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Found this convenient summary table of the amount of books people had in their adolescence based on the PIAAC surveys. Sikora, Joanna, M. D. R. Evans, and Jonathan Kelley. 2019. “Scholarly Culture: How Books in Adolescence Enhance Adult Literacy, Numeracy and Technology Skills in 31 Societies.” Social Science Research 77 (January): 1–15. The Scandinavians are... Read More
(Foreign-owned) Moscow Times: Russia Will Be One-Third Muslim in 15 Years, Chief Mufti Predicts I hope my readers are well acquainted enough with my reporting on Russian demographics to identify this for the BS this is. But if not, here is a refresher: Russia Becoming *More* Russian From Russia to Russabia? Not Anytime Soon
Then follow the stereotypes. They will never lead you astray: Alexander Kireev: Popularity of "incest" searches in Russia. Regions most interested in chasing sister's skirt: Chechnya, Dagestan, Ingushetia. So much for Caucasian sexual "morality" (but we knew that anyway). Least interested: Karelia, Moscow, Saint Petersburg. Worldwide, twice as many Central Asians - especially Tajiks and... Read More
As per Zach Goldberg, a politics researcher at Georgetown State: Now to be sure, they may just about be right about Hispanics; at least Ron Unz argues so - while I used to be convinced, others have made good counter arguments, so I don't really know. But they're certainly at the same order of magnitude,... Read More
Ethiopia's religious dynamics from 1994 to 2019 (via zemfort1983): Oriental Orthodoxy: 50.6% to 38.9% Islam: 32.4% to 34.6% Protestantism: 10.1% to 23.4% Pagans: 4.6% to 1.5% Catholics: 0.9% to 0.4% Other: 1.0% to 0.9% So you basically have the Orthodox converting to Protestantism - mostly Pentecostalism at that - while Muslims edge up as a... Read More
New paper: Warne, Russell T., and Cassidy Burningham. 2019. “Spearman’s G Found in 31 Non-Western Nations: Strong Evidence That G Is a Universal Phenomenon.” Psychological Bulletin. US: American Psychological Association. Map of countries included in this study. Although we did not preregister any exact predictions for our study, we are astonished at the uniformity of... Read More
A couple of days ago, the Irish conservative journal The Burkean published an essay by its editor Michael O'Dwyer Connolly about the failure of the Convergence Hypothesis: Reasonably anodyne, patently commonsense - even if the article borrows perhaps a bit too gene
Just discovered this 2016 poll (Dalia) on percentage of people identifying as LGBT in Europe. Largely unsurprising. As I keep insisting, there's something with Poland. 2.5x as many LGBT amongst youth as in Hungary. I think my prediction that Poland will legalize gay marriage by 2028 might just turn out correct. What did surprise me... Read More
A German writes about Russians in the NYT: Now it's not that he is necessarily wrong. There is surely some genetic component to corruption proclivities, and it is certainly plausible that it is significantly higher in Russia (or Italy) than in North-West Europe. But what is hilarious is that this comes from the employer of... Read More
In my third post on the Age of Malthusian Industrialism, I suggested: Happily, it looks like some people have already started doing that. Barban, Nicola et al. (2017) - Genome-wide analysis identifies 12 loci influencing human reproductive behavior Here's a very interesting graph from the paper:
A reader (and generous contributor) asks: Real life example of a trend I reported on a few months ago. I'll offer some of my own thoughts, but since there are plenty of East Europeans here, I am also opening it up for wider discussion. *** First, I assume this is obvious and that you have... Read More
Epstein's book about race differences in sport published in the West vs. a Russian translation of Dutton & Lynn's book about race differences in sport published in Russia. :LOL:
Further to my last post on the matter, I spent this evening collating all the most interesting maps I have on Russia, which I just published on my website: (Why not here? Because I want it to be a page that I can keep editing indefinitely - adding to, and occasionally, deleting. For instance, since... Read More
The data is based on Goertzel, Ted & al. (2012), Homicide Booms and Busts A Small-N Comparative Historical Study. The lead author kindly emailed me the data used to build their graphs (their version is on the right), which I used to construct the above graph of Russian historical homicide rates from 1875 to 2018.... Read More
Gwern in a review of Bradshaw's Cat Sense: ...Thus, the widespread adoption of early neutering by the most responsible cat owners risks pushing the domestic cat's genetics back gradually toward the wild, away from their current domesticated state. A study that I conducted in 1999 suggests that such extrapolation cannot be dismissed as science fiction.... Read More
Hot on the heels of the Center for Immigration Studies report comes a study from the PEW polling organization, which estimates that there were 250,000 births to illegal immigrants in the US in 2016. Given the vast challenges in estimating births to illegals, the degree of agreement between the two organizations - which have rather... Read More
The Center for Immigration Studies appears to have had a rather productive October. Apart from their report on illegal immigrant births, they have also produced a report on general immigration to the US as of 2016. As of 2016, immigration was at its highest level since 1999, when it peaked at 1.797 million. What's striking,... Read More
A recent Center for Immigration Studies report estimates that 297,073 of the 3,971,146 births in the US in 2014 accrued to illegal immigrants, or 7.5% of the total. This is a primarily Latino phenomenon. This is obvious just from the five states which, at more than 10%, have the highest percentage of births accruing to... Read More
I wrote about upcoming changes to Russian immigration policy a few days ago. Its main point boiled down to creating simplified naturalization procedures for people facing political persecution, with a clear eye to the Ukraine, as well as for highly qualified foreigners. I had two criticisms. First, simplified naturalization for "humanitarian reasons" doesn't do anything... Read More
Guillaume Durocher has an English language write-up of the disquieting conclusions reached by researchers at the nationalist French website Fdesouche. These assertions are based on the percentage of Muslim first names granted at birth, statistics for which can be downloaded from INSEE (France) and Statbel (Belgium). Here are the original articles: Baromètre 2018 du taux... Read More
Kommersant report on rumored upcoming changes to Russian legislation on immigration policy: "Russia should be open not only to ethnic Russians and Russian speakers, but all those who are loyal to it and are prepared to integrate. The President will get the right to specify certain groups of foreigners and allow them to undergo a... Read More
The previous post featured a map of Russian IQ based on an online survey (n=238,619) for Russian men interested in serving as contract soldiers run by the Ministry of Defense. The data has recently been released by Konstantin Sugonyaev (see PDF). However, as was suggested by Sugonyaev at the start, it is also possible to... Read More
Konstantin Sugonyaev, Andrei Grigoriev and Richard Lynn (2018): A New Study of Differences in Intelligence in the Provinces and Regions of the Russian Federation and Their Demographic and Geographical Correlates [PDF] This is by far the largest survey of Russian IQ ever undertaken (n=238,619). The test was designed by the Ministry of Defense and is... Read More
In a recent post scriptum to one of his articles, Israel Shamir mentioned the trial of a Holocaust denier in Russia, a professor at Perm University called Roman Yushkov. Yushkov's "crime" was to approvingly repost a 2005 article by Anton Blagin, which is pretty much what it says on the tin: "Jews! Return Germans their... Read More
Robin Hanson once wrote a blog post about how reasonably intelligent people (for instance, the sort of people who read his blog) tend to overestimate how smart everyone else is. For instance, about half of Americans are unable to correctly read a table and do a simple addition/subtraction calculation: Such is the banal reality of... Read More
Results of the large annual Levada poll (July 2018) on "xenophobia" and attitudes towards immigration: Wouldn't let [X] into Russia. From left to right: Jews; Ukrainians; Chinese; Chechens; Central Asians; Africans; Gypsies. . 2004 2006 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Gypsies 32% 29% 22% 30% 18% 29% 32% 23% 22%... Read More
How do you talk about dysgenic trends in intelligence without coming off as bespectacled old geezer in a tweed suit with a pipe in one hand and a leatherbound copy of The Rising Tide of Color Against White World-Supremacy in the other*? We need something hip, cool. Everyone knows about the FLynn Effect. I suggest... Read More
Gargantuan (174 pages) paper with an staggering amount of data about family systems and kinship related institutions by Jonathan Schulz et al. (2018): The Origins of WEIRD Psychology (h/t @pseudoerasmus). Our approach integrates three insights. The first, drawing on anthropology, reveals that the institutions built around kinship and marriage vary greatly across societies (21–23) and... Read More
It has been noted in the HBDsphere that the Christian Arabs sorry N.N. Taleb, I meant Phoenicians, Copts, Maronites, Alawites, etc., have been rather successful relative to their Muslim neighbors. This is true for economic achievement (e.g. Carlos Slim, Steve Jobs) and for intellectual achievement (e.g. Albert Hourani, Skin In The Game man). Why? One... Read More
This is hopefully the last football thread for the next two years. Please try to keep all footballing talk to this thread in the next few days. I suspect that Belgium will beat England to take third place during the penalties, while France will beat Croatia by 2-1 or something like that. At this point,... Read More
"15,000 African refugees could be resettled in Stavropol," read the Komsomolskaya Pravda headline, as displayed on Kholmogorov's latest post to appear on my Facebook feed. So this is the terminal stage of Putinism, I thought. Infinity Refugees. It is as if the kremlins looked at what is happening in the US and Western Europe and... Read More
Alexey Bessudnov (2016) - Ethnic Hierarchy and Public Attitudes towards Immigrants in Russia Interesting paper on attitudes towards immigrants in Russia. Big sample (n=24,500). It is written from very neoliberalism.txt perspective (e.g. Ctrl-F on "xeno-" yields 37 matches; "prejudice" yields 17 matches), but data is data. Highlights: 1. Russian regions by "xenophobia."
From a new paper by Mingrui Wang and Richard Lynn: It seems that rural Chinese teens in 2006 were already as bright as their urban counterparts in 1988. This is comparable to increases in South Korea between 1970 and 1990. Note that Raven's tests see some of the biggest increases due to the Flynn Effect,... Read More
Data from European Social Survey Round 8 (2016) via Alexandre Afonso (h/t Emil): In ordered form: Russia might not as hardcore as Czechia or Hungary, but it's still way more skeptical of alien immigration than the European average. Israel, Poland, Italy, Estonia, and Austria round off Europe's based leagues. Meanwhile, all the usual suspects are... Read More
Here is how the cliodynamician Peter Turchin, in his book War and Peace and War (which I reviewed here), describes the outcomes of different pit-fight scenarios between the Romans and the Gauls: Upon inquiry, it emerged that this assessment wasn't backed up by statistical evidence: Even so, the stereotype that Northerners are stronger than Southerners... Read More
About a year ago, I was conversing with a demographics student at the Higher School of Economics who wants to work at Rosstat after his graduation. One of the things we discussed stuck out in my mind: "Wouldn't it be great if there was an Albion's Seed for Russia?" That is, an exhaustive ethnographic survey... Read More
To IQ research (h/t whyvert): Strictly speaking, this isn't exactly accurate - Lynn and Vanhanen peg Somali IQ at around 72 - but it's certainly closer to the mark than the politically correct European 100. Anyhow, while I realize that Sweden is basically a meme country at this point, this is still an incredible development.... Read More
Mankind’s IQ is 84-88. Becker May 2018 update. Belorussia has long been a blank spot on the world IQ maps (and when it was not so, its results were based on the average of Ukraine, Russia, and Lithuania's scores). However, in David Becker's latest world IQ update, there finally appeared a concrete estimate of Belorussian... Read More
In my huge post on The Jews, I invited my readers to fill out a survey to test how much of the 11 stereotypes about Jews the ADL identifies as anti-Semitic we agree with. I was hoping to use the answers do some data analysis (e.g. how philo/counter-Semitism correlates with Jewish self-identification, political self-identification, Israel... Read More
In murder rates. Although gun laws in NY are tough, it's still incomparably easier to get firepower in there than in London. UK laws are so hardcore that their Olympics shooting team has to practice in France. There are also almost twice as many Negroes as a share of the population in NYC (25%) versus... Read More
Georgia makes basically no sense from an HBD perspective. Georgians aren't very bright, and GDP growth has been unimpressive For all the praise heaped upon Georgia by deregulation advocates and libertarians, its institutional miracle hasn't been accompanied by an economic one; GDP per capita is only about 15% above peak Soviet levels. This is much... Read More
Via /r/europe. Is Poland even a Slavic country? The most "based" (not to mention correct) countries are Eastern Europe minus Poland, Portugal, and the Brits and Irish. Portugal is surprising. The usual explanation for why they don't have a lot of Muslims - just 0.4% of the population, which is a basically Visegrad number -... Read More
1,000 children may have been victims in Britain's biggest ever child abuse scandal I haven't even heard of this city before this. Wiki says it has 150,000 people. Anyhow, the really important thing is that British police reacted quickly and operatively to not allow a couple of right-wing chicks into the UK. I don't know... Read More
Via Cicerone, based on data from the CDC for 2016. Audacious Epigone has already written a post to which I have little to add in way of political analysis. You can compare these figures to native European TFR's here.
Are you an anti-Semite? Wonder no longer! Take the poll here: Am I an anti-Semite? The SPLC and RationalWiki both seem to think so. But there are also those who believe I am a hasbara shill, or even Jewish myself. Either way, I don't appear to be a particularly enthusiastic philo/anti-Semitic propagandist - of the... Read More
Statistics: Soviet population by ethnicity in 1989 (Kurds/Yezidis) database of vors ("thieves in law", or the lords of the underworld) Ethnic Group Vors Pop (1989) Vors/100,000 Yezidis 26 152,717 17.02 Abkhazians 9 105,308 8.55 Georgians 242 3,981,045 6.08 Talish 1 21,602 4.63 Greeks 5 358,068 1.40 Ingush 3 237,438 1.26 Balkarians 1 85,126 1.17... Read More
Emil O. W. Kirkegaard - 2018 - Is national mental sport ability a sign of intelligence? An analysis of the top players of 12 mental sports [data] Ability in mental sports is g-loaded: The games used to test Chinda Chisala's thesis: For games, we included every esport listed at with at least 1,000 top players.... Read More
Audacious Epigone: This is indeed very encouraging and surprising. The main "problem" with religious high fertility is that they are duller than average. But if reproduction trends within those groups are themselves highly eugenic, then that might cancel things out. However, some questions we need to ask before we rush off to adopt the Theocracy... Read More
Who could have expected this? Other maps of Italy:  
I don't know about that. That said, it does have several... what we might diplomatically call dubious distinctions. So far as I'm aware, it is the only country in the in the world to kick off its independence with literal white genocide - the real deal, not some half-hearted ethnic cleansing. It is now the... Read More
Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.