be buried. Zyuganov thinks calls to bury Lenin are "idle chatter," and apparently believes that the Great Revolution "ended in a practically bloodless manner." Kadyrov begged to... Read More
The World Bank has just released its Ease of Doing Business data for 2018 (report PDF; rankings; historical data in Excel) I wrote about why good scores on this indicator are pretty useful two years ago: First, elites pay a lot of attention to it. Several countries – including Russia, Kazakhstan, and India – have... Read More
On October 26, Almazbek Atambaev, the outgoing President of Kyrgyzstan, signed a decree replacing the November 7 celebrations of the October revolution with a “Day of History and Remembrance.” The “history” and “remembrance” in question refers to the Urkun, the Kyrgyz name for their 1916 revolt against Tsarist Russia. Here is an extract from the... Read More
An anti-Putin journalist gets her throat slashed by an intruder forcing his way into one of the last bastions of "free, independent journalism" in Russia. As if that wasn't enough, it came on the background of a recent Russian TV geopolitical drama series called "The Sleepers" - sort of a Russian analogue of "The Americans"... Read More
The Russian bureaucracy is, admittedly, a lot better than it used to be. In comparison to the state of affairs even just a decade ago, there are fewer papers to fill out, staff are more courteous, and many more tasks can be done online. The contrast relative to the 1990s is even starker, when outright... Read More
Eurasian Federation, 2049. Half a year ago I wrote about the absurd legal case against Dmitry Bobrov, a Russian nationalist who was sentenced for using extremist terminology such as "the great Russian people." No, I am not even exaggerating, here is the formal conclusion of the court's "linguistics expert," Galina Melnik (who is also a... Read More
In 2014, Lenta.ru conducted a study into the ethnic composition of Russia's billionaires. (Steve Sailer picked it up as well). The observation that Jews constituted 21% of the Russian Forbes 200 predictably drove handshakeworthy journalists, Jews, and especially Jewish journalists into a tizzy (as I recall, when I asked him when he was also going... Read More
While I was writing an article about Russian IQ for Sputnik and Pogrom the past few days, I noticed this amazing statistic from the 2010 Census. Percentage of the population with a postgrad degree: 1. Ingushetia: 1.59% 2. Moscow: 1.12% ... 90. Chechnya: 0.32% Ingushetia is Chechnya's quieter, lower T, slyer brother. They are part... Read More
According to the latest estimates, Russia might harvest as much as 133 million tons of grain this year. This would make 2017 a record harvest not just by post-Soviet standards, which were pretty dismal until the past decade, but relative to the RSFSR's peak of 127.4mn tons in 1978. (This is the case even after... Read More
The other day the Chechen social media page vk.com/karfagen was banned. This is not surprising, considering that it was genuinely extremist from head to toe, though it is perhaps telling of the Russian state's priorities that it took longer for Roskomnadzor to catch onto them than it did for it to illegally block the moderate... Read More
On September 10 there was a round of gubernatorial elections in Russia, as well as elections to local councils in Moscow. There's a lot of confusion on account of whether it was a victory for United Russia. On the one hand, the low turnout - which traditionally favors more motivated liberals - allowed them to... Read More
The conventional view of nationalism is that it was a product of mass literacy and the modern state, underpinned by schoolbooks and Tombs of the Unknown Soldier. Recent years have seen challenges to this historiographic consensus at both a general level (e.g. Azar Gat's Nations), and with respect to specific peoples (Robert Tomb's recent The... Read More
Anti-Myanmar protest in a nominally Russian region. Source: Елена Афонина / ТАСС / Scanpix / LETA Photogenic female face of resistance to the junta and Nobel Peace Prize winner comes to power as de facto leader of Myanmar. Some of Aung San Suu Kyi's comments about a certain Muslim minority in her country up to... Read More
The magazine Profile.ru in 2015 compiled a list of Russia's most subsidized regions. It went exactly as you'd expect. # Russian Region %dep. Majority Group 1 Ingushetia 85.0% Caucasian 2 Chechnya 81.4% Caucasian 3 Crimea 80.0% Russian 4 Tyva 77.1% Other Minority 5 Sevastopol 75.0% Russian 6 Altay 73.5% Russian 7 Dagestan 70.0% Caucasian 8... Read More
This claim appears to date to a 2007 ABC News report about far right violence in Russia: We know that because we have Neo-Nazi censuses. Oh wait, we don't. No original sources are cited, there are no hints as to who qualifies to be a Neo-Nazi, and ABC News had a pronounced anti-Russian agenda even... Read More
A Russian Conservative on James Damore
Prosvirnin is the most talented writer. Limonov has by far the most colorful personality. Dugin has been the most effective at promoting himself in the West. Prokhanov probably has the most name recognition in Russia. Galkovsky created the most powerful memes. Krylov provided the esoteric flavoring. And yet out of all of Russia's right-wing intellectuals,... Read More
H/t Eduard-456. Navalny has accepted Strelkov's call for a debate from June 15. Get hype? At any rate, this is probably the closest things to politics that has happened in Russia this year. There are going to be the main topics of discussion in the debate next week, which may be hosted by Echo of... Read More
Ilya Glazunov, one of Russia's great painters is dead at the age of 87. The "official" art of the modern age is an aesthetic desert; a postmodernist joke that celebrates fraudsters and degenerates, and benefits art dealers and billionaires. Yet there are still men of idealism, far from the cameras and the accolades of handshakeworthy... Read More
I have already written about the Russian government's blocking of Sputnik i Pogrom, Russia's foremost nationalist resource. Two politicians have taken a clear stance on this. Zhirinovsky was one. I have been weighing whether to vote for him or Putin (if only to "reward" him for Crimea) in March 2018. Well, the decision is vastly... Read More
Sputnik i Pogrom (SiP), the premier online resource of the Russian nationalists has just been blocked by Roskomnadzor. It was done on the request of the General Prosecutor, along with five other nationalist sites. They claim to have found evidence of them "justifying" Right Sector, the Islamic State, Al-Nusra, and other terrorist groups, fighting in... Read More
Credit: Ivan Musinov. There is this strange dichotomy with respect to Russia. The Western elites like Hillary Clinton and many Russophile right-wingers believe that it is a paragon of fascist/conservative and white supremacist/traditionalist values, respectively. (The main difference being that the former think that this is Bad, while the latter think it's Good). On the... Read More
Non-West European nationalists don't tend to like Charles Murray's Human Accomplishment (HA) database. For instance, as relates to Russia: Why is Marconi propped over Popov? Where is Lodygin? Where is Bulgakov!? Let's answer that very last question. It would certainly be very useful to see Murray's assessments of the most eminent Russians correlates with Russian... Read More
Another Uraza Bayram. Countless photos showing zillions of Muslims filling up Moskvabad's streets. More gleeful shitposts from /pol/ to svidomy forums about imminent Russabia. But you don't have to be a particularly big fan of open borders with Central Asia to be able to look at statistics. In a series of recent posts, Russian blogger... Read More
Who is really the greatest Russian? Okay, formally, the Levada survey that put Stalin in the lead asked about the "of all times and places." However, in practice - and this isn't just limited to Russia - most people interpret it as "who is your greatest countryman." In my opinion, to be considered "great," you... Read More
Latest poll on the "greatest people of all times and places": 1989 1994 1999 2003 2008 2012 2017 Stalin 12 20 35 40 36 42 38 Putin – – – 21 32 22 34 Pushkin 25 23 42 39 47 29 34 Lenin 72 34 42 43 34 37 32 Peter the Great 38 41... Read More
The figures for Russia are from Levada, those for Ukraine are from KMIS. The basic story is that there was a (mutual) collapse in Ukraine-Russia views of the other country around 2014, which has remained steady since.
This is a horse I've pretty much beaten to death, but still worth pointing out - not many Russians want to leave Russia. And not many Russians ever wanted to leave Russia. Results of the latest Levada polls: Incidentally, when I was in Saint-Petersburg, the hotel receptionist said that if anything, there has been a... Read More
As some of you are aware, last week I was traveling in Saint-Petersburg. I went upon the invitation of a local politics club, but decided I stay several days to explore the city. I haven't been to SPB since 2002, so this doubled as an opportunity to see how the northern capital has changed in... Read More
journalists have this weird habit of making fun of Putin for his yearly marathon phone-ins with the Russian public. It's populism. It's all staged. Well, sure, it's all that. I can see how a class that writes articles with titles such as "It’s Time for the Elites to Rise Up Against the Ignorant Masses" might... Read More
Richard Lynn, Helen Cheng and Andrei Grigoriev - 2017 - Differences in the Intelligence of 15 Year Olds in 42 Provinces and Cities of the Russian Federation and Their Economic, Social and Geographical Correlates I don't know how, but Lynn, Cheng, and Russian psychometricist Grigoriev have managed to find Russian regional results for PISA 2015.... Read More
The American Interest's Karina Orlova writesOriginal). His protestations of his "innocence" in the police van went unheeded. Predictably, this video evokes a gushing flood of Schadenfreude amongst anti-Putinists, while pro-Putinists experience a jittery "there but for the grace of God go I" feeling. But from a neutral perspective, how exactly does this reflect badly on... Read More
The Russia wide protests organized by Navalny on June 12 were a flop. This was not unexpected, given the lack of enthusiasm on social networks - in Moscow, there were 20% fewer people expressing interest in going to this event relative to the March 26th protest on Facebook. The earlier event had translated into 8,000... Read More
Navalny has just moved the planned June 12 protest from Prospekt Sakharova, a fairly central and very spacious location, to Tverskaya, which is minutes away from the Kremlin, at the last former event was officially sanctioned by the city authorities. The new one is *not*. Navalny claims that this was done because the Moscow city... Read More
There have been three significant political protests in Moscow in the past few months, and each in their own way - and in their relation to each other - say a lot about the state of Russia today. It's not that great for the Kremlin. But not for the reasons the Western media would have... Read More
The other day a Levada poll was released showing an apparently lackluster performance by Navalny in a hypothetical Presidential race against Putin and the other candidates. If there were elections on the coming Sunday, who would you vote for? (The figures below exclude those said they don't know, or don't intend to vote). Apr13 Apr14... Read More
A couple of weeks back I had an AMA (Ask Me Anything) with /r/Russia. Direct link: Hi /r/Russia! Anatoly Karlin, writer for The Unz Review / Анатолий Карлин, "пейсатель" о России, геополитике. AMA! Thought I would reprint some of the questions and answers there so that they don't vanish into the digital ether. *** You... Read More
Should the government try to limit the inflow of immigrants, or should it not place any administrative barriers and try to use it for the benefit of Russia?   Red = Restrict immigration; Blue = Don't place barriers; Green = N/A. This makes sense. The early 2000s saw an all time low in immigration to... Read More
Here is a graph of monthly births in Russia since 2006 through to March 2017: It is pointless to make sweeping conclusions based on demographic data from the past one or two months. That said, the three month moving average has been down relative to the same period in the previous year since the middle... Read More
Probably unintentionally, but video, subtly titled "Hitler 1945/Navalny 2018," basically argues that if you oppose Medvedev's corruption and the importation of infinity Moslems into Russia then you are Hitler. Its current Dislikes to Likes ratio is at around 10. According to Navalny himself, the man behind the video is Sergey Kiriyenko, the First Deputy Chief... Read More
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Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.