One of the many underappreciated aspects of commie blocks: It’s almost like living high up in a forest.
Went out for July 4 to some American expat bars. The ones who are still here are usually Western media-hating vatniks. One of the many underappreciated aspects of the sanctions.
* Many statistical methods were first developed by psychometricians (via Emil Kirkegaard).
This reminds me of a longstanding principle in statistics, which is that, whatever you do, somebody in psychometrics already did it long before. I’ve noticed this a few times. Once, about ten years ago, I was at a conference where computer scientists were talking about some pretty elaborate statistical models, and I realized these were the same as some things I’d seen Iven Van Mechelen and his colleagues working on in the Psychology Department at Leuven. Then, more recently, I wrote this article with David Park on splitting a predictor into three parts, and it turned out that similar work had been done in 1928! by psychometric researcher T. L. Kelley (and, oddly enough, E. Cureton in 1957).
* Woodley, Michael et al. – 2017 – Holocene selection for variants associated with cognitive ability: Comparing ancient and modern genomes.
Summarized by James Thompson: Are we cleverer than the ancients? Genetic studies are suggesting: Yes. (As expected).
* Kulivets & Ushakov – 2016 – Modeling Relationship between Cognitive Abilities and Economic
We propose that problem solving is the mediator between human competencies and achievements. Creation of goods and services is based on problem solving in design, production and delivery. The quality of problem solving depends on human competencies and, in turn, determines economic achievements. More importantly, the choice of problems to be solved creates or does not create the possibility for application of highly qualified labor and, as a result, for full-fledged realization of human capital. We propose a mathematical model based on these assumptions. The simulation reproduces most important traits of Lynn and Vanhanen’s (2002) findings. The simulation shows a non-linear growth of economic achievements with national IQ growth as well as an increase of between countries variance. Thereby the proposed model can serve as a satisfactory explanation for empirical data on links between national IQs and economic achievements.
There is a theory energetically propounded by one particular commenter here that the 1920s Soviet Union was awful, full of crazy leftist ideologues, but the 1930s were a period of transition to a much better conservative society. In reality, researching even these potentially controversial topics was perfectly safe in the 1920s and actually enjoyed the support of elements of the Communist Party (while they did suppress non-leftist currents in philosophy and the arts, they left hard sciences alone). Then a certain Georgian penal colony graduate decided genetics was a “bourgeois perversion” and within a few years a huge proportion of the leading Soviet geneticists were dead or abroad.
Anyhow, all this finally triggered a meltdown on the part of our commenter, so I doubt he’ll be back anytime soon (though the doors are always open).
* Zabaneh, D. et al. – 2017 – A genome-wide association study for extremely high intelligence
We used a case–control genome-wide association (GWA) design with cases consisting of 1238 individuals from the top 0.0003 (~170 mean IQ) of the population distribution of intelligence and 8172 unselected population-based controls. The single-nucleotide polymorphism heritability for the extreme IQ trait was 0.33 (0.02), which is the highest so far for a cognitive phenotype, and significant genome-wide genetic correlations of 0.78 were observed with educational attainment and 0.86 with population IQ. Three variants in locus ADAM12 achieved genome-wide significance, although they did not replicate with published GWA analyses of normal-range IQ or educational attainment. A genome-wide polygenic score constructed from the GWA results accounted for 1.6% of the variance of intelligence in the normal range in an unselected sample of 3414 individuals, which is comparable to the variance explained by GWA studies of intelligence with substantially larger sample sizes. The gene family plexins, members of which are mutated in several monogenic neurodevelopmental disorders, was significantly enriched for associations with high IQ. This study shows the utility of extreme trait selection for genetic study of intelligence and suggests that extremely high intelligence is continuous genetically with normal-range intelligence in the population.
* Hill, William et al. – 2017 – A combined analysis of genetically correlated traits identifies 107 loci associated with intelligence
This allowed us to utilize a novel approach, Multi-Trait Analysis of Genome-wide association studies (MTAG; Turley et al. 2017), to combine two large genome-wide association studies (GWASs) of education and household income to increase power in the largest GWAS on intelligence so far (Sniekers et al. 2017)… We found 107 independent loci associated with intelligence, implicating 233 genes, using both SNP-based and gene-based GWAS. We find evidence that neurogenesis may explain some of the biological differences in intelligence as well as genes expressed in the synapse and those involved in the regulation of the nervous system. We show that the results of our combined analysis demonstrate the same pattern of genetic correlations as a single measure/the simple measure of intelligence, providing support for the meta-analysis of these genetically-related phenotypes. We find that our MTAG meta-analysis of intelligence shows similar genetic correlations to 26 other phenotypes when compared with a GWAS consisting solely of cognitive tests. Finally, using an independent sample of 6 844 individuals we were able to predict 7% of intelligence using SNP data alone.
* PutletZOG blocks Sputnik i Pogrom. See my two posts on that:
* Alexander Mercouris: The 12 baseless claims that form Russiagate
* Futurist stamps from 1914, envisaging Moscow in the 23rd century
* Moscow Times closing its print edition and relocating to the Netherlands. It has bled cash for years, and with the sanctions, its consumer base – clueless base – has also dried up. The businesspeople who remain in Russia are those for the long-haul, and they don’t tend to be interested in the Very Important Opinions of interns fresh from US colleges.
* The correct English language spelling of Kiev is Kiev, not Kyiv. This is acknowledged even by Ben Aris’ Twitter followers, despite him having campaigned for “Kyiv” for years. It is also gramatically correct to write “the Ukraine,” though I don’t generally do that myself because I’m lazy.
BTW, did anyone else notice that it is generally loser countries who care about how their names are spelt in English?
* Emil Kirkegaard: Negative correlations between % of population with a degree and Putin’s share of the vote.
Those of you who’ve read my posts on Moscow won’t be surprised by this.
Putin’s electorate is Fishtown (Uralvagonzavod in Russia), especially since his conservative-populist tilt for 2012 elections. This is a global trend, and Russia isn’t an exception.
* Cool comment by Al on my article on Africa. He has personal experience there and is highly optimistic on Ethiopia.
For a supposedly reality-based community, the HBDosphere has a major blind spot regarding where Africa is today and possible scenarios for its future. Africa has 55 countries; doom and gloom is not applicable to them all. …
Someone expressed doubts about the increasing crop yields. They’re true. Ethiopia has been growing at or over 10% year-on-year since the turn of the millenium. This growth has been obtained by investment on family farms (there are very few large private estates in Ethiopia, since the Communist dictatorship of 1974-1992 had expropriated all land). This means growth has been broad and benefited a large proportion of the population. It also means it is sustainable. Ethiopia is set to be the fastest growing economy in the world this year, despite suffering from a drought (more below).
* Steve Sailer collects his Africa graphs in one post.
* Buried within the GSS, Audacious Epigone finds that 5% of non-US citizens voted in the 2016 US elections – or at least claimed too.
With non-citizen residents in the US comprising around 8% of the population, a 5% turnout rate up against a total turnout rate of 57% for the 2016 election gets us under 1% of all votes cast and so not enough to give the popular vote to Trump, but plausibly enough to flip New Hampshire and possibly even Somali-saturated Minnesota.
Low sample size, but merits vigorous investigation; this is huge if true.
* @akarlin88: Macron proclaims Jupiterian Presidency, glories of monarchy. Faustian man’s yearning for Caesar’s return transcending ideological lines?
* Elite attitudes to immigration (via @whyvert):
* Winston Churchill on National Jews, International Jews, and Terrorist Jews.
The /r/The_Donald shitposter’s sin was to notice “something strange” about CNN. Incidentally, is this chart accurate? I mean I realize Jews have huge influence over the media, but to this extent?
* Sarah Palin: Trump Gives Speech to the People of Poland, Says 14 Words That Leave Americans Stunned. Big if true!
* Happy 20th anniversary Harry Potter! Reminder that Voldemort did nothing wrong.
The MQ (magic quotient) has been in dysgenic decline for centuries, at least judging by the feats of Hogwarts’ founders.
Unless magic is a function of cognitive ability, as Eliezer Yudkowsky insists.
In that case, the induction of Muggles might even increase the average MQ of the wizarding world – but only if Hogwarts adopts stringent academic entrance exams. Which are for all intents and purposes the magical world’s equivalent of borders.
* @rishikesh_news: In the past countries were proud of their scientists and writers, now they are proud that their gays can marry.
* @SOBL: Would love your opinion on whether 21stC progressives will take science down Lysenkoistic road or just primitive http://www.socialmatter.net/2017/07/02/progressives-will-make-science-primitive/
Denial will become harder as genomics moves ahead in next 10 years. Neo-Lysenkoism will either collapse or will become more authoritarian.
Hopefully the former, of course, but I can’t exclude the latter. The USSR did have the late Brezhnev.
Not that I’m a fan of *any* ideological approach to science but Right’s main saving grace is that it’s fixations are likely less harmful.