Ten months ago I bet a symbolic $10 on a Republican win. According to elections models and the bookies, it's more likely than not that I've lost it. Not that I'm saddened by this development of course. (That said, if the economy slumps sharply in Q3, then a Romney win becomes entirely possible).
And ironically, despite my blog's focus, to date my US predictions have been more accurate than my Russian ones. Obama to become President? Check. Republicans to win 2010 mid-terms? Check. The emergence of "a new party, a new politics", with "the feds [facing] challenges from the far-left and the far-right"? Check (Tea Party, Occupy Wall... Read More
As I predicted he would, Obama has won overwhelmingly. As I argued, this was the best possible outcome for America - Obama understands the importance of investing heavily in renewable energy and new infrastructure, and would withdraw from the financially ruinous Iraq adventure. Just by his election, he has bolstered America's battered image around the... Read More
Read these two posts by Krugman at Conscience of a Liberal, here and here. 1. A looming recession, after seven years of stagnation in the US median wage, means that the likelihood of positive income growth this year is very small. Even assuming it's 0% would mean that the incumbent party's nominee, McCain, can be... Read More
I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.
One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.
Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.