One of the standard memes about Russia's demographic trajectory was the "Russian Cross." While at the literal level it described the shape of the country's birth rate and death rate trajectories, a major reason why it entered the discourse was surely because it also evoked the foreboding of the grave. But this period now appears... Read More
At least according to Israeli Interior Minister Eli Yishai, who is hilariously a Sephardi Jew, i.e. closer to Arabs than Europeans. Well, all countries have a right to sovereignty over their own borders, and stemming the inflow of illegal African immigrants is perfectly justifiable in Israel's case. To this end they are ramping up legal... Read More
Here's a sampling of recent headlines from the country that loves to lecture others on freedom of speech and rule of law. Racist Tube rant woman Jacqueline Woodhouse jailed: A London Underground passenger has been jailed for 21 weeks after she admitted hurling racist abuse at fellow passengers. - BBC Girl gang who kicked woman... Read More
There are several ways to influence national mean IQ levels. One is to improve nutrition and education, but vitally important though they are, they suffer from diminishing returns as populations bump up against their genetic ceilings. Another is to promote eugenic policies, or at least policies to mitigate the dysgenic trends that are typical of... Read More
Sergey Zhuravlev is a Russian economist who runs a wonky but eminently readable and very useful, interesting blog and writes for Expert (author profile), which I may add is an excellent publication. You have met him previously on my blog as the inventor of a clever - if, in my opinion, flawed - argument that... Read More
I will have a much longer and detailed post on this in the future, with new projections, but this breaking news (at least as far as it comes with dry demographic statistics) so I can't refrain from writing a preliminary post on the matter. For all intents and purposes, Russia's demographic crisis - the infamous... Read More
It is now increasingly evident that Russia's population has settled on a small but decidedly firm upwards growth trend. I have been vindicated. According to the latest data, in the first eight months of the year births fell by 1.4% (12.5/1000 to 12.3/1000) and deaths fell by 6.2% (from 14.6/1000 to 13.7/1000) relative to the... Read More
If I had a cent for every Russia story from the past week that featured the (conclusively debunked) "sixth wave of emigration" meme... And if wishes were fishes. Still, the coverage of Russian reactions to Putin's return does demonstrate the venality and general fecklessness of the Western MSM. As Adomanis correctly noted, it is "negative... Read More
Do you remember the growing chorus of voices in the Western media speaking of a "growing wave" of emigration from Putin's Russia? Those 1.25 million liberal professionals who have fled that neo-Soviet abyss in the past few years? As it turns out, not only are these stories complete fabrications - in a previous post, I... Read More
Everything's going badly in Russia. Medvedev's reforms are failing. The economy isn't growing. It is moving from authoritarianism to totalitarianism (in stark contrast to civilized Western countries), and the motto "We cannot live like this any longer!" once again becomes an article of faith in the land - or well, at least among "the blogs... Read More
During the past two years, Russian "dissident" liberals Boris Nemtsov and Vladimir Milov have produced a frankly maniacal quantity of so-called "Independent Expert Reports" (there are now seven of them) that purport to debunk the "persistent myths imposed by official [Kremlin] propaganda". The authors say that their latest exegesis, melodramatically entitled "Putin. The Results. 10... Read More
After its long pre-modern stint as Europe's most populated nation, France started transitioning to lower birth rates from the Napoleonic era, about a century in advance of the rest of Europe. On the eve of the First World War, its stagnant population made a stark contrast to German youth and virility. Considering the disparity in... Read More
One of the staples of alarmist, pessimistic and/or Russophobic (not to mention Sinophobic) commentary on Russian demography* is a reworking of the yellow peril thesis. In their fevered imaginations Chinese supposedly swim across the Amur River in their millions, establish village communes in the taiga and breed prolifically so as to displace ethnic Russians and... Read More
I developed a model on Russia's future demographic development in Matlab. First, I will describe (non-mathematically) the essentials of how it works; then I will present a range of different possible scenarios. Our data is sourced from Rosstat and the Human Mortality Database. Demography is a social science, and as such it is impossible to... Read More
I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.
One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.
Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.
If you like the words I write, and want to see more of them, here’s a way you can make that happen: http://akarlin.com/donations/
***
Blogroll
This is not so much meant to be comprehensive as to illustrate the themes and individual thinkers whom I follow and am inspired by.
I do not bother including any MSM outlets, since I’m sure they can do just fine without my publicity.
Blogs which I consider to be particularly good and/or prominent are highlighted in bold, and blogs that appear to have gone dormant appear at the end in italics. While I try to keep these things objective, if you include me in your blogroll that does vastly increase the chances that I’ll reciprocate.
So yes, he made reference to retaliation, but on the other hand he focussed attention on passive defence, with “retaliation” limited to shooting down missiles. That’s how the US regime wants it, because it’s a no-win situation for Russia.
That’s why I suggested they need to make the ...
Calm down. If Russia do some revenge operation in East Europe; this will happen in Donbas and it will be done on the cheap way. Something like Smerching to the Stone age Ukr forces there.
Relax; the Russians are not coming (to Poland).
Lack of self awareness from Russian imperialists is becoming hilarious at this point - Putin himself was showing animations of nuclear strike on US territory just several weeks ago and now they are trying to present themselves as being very hurt that many people in the West don't like them at all...
"The Jew tells you that he was beaten, but doesn't tell you why."
Unfortunately gentiles don't seem to be immune to this kind of psychopathic sentiment. Little kids are like that. "He hurt me!" "But you hurt him first." "He hurt me! He shouldn't have hurt me!" "But you hurt him first. He only ...
The world is bigger than the US, chickie. Get lost and live out the rest of your days in homosexuality and shrew paradise land. No wonder your men aren't making babies with you.
Is there a strange reason why you feel the desire to troll a Russian blog: this is a country which is far more “based” by Alt-Right standards, and where feminism has made such inroads that the expectations that pretty secretaries are servicing their bosses is usually true. You have to be some...
NATO wars start when the other side chooses to shoot back.
Funnily enough there's another country that adopts the same attitude - we are entitled to attack whenever we want and if you retaliate it's an outrageous act of aggression that will entitle us to do whatever we want in response:
Isra...
How does it feel to be wrong?
You're about ready to find out.
Manosphere types say women act like children. The ironies never cease.
This is a bizarre contention peculiar to American society. It does not exist elsewhere, nor do American girls even behave the way weirdo age gap police co...
when that white skin gets 60-70 years old, it is going to look sad up against brown or black skin
My wife is super-afraid of this; age was not kind to my mother-in-law. While one of the Chinese brothers I knew in UCLA - his mother seemed perpetually stuck at like 40. God apportions His favors amo...
But if Trump is crazy, the Russian leadership has to deal with crazies. You need to play by game theory. Game theory says you shouldn't always fold, and have to be somewhat unpredictable. (Folding some times, but being tough at other times.)
It’s a diplomat, who has not got some great grasp military terminology
Diplomats normally do choose their words very carefully. I doubt what he said was not what his bosses told him to be the party line. It was also never corrected, despite the uproar in the MSM.
If he said "launching pla...
How the hell did Jobbik f*ck up so badly?
I was expecting that the drift of European politics to revolve more and more around immigration and identity issues would benefit Jobbik more than anyone else.
My understanding of the Marxist dialectic is that it would advocate abolition/minimization of the means of production from private, bourgeoisie control and while neither the Russian coalition nor the American one explicitly promote the interests of the proletariat through public/state control, Ru...
Karl Marx would be horrified with modern Russia
Karl Marx was horrified about Russia in his own day, so it wouldn't be exactly much of a change.
And sorry, I understand you're a leftist, but the fact that representatives of major Western powers now present Karl Marx (whose ideas aren't just s...
It was different when the Red army occupied the other half of Europe and of Germany, at least then a war would have been about issues genuinely central to us.
Fermi's Paradox answered: As a technology increases with time approaching infinity, the likelihood of a species eradicating itself th...
Let me put here this article:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/russian-envoy-threatens-war-against-us-over-syria-strikes-lc2k578cf
NATO wars start when the other side chooses to shoot back.
Cet animal est très méchant: Quand on l'attaque, il se défend.
My feeling is: if you have to destroy the world rather than knuckle under to the bullies, go ahead. Better dead than red.
I understand the sentiment, but frankly, I deeply resent the idea that large parts of my country (certainly the part where I live) might get destroyed for the bizarre excep...
And Trump just taunted Putin. I find it unlikely that Putin won’t respond. He has to, if he has any self-respect.
Putin doesn’t respond to insults - he’s been called worse: “Hitler”, “dictator” etc. He doesn’t personalize an issue - something that Western politicians/pundits a...
Because both sides had reasonable positions based on geopolitics, it was easy to find a way out.
I agree with your general point, but I don't think it can be said it was easy to find a peaceful solution to the Cuban missile crisis. Despite JFK and Crushchev both being fundamentally rational pe...
The German diplomats in Moscow cultivated a very nice relationship with their Soviet hosts up until the declaration of war. It probably reflected their personal sympathies. The German ambassador, von Schulenburg often hinted at the coming invasion, trying to warn his hosts of the coming invasion.
And what about the OPCW inspectors who, it was announced yesterday, are shortly to arrive in Syria
I'd certainly be choosing my accommodation in Damascus carefully, if I were one of them.
Trump made a blunder here by referencing Russia’s threat of retaliation in his tweet (“Russia vows to shoot down any and all missiles fired at Syria”). If he were smart, he would have stayed quiet about that part to make it easier to sell a possible Russian retaliation as “unprovoked aggr...