The GSS surveyed 95 people who voted for Obama in 2012 and for Trump in 2016. The sample is obviously suboptimally small. Still, the demographic characteristics of this contingent of people whose modest size will have a disproportionately large impact on the annals of The Decline and Fall of the American Empire that the Sinitic historians of the future will write is worth taking a look at. The following table compares them to the broader 2016 electorate that also voted in 2012 as recorded in the 2018 iteration of the survey:
|Characteristic||BO to DT||Electorate|
|Mean age||55 yo||52 yo|
Disproportionately older working-class married white men in labor unions who lack strong political party or religious affiliations–in other words, exactly what we expected.
GSS variables used: PRES12, PRES16, AGE, RACECEN1(1), HISPANIC(1), PARTYID(2-4,7), UNION, CLASS(2), ATTEND(7-8), SEX, DEGREE(3-4), MARITAL(1)