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 BlogAnatoly Karlin Archive

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On the previous Open Thread, spandrell asked me about my favorite Indian restaurant in London. I don't really have the means to comprehensively answer that question (though I did do that for Moscow), but I will try my best. I have an inordinate fondness for the Gujarati Rasoi stall at the Borough Market. It's the... Read More
Since the end of the Malthusian era, science-based technological growth has been the source of almost all long-term economic growth. However, we also know that it didn't accrue in all regions evenly. For instance, Charles Murray in Human Accomplishment showed that the vast majority of "eminent" figures in science and the arts hailed from Europe,... Read More
Russian citizen Oleg Tishchenko to face charges in US for buying fighter jet manuals to use in a flight simulation game DCS World after extradition from Georgia. It appears that Eagle Dynamics has kicked their employee to the dogs, claiming that Tishchenko was acting in a "purely private context and for his own personal interests."... Read More
Bernard-Henri Lévy interviews Orban and writes about it in The Atlantic. This reminds me of when Putin allowed Masha Gessen to interview him. I don't really get why they do it. First, ideologues who hate you will not think or say any better of you for your "magnanimity". Indeed, BHL claims he doesn't believe Orban... Read More
Here is the podcast: Robert Stark talks to Anatoly Karlin about Andrew Yang and The War on Normal People Robert Stark is a Yang supporter. You can check out his article "Andrew Yang and the Post-Nationalist Future" at Taki's Mag. Brandon Adamson (website) also participated, but unfortunately he was cut off due to technical problems... Read More
*** In approximately 36 hours I will departing for London to debrief with my MI6 handlers attend a certain controversial conference. You can look forwards to copious reporting on the latest in IQ research within the week. International travel is not cheap, especially as I didn't manage to convince my institution to pay for it.... Read More
Graph of air accidents in Russia 1923-2019 (via the blogger genby). Thin red line - deaths per year; Thick red line - deaths averaged over 5 years. Thin blue line - accidents per year; Thick blue line - accidents averaged over 5 yeas. Mishaps regardless, flying continues to become much safer in Russia, just like... Read More
German_reader looks askance at my theological speculations. Am I serious? Yes, actually, I am. Here are a few ways of interpretating Russian 20th century history: 1. Russians spent 70 years under the rule of a succession of traitors and saboteurs. It turns out that Trotsky and the old Bolsheviks were traitors and foreign agents (1930s),... Read More
Five years since the referenda in Donetsk and Lugansk about joining the Russian Federation. By early February 2014, numerous regional administrative offices (OGAs) had been seized by Maidan forces in Far West Ukraine, with attempts at storming them elsewhere in the West and Center. Some city and regional councils made autonomy- or even independence-sounding proclamations.... Read More
While I am not much of a religious person, there is one particular argument for His existence that I find to be rather convincing*. Those who wage war on God are unmade by God. And their descendants, too. The idea that He is humane, or fair to individuals, is a modern conceit. The Old Testament... Read More
This was a very nice livestream in which JF Gariépy gave my the chance to concisely set out my views on the intersection of Russia, the Alt Right, Russian foreign policy, and the Western media (amongst other things).
Hanania, Richard. 2015. “Does Apologizing Work? An Empirical Test of the Conventional Wisdom.” (h/t Emil) Politicians and other public figures often apologize after making controversial statements. While it is assumed that they are wise to do so, this proposition has yet to be tested empirically. There are reasons to believe that apologizing makes public figures... Read More
Personally, I have a feeling that Maduro will make it to the end of the year. PredictIt odds are hovering at 50/50. Worse than 70% a month ago, but better than the 30% they gave this January. The main development since January has been a collapse of oil production, but there is good reason to... Read More
WARNING: SPOILERS AHEAD RATING: 3/5. I largely lost interest in Game of Thrones by the end of Season 5 (the only TV series I follow through the excellent cable alternative qBittorrent). So much so that it was not until just a week ago that I realized Season 8 had already started. As I explained in... Read More
Guardian: Ukraine president offers Russians citizenship in snub to Putin I take back everything bad I ever wrote about Zelensky - not when it emerges that he is my faithful reader! I strongly approve of the Ukraine giving out passports to Russians. No oppressed Russian should be denied the opportunity to participate in Ukraine's vibrant... Read More
RT is now reporting that Putin said Russia may offer fast-track citizenship to all Ukrainians at the Belt and Road summit in Beijing. He has also reacted forcefully to critics of giving Donbass residents citizenship: So what did I tell you? This as good as confirms that PUTLER reads my blog. Back in October 2018,... Read More
The judge in question was an Obama-era minority appointee. This may have played a role in her imposing the maximum sentence of 18 months requested by the prosecution, despite the ridiculousness of the case. reiner Tor comments:
~7% Chance This Guy Will Be President Come 2020. Let's Review His Book.
Andrew Yang - THE WAR ON NORMAL PEOPLE (2018) Rating: 5/5 You can access all of my latest book, film, and video game reviews at this link, as well as an ordered, categorized list of all my book reviews and ratings here: I don't normally read the vapid hagiographies that characterize most political manifestoes. The... Read More
This translates to nine months plus the nine months already served, which is the full length of time that the prosecution asked for (probation office asked for 12 months). Here is how this stacks up against old FARA prosecutions: 18 months is very fair and proportionate. /s As I noted at that time: "Consequently, if... Read More
Putin has just signed a law on simplified citizenship for residents of the LDNR. Any person with LDNR residency documents now has the right to apply for Russian citizenship, and can expect an answer within three months. Citizenship is immediately conferred upon a positive decision. Comments: 1. Fundamentally, this is the humanitarian thing to do,... Read More
Prokudin-Gorsky. Malorossiya, c.1905-1915. In the 24 hours since the results of the second round of the Ukrainian Presidential elections became known, there has been a strange convergence of views on Ukraine's course under President-Elect Zelensky from opposite sides of the barricades. Many "svidomy" Ukrainians are in tears over their "hoodwinked" or "stupid" compatriots electing a... Read More
Big Red Scary comments: This "Easter worshipper" thing is a new literary construction created for the sole purpose of not mentioning Christianity. /r/The_Donald user comments: So weird that both of the two most prominent Dems, as well as one of their candidates, would all that Tweet that within ~3 hours of each other. Did they... Read More
Zelensky [green] vs. Poroshenko [red] via @vybory_91 Raw results here. With 99.74% of votes counted as of the time of writing, Zelensky is at 73.22% to 24.46% to Poroshenko. The sole region where Poroshenko won was in Lvov oblast. Zelensky [green] vs. Poroshenko [red] abroad via @vybory_91. Raw results here. Poroshenko's best performance: Canada, where... Read More
I looked at all the people with more than a 2% chance of becoming US President in 2020 according to PredictIt. There are some patterns here. Biden: Hasn't Tweeted since April 19. Not a credible contender, but honorary mention goes to:
The second round of the Ukrainian elections are this Sunday. * Zelensky is almost certainly going to win (PredictIt has had him at ~95% for weeks now). It looks like he is going to blow Poroshenko out, probably something like Zelensky 67% vs. Poroshenko 30%. * Unless plans change I'll be discussing the Ukrainian elections... Read More
Alexander Chalenko. There are many forms of Ukrainian identity. The svidomy believe that the Ukraine is a purely autochthonous entity, whose "Russian" achievements were stolen by Muscovy (Richard Sakwa, more politely, calls them "monists"). There are "pluralists" who believe that they share a common cultural and genetic ancestry with Russia and Belorussia in the medieval... Read More
I looked at this question in depth in 2016 (see "Trump Is Factually Right on Crimea"). TLDR: Yes, the did, and overwhelmingly so. I am not going to go over this again, since I'd mostly just be repeating the older post. Suffice to say that since 2016, nothing has changed. In a VCIOM poll this... Read More
It seems to be the one *major* country where the more intelligent - on average, and adjusting for the east/west gradient - vote for the "nationalist" candidate, Poroshenko. And just to be clear, he has for all intents and purposes captured the nationalist niche, however unlikely. His slogan: "Army, Language, Faith." Meanwhile, Zelensky talks of... Read More
This week's Open Thread. *** More notable posts since the last Open Thread in case you missed any of them. "Assange Should Have Picked the Russian Embassy." But He Did. Some Follow-Up Comments on Assange Navalny's No.2 Leonid Volkov Gloats About Assange's Arrest HBD Bloggers Are Autists Who Can't Win Any Culture and Civilization Wars... Read More
It's been a month since I predicted that Andrew Yang would be more than just a meme. I wanted to check to see if this still holds true and that does seem to be the case. 1. He is on a steady 10% chance to take the Dem nomination at PredictIt. 2. He is getting... Read More
Meanwhile Jaakko Raipala comments about political developments in Finland: *** You figured it out. The Finns party has been recovering from the party collapsing and splitting into two. They betrayed all their promises on immigration during the Merkel migrant crisis, the party rebelled against its sellout leaders and Halla-aho was chosen as the new party... Read More
Which showed a new record in Stalinophia, with positive views of the mustachioed Georgian BDSM master now approaching 70%. Here is a more interesting/original poll. 40% said they wanted the pensions they had under Stalin vs. 26% said they wanted the pensions they have under Putin. Under Stalin, only bureaucrats and urban workers enjoyed pensions... Read More
I visited it sometime in the early 2000s. Too young to remember any details, but I'm sure it was a nice place. I translated an article by Egor Kholmogorov back in 2013: Europe's Week of Human Sacrifice. (Incidentally, this was my blog's first ever Kholmogorov translation). TBH, I can't be bothered being as Christian and... Read More
My post about how it is very likely that Julian Assange sought asylum in the Russian Embassy before being refused has met some criticism, as well as outright allegations of making things up and being a Russophobe CIA troll. Consequently, I feel the need to clear up a few issues. Am I a lying homosexual... Read More
Leonid Volkov is Navalny's long-standing campaign manager. Translation: "A day of good news: Al-Bashir and Assange have overstayed their welcome, both are in need of a court, and neither deserve a drop of pity." One problem of Russian liberals from Novodvorskaya down to Navalny is that they are not so much liberals as American stooges*.... Read More
All the cool biopunk stuff seems to be happening in China these days: Chinese scientists have put human brain genes in monkeys—and yes, they may be smarter Here is the paper in question: Shi, Lei, Xin Luo, Jin Jiang, Yongchang Chen, Cirong Liu, Ting Hu, Min Li, et al. 2019. “Transgenic Rhesus Monkeys Carrying the... Read More
In another timeline, Julian Assange may have enjoyed long walks with Edward Snowden by the Patriarch Ponds in Moscow. Imagine that you are a dissident at risk of extradition to a jilted superpower, whose secrets you just spilled for the entire world to gawk at, and you happen to be caught up in the capital... Read More
Apologies for the paucity in poasting the past couple of weeks. My laptop finally gave up the ghost and had to be sent to repairs before a replacement was ready, which caused lag in IRL work, which had to be made up when I acquired a workstation again. It's also more difficult to start up... Read More
So it's pretty clear from the exit polls that Zelensky and Poroshenko are going to be the ones duking it out in the second round. It's also very likely that the next Ukrainian President is almost certainly going to be Zelensky. The former might have had a chance if there was only 5% separating Poroshenko... Read More
I have sometimes made the point that All-Russian improvements in mortality/life expectancy lag the City of Moscow (or the Baltics) by around a decade. There are some good, relevant graphics that reinforce it from a recent paper: Щур, Алексей Евгеньевич. 2019. “Города-миллионники на карте смертности России.” Демографическое обозрение 5 (4): 66–91. GRAPH: Life expectancy [male/female]... Read More
Recent paper (h/t @whyvert). Kim, Yuri, and James J. Lee. 2018. “The Genetics of Human Fertility.” Current Opinion in Psychology 27 (August): 41–45. There's basically two classes of people having more kids: Interesting to see who will win out by the time of the Age of Malthusian Industrialism. (Certainly the former would be more successful... Read More
So Russiagate 2017 ends in Muellergate 2019. As was pretty clear at the start - as people such as Glenn Greenwald, Aaron Mate, Robert Parry, and Alexander Mercouris have been writing all these years. Manafort, its most prominent casualty, had worked to draw the Ukraine in the West's orbit (hilariously, he kind of belatedly succeeded).... Read More
The latest polls, jointly conducted by KIIS (Ukraine) and Levada (Russia), show that the collapse in Ukrainian sentiment towards Russia may be turning a corner. Legend: Ukrainian attitudes towards Russia [blue]; Russian attitudes towards Ukraine [orange] For the first time since April 2014, more Ukrainians have a positive impressive of Russia than the converse. Attitudes... Read More
OK! So I finally have a PC again thanks to a scavenging friend. CPU = i5-4670k MoBo = Asus Z87-A GPU = GTX 770 620W PSU and R4 Fractal case Full upgrade is too costly (around $500 as both the DDR-3 based MoBo and CPU would need to be replaced), and frankly unneeded for another... Read More
One persistent criticism of Russia's decision to annex the Crimea/support its people's right to national self-determination [cross out as per your ideological preferences] is that it has had dubious benefits not just for Russia, but for Putin himself. This is a common take. For instance, as the 5th anniversary of Crimea's incorporation into Russia approached,... Read More
From "anti-extremism" researcher Anton Shekhovtsov who has no anti-Russian obsession whatsoever: That 74 page manifesto had one mention of Russia*. There were FOUR mentions of China, three of which were positive, and which he described as "the nation with the closest political and social values to my own." Now just to be clear China is... Read More
Well this was unexpected. But Kazakhstan's President Nazarbayev, who has effectively led the country since 1989, is stepping down and handing over power to the head of the ruling party until a replacement could be found. I wrote about him here: In short, [the secret of his success] is pragmatism over ideology. The narrow-minded nationalist... Read More
The drones from Wolf Warrior 2. To date the world's most successful (non-state) terrorists have only been getting about ~100 kills / death (or capture). The 9/11 hijackers each killed 2,996/19 = 158 people. Anders Breivik methodically killed 77 people. Brenton Tarrant got 50 while livestreaming it like a video game. Aircraft bombings can take... Read More
The Ukrainian elections are coming up in a couple of weeks, so there'll be a number of related posts in the next few days. *** More notable posts since the last Open Thread in case you missed any of them. Russia's Uber Gets Better Tracking China's Naval Power Mussolini Did Nothing Wrong The Terrorist Attack... Read More
Here is who I predicted would institute basic income back in 2017: So, those first two are basically Trump!2019 and Commissar Kamala, respectively. Yang is not quite a plutocrat, so I'm not 100% sure he'll win. And his tech background he's more East Coast than Silicon Valley. But otherwise, that's his bio to a tee.... Read More
Anatoly Karlin
About Anatoly Karlin

I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.

One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.

Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.