Intentioned or instinctive, this is tactically brilliant:
Sensing the corporate media’s attempt to anoint Elizabeth Warren, Trump is ensuring Biden’s black support rallies around Obama’s right-hand man. As VP, Biden was no George HW Bush to Ronald Reagan. By all accounts, he was a steadfast lackey. Blacks largely support Biden for precisely that reason.
Tangentially, boy did I misread who the 2020 black candidate was going to be. From the latest Fox News poll, net favorability (favorable – unfavorable) among black voters of the Democrat candidates the survey inquired about:
Pivoting again, the share of top candidates’ supporters who say they are not paying a lot of attention to the campaign:
Sanders — 69%
Harris — 67%
Yang — 67%
Biden — 42%
Warren — 42%
Buttigieg — 38%
From the candidates’ perspectives, high percentages are a good thing. They serve as a good proxy for who has already made their minds up on who they’ll be voting for.
Harris and Yang have modest support bases, but Sanders’ is large. That more than two-thirds of them are not paying close attention to the campaign is an indication of their electoral loyalty. They will be donating to and voting for him in primaries and caucuses through the end of the nominating process.
If Warren solidifies her position as the corporate media’s preferred candidate, Biden is able to hold onto his black support, and Sanders is able to reliably pull in ~20% in state after state, there’s a real possibility of a contested convention.