One oft-ignored aspect on the abortion front of the culture war is how the culturally dominant pro-choice position is driven primarily by white leftists. The sentiments of black and Hispanic Democrats are closer to those of white independents and even white Republicans (29.3% support, combined with independents in the graph below) than they are to white Democrats even while it is often asserted by those white leftists that poor non-whites will suffer the most from restrictions on abortion. It’s almost as though those white Democrats don’t want the kind of people living in Alabama who would have to come to another state to get an abortion coming to that other state, especially if that other state is the state they live in:
Abortion is an issue that, after surveying all the other contours of the two-dimensional American political spectrum, a space alien would expect to be opposed by the leftists and supported by conservatives. The former tend to favor a perpetual increase in the number of beings entitled to the protections insinuated by an elementary understanding of the concept of human rights. Scientific advances have made more pregnancies viable, at an earlier point in those pregnancies, than ever before. A child conceived through rape or incest is still a child, one whose disadvantages begin at negative nine months of age and so one who the space alien would presume to be entitled to special protections above and beyond those accorded to others.
Having articulated as much, it should come as little surprise that I expect the right to gain ground on the issue in the future. The embrace of abortion is a holdover from the progressivism of a century ago–the progressivism that, abortion excepted, horrifies today’s progressives even more than it does today’s conservatives. It is out of step with the contemporary moral paradigm propelling the marginalized, people of color ascendancy.
For the white left to embrace things like embryo selection and eventually fetal genetic engineering while simultaneously trying to maintain that it is systemic oppression rather than genetics that explains disparities in life outcomes will be, to put it mildly, tricky.
Parenthetically, it is funny that despite the vitriol directed towards white men in Alabama, white men are modestly more pro-choice (45.7%) than white women (44.0%), Hispanic men (36.4%), Hispanic women (31.1%), black men (40.6%), and black women (41.8%) are.
GSS variables used: ABANY, RACECEN1(1)(2)(4-10), HISPANIC(1)(2-50), SEX, YEAR(2000-2018), PARTYID(0-1)(2-7)