This is hopefully the last football thread for the next two years. Please try to keep all footballing talk to this thread in the next few days.
I suspect that Belgium will beat England to take third place during the penalties, while France will beat Croatia by 2-1 or something like that.
At this point, I’m no longer invested in the results one way or the other.
My predictions: That Russia would beat Saudi Arabia and Egypt, and lose to Uruguay, all panned out; that it would lose to Spain – wrong (though mitigated by it being on penalties); that it would lose to Croatia – correct (though mitigated by it being on penalties). I also predicted that England would beat Croatia, which didn’t happen, and in a reasonably decisive manner (the Croats dominated from the second half). So that’s 4/6 – not impressive, but hardly catastrophic, even if I do say so myself.
Most powerful takes:
- Pete Baumgartner: Russia’s World Cup Team Bucks Multiethnicity Seen On Swiss, Other Teams (Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty)
BTW, just a customary reminder that BBG, RFERL’s parent organization, gets close to a billion dollars of American taxpayer money every year. This is the sort of content they produce with your money.
- Clint Hendler: Russia’s National Team Is Too Russian, Which Is One Reason It Will Bomb out of the World Cup (Mother Jones).
Comments zaqan to Hendler’s piece:
Well this article didn’t age too well. The white Russian team whupped several mixed teams. In fact many mixed teams fell out quickly. Ultimately, Russia was dropped in the last 8 by an even whiter team, which went on to defeat the half African English team and will face the barely French, mostly Arab and African team in the finals. While all this cheering about Europe being darkened and diversity working in futbol, what would’ve been great squads from Ivory coast, Cameroon, Nigeria, Congo, Ghana, etc, have been cannibalized and may never see the Knockouts again. If Didier Drogba were starting today, he’d be on the French team instead of leading Ivory coast to glory. Sad! Maybe the Africans should take a lesson and import some rejected European players. And then what will the world cup even be?
See also Bryan MacDonald (RT): Too white to win? Russia boasts one of World Cup’s most ethnically diverse squads
On this note, commenter Hail has done prodigious work to quantify the racial ancestry of the European teams at World Cup 2018.
— Belgium: 70% White, 22% Black, 17% Muslim
— Croatia: 100% White, no Muslims
— Denmark: 90% White, 10% Black
— England: 63% White, 37% Black, No Muslims
— France: 33% White, 52% Black, 33% Muslim
— Germany: 83% White, <7% Black, 11% Muslim
— Iceland: 100% White, 98% Icelandic
— Poland: 100% White, disproportionately from western Poland
— Portugal: 77% White, heavy African-colonial presence with 20% Black
— Russia: 84% White, 16% from Soviet periphery (Central Asia, Caucuses)
— Serbia: 94% White, 4% Muslim, 4% Gypsy[?]
— Spain: 92% White, <6% Black, No Muslims
— Switzerland: 70% White, but only 44% White-Christian
— Sweden: 91% White, <5% Black, No Muslims
He further comments:
- France has more Muslims than full-White-Christians on their ‘national’ team. By one method of calculation, the White-French ancestral component of the team is 16%.
- A majority of England ‘national’ players have at least some Subsaharan African ancestry. (This contra the concept of England is the Islamic Republic of England, even as a joke — Black numbers may approach non-Black Muslim numbers in UK already today and long-term Blacks are much bigger difficulty).
One question he asks in his blog post: Will support for less-White teams gradually wane in Europe? Presumably, beyond decidedly non-normie venues, such as this one.
Incidentally, both Britain and Portugal have substantial numbers of both Blacks and Indian subcontinentals. The first group accounts for ~20% of both teams, the second for 0%. I wonder why.
EDIT: Polish Perspective also posts an image table showing the average phenotype of each football team.