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Results of PIRLS 2016 (4th Graders) have just come out (h/t Polish Perspective). The official website is somewhat of a pain to navigate, and there doesn't appear to be any single master report, but fortunately they left their root directory unblocked so you can just look at all the charts and Excel tables here: http://timssandpirls.bc.edu/pirls2016/international-results/wp-content/uploads/structure/PIRLS/... Read More
My article on the history and present reality of Russian IQ has just been published at Sputnik i Pogrom, with its trademark beautiful graphics: Русская Ноосфера: масштабный обзор уровня IQ по регионам России. The pièce de résistance: Without undue exaggeration, I believe this is the most comprehensive popular article on this topic in the Russian... Read More
The Franco-German media organization Arte recently produced a documentary about the decline of global average courage in the Current Year! What resolve! Not only do they treat IQ as a legitimate concept, but are even willing to seriously contemplate whether it is declining, and what could be done about it. Could the tide really be... Read More
PEW has just made three different projections of the Islamic percentage of Europe's population in 2050. Map of Muslim share of each European country today and in 2015 (High scenario). Here are the assumptions behind each of them: Low: All migration into Europe stops from 2016. Muslims still increase from 4.9% to 7.4% by 2050... Read More
Levine and Norenzayan 1999 - The Pace of Life in 31 Countries Hilarious that the country with the most accurate clocks was... Switzerland. Chalk up one more victory for stereotypes. Unsurprisingly there's an evident correlation with measures of future time orientation in general.
Just came back from a workshop on "Intelligence and Culture as Factors of National Competitiveness" organized by the Institute of Psychology RAS. The most interesting presentation was by Konstantin Sugonyev, which may be published in a forthcoming paper. It concerned the following test: https://recrut.mil.ru/career/soldiering/test.htm This is a test on the Russian Defense Ministry's website, where... Read More
Reuters poll: Here is what they found: In an earlier post I noted that Moscow is the last and only megacity in the world where Europeans remain a solid majority.
Eurasian Federation, 2049. Half a year ago I wrote about the absurd legal case against Dmitry Bobrov, a Russian nationalist who was sentenced for using extremist terminology such as "the great Russian people." No, I am not even exaggerating, here is the formal conclusion of the court's "linguistics expert," Galina Melnik (who is also a... Read More
What the commenter Cicerone wrote in response to the study about dysgenic decline in Germany. The findings come rather surprizing to me and I am always sceptical of using these low N studies to make out trends. Using fertility by education data from the Wittgenstein database, my estimate for the intrinsic IQ loss over the... Read More
I posted about German regional academic performance back in 2016. The evidence seemed to indicate that German IQ was fairly uniform across Germany, once you took the immigrants out. However, soon afterwards I got the following curious email from one Carolin: You can read the report here (I can't read German so you'll have to... Read More
While I was writing an article about Russian IQ for Sputnik and Pogrom the past few days, I noticed this amazing statistic from the 2010 Census. Percentage of the population with a postgrad degree: 1. Ingushetia: 1.59% 2. Moscow: 1.12% ... 90. Chechnya: 0.32% Ingushetia is Chechnya's quieter, lower T, slyer brother. They are part... Read More
The magazine Profile.ru in 2015 compiled a list of Russia's most subsidized regions. It went exactly as you'd expect. # Russian Region %dep. Majority Group 1 Ingushetia 85.0% Caucasian 2 Chechnya 81.4% Caucasian 3 Crimea 80.0% Russian 4 Tyva 77.1% Other Minority 5 Sevastopol 75.0% Russian 6 Altay 73.5% Russian 7 Dagestan 70.0% Caucasian 8... Read More
Surviving political repressions in Communist regimes is one of those rare problems that don't seem to be at all g loaded. When someone like spandrell talks of "IQ shredders" he refers to the role of modern cities as fertility vortices for society's best and brightest. But in the 20th century those shredders could be all... Read More
So the other day ACLU Tweeted its intention to secure the existence of civil liberties and a future for free speech. Ironic joking and SJW meltdowns over photos of White children with American miniature flags aside, the politically correct peeps at ACLU (who apologized for their social justice faux pas immediately afterwards) were actually far... Read More
Credit: Ivan Musinov. There is this strange dichotomy with respect to Russia. The Western elites like Hillary Clinton and many Russophile right-wingers believe that it is a paragon of fascist/conservative and white supremacist/traditionalist values, respectively. (The main difference being that the former think that this is Bad, while the latter think it's Good). On the... Read More
Non-West European nationalists don't tend to like Charles Murray's Human Accomplishment (HA) database. For instance, as relates to Russia: Why is Marconi propped over Popov? Where is Lodygin? Where is Bulgakov!? Let's answer that very last question. It would certainly be very useful to see Murray's assessments of the most eminent Russians correlates with Russian... Read More
Another Uraza Bayram. Countless photos showing zillions of Muslims filling up Moskvabad's streets. More gleeful shitposts from /pol/ to svidomy forums about imminent Russabia. But you don't have to be a particularly big fan of open borders with Central Asia to be able to look at statistics. In a series of recent posts, Russian blogger... Read More
Who is really the greatest Russian? Okay, formally, the Levada survey that put Stalin in the lead asked about the "of all times and places." However, in practice - and this isn't just limited to Russia - most people interpret it as "who is your greatest countryman." In my opinion, to be considered "great," you... Read More
The population of the world's major regions according to the UN's World Population Prospects 2017 report. World Population Prospects (2017) 2015 2050 2100 WORLD 7,383,008,820 9,771,822,753 11,184,367,721 Sub-Saharan Africa 969,234,251 2,167,651,879 4,001,755,801 East Asia 1,635,150,365 1,586,491,284 1,198,264,520 South Asia 1,823,308,471 2,381,796,561 2,230,668,781 South-East Asia 634,609,846 797,648,622 771,527,666 MENA & C. Asia 551,964,576 850,895,914 1,045,856,658 Europe... Read More
So we correctly make fun of people like Neil Turok and Deirdre McCloskey who expect to discover the next generation of Einsteins amongst 70-75 IQ Africans. Even if we could run the full FLynn program on Africa and raise it up to its genotypic IQ potential of 85-90, it's not like countries with those sorts... Read More
Richard Lynn, Helen Cheng and Andrei Grigoriev - 2017 - Differences in the Intelligence of 15 Year Olds in 42 Provinces and Cities of the Russian Federation and Their Economic, Social and Geographical Correlates I don't know how, but Lynn, Cheng, and Russian psychometricist Grigoriev have managed to find Russian regional results for PISA 2015.... Read More
Buzzfeed: White Nationalist Richard Spencer's Gym Terminated His Membership After A Woman Called Him A Neo Nazi The entity in question, C. Christine Fair, is a Georgetown University associate professor of Peace and Conflict Studies. From its Tumblr (where else?): First, I want to note that this man is a supreme coward. When I approached... Read More
Harvard University maintains an online database of "implicit association tests" that purport to show your subconscious outlook on things. In the race test, you are presented with a series of pictures of Whites and Blacks, which you have to racially identify; these are interspersed with adjectives (joyous, anger, cherish, horror), which you simultaneously have to... Read More
Should the government try to limit the inflow of immigrants, or should it not place any administrative barriers and try to use it for the benefit of Russia?   Red = Restrict immigration; Blue = Don't place barriers; Green = N/A. This makes sense. The early 2000s saw an all time low in immigration to... Read More
Immigration statistics from the Ministry of Interior Affairs, 2016. Total new citizenships: 265,319. (USA: 653,416 people in 2014, so about equal in per capita terms). Ukraine: 100,696, up 49% from 2015. (Russians becoming Ukrainian citizens: About 2,000 per year). It is utterly absurd that in per capita terms, there are as many Tajiks (0.27% of... Read More
Audacious Epigone has a blog post on the percentage of GSS respondents by religion who would have an abortion if it emerged their child has a genetic defect. Let's see what the results would be by race. Very true to stereotype. Here are the results by country of family origin: The Chinese are going to... Read More
From Turkey's PISA 2015 National Report: In 2015, Richard Lynn and coauthors did one of their standard national IQ analyses on Turkey (based on the results of PISA 2012). Summary: There are seven points of interest in the results. First, the total PISA scores adopted as IQs were significantly positively correlated with per capita income... Read More
This reads like the plot of a zombie movie. Elderly boffin Charles Murray & company go on a trip to the idyllic country estate of Middlebury, when...  
The existence of a ~1S.D. B/W gap in IQ is beyond dispute. It is probably the single most studied and replicated finding in psychometrics. The graph of all the different studies of the B/W gap themselves form a bell curve, with Black IQ centered around 85. Here is Emil Kirkegaard's plot of John Fuerst's massive... Read More
If legal policy towards human biodiversity/race realism/racist hate speech (cross out as per your ideological preferences) ranges from mildly to severely repressive across Europe and Canada, then in Russia it can best be described as schizophrenic. There is more freedom of association than in Europe or even the US: You can specify "Slavs Only"/"No Caucasians"... Read More
Here is why Russia also needs a BBW (Turkestan edition): Number of births: Red = Russia; Green = Central Asia (Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan). In 1897, there were ten times fewer people in Russian Turkestan than within the modern borders of the Russian Federation. Today, they constitute 50% of the Russian Federation's population. They... Read More
Here is why the US needs a Big Beautiful Wall in one graph: Mexico, El Salvador, Guatemala, and Nicaragua are the top four source countries of illegal immigrants to the US. The American White percentage of the population has been dropping relentlessly for more than half a century, in large part due to immigration itself.... Read More
Cold Winters Theory applies to birds: Links to the relevant papers in Emil Kirkegaard's post. As Lazy Glossophiliac points out, yet another bullseye for folk stereotypes: "Fascinating that Corvidae would be the smartest birds because stereotypically it's ravens. Well, and owls." Someone should do a meta-study of IQ or r/K-selection differences across the animal kingdom... Read More
Ritchie, Stuart - 2017 - Review of The Rationality Quotient by Stanovich et al. From Stuart Ritchie's review of "The Rationality Quotient" by Keith Stanovich et al.: That's the extent to which actual IQ tests typically load on the g factor and each other. One might even go so far as to propose that rationality... Read More
Whitley, Elise et al. - 2016 - Variations in cognitive abilities across the life course New paper by Elise Whitley et al. on age and sex differences in IQ for n=~40,000 British sample. Five tests: Word recall, verbal fluency, and subtraction (loading ~0.5 on g), and number sequence and numerical problem solving (loading ~0.7 on... Read More
Steve Sailer recently pointed out that millennials are a lot shier about nudity than their parents and grandparents. There are plenty of cultural explanations - less exposure to the military, more spacious accomodations, millennial whininess, etc. - but I get the impression that, as with Chinese underperformance in football, the inventor of HBD might have... Read More
Kong, Augustine et al. - 2016 - Selection against variants in the genome associated with educational attainment This paper makes the case that there has been a decline in the prevalence of genes increasing propensity for more education (POLYEDU) in Iceland from 1910-1975. Here are some of the key points: The main mechanism was greater... Read More
There is a new expert survey out which, amongst other things, queries the world's top psychometrics experts on the future of the FLynn effect (Flynn + Lynn - clever). James Thompson has a summary at his column. The two most important reasons for the end of the FLynn effect in the West are regarded to... Read More
Now that we have established that immigration is not much good, let's take a look at another component undergirding our transition to Idiocracy - the differential fertility rates of different IQ groups. This is a highly contentious topic, and not just on account of the usual political kurfuffles, but also on real disagreements as to... Read More
Well, apart from the Gulf states - thanks in large part to coming from such a low base that even subcontinental coolies are an improvement over the natives. Otherwise, the cognitive impact of immigration - at least as proxied by the differences in performance on the PISA tests between the national average, which includes immigrant... Read More
The commenter "m" did some calculations to work out the relative performance of different countries in PISA vs. TIMSS, and in Math vs. Science. m writes: Overperformance in TIMSS relative to PISA can arguably be used as a proxy for schooling quality, since it's more dependent on academic/curricular skills than on raw intelligence. I am... Read More
Source: https://www.oecd.org/pisa/data/ Report: http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/pisa-2015-results-volume-i_9789264266490-en There were problems with data collection in Argentina, Kazakhstan, and Malaysia, so their results must be treated with caution. Furthermore: "Because the results of Kazakhstan in 2015 are based only on multiple-choice items, they cannot be reliably compared to the results of other countries, nor to Kazakhstan’s results in previous assessments"... Read More
Here is the download link: http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/pisa-2015-results-volume-i_9789264266490-en (1) China B-S-J-G (Beijing-Shanghai-Jiangsu-Guangdong) has a PISA-equivalent national IQ of 102. This is actually worse than the IQ=103 leaked 2009 results based on 12 provinces, which I posted about a few years ago. Even more curiously, Beijing, Shanghai, and Jiangsu all constitute three of the top five Chinese provinces... Read More
The TIMSS 2015 results for math and science are out and the results are pretty predictable. All the data can be conveniently downloaded from here: http://timss2015.org/download-center/. See also Steve Sailer's post from yesterday. An extension of Heiner Rindermann's observation on the differences between the two major international standardized tests - namely, that PISA is more... Read More
Based on FIDE stats as of 2016. Without doing any complicated analysis it's pretty clear that the main three factors are: National IQ - Though not absolutely critical, possibly because the correlation between chess skill and IQ is only a moderate r=0.35. (Grabner 2013) Not East Asian - They focus on go instead, where the... Read More
Scene from Alien Girl (2010). "Mafia is not a Russian word," retorted Putin, in a brusque exchange with Italian journalists questioning him on the rule of law in Russia in 2000. View it as a forceful reframe or a case of aggrieved butthurt as you wish, but he has a point. Despite the comparisons made... Read More
Interviewer - That’s because, that’s societies fault, we got to educate people about it. M.A. - Life is too short for me to be catching hell for something like that, I’d rather be with my own, and have a beautiful daughter, beautiful wife, both look like me and we are all happy and I don’t... Read More
A few days ago the Russian urban lifestyle magazine Afisha commissioned some big data geeks to visualize the percentage of Muscovite landlords specifying "Russians only" ("Slavs only," "No Caucasians," etc.) in their home rental listings. Here is the resulting map (red is more "xenophobic"): The range of landlords making ethnic requirements varied from 0% in... Read More
This month the SF Bay Area based rationality organization LessWrong has released the latest survey of its members, or rather of its "diaspora," since the site itself has gone mostly dormant with many of their members now congregating at Scott Alexander's blog and Yudkowsky's various offshoots). Although some critics disparage Less Wrong as a clique... Read More
This year half of the top 10 best performing universities in the global ACM-International Collegiate Programming Competition were Russian. Place Name Solved Time Last solved 1 St. Petersburg State University 11 1560 290 2 Shanghai Jiao Tong University 11 1567 272 3 Harvard University 10 1358 269 4 Moscow Institute of Physics & Technology 10... Read More
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Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.