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Pew Research Report Suggests a Strategy for Securing GOP/GAP
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My title is an homage to Richard Perle et al’s famous 1996 paper outlining Israel’s geopolitical needs in the Middle East, which does indeed seem subsequently to have largely implemented by the U.S.) It’s telling that President Trump is under siege because of the alleged misdeeds, committed years earlier, of Paul Manafort, briefly Trump campaign chairman. Though the Main Stream Media did its best to portray Steve Bannon as President Trump’s Svengali, and though MSM enforcers palpably fear the Breitbart media mogul may run for president himself, no one is suggesting Bannon is linked to Russia.

In contrast, Manafort was the safe, Establishment choice who made his name crushing Ronald Reagan’s anti-Establishment insurgency at the 1976 Republican National Convention. During Manafort’s brief tenure as Trump campaign chairman, he tried his best to turn the Donald into a conventional Republican candidate. Nevertheless, it is Manafort who is at the center of the greatest scandal engulfing Trump’s administration.

This serves as a metaphor for the larger problem facing the Republican Party: the Establishment is not the solution, it’s the problem. A new Pew Research Center study [Political Typology Reveals Deep Fissures on the Right and Left, October 24, 2017 (PDF)] shows the Republican Party is deeply divided but held together by reflexive partisanship and dislike of Democrats. The core voters of the party and many of its officials have reconciled themselves to President Trump, and they aren’t going to break away from him. However, in order to build a winning political coalition, President Trump needs to deliver for working class voters who aren’t excited by the kind of free market fundamentalism championed by Conservatism Inc.

In short, Conservatism Inc. can no longer rally the masses needed at a time when the Left is resurgent and the parties are increasingly polarized.

The Pew study shows the country is splitting into two warring camps: the mostly-white Republicans and the significantly non-white Democrats, many of were imported after 1965. This emerging phenomenon is what VDARE.com Editor Peter Brimelow has termed “America” and “Anti-America.” Thus building a winning coalition by delivering for working class Reagan (now Trump) Democrats isn’t just a strategy for political victory, but a mission of national reclamation.

The Pew Research Center divides the Republican Party into four factions:

  • Core Conservatives
  • Country First Conservatives
  • Market Skeptic Republicans
  • New Era Enterprisers.

The categories are based on Americans’ answers to two surveys that measure their values, beliefs and partisan affiliation. Your author heroically took these surveys:

Some of what the study reveals is unsurprising. “Core conservatives” (which includes me, judging by my results) make up only 13% of the public but constitute 43% of politically-engaged Republicans. They are defined by their adherence to Republican orthodoxy about the overall fairness of the American economic system, approval of Donald Trump, and their view that blacks are largely responsible for their own socioeconomic standing.

“Country First Conservatives” are older and less educated than other conservative groups; and at 6% of the public, not quite as big as Core Conservatives.

“Market Skeptic Republicans” are suspicious of big business, believe the economy is rigged in support of powerful interests, and support raising taxes on corporations. Significantly, at 12% of the public, this group is also the second largest of the Republican coalition.

Though “Trump Republicans” are thought of as working class, populist voters, there is actually less support for President Trump by Market Skeptical Republicans than by Core Conservatives and Country First Conservatives. This might reflect their recent Democrat past.

Of course, what is most interesting to immigration patriots is various groups’ opinions on immigration.

Core Conservatives are the largest and most active part of the Republican base and the most supportive of Trump. However, only a plurality (43%-39%) believes immigrants “burden” the U.S. by taking jobs, housing, and health care. Presumably, this is the malign influence of the Wall Street Journal Editorial Page, which many of them still read.

In contrast, solid majorities of Country First Conservatives and Market Skeptic Republicans are opposed to immigration.

Still, the fact that a plurality of Core Conservatives opposes immigration is significant. Three out of the four major factions in the Republican Party have more people who believe immigrants “burden” the U.S. than strengthen it.

The only GOP faction that does support immigration: the “New Era Enterprisers,” the group that is the least white (though still majority white) and the least supportive of President Trump. This group is also the second-smallest grouping within the GOP as identified by the Pew survey.

“New Era Enterprisers” are pro-business, pro-immigration, and, according to Pew “more likely than any other typology group to say the next generation of Americans will have it better than people today.” This is the group most out-of-step with both the Republican Party and with the country.

And it’s this group which is exemplified by outgoing Senator Jeff Flake. Thus David Lautner at the Los Angeles Times identifies “New Era Enterprisers” as the group Flake most closely belongs to, a group that is “optimistic, favorable to immigration and international trade, pro-business and skeptical of government regulation” [The Republican civil war, and why Trump is winning it, October 27, 2017].

Not everyone agrees. James Hohmann at The Washington Post claims Core Conservatives are actually “Jeff Flake Republicans” because they generally support U.S. involvement in the global economy. He pays tribute to Flake because Flake worked on a ranch “that depended on the labor of undocumented immigrants, whom he came to deeply respect as human beings” [The Daily 202: The GOP civil war is bigger than Trump. A new study shows deep fissures on policy, October 26, 2017]. (Somehow, I doubt Flake “respected” them enough to pay them a decent wage, which would of course remove the reason for their existence.)

Hohmann also notes Flake was a “Mormon missionary in South Africa, which made him worldly”—though not worldly enough to notice the campaign of genocide against whites there, which even MSM journalists are finally reporting. [South Africans hold ‘Black Monday’ Protests Over White Farmer Murders, by Tom Porter, Newsweek, October 30, 2017]

But this attempt to claim that Flake represents the Republican mainstream falls flat. Hohmann appeals to authority in his weird tribute to Flake by calling him “an ideological heir to Barry Goldwater and a devotee of Milton Friedman.” Well, Barry Goldwater opposed the 1964 Civil Rights Act, quite properly, on limited government grounds, and Milton Friedman said a welfare state can’t exist with open immigration. Does Flake believe the same?

As the LA Times Lautner notes, Core Conservatives have no patience for Cultural Marxist views. As Lautner observes:

They [Core Conservatives] also have little patience for Republican officials, like Flake, who say the GOP badly needs to reach out to minorities and become less of a white-person’s party. Among the group’s defining views is the belief that discrimination against blacks and women is largely a thing of the past.

And although Core Conservatives may not be monolithically opposed to immigration, remember that a majority of them are willing to say immigrants are a burden, rather than a blessing. So even in this core constituency of the GOP, Flake is out of step.

There is an important lesson here for immigration patriots. The war has been won. The hopelessly stupid/ corrupt Beltway Right may claim to speak for conservatism, but VDARE.com is far closer to the self-defined conservative grassroots than any nonprofit head in Conservatism Inc. The grassroots “conservative movement” itself should not be abandoned to the cucks. By right, it belongs to immigration patriots.

There are serious ideological divisions within the GOP. But as almost every commentator noted, the party is holding together because opposition to the other side is sufficient to keep the party together in an era of extreme polarization [The GOP base doesn’t really love Trump. This poll shows it, by Aaron Blake, The Washington Post, October 24, 2017]. As Kevin Phillips once noted: “the whole secret of politics—knowing who hates who” [The Politics of Grievance, by Garry Wills, New York Review of Books, July 19, 1990]

What is really driving the polarization between the parties is race. As seen by the breathtakingly crude ad run by the Democrats against Ed Gillespie, stoking up fears of “white nationalism” is now key to the Democrats GOTV strategy–the “KKKrazy glue” of the Democratic coalition, as Steve Sailer has often observed.

The Latino Victory Project took it down after a pickup truck attack by a Muslim immigrant on Americans.

And as the Pew Center points out, the Democratic Party is becoming increasingly non-white. And, significantly, Democrats’ own anti-white stances are hardening.

The Main Stream Media’s championing of Black Lives Matter, and the migration from the college campus fever swamps of Left-loony concepts like “white privilege” and “intersectionality,” has had a huge impact. As Pew Research notes, in absolute terms an increasing number of people both believe discrimination is now responsible for blacks’ poor socioeconomic position and that immigration is good. However, the change in both

has come among Democrats, who increasingly take liberal positions on race and immigration… Republicans’ views have changed little in recent years [and] as a result, partisan divides have widened considerably.

[Race and discrimination, opinions about immigrants and Islam, October 24, 2017]

Thus, MSM Bigfoot Thomas Edsall worries in New York Times about how Republicans even more tribally attached to their party than Democrats and how this may lead to a far-Right future for America [The Party of Lincoln Is Now The Party of Trump, October 26, 2017]. But this is simply the European-American population rallying to the “Generic American Party,” the GAP/GOP. It is the one vehicle Americans have with which to push back in self-defense against an endless anti-white onslaught.

Needless to say, the conventional Republican Establishment has no interest in pushing back against this cultural attack, and is in many ways complicit with it. It just wants the GOP to be a corporate elitist party which delivers for the donor class, while fobbing off its middle class and social conservative supporters with rhetoric.

The exemplar of this strategy: George W. Bush’s 2004 re-election campaign, won on the strength of turning out white voters and a pledge to defend traditional marriage. Of course, the traditional marriage pledge was swiftly abandoned after the election in favor of an effort to privatize Social Security and give Amnesty to illegal immigrants.

But what will actually prevent Bush-style Republicanism from regaining control of the GOP: the new, more militant Democrats. For all the hysteria about Donald Trump, and the Strange New Respect for the likes of George W. Bush, John McCain and Mitt Romney, we can all remember how these Republican standard-bearers were smeared during their presidential runs as the second coming of Hitler. Republican primary voters remembered too, and tuned out attacks against Trump.

This Leftist hysteria surrounding race is only going to accelerate in the future. Which also means that even soft Republicans, like the “New Era Enterprisers” or the Chamber of Commerce types, are going to be under increasing pressure from Democrats who are growing ever more uninhibited in declaring their overtly Totalitarian Left priorities and who define “racism” in increasingly expansive terms.

For example, the Pew study reveals “Solid Liberals” are close to half of the Democratic coalition and have almost monolithic (over 97 percent on every issue!) disapproval of President Trump, demand for universal healthcare, and for more “changes” to “give blacks equal rights with whites.”

What “rights” do whites enjoy that blacks don’t in contemporary America? Never mind. Just asking the question is probably racist.

But against this formidable force, Donald Trump isn’t doing very much. Editor Peter Brimelow once humorously summarized John Kasich’s “conservative” philosophy as “blah, blah, blah, balanced budgets, tax cuts, jobs.” But this is in effect what President Trump is trying to do now. He’s desperately trying to get the nation to stop paying attention to the Russia investigation by offering tax cuts. It won’t work. And President Trump needs to give his crossover voters a reason to fight for him.

Donald Trump has remarkable political instincts. He notably sought out Rick Santorum’s Blue Collar Conservatives before the election and followed much of the strategy better than Santorum himself did.

But Social Liberals aren’t going to be appeased by getting a few more bucks back from the government in April. And “low taxes” isn’t what’s holding the Republican Party together any more than the booming economy is giving President Trump high approval ratings.

President Trump needs to give his people, even those who believe capitalism isn’t working for them, a reason to go to war with the Left. As the Pew data shows, even those Republicans who don’t want to be drafted will follow him, in the end. They have nowhere else to go.

The Republican Party is, implicitly, White America—which is to say, the Historic American Nation itself. Donald Trump, amazingly, has emerged as its leader. Only those who consider themselves members of that group are going to fight for him at this time of crisis.

And, after all, the war between America and Anti-America is already here.

It’s just that right now, only one side is fighting. And it’s not us.

James Kirkpatrick [Email him] is a Beltway veteran and a refugee from Conservatism Inc.

(Republished from VDare by permission of author or representative)
 
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  1. That was a superb, detailed, and uplifting article, Mr. Kirkpatrick. The only think I’ll add is that the leader of the Historic American Nation does NOT have to be Donald Trump if he’s not going to be up to the job.

    Another “grey champion” may emerge.

  2. FKA Max says: • Website

    This is the GOP’s and Trump’s Achilles heel:

    In the continuing culture war, if your enemy wishes to thin their own ranks, do not save them. Otherwise they will return in greater number and take from you much more than the legalization of abortion. http://www.unz.com/article/charlottesville-and-the-new-york-times/#comment-1986967

    Trump needs to side with the Moderate/Liberal Republicans on Planned Parenthood funding, and not try to pander to the (socially) Conservative Republicans. (socially) Conservative Republicans will vote for him even if he funds Planned Parenthood, etc., due to the political/racial polarization in the country. But by indulging (socially) Conservative Republicans on Planned Parenthood funding, etc. Trump will likely alienate Liberal/Moderate Republicans and Reagan/Trump Democrats, who might decide not to give him their vote again, if he becomes and acts too “theocratic”.

    Source: http://www.people-press.org/2015/10/02/contrasting-partisan-perspectives-on-campaign-2016/10-2-2015_reps/

    Source: http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/01/26/5-facts-about-abortion/

    I think Trump, sometimes, is still in Republican primaries campaigning mode, where he and when he needed to appeal and pander to (socially) Conservative Republicans in order to win, but he has won and he is POTUS now, and therefore he needs to stop doing that and get out of that mindset, in my opinion, because it is counterproductive and hurting his popularity. He needs to be a compassionate, common sense Republican like Nelson Rockefeller if he wants to be a two-term president, and funding and supporting Planned Parenthood is a big part of being and achieving that.

    A politician who self-described as having a “Democrat heart with a Republican head,” Nelson Rockefeller would be something of a political anomaly today.https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/rockefeller

    He was doing a pretty good balancing act on this issue in the following interview. If he can bring back that “Planned Parenthood does some very good work” talking point, I believe, it can really win him back a lot of the support that he has lost over the last several months, due to him giving into the demands of the Mike Pence — social conservative, pro-big donor — wing of the party.

    Donald Trump: ‘Planned Parenthood Does Some Very Good Work’ [VIDEO]

    Published on Feb 21, 2016
    Donald Trump says, “Planned Parenthood does some very good work but I would defund [it] as long as they’re doing abortions.” Sunday on NBC’s “Meet the Press” with Chuck Todd, Trump said, “Planned Parenthood does a lot, a really good job in a lot of different areas but not on abortion.” “You defended the other work Planned Parenthood does and now you said.” Todd began. Interjecting, Trump said, “That’s right. I do.”

    • Replies: @FKA Max
  3. FKA Max says: • Website
    @FKA Max

    This makes the Rovian strategy of selling out whites in favor of Hispandering heavily appear even dumber than Steve Sailer has shown it to be.

    This is another interesting blog post on this topic, and a major “white pill”:

    White (electoral) power

    Looking at the Voting and Registration Supplement to the Census current population survey for the 2016 election, I expected to find that part of the low turnout rates among Asians and Hispanics relative to whites and blacks could be accounted for by differing age profiles. Older people vote more than younger ones do, and the new settlers are younger than Old America is. Ergo, after a couple decades of boomers dying off, the yellow and brown electoral shares would shoot up as their median ages caught up.

    The data gave me a good stiff arm. The electoral [idleness] is remarkably consistent across age ranges, with eligible Asians and Hispanics voting at just 75% of the rate eligible whites do (blacks vote at 90% of the white rate).

    The following graph shows the racial distribution of votes cast in the 2016 US presidential election, by age:

    http://anepigone.blogspot.com/2017/10/white-electoral-power.html



    Whites are electoral kangz. We are positioned to remain so well into the future. Appeal to and then deliver on ourselves and our posterity and enjoy permanent ruling majority status. It’s not easy, but it is fairly simple.

    Looking at the following data, it will be even more important for the GOP and Trump to abandon the theocratic, anti-Planned Parenthood/anti-abortion rhetoric and policies. As the above survey shows, 60% of Independents say that abortion should be legal in all or most cases. In order to win over Independents (who are America’s biggest political “party”/voting bloc, and many of whom are white), becoming/being pro-Planned Parenthood/pro-choice is the way to go for the GOP. If the GOP continues to let itself be held hostage by religious fanatics and orthodoxy, it won’t have a political future:

    The biggest change in partisan affiliation in recent years is the growing share of Americans who decline to affiliate with either party: 39% call themselves independents, 32% identify as Democrats and 23% as Republicans, based on aggregated data from 2014.
    […]
    Whites are far more likely than blacks to describe themselves as independents (40% vs. 26%) or Republicans (30% vs. 5%).

    http://www.people-press.org/2015/04/07/a-deep-dive-into-party-affiliation/

    Party Affiliation 1992-2014

    Tomi Lahren is a good example of what a successful, more Alt Right-ish future GOP could and should look like:

    Why Tomi Lahren is Right on Abortion

    Fox News was smart enough to hire her as a new contributor:

    Tomi Lahren: New generation is fighting for segregation

    • Replies: @FKA Max
  4. FKA Max says: • Website
    @FKA Max

    Donald Trump has remarkable political instincts. He notably sought out Rick Santorum’s Blue Collar Conservatives before the election and followed much of the strategy better than Santorum himself did.

    I just found out that Rick Santourm seems to have close ties to Opus Dei and Regnum Christi:

    The Santorums’ beliefs are reflected in a succession of lifestyle decisions, including eschewing birth control, home schooling their younger children and sending the older boys to a private academy affiliated with Opus Dei, an influential Catholic movement that emphasizes spiritual holiness.
    […]
    Mr. Santorum made another trip to Rome in 2002, this time to speak at a centenary celebration of the birth of Saint Josemaría Escrivá, the founder of Opus Dei. In a little-noticed interview there with The National Catholic Reporter, he said John F. Kennedy had caused “much harm to America” with his 1960 speech calling for strict separation of church and state.
    […]
    Mr. Santorum has been a supporter of Regnum Christi, the lay wing of a conservative, cultish order of priests known as the Legion of Christ. In 2003, he was the keynote speaker at a Regnum Christi event in Chicago that drew protesters because the group’s charismatic founder, who had spent years denying that he had sexually abused seminarians, was scheduled to share the podium.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/04/us/politics/from-nominal-catholic-to-clarion-of-faith.html

    And Ed Gillespie just lost the gubernatorial race in Virginia. He wanted to defund Planned Parenthood if elected https://www.bustle.com/p/ed-gillespie-would-defund-planned-parenthood-in-virginia-74391

    Planned Parenthood targets Gillespie over women’s issues

    In the final debate, Northam asked Gillespie, the former Republican National Committee chair, about his stance on long-acting reversible contraceptives. Gillespie said while he doesn’t support abortion, he is “not opposed to contraceptives.” Earlier this year, Gillespie said he’d like to see abortion be banned with the exceptions of rape, incest or when a mother’s life is at risk.http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/358593-planned-parenthood-targets-gillespie-over-womens-issues


    Get the Facts: Gillespie on Abortion and Planned Parenthood

    You think Ed Gillespie believes women should make their own reproductive choices? Try again.

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