The Unz Review: An Alternative Media Selection
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The GSS scale does not include descriptors like progressive or socialist, so liberal is as woke as the survey gets (for now):

Note the y-axis starts at 25 and ends at 75. I have an aesthetic preference for focusing on where the action is, deal with it!

Nearly 3-in-4 white Democrats now self-describe as liberal. The trend since 2014 has been an unbroken ascent towards full wokeness. Non-whites are tentatively following along but they are not keeping pace. The liberalism gap between white and non-white Democrats was the widest ever recorded in 2018, the most recent iteration of the survey to date. It is now six times as wide as it was in 2002, after 9/11 pushed self-described liberalism to a local minimum.

The oughts are a foreign country, we did things differently there.

GSS variables: PARTYID(0-1), POLVIEWS(1-3)(4-7), RACECEN1(1)(2-16), HISPANIC(1), YEAR

 
• Category: Ideology • Tags: GSS, Politics, The Great Awokening 
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Though the GSS has asked about the desired legality of abortion since the survey’s inception, it explicitly asked about the perceived morality of the practice for the first time in 2018. The following graph shows the two-way distribution–morally opposed or not–of responses across a host of demographic characteristics:

“It depends” responses are excluded. This likely has the effect of making overall moral sentiment appear more pro-choice than it actually is, since a lot of these respondents presumably have in mind moral exceptions for rarities such as rape and incest but who generally otherwise find it morally objectionable.

Overall, 51.6% of respondents express moral opposition while 48.4% do not.

One aspect of the abortion debate that is virtually never mentioned by the corporate media because of how obviously problematic it is for the preferred narrative is that men are modestly more pro-choice than women.

Among white Democrats, abortion is overwhelmingly viewed as a mere medical procedure. Non-white Democrats, in contrast are split evenly on the question. If a vociferous POC pro-life caucus ever emerges on the left, will pussyhat-wearing Beckies yield to their more intersectional cohorts?

Having children, being Republican, and believing in God are all strong predictors of moral opposition to abortion.

GSS variables used: RACECEN1(1)(2)(4-10), HISPANIC(1)(2-50), SEX, ABMORAL(1-2), GOD(1)(2)(3-5)(6), PARTYID(0-1)(2-4,7)(5-6), CHILDS(0)(1)(2-8), SEXORNT(1-2)(3), WORDSUM(0-4)(5-7)(8-10), BORN(1)

 
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Suggested search completions:

From Trends, results for the top four most queried “it’s okay to be X” phrases suggested by Google, and results for one problematic iteration not included among the ten autofill suggestions:

Even though the assertion that being white is “okay”–when it’s obviously genocidal, exploitative, misogynistic, homophobic, Islamophobic, anti-Semitic, bigoted, racist, transphobic, hateful, supremacist, colonialist, murderous, rapacious, nefarious, and emphatically not okay–generates twice as much search volume as the most queried about phrase helpfully suggested by Google does, we can take some comfort in the fact that the company has affirmatively taken steps to frustrate the troubling organic interest in the evil idea that whites are not inherently evil.

These actions do not go nearly far enough, however. Accounts searching for the phrase should be immediately deleted, the incoming IP addresses blocked, a warning message automatically dispatched to all of the searcher’s contacts–detected by way of other personal information the company has collected–that the searcher is likely a dangerous extremist who should be avoided, and the various US intelligence agencies alerted to the threat of the potential domestic terrorist using the company’s services.

 
• Category: Culture/Society • Tags: Parody 
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Just as the Latinization of the US does not bode well for Jews, an increasingly non-white America does not bode well for things putatively most concerning to white leftists:

The Green trend is even more pronounced on the other side of the Atlantic. The migration crisis is even more pronounced there, too.

Do Green voters in Britain and Germany really think young soldiers of fortune coming from Africa and the Middle East into cultures alien to them to carve out existences for themselves give a moment’s thought to climate modeling predictions for what the weather will be like in the year 2080?

Is it merely a socially laudable way to virtue-signal in favor of globalism–climate change is a global ‘problem’, after all.

Or is it an indication of increasing existential uncertainty, manifesting itself in a way that is more comfortable for those on the left just as more strident nationalism and populism is a manifestation of the same increasing existential uncertainty among those on the right?

Parenthetically, the collapse in stated material concerns among white Democrats over a generation is staggering. The hard-hat blue-collar concerns that defined Democrats a generation ago is perceived today as embarrassingly declasse, maybe even racist. It’s all culture now.

 
• Category: Ideology, Science • Tags: Environment, Polling 
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As has been stated here several times over the years, abortion may become a winning ‘hot-button’ social issue for Republicans. Scientific and technological progress doesn’t bode well for the pro-choice position, especially the harm dimension of morality. It is a dimension leftists put greater emphasis on than others do.

New media is exposing another vulnerability for the pro-choice position. It’s difficult to portray abortion as a mere clinical procedure when videos like these find their way out [edit: EldnahYm points out these are likely rubber dolls used in medical training–we are most vulnerable when we don’t know what we don’t know, so I am glad to be now be aware of the existence of such fetal dolls!]:

Again, the stench of sulfur is coming through my computer screen. If the video ended with a few lab coats turning into pillars of salt maybe that would dispel the smell.

Democrat frontrunner Joe Biden seems to grasp as much.

How can I get away with prognosticating given how poor the prospects for my Kamala Harris prediction appear to be? Audacity, of course!

In my defense, the prediction was made long before Jussie Smollett became a household name. The top three searches related to “kamala harris” give some indication of how little good that hate hoax did her:

Being part Indian, she is surely able to appreciate a little karma!

Despite floundering in the first few months, she’s not out of the running yet. Her path to the nomination remains turning in respectable top five finishes in both Iowa and New Hampshire and then winning South Carolina.

From Trends, a map showing which of the top five candidates in terms of search volume have enjoyed a plurality of searches by state since the beginning of 2019 through today:

Beto O’Rourke and Pete Buttigieg are manufactured candidates, preferred by the Establishment on account of being sufficiently woke without scaring the rubes in flyover country too much. But there isn’t grassroots interest in either of them.

No potential candidate inspires progressives less than Biden does. Bernie Sanders will likely remain a respectable second placer through primary season because although he has a ceiling well under 50% in every state, his base is the most loyal among the field, but it’s hard to see how he actually wins the nomination.

Tulsi Gabbard and Andrew Yang distinguish themselves from the rest of the field by having demonstrated the ability to offer independent thoughts and discuss novel ideas. Maybe one of them will catch a little fire in the early debates.

When it comes to diversity and intersectionality, Harris currently leads the pack, but that’s only because in the land of the blind the one-eyed woman is queen. The field is ripe for a fully fledged POC like Stacey Abrams or Oprah Winfrey to jump in and immediately shoot to the top of the polls. It’s worth noting that at this point in the 2016 presidential campaign, Donald Trump had not yet even announced his candidacy.

 
• Category: Culture/Society, Ideology • Tags: Election 2020, Morality 
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Per SFG’s request, the subsequent graph compares self-reported happiness among single men without children to married men with children. The happiness gap is even wider among men than it is among women on these dimensions:

Additionally, the percentage of single men without children who report experiencing poor mental health (defined as “stress, depression, and problems with emotions”) in the last month is 43%. For married fathers, it the figure is 34%.

The usual admonitions about correlation not (necessarily) being causation apply, of course. But anti-natalism propaganda pieces like this must not be allowed to go unchallenged.

GSS variables used: SEX(1), HAPPY, MNTLHLTH(0)(1-30), MARITAL(1)(5), CHILDS(0)(1-8), YEAR(2000-2018)

 
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The following graph and table show the number of The New York Times articles over the last decade mentioning a country at least once per 100,000 people residing in said country. Countries with fewer than one million inhabitants are excluded:

Country As/100kppl
1) Israel 289.5
2) Ireland 215.7
3) Hong Kong 196.8
4) Qatar 185.0
5) Bahrain 142.3
6) Jamaica [edit: false positive?] 138.4
7) New Zealand 134.2
8) Cyprus 133.1
9) Guatemala 132.6
10) Puerto Rico 131.0
11) Switzerland 125.4
12) West Bank/Gaza 124.0
13) Singapore 120.0
14) Libya 119.3
15) Greece 112.4
16) Syria 105.5
17) Lebanon 105.2
18) Norway 96.4
19) Estonia 95.2
20) Australia 82.0
21) Denmark 79.5
22) Sweden 78.0
23) Panama 73.8
24) Cuba 66.4
25) Afghanistan 65.2
26) France 64.2
27) Canada 64.0
28) Latvia 62.7
29) Iraq 62.1
30) Kuwait 61.0
31) Britain 60.2
32) Finland 59.9
33) United States 59.8
34) Slovenia 59.4
35) Kosovo 58.3
36) Austria 56.9
37) United Arab Emirates 55.4
38) Belgium 52.1
39) Portugal 49.9
40) Netherlands 49.1
41) Croatia 46.9
42) Uruguay 45.4
43) Germany 45.1
44) Lithuania 43.2
45) Trinidad and Tobago 41.0
46) Italy 39.5
47) Costa Rica 39.5
48) Spain 38.8
49) Hungary 38.3
50) North Korea 38.3
51) Haiti 36.3
52) Mongolia 33.7
53) Liberia 33.5
54) Macedonia 33.4
55) Chile 31.4
56) Saudi Arabia 30.4
57) Serbia 29.4
58) Somalia 26.4
59) El Salvador 25.8
60) Russia 25.5
61) Slovakia 25.4
62) Bulgaria 25.2
63) Iran 24.9
64) Armenia 24.8
65) Tunisia 24.8
66) Mexico 23.1
67) South Korea 23.0
68) Nigeria 22.9
69) Honduras 22.8
70) Czech Republic 22.4
71) Ukraine 22.3
72) Japan 22.2
73) Botswana 22.0
74) Dominican Republic 21.5
75) Albania 21.3
76) Sierra Leone 21.1
77) Yemen 19.8
78) Nicaragua 19.7
79) Gabon 19.6
80) Taiwan 19.5
81) Turkey 19.4
82) Namibia 19.0
83) Poland 18.3
84) Mauritius 18.1
85) East Timor 17.5
86) South Africa 17.0
87) Oman 15.8
88) Venezuela 15.2
89) Belarus 14.9
90) Argentina 14.5
91) Gambia 14.4
92) Rwanda 14.1
93) Guinea (all) 14.0
94) Malaysia 13.6
95) Moldova 13.6
96) Cambodia 13.4
97) Zimbabwe 13.0
98) Ecuador 12.6
99) Egypt 12.5
100) Laos 12.3
101) Vietnam 12.3
102) Romania 11.4
103) Bolivia 11.3
104) Central African Republic 11.2
105) Senegal 10.4
106) Paraguay 10.1
107) Kenya 9.8
108) Mali 9.6
109) Azerbaijan 9.2
110) Peru 9.2
111) Kyrgyzstan 9.2
112) Bosnia and Herzegovina 9.2
113) Colombia 9.2
114) Eritrea 8.7
115) Morocco 8.6
116) Swaziland 8.4
117) Mauritania 8.4
118) Kazakhstan 8.3
119) Sri Lanka 7.8
120) Ghana 7.4
121) Thailand 7.2
122) Sudan (including South) 6.9
123) Brazil 6.8
124) Nepal 6.6
125) Pakistan 5.9
126) Myanmar 5.8
127) Lesotho 5.6
128) Ivory Coast 5.0
129) Philippines 5.0
130) Uganda 4.7
131) Burundi 4.7
132) Tajikistan 4.7
133) Algeria 4.6
134) Turkmenistan 4.6
135) China 4.2
136) Zambia 4.0
137) Cameroon 3.9
138) Togo 3.8
139) Madagascar 3.3
140) Uzbekistan 3.1
141) Congo (both) 3.0
142) Benin 3.0
143) Angola 2.9
144) Mozambique 2.7
145) Burkina Faso 2.6
146) Malawi 2.6
147) Tanzania 2.5
148) Nigeria 2.3
149) Ethiopia 2.2
150) Indonesia 2.1
151) India 2.1
152) Bangladesh 2.0

Some caveats: Jordan, Chad and Georgia are also excluded. The number of false positives for these countries is so high that the only way I’d be confident providing data on them is if I combed through every single article to separate the wheat from the chaff. If I were a tenured professor, perhaps, but the diminishing returns on the time it would take to otherwise do this is too much for me.

There are other countries that are likely inflated, but to an extent I’ve judged modest enough that they’ve been included anyway (“Israel” as a first name, “Ireland” as a surname, “Guinea pig” as a rodent instead of Papua New Guinea, “turkey” as an animal rather than a country, etc). So don’t crucify me over this–I’m providing an avenue to critique away any significance this list might errantly be thought to have!

A similar dynamic is in play with the various Guineas, Sudan vs South Sudan, and the two Congos. To address this, I combined the populations for the Guineas, Sudans, and Congos to come up with a per capita rate for total “Guinea”, “Sudan”, and “Congo” article mentions, respectively.

The “United States” result is not particularly useful since many articles having to do with things going on inside of the US are not going to mention the country but instead states or cities within it.

The neoliberal focus predominantly remains on northwestern Europe, North America, and the Middle East. Africa and Asia get short shrift.. That is going to change in the future as Africa moves towards population dominance and Asia moves towards economic and cultural dominance.

There is a modest inverse correlation (r = -.15) between a country’s total population and its per capita article mentions. Being a distinct country probably does increase the mental space people tend to devote to the people living there.

 
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From GoToQuiz.com, the percentages of respondents in the US who express a partisan affiliation other than Republican or Democrat:

The differences are modest (notice the y-axis begins at 20%)–but I did the digging so may as well share what I found–with the only sharp dividing line along sex. Women tend to be more conformist than men for rather obvious biological reasons. The idea that Zoomers resemble the Silents more than the generations separating the two cohorts aside, the relatively low third party–liberally defined here to include independents as well–orientation of those under 18 might just be due to a lack of familiarity with options outside the Uniparty.

Parenthetically, the survey doesn’t ask about registration or electoral intention. Even after taking that into account, though, it’s clear that a lot of people who self-identify as Green or Libertarian vote for one of the big two if they vote at all.

 
• Category: Ideology • Tags: Generational gap, Politics, Polling 
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Where do we come up with a thought like that? From what people tell us, that’s where.

For the first time in 2018, the GSS asked respondents if they agreed or disagreed with the assertion that natural environments tend to be uninteresting. The results wouldn’t surprise Teddy Roosevelt anymore than they should surprise Al Gore:

Does the subcontinent seem dirty to you? How about the skies over China? Rendezvous points for aliens illegally crossing the US-Mexico border? Have more trouble spotting a fellow black camper than a black bear? These differential outlooks are a big clue as to why.

The green movement sold Gaia’s soul to the race hustlers and the Chambers of Commerce a long time ago.

GSS variables used: NATLACK(1-2)(3-4), RACECEN1(1)(2)(4-10), HISPANIC(1)(2-50), BORN, PARTYID(0-1)(2-4,7)(5-6)

 
• Category: Culture/Society, Ideology, Race/Ethnicity • Tags: Environment, GSS, Hbd 
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• Category: Arts/Letters • Tags: Election 2020, Original memes 
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Replicability crisis alert:

This compilation is shockingly homogeneous for a woke top news site to have put together. Probably just an oversight that such a mendaciously anti-natalist video features whites exclusively. Don’t worry about it. Just keep leaning in, beckies. And remember–you only live once!

But I digress. Regarding the replicability issue, the following graph compares the self-reported happiness of unmarried single women without children to the self-reported happiness of married mothers with children:

What a blowout. Married women with children are nearly twice as likely to report being “very happy” and about half as likely to report being “not too happy” as unmarried women without children are.

This is some combination of sinister and stunning sloppiness. I smell sulfur as I type, so I suspect it’s mostly the former.

Parenthetically, the above includes all women since that’s presumably what the behavioral scientist did but the results are nearly identical if limited to non-Hispanic whites.

Relatedly, the percentage of unmarried single women without children who report experiencing poor mental health (defined as “stress, depression, and problems with emotions”) in the last month is 60%. For married mothers with kids, it’s just 45%.

GSS variables used: SEX(2), HAPPY, MNTLHLTH(0)(1-30), MARITAL(1)(5), CHILDS(0)(1-8), YEAR(2000-2018)

 
• Category: Culture/Society, Ideology, Science • Tags: Children, Feminism, GSS 
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In the 2018 iteration of the survey, the GSS asked a new question about what kind of company people would prefer to work for. Participants were given three possible responses to choose from–1) “a company in which the government owns the stock and appoints the management to run the company’s operations”, 2) “a company whose stock is owned by the employees who appoint the management to run the company’s operations”, or 3) “a company whose stock is owned by outside investors who appoint the management to run the company’s operations”. The following graph shows the percentages of respondents, by selected demographic characteristics, who preferred 1), the ‘socialist’ (or arguably even communist) option:

Forget about handing out pocket Constitutions to the hundreds of thousands of migrants crossing into the US from the southern border each month–they need pocket Wealth of Nations instead!

GSS variables used: COMPANY(1), RACECEN1(1)(2)(4-10), HISPANIC(1)(2-50), AGE, SEX, PARTYID(0-1)(2-4,7)(5-6), BORN

 
• Category: Economics, Race/Ethnicity • Tags: Economics, GSS, Socialism 
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The GSS surveyed 95 people who voted for Obama in 2012 and for Trump in 2016. The sample is obviously suboptimally small. Still, the demographic characteristics of this contingent of people whose modest size will have a disproportionately large impact on the annals of The Decline and Fall of the American Empire that the Sinitic historians of the future will write is worth taking a look at. The following table compares them to the broader 2016 electorate that also voted in 2012 as recorded in the 2018 iteration of the survey:

Characteristic BO to DT Electorate
n-H white 91% 72%
Mean age 55 yo 52 yo
Working class 54% 38%
College grad 31% 40%
Male 66% 47%
Union household 24% 14%
Married 60% 55%
Worship weekly+ 13% 27%
Political independent 52% 36%

Disproportionately older working-class married white men in labor unions who lack strong political party or religious affiliations–in other words, exactly what we expected.

GSS variables used: PRES12, PRES16, AGE, RACECEN1(1), HISPANIC(1), PARTYID(2-4,7), UNION, CLASS(2), ATTEND(7-8), SEX, DEGREE(3-4), MARITAL(1)

 
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Remittances from the United States to Mexico totaled nearly $32 billion last year.

Exporting social problems in return for tens of billions of dollars and political influence in another country is an impressive bit of statesmanship. Too bad the US doesn’t have someone able to artfully pull off a masterful kind of deal like the one Mexico has worked out!

 
• Category: Foreign Policy, Ideology • Tags: America First, Donald Trump, Mexico 
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The new moderation system seems to be working fairly well now.

One request: Please enter the same email address each time you comment under your chosen handle. Those are the two inputs I’m using for auto-approval. It doesn’t need to be a real email address, but it does need to a consistent one.

 
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Beats me:

The price spike at the end of 2017 corresponded to a surge in search volume interest about how to get in on the action. Many of the people who drove that surge in search interest were immediately wiped out for their trouble. A fool and his money…

The ability for whales to manipulate the market is hard to definitively prove, but it must be a factor. The latest push, dive, and push hasn’t generated anything like the excitement among novices that the winter of 2017 did. Is that an indication of the start of a genuine bull rally? That’s not a rhetorical question. Again, it beats me.

 
• Category: Economics • Tags: Economics 
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Third trimester abortions are really unpopular. Support for an unconditional legal ban on all abortions in the third trimester of pregnancy, by selected demographic characteristics with “unsure” responses–constituting 12.5% of the total–excluded:

Women present a bigger threat to a woman’s right to choose than men do. Who knew? Never underestimate The Patriarchy’s capacity for instilling false consciousness in the fairer sex! No wonder the figurative fangs come out when this hot button is pushed.

I do not doubt the sincerity of Alabamans who want to go whole hog, but for a cynical electoral play, Republican pols would be well served to make the abortion absolutists who control virtually every congressperson with a (D) next to his or her name defend aborting fetuses past the point of viability outside the womb. Opposition to the practice is the majority position among every single demographic group considered.

Parenthetically, in the course of researching this post I came across the following from a site called Romper (that gets a bit more traffic than UR at the moment, though the gap is closing). Some people are better suited for quant writing than others:

According to The New York Times, three states ban abortions in the third trimester, after 28 weeks gestation. They include Iowa, Texas, and Virginia. The Guttmacher Institute also notes that in 24 states, late-term abortions are allowed to preserve the life and health of the mother, but more disturbingly, that 16 states ban late-term abortions entirely — the only exception being to save the life and physical health of the mother. Three states — Idaho, Michigan, and Rhode Island — have banned late-term abortions except those that would save the life of the mother and say nothing of physical health.

On account of the writer’s ambiguity it is possible to reasonably deduce that 16, 19, 22, or some higher number of states restrict late-term abortions to some degree. We are told that there are 24 states that allow late-term abortions with qualifications but are left unclear about the number of states, if any, that permit late-term abortions without qualifications. Additionally, using an unqualified “entirely” and then immediately following it with an explanation about exceptions is inexplicably bad writing.

 
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One thing that keeps coming up in contemporary American polling data is how, once race is taken into account, the correlation between age and partisan affiliation is either non-existent or even the inverse of what has tended to be the case over the last several decades. From the enormous–albeit not scientifically collected–GoToQuiz.com survey database, two-way partisan affiliation among non-Hispanic whites by age and by sex:

The gender gap is becoming a chasm.

Whether the inversion of the relationship between age and partisan affiliation benefits Republicans or Democrats more is difficult to tell. Not surprisingly in light of this shift, Democrats have now become the party of big corporate money (or at least the senior partner in the Uniparty), consistently and significantly out-raising Republicans (see 2008, 2012, and 2016) for more than a decade now.

On the other hand, though it’s more difficult to quantify, the creative energy–especially the subversive counterculture energy–is increasingly coming from the right.

Someone like Andrew Yang could reverse this trend–a trend that president Trump retarded after candidate Trump accelerated it–but it’s hard to see the senescent former senator from Delaware doing so.

 
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[edit: The original graphic has been replaced with the one below on account of my error in initially using “anti-gay” instead of “homophobia”. Thanks to German_Reader for the correction.]

The number of articles in The New York Times over the last decade containing at least one instance of selected phrases with an anti- prefix:

A couple of technical notes: In many cases, eloquent variation on the part of the writers means that adding synonyms together to get a total figure would have resulted in inflated figures due to a lot of double-counting. To avoid this, I used the variant that returned the highest number of articles for each term (ie “anti-Semitic” returned more articles than “anti-Jewish”, “misogyny” more than “anti-woman” or “anti-female”, “anti-male” more than “misandry”, etc). Searches are not case sensitive, either–that’s a little OCD poking through on my part.

 
• Category: Arts/Letters, Culture/Society, Ideology • Tags: Media 
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One oft-ignored aspect on the abortion front of the culture war is how the culturally dominant pro-choice position is driven primarily by white leftists. The sentiments of black and Hispanic Democrats are closer to those of white independents and even white Republicans (29.3% support, combined with independents in the graph below) than they are to white Democrats even while it is often asserted by those white leftists that poor non-whites will suffer the most from restrictions on abortion. It’s almost as though those white Democrats don’t want the kind of people living in Alabama who would have to come to another state to get an abortion coming to that other state, especially if that other state is the state they live in:

Abortion is an issue that, after surveying all the other contours of the two-dimensional American political spectrum, a space alien would expect to be opposed by the leftists and supported by conservatives. The former tend to favor a perpetual increase in the number of beings entitled to the protections insinuated by an elementary understanding of the concept of human rights. Scientific advances have made more pregnancies viable, at an earlier point in those pregnancies, than ever before. A child conceived through rape or incest is still a child, one whose disadvantages begin at negative nine months of age and so one who the space alien would presume to be entitled to special protections above and beyond those accorded to others.

Having articulated as much, it should come as little surprise that I expect the right to gain ground on the issue in the future. The embrace of abortion is a holdover from the progressivism of a century ago–the progressivism that, abortion excepted, horrifies today’s progressives even more than it does today’s conservatives. It is out of step with the contemporary moral paradigm propelling the marginalized, people of color ascendancy.

For the white left to embrace things like embryo selection and eventually fetal genetic engineering while simultaneously trying to maintain that it is systemic oppression rather than genetics that explains disparities in life outcomes will be, to put it mildly, tricky.

Parenthetically, it is funny that despite the vitriol directed towards white men in Alabama, white men are modestly more pro-choice (45.7%) than white women (44.0%), Hispanic men (36.4%), Hispanic women (31.1%), black men (40.6%), and black women (41.8%) are.

GSS variables used: ABANY, RACECEN1(1)(2)(4-10), HISPANIC(1)(2-50), SEX, YEAR(2000-2018), PARTYID(0-1)(2-7)

 
• Category: Culture/Society, Ideology • Tags: Abortion, Culture war, GSS