Belated comment on the Kemerovo fire that killed 64 people, including 41 children. 1. Tragedies like this are inevitable and will always happen, the best that could be done is working to minimize and mitigate them (personally I favor legislating exorbitant compensation for victims, since money > ethics so far as almost all businesses are... Read More
Population size doesn't matter much if your goal is to live as a small, comfy, unambitious Switzerland or Singapore. But a large population, along with a sufficiently high IQ, remains of sine qua non of being a Great Power or superpower. France went from having 20% of Europe's population during the reign of the Sun... Read More
Last year's summary: Russian Demographics in 2017 Preliminary data for 2017 is in. There were about 1,689,884 (11.5/1,000) births in 2017, a decline of 10.7% relative to the 1,893,256 (12.9/1,000) births in 2016. There were about 1,824,340 (12.4/1,000) deaths in 2017, a decline of 3.4% relative to the 1,887,913 (12.9/1,000) deaths in 2016. Consequently, the... Read More
PEW has just made three different projections of the Islamic percentage of Europe's population in 2050. Map of Muslim share of each European country today and in 2015 (High scenario). Here are the assumptions behind each of them: Low: All migration into Europe stops from 2016. Muslims still increase from 4.9% to 7.4% by 2050... Read More
Results of the Pakistan Census are out and show that the population has reached 207,774,520 people as of 2017. After hurtling past Russia around 2000, Pakistan has now just about converged with Brazil, which has approximately 207,932,000 people as of this year. Considering that Pakistan increases by 4 million every year to less than 2... Read More
Credit: Ivan Musinov. There is this strange dichotomy with respect to Russia. The Western elites like Hillary Clinton and many Russophile right-wingers believe that it is a paragon of fascist/conservative and white supremacist/traditionalist values, respectively. (The main difference being that the former think that this is Bad, while the latter think it's Good). On the... Read More
Another Uraza Bayram. Countless photos showing zillions of Muslims filling up Moskvabad's streets. More gleeful shitposts from /pol/ to svidomy forums about imminent Russabia. But you don't have to be a particularly big fan of open borders with Central Asia to be able to look at statistics. In a series of recent posts, Russian blogger... Read More
So we correctly make fun of people like Neil Turok and Deirdre McCloskey who expect to discover the next generation of Einsteins amongst 70-75 IQ Africans. Even if we could run the full FLynn program on Africa and raise it up to its genotypic IQ potential of 85-90, it's not like countries with those sorts... Read More
The USSR played the leading role in the defeat of Nazi Germany, which the majority of Europeans recognized in 1945 even if half a century of Hollywood propaganda successfully displaced it in the public imagination in favor of the USA. But what about within the USSR itself? Back in January 2015, during his brief nationalist... Read More
My latest podcast with Robert Stark, co-host and proponent of Asian-Aryanism pilleater, and Alt Right legend Guillaume Durocher, who has written for Counter-Currents, Radix, and Occidental Observer. We mostly talked about the French elections and French demographics. Here's a link: The final election round between Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron The French Elections 2017... Read More
Here is a graph of monthly births in Russia since 2006 through to March 2017: It is pointless to make sweeping conclusions based on demographic data from the past one or two months. That said, the three month moving average has been down relative to the same period in the previous year since the middle... Read More
Emil Kirkegaard dug through a PEW dataset to find out who supports big government. This is in line with the finding that 94% of American libertarians are non-Hispanic whites: Here are the US Census Bureau projections about America's future demographic makeup: Charles Murray isn't going to be happy about this. His is a doomed ideology.
... far better than we ever could. Anyhow, how fast is the Muslim population growing? It's long been clear that official statistics aren't quite hacking it, and the situation is likely considerably worse. Recent observation from Emil Kirkegaard gleaned from his meanderings through demographic statistics: So, what’s next? There’s a lot to do, but one... Read More
The final figures for life expectancy and TFR in total and for the regions have been released today. The Rosstat computations give an estimate of TFR = 1.76 children per woman and LE = 71.9 years for 2016, which are pretty close to my rough estimates a month ago. The total population is estimated to... Read More
Ashburn-Nardo, Leslie 2017 Parenthood as a Moral Imperative? Moral Outrage and the Stigmatization of Voluntarily Childfree Women and Men Abtract: Nationally representative data indicate that adults in the United States are increasingly delaying the decision to have children or are forgoing parenthood entirely. Although some empirical research has examined the social consequences of adults’ decision... Read More
Here is why Russia also needs a BBW (Turkestan edition): Number of births: Red = Russia; Green = Central Asia (Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan). In 1897, there were ten times fewer people in Russian Turkestan than within the modern borders of the Russian Federation. Today, they constitute 50% of the Russian Federation's population. They... Read More
Here is why the US needs a Big Beautiful Wall in one graph: Mexico, El Salvador, Guatemala, and Nicaragua are the top four source countries of illegal immigrants to the US. The American White percentage of the population has been dropping relentlessly for more than half a century, in large part due to immigration itself.... Read More
The reason I don't write much about Russia's demographics nowadays is that there isn't much point to it. Up until the early 2010s, the Western media was brimming with misinformation about the subject - what we now call #fakenews - so refuting it was both profitable and easy. Incredibly easy. You didn't really have to... Read More
Turkey has a proud and rich history of military coups. As analysts tirelessly point out, they are even sanctioned by the Constitution as a means of preserving secularism. However, those days have come to an end. The abortive coup of the past few days was in all likelihood the dying gasp of 20th century Turkey.... Read More
When I posted a 2007 map of the share of European children born out of wedlock from Reddit to Twitter, it generated considerably discussion, including a discussion at Razib Kan's blog. There are many rather interesting patterns here: The Nordics, France, The Former GDR, Estonia, Bulgaria all have high rates out of wedlock births. Most... Read More
One thing you start noticing when you read commentary on Russia long enough is how the same discredited tropes arise again and again. Zombie-like, they refuse to die. In 2011, for example, there was supposed to have been a "sixth wave of Russian emigration," in which disillusioned Russians were said to have finally had enough... Read More
In 2012 this German video on what the news would be like in 2018 was satire... ... but reality seems to be catching up to and overtaking satire three years in advance. And who says Germans don't plan ahead? This is a one up even on the Muslims who at least stop at first cousins.... Read More
Hungary is opting for the latter: 10 million forints is about $35,000. You may recall that this is the exact same sum that George Soros is demanding that the EU pay each immigrant during just their first two years there. No wonder he and his minions hate Orban so
Since the release of the paper by Anne Case and Angus Deaton showing that mortality rates amongst middle-aged White American males increased from 1999-2013, there has been a lot of anguished hand-wringing about the sorts of further regression or even collapses that it might portend. Comparisons have been made to the Soviet Union, which also... Read More
I am a blogger, thinker, and businessman in the SF Bay Area. I’m originally from Russia, spent many years in Britain, and studied at U.C. Berkeley.
One of my tenets is that ideologies tend to suck. As such, I hesitate about attaching labels to myself. That said, if it’s really necessary, I suppose “liberal-conservative neoreactionary” would be close enough.
Though I consider myself part of the Orthodox Church, my philosophy and spiritual views are more influenced by digital physics, Gnosticism, and Russian cosmism than anything specifically Judeo-Christian.