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In the state of the union address, president Trump rejected calls for the US to adopt socialism (never mind all the socialism that had been proposed and celebrated during the preceding hour!). The term "socialism" is one he had, up to that point, studiously avoided using since commending his campaign in the summer of 2015.... Read More
Over the last several decades, educational creep has predictably led to a decrease in the average intelligence of college graduates. Yet even after controlling for intelligence, higher educational attainment is associated with higher earnings. The following graph shows mean annual earnings by highest degree attained among five tiers of intelligence as measured by Wordsum. To... Read More
A few more observations from the 2018 midterms: - We hear a lot about the educational divide. Democrats are increasingly winning the college-educated while Republicans are increasingly winning those without college degrees. That's descriptive when it comes to whites (including Jews). It's not so with non-whites, though: - While higher educational attainment is inversely correlated... Read More
From Anatoly's open thread round up: When Anatoly says "jump!", I ask "how high?". The following graph shows percentages of white respondents who favor allowing "racists" to speak in public, by the decade they participated in the survey and by their age at the time of participation (N = 3,378): Among whites, too, young college-educated... Read More
  These are not unreasonable objections based on what was presented in the previous post. If the general tendency was for people to become more supportive of free speech as they aged, in fact, it could even be misleading. That, however, is not the case, as is illustrated below. People tend to become more conservative... Read More
Some interesting observations from a SurveyUSA poll on Californians (N = 909): - Trump's approval rating in California is 30% approve, 60% disapprove. That compares unfavorably to his putative national approval rating of 37% approve, 58% disapprove. Trump's approval is only 9 points worse in a state he lost by 29 points than it is... Read More
- Gab Fam man BooksmartBaller wondered about differences in region (presumably among whites) with regards to how they feel about blacks. In 2002, the GSS asked respondents how "warm" or "cool" they felt towards multiple groups, including blacks. The higher the score, the cooler (ie less trusting of and more hostile towards) a region's whites... Read More
Dan echoes a question brought up by others with regards to the GSS showing a strong correlation between high IQ and support for free speech: My suspicion is that the students who are making the biggest ruckus are not the sharpest ones on campus. The administrators are intimidated. The professors leading the charge are doofuses... Read More
Following are excerpts from a letter entitled "A new accountability: We can, and will, be better" sent out to all students and faculty at the University of Kansas. Yes, it was sent out to all students, some of who forwarded it to me. KU's current enrollment is 28,447. For readers whose last contact with academia... Read More
The year 2016 was one of cultural upheaval, the full significance of which will become fully apparent only with the passing of time. Since the late seventies, the GSS has regularly asked about the reasons for black underachievement in "jobs, income, and housing" (correctly assessing it to be a relevant question to be put included... Read More
A theme revisited frequently here over the years is that the mildly 'dysgenic' trend occurring in the US is more strongly tied to educational attainment than to intelligence directly. TFR isn't the whole story. When the ball gets rolling matters, too. The shorter the time between generations, the more descendants the initial progenitor will have... Read More
The following table shows the mean Wordsum score by demographics and by highest completed degree (n = 21,502): Education will never 'close the gap' because the width of said gap is pretty consistent across differing levels of educational attainment. We see, for example, that whites have about a full point advantage on blacks at every... Read More
From Reuters-Ipsos, a poll on the following: The subsequent graph shows, by selected demographics, the percentages who agree. "Neither agree nor disagree" responses, which 17.6% of those sampled answered with, are excluded (n = 4,670): Notice the y-axis begins at 50%. That's because even among gays, the group expressing the least concern about political correctness,... Read More
In a characteristically perspicacious Taki's Magazine article, Steve Sailer writes: A couple of clarifying comments I should've fleshed out more fully in previous posts: - For the cohort having attended college in the 2010s, 100.0 may be more than 2 points above the population mean. The total sample is based on an assumption of a... Read More
The previous post on the apparent decline in the average IQ of college graduates in the US over the last fifty years used the GSS' 10-question Wordsum vocabulary test as a basis for those IQ estimates. As was pointed out, vocabulary tends to increase with age (through the late fifties before peaking and then beginning... Read More
The mean IQ scores, converted from GSS wordsum results, assuming a national average of 98 and a standard deviation of 15, of those who attended college for at least four years by the decade they graduated in* (n = 5,124, though n for 2010s is only 49 and should be seen as merely suggestive--the trend... Read More
Affirmative action in education benefits wealthy black and Hispanics at the expense of poor whites and Asians. I've had a few conversations about the subject recently where that didn't seem to be intuitive to the people I was talking with so it's worth stating explicitly here even though it's hardly a novel observation on my... Read More
The poll has come under criticism for oversampling Democrats and undersampling Republicans and independents. That suggests Trump will outperform Reuters-Ipsos' expectations. In response to a reader's inquiry, I looked at the respondent polls from August 1st through September 23rd to see about the educational distribution. The poll has drawn 53% of its responses from those... Read More
Pumpkin Person writes:His post on the relationship between IQ and education made me wonder if the GSS might shed some light on the presumption he makes. Restricting respondents to those born in the US and aged 25-39 at the time of their participation in the survey, the correlation between mean years of education and mean... Read More
Reuters-Ipsos conducted month-long poll asking respondents to choose one label from a list of twelve that most accurately described how they identified themselves. The breakdown, nationally (n = 9,124): Label %Total Democrat 25.4 Conservative 22.5 Republican 16.7 Liberal 11.2 Environmentalist 6.5 Feminist 5.0 Libertarian 4.3 Socialist 3.7 Nationalist 2.1 Anarchist 1.1 Populist 0.9 Communist 0.5... Read More
From an op-ed in the NYT comes this line: Coordinated attacks that killed at least 129 people and injured far more as they engaged in regular social activities qualifies as "the slightest trigger". Chill out, people, no big deal! A couple of student body members being bullied into stepping down because they refused to stand... Read More
The following table shows immigration enthusiasm quotients for several different subgroups of respondents in the 2014 iteration of the GSS. The quotient is derived by subtracting the percentages who would like to see the number of immigrants in the US reduced from the percentages who would like to see it increased, with those wanting it... Read More
Here are some data relevant to Steve Sailer's recent post entitled "NYT: Something Must be Done About All the Nice White Lady Teachers", where the paper singles out in turn Boston and New York City for having disproportionate shares of white teachers given the non-whiteness of their student bodies. Subject yourself to as much of... Read More
The following table shows estimated average IQ among 8th graders taking the NAEP math and reading assessments in 2013 by the type of community where the school is located, broken out into four categories: City, suburb, town, and rural. The scores for both tests are on a 500 point scale, with a standard deviation of... Read More
Steve Sailer wants a measure of average college admissions scores by state, similar to what NAEP provides but with the benefit of the test takers having some extrinsic motivation to perform well. The existing duopoly in the testing market currently precludes easy apples-to-apples comparisons from being made across states. Once achieved, standardized college admissions scores... Read More
IQ estimates converted from 8th grade 2013 NAEP math and reading assessments by eligibility for the national school lunch program, a federally assisted meal program that provides "low-cost or free lunches to school children" from low-income households follow. The scores for both tests are on a 500 point scale, with a standard deviation of 37... Read More
When the nebulous and obfuscating phrase "bad schools" is employed by Cathedral votaries, the idea that students are anything other than the outputs of their external environments is taken for granted. There are lots of rotating factors that are identified as influencing student academic performance, but the quality and composition of the students is rarely,... Read More
While I have a fairly clear mental map of the geography of white intelligence, socio-political, and cultural distributions in the US, I tend to think of black populations--at least concentrated black populations--as, well, black populations. If you've listened to one local hip hop station, you've listened to them all. Steve Sailer periodically snaps me out... Read More
One of the most salient statistics regarding education is the tendency for poor white teenagers to perform as well as rich black teenagers do on college entrance exams. When sharing as much with educational romanticists, I'll often get the response that it isn't money that determines whether or not an environment is intellectually stimulating, it's... Read More
Similar methodology to what was employed previously, with an important exception. Instead of equally weighting math and reading scores, I relied entirely on the former. The math and reading scores of whites by state correlate at a comfortable .90 (p-value = 1.36E-19), but among Hispanics math and reading scores correlate at a less robust .62... Read More
IQ estimates similarly arrived at through the utilization of 2013 NAEP results in math and reading among black 8th graders follow. The scores for both tests are on a 500 point scale, with a presumed standard deviation of 40. In the proceeding table, these are converted into IQ estimates with a mean of 98--corresponding to... Read More
Steve Sailer's highlighting of 2013 white IQ estimates by state led to my receiving a few useful tips on how to improve the quality of the conversions. The estimates subsequently provided and the estimates provided in the original post correlate at a almost perfect .994, so the adjustments are very marginal, but, to the extent... Read More
IQ estimates similarly arrived at through the utilization of 2013 NAEP results in math and reading among white 8th graders follow. The scores for both tests are on a 500 point scale, with a designed standard deviation of 50. In the proceeding table, these are converted into IQ estimates with a mean of 97.4--corresponding to... Read More
Like presidential elections, it has become standard for updated state IQ estimates based on NAEP scores for 8th graders on math and reading tests to be offered here every four years (for estimates based on 2005 and 2009 NAEP results, please click on the corresponding links). The scores for both tests are on a 500... Read More
A few months ago, Jayman put up a post entitled Idiocracy Can Wait?. He found what I'd found, and with a lot more evidence marshaled in the affirmative than I had assembled. Namely, past performance does not necessarily predict future results. We reactionary curmudgeons often presume that things are deteriorating. The rot in our popular... Read More
Heartiste does a little shadowboxing in the cognitive stratification ring: As he correctly asserts, it's likely not as dire a situation as many on the dissident right who haven't looked at the relevant data assume. Rather than accentuating the putative dysgenic problem, as he insinuates the GSS does, though, survey data actually attenuate it. The... Read More
Steve Sailer, touching on the tendency for presidential elections to bring out marginal voters who don't participate in mid-term elections: That seems a plausible working assumption, though trying to quantify the electoral differences between mid-term and presidential election cycles has revealed it to be less obvious than I would have assumed it would be. Taking... Read More
Pew Research recently published a post entitled "More Hispanics, blacks enrolling in college, but lag in bachelor’s degrees". The titular description says it all. Educational romanticism, and the consequent student loan 'crisis' it has fostered, hurts NAMs--especially blacks--more than it hurts ice people. Among those who are not of collegiate material but who chase college... Read More
++Addition++Henry Harpending reminds us that there weren't many changes in educational affinities from 1940 through 2000. Presumably, steady state continues to be the story into the early 21st century. --- A recent Pew Research report contained the following graph: At first blush it might appear as though, contra Charles Murray, assortative mating is actually declining,... Read More
A few leftover observations from the 2012 PISA results that I haven't seen widely remarked upon elsewhere follow. - Excluding DC's affluent white minority, according to NAEP testing results, Massachusetts boasts the most intelligent kids in the United States. That holds among states' entire public student body and also for states' non-Hispanic white student populations.... Read More
Previously, this provincial took a look at the relationship between scholastic performance and student body racial composition for the two most populous counties on the Kansas side of the KCMO metro area. Let's do the same but this time at the national level, replacing individual schools with states and using data from the National Assessment... Read More
Don't look now, but there are more than a couple cracks in one of the Cathedral's foundational pillars, and some of them have progressed well beyond the hair line stage:The test is administered on a 1600-point scale, a la the old SAT scoring system, because the public is familiar with it. Parenthetically, and purely speculatively,... Read More
++Addition++Thanks to Jokah's astuteness, I've included graphical representations of two data points that I hadn't previously specified (though I did use them in the regression calculations). Additionally, I confused the axes and inadvertently left out Turner high school in the initial post. The former was an easy cosmetic fix (but nonetheless the fix to a... Read More
In summarizing a post on college bank rollers, Steve writes:To investigate this assertion rigorously would require something akin to Fortune's survey of the XXX wealthiest whatevers. The groups in question are too numerically small to be represented with any meaningful reliability in most wide-ranging, general surveys. Sometimes these surveys employ precision modules targeting niche respondent... Read More
Steve highlighted a NYT article on the increasing acceptance of illegal immigration in the state of California over the last couple of decades. That acceptance was coerced of course, as Californians peaceably tried, through the democratic process, to halt the transformation of their state by supporting proposition 187 in 1994 only to have it subsequently... Read More
Half Sigma's post describing teaching as the quintessential middle class occupation naturally made me wonder what, precisely, the most middling profession is. HS writes: It's important to make a distinction between the phrase "middle class" and the middle of the class continuum. There are four major classifications of social class in the contemporary US--upper class,... Read More
Jayman has an interesting post showing that the positive correlation between fertility and political conservatism has existed in the US for nearly a century. Rifting off of this (okay, okay, copying it!), presented below are similar graphs tracing the relationship between fertility* and a couple of other angles I'm interested in--intelligence and educational attainment. To... Read More
++Addition++Heartiste speculates that differences in the joy children bring people correlates inversely with intelligence, especially among men. On the one hand, there's not much in the way of a relationship between intelligence and fecundity among men, with the pronounced dysgenic trend happening primarily on the female side. Yet my own personal experience is similar to... Read More
Reading some of Inductivist's work on fertility and political orientation among wealthy white women, I was struck by the following: I previously did my best to portray the strong, inverse relationship between educational attainment and fecundity in the US. The correlation is indisputable, but that, of course, does not necessarily inform us about causation. The... Read More
In a forthcoming post, I look separately at the influences of IQ and educational attainment on fertility. I wanted to do something similar with political orientation, so here it is. The following tables show political orientation percentage distributions by educational attainment after roughly controlling for IQ. Respondents are broken up into five categories, each displayed... Read More