If it seems like the subject is being overdone here, it’s because I think it reveals a lot about the dynamics of the Democrat electoral coalition that the corporate media doesn’t want anyone talking or thinking about.
Here are the latest Democrat primary results out of South Carolina:
A majority of the state’s Democrat primary voters are black. It was on the South Carolinian shoals that Sanders’ ship was holed below the waterline in 2016. Will Elizabeth Warren be able to successfully navigate what Sanders could not?
The poll was conducted post-UkraineGate. It doesn’t look like Big Man Biden’s alleged corrupt nepotism damaged his reputation among blacks.
On the other hand, Warren may win handily enough in Iowa and New Hampshire that she is able to pull off a minor upset in Nevada and cause Biden’s black support to crack before South Carolina, the fourth state nominating contest.
If Biden is able to win big in South Carolina, it will set up a demographically fascinating Super Tuesday. Given a South Carolina victory, Biden will certainly win Alabama, probably win Arkansas, North Carolina and Tennessee, and have a real shot in Virginia. Warren will win Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Utah, and–depending on how shambled Sanders is by then–possibly Vermont. The huge prizes of California and Texas will be up in the air.
Will the corporate media be able to avoid the blatantly obvious racial angle at that point? They largely did so in 2016 because they could. Hillary Clinton was the neo-liberal anointed one, Sanders the quixotic loser.
If the above plays out in 2020, however, Biden won’t enjoy the same corporate media edge over Warren that Clinton did over Sanders. The corporate media likes Biden less than they like Clinton and tolerate Warren more than they tolerated Sanders.
If by early March, Biden has electorally earned the position of neo-liberal black candidate and Warren the position of socialist white candidate, will Obama continue to hold his tongue?