If you’re interested in real time demographics updates, you could do worse than follow Cicerone1973.
Every couple of months, he provides an update of the fertility situation in those countries that maintain up to date statistics (s0, mostly the developed world and ex-socialist bloc).
1. USA is down to 1.74 children per woman (estimate). Whites are usually about 0.1 children below the US as a whole, so American whites will be at 1.65 children per woman this year.
2. Russia seems to be settling down to a new normal at around 1.6. Ethnic Russians are around 0.08 children less than the Russian Federation as a whole, so their rate is converging down to 1.5 children per woman.
3. Poland is no longer the worst big country in Europe as of a few years ago; settling in at around 1.45 children per woman. Atheist Czechia does the best of the V4 at almost 1.7 children per woman. Hungary and Slovakia are at around 1.5 children per woman, but recall that both have considerable numbers of Gypsies. Romania is at 1.6, so I assume ethnic Romanians are at around 1.5 children per woman.
4. Germany’s doing a lot better than it was a few years ago too. Especially since the refugee baby boom must have mostly abated by now.
5. It looks like South Korea will become the world’s first “big” country to fall below 1 child per woman. Israel (8.5 million) has running at half as many births as South Korea (51 million).
Cicerone also says this may be the first year in which Best Korea has more total births.
This could mean that North Korea will be victorious in the end, I assume. They now have more births than the South and no degenerated men. The only problem is their technological and economic backwardness, but that could easily be solved a la Deng Xiaoping.
— Cicerone (@Cicerone973) July 1, 2018
Anyhow, I wouldn’t read too much into it. A couple of years is not a trend. But the near universality of it is rather curious.